Saturday, January 21, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 62 (HD-62)

State House - District 62
Current Rep - Kate Segal (D-Battle Creek)

Old District (62nd)
Kate Segal - 14,188
Steven Mobley - 11,719

This district is entirely in Calhoun County. I don't like this district at all. They all but conceded a district to make Bolger more safe than he already is. The old district leaned democrat, but was won by Mike Nofs three times. The new district is even more democrat.

The old district covered Albion, Athens, 90%+ of Battle Creek, a small part of Bedford Twp, Burlington Twp, Clarence Twp, Clarendon Twp, Convis Twp, Eckford Twp, Fredonia Twp, Homer Twp, Lee Twp, Leroy Twp, Marengo Twp, Sheridan Twp, Sprinfield, and Tekonska Twp. The new district drops most of this and covers all of Battle Creek, Springfield, Bedford Twp, Pennfield Twp, Convis Twp, Lee Twp, Clarence Twp, Sheridan Twp, and Albion. Keeping Albion, Springfield, and Battle Creek together is tough. Adding Bedford Twp makes it worse. Pennfield is the only good addition, but it's only good if Albion's removed. Did I mention that I don't like this district at all? John Kerry lost Calhoun County. John Kerry won this district.

Even the old district leaned slightly democrat. Mark Schauer held the old district before Mike Nofs took the open seat (and Schauer the State Senate seat). Kate Segal took the open seat after Nofs ran for State Senate when Schauer ran for congress and won, before losing the rematch. Segal survived 2010 as an incumbent and I belive has one term left.

I would have split Albion and Battle Creek if possible. That would make this much easier.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Albion 719 2584 3303 -1865 21.77% 78.23% -56.46%
Albion Twp 301 283 584 18 51.54% 48.46% 3.08%
Battle Creek 8916 13975 22891 -5059 38.95% 61.05% -22.10%
Bedford Twp 2128 2583 4711 -455 45.17% 54.83% -9.66%
Clarence Twp 574 439 1013 135 56.66% 43.34% 13.33%
Convis Twp 439 357 796 82 55.15% 44.85% 10.30%
Lee Twp 300 220 520 80 57.69% 42.31% 15.38%
Pennfield Twp 2405 2218 4623 187 52.02% 47.98% 4.04%
Sheridan Twp 412 390 802 22 51.37% 48.63% 2.74%
Springfield 689 1132 1821 -443 37.84% 62.16% -24.33%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 16883 24181 41064 -7298 41.11% 58.89% -17.77%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Albion 896 2174 3070 -1278 29.19% 70.81% -41.63%
Albion Twp 336 265 601 71 55.91% 44.09% 11.81%
Battle Creek 10314 11583 21897 -1269 47.10% 52.90% -5.80%
Bedford Twp 2262 2264 4526 -2 49.98% 50.02% -0.04%
Clarence Twp 640 376 1016 264 62.99% 37.01% 25.98%
Convis Twp 500 355 855 145 58.48% 41.52% 16.96%
Lee Twp 339 214 553 125 61.30% 38.70% 22.60%
Pennfield Twp 2680 1969 4649 711 57.65% 42.35% 15.29%
Sheridan Twp 428 394 822 34 52.07% 47.93% 4.14%
Springfield 877 1005 1882 -128 46.60% 53.40% -6.80%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 19272 20599 39871 -1327 48.34% 51.66% -3.33%








Last St House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Albion 463 1623 2086 -1160 22.20% 77.80% -55.61%
Albion Twp 197 226 423 -29 46.57% 53.43% -6.86%
Battle Creek 5633 8174 13807 -2541 40.80% 59.20% -18.40%
Bedford Twp 18 10 28 8 64.29% 35.71% 28.57%
Clarence Twp 424 306 730 118 58.08% 41.92% 16.16%
Convis Twp 302 239 541 63 55.82% 44.18% 11.65%
Lee Twp 223 123 346 100 64.45% 35.55% 28.90%
Pennfield Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Sheridan Twp 269 283 552 -14 48.73% 51.27% -2.54%
Springfield 399 563 962 -164 41.48% 58.52% -17.05%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 7928 11547 19475 -3619 40.71% 59.29% -18.58%

State House Redistricting - District 61 (HD-61)

State House - District 61
Current Rep - Margaret O'Brien (R-Portage)

Old District (61th)
Margaret O'Brien - 21,919
Thomas Batten - 13,671

This district is close on paper, but has been in the "good enough to lose" category for the democrats, much like the Alpena and West Branch seats were until recently. Jack Hoogendyk held this seat for three terms followed by Larry DeShazor's narrow win and now Margaret O'Brien who won easily.

The old district covered Alamo, part of Kalamazoo Twp, Oshtemo Twp, Parchment, Portage, Prairie Ronde Twp, and Texas Twp. The new district drops Kalamazoo Twp, Parchment, and Alamo Twp and adds Schoolcraft Twp. Alamo Twp went for McCain and Bush, Kalamazoo Twp went dem twice. Parchment went for Bush and Obama. Kalamazoo Twp is the biggest part that was dropped, so slight GOP advantage, although losing Alamo Twp hurt. Adding Schoolcraft Twp helped some.

On paper, this is a bit of a swing district. Off paper, it's elected Jack Hoogendyk three times. Jack's quite conservative, and outspokenly so. Oshtemo Twp leans democrat with WMU, but O'Brien won it. Portage is close at the top of the ticket, but is more GOP downticket. Portage is about 1/2 of the district. Texas Twp is the main GOP base. This is a district to keep an eye on as it's no stranger to tough elections, but it hasn't flipped even in two rough years (06/08).



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oshtemo Twp 4414 6565 10979 -2151 40.20% 59.80% -19.59%
Portage 11448 14049 25497 -2601 44.90% 55.10% -10.20%
Prairie Ronde Twp 770 538 1308 232 58.87% 41.13% 17.74%
Schoolcraft Twp 2164 2071 4235 93 51.10% 48.90% 2.20%
Texas Twp 4469 3864 8333 605 53.63% 46.37% 7.26%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 23265 27087 50352 -3822 46.20% 53.80% -7.59%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oshtemo Twp 4703 4850 9553 -147 49.23% 50.77% -1.54%
Portage 13115 11597 24712 1518 53.07% 46.93% 6.14%
Prairie Ronde Twp 848 456 1304 392 65.03% 34.97% 30.06%
Schoolcraft Twp 2288 1652 3940 636 58.07% 41.93% 16.14%
Texas Twp 4509 2919 7428 1590 60.70% 39.30% 21.41%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 25463 21474 46937 3989 54.25% 45.75% 8.50%








Last State House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oshtemo Twp 3712 2827 6539 885 56.77% 43.23% 13.53%
Portage 10077 5847 15924 4230 63.28% 36.72% 26.56%
Prairie Ronde Twp 661 274 935 387 70.70% 29.30% 41.39%
Schoolcraft Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Texas Twp 3903 1711 5614 2192 69.52% 30.48% 39.05%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 18353 10659 29012 7694 63.26% 36.74% 26.52%

Friday, January 20, 2012

Brenda Lawrence running in MI-14

The primary in the 14th just got a major shake-up. I'm not surprised at this, but it's still big. I think Conyers switched districts because he wants no part of a one on one vs Lawrence.

Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence said today that she plans to run for Congress in a district that already features a race with two incumbent Congressmen.

She will formally announce her intentions on Feb. 1, Lawrence said, but she’s also been telling people in the district for months that she plans on running.

I happen to appreciate this comment by Lawrence a bit. That hits a little at Clarke (although he did represent Detroit's East Side) and hits a lot at Peters. I think Peters will be a non-factor outside of maybe West Bloomfield. He's just a yesman and a toady who carpetbagged. Clarke and Lawrence as far as I know don't have the same animosity towards them from whitey as Conyers does.

“It’s a district I live in and while that may not mean something to others, it does mean something to me,” Lawrence said.

Using Dave's redistricting website, the approximate numbers are 337,000 in Detroit, 309,000 in Oakland County, and 82,000 in Wayne County outside of Detroit (Hamtramck, Grosse Pointes, Harper Woods). The Detroit Part was 86% black and 97% for Obama. If they vote in a primary, we know which side it will be. Dems. Will they vote for Clarke? He's known more on the East Side, but what about West Side Detroiters. Southfield is right next door. City or
proximity. The 82,000 in Wayne County outside of Detroit is more competitive. If there is local partisan primaries, some of them may vote there, although I think there will be crossovers because the Grosse Pointe state rep districts are now split. The Oakland County portion is 48% White and about 40% Black. It went 75% for Obama, while extremely high, significantly less than Detroit. Southfield, Farmington Hills, and Oak Park will probably vote heavily for her with geography, but will Pontiac further North? Pontiac is a different community than the other three areas (or at least much of Southfield and Oak Park). Will they be open to Clarke or even Peters.

This will be an interesting August in many districts, and this is going to be one of them. We have competitive primaries so far in the 5th, 6th, 13th, and 14th. There might be more. We'll find out for sure in May at the filing deadline.

Why I'm pro-life

From the AP

Melinda Star Guido weighed only 9 ½ ounces at birth- less than a can of soda. After spending her early months in the neonatal intensive care unit, a team of doctors and nurses will gather Friday to see her off.

Melinda has been growing steadily and gaining weight since she was born premature at 24 weeks in August at the Los Angeles County-USC Medical Center. She is the world's third smallest baby and the second smallest in the U.S.

Now weighing 4½ pounds, doctors said Melinda has made enough progress to be discharged. It's too early to know how she will fare developmentally and physically, but doctors planned to monitor her for the next six years.

Born at 24 weeks and survived. That has me beat and I was born almost three months early.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Perry drops out

It's too bad that verbal gaffes and style count more than actual records these days. I originally supported Perry because of his record. I was rethinking due to his implosion, but was going full circle back there with my leanings again after Obama just screwed over this country once again to please his base of global warming nutters. He said no to the pipeline. Gas is around $3.50. Obama wants it $5.00. Send the oil from our Canadian allies to China instead. Good job. Really.

Perry was a better governor than he was a presidential campaigner. Perry wasn't a bad governor. He's experienced, and most importantly did not screw up the Texas economy like Granholm did here in Michigan. He also understood domestic energy and its importance. Perry's endorsed Newt. With Perry and Huntsman gone, it's down to Romney, Paul, Santorum, and Newt. Newt really isn't all that much different than Romney with the flips except a more conservative record than Mitt. Santorum's similar to Bush with his record. Ron Paul is who he is.

I'm going to wait and see what happens with South Carolina and Florida and make my final primary decision from there.

In other news, Conservative Jack Hoogendyk, former state rep and Core Principles blogger Jack Hoogendyk wants a rematch against moderate Fred Upton. Jack lost 42,182 to 31,660 in the little publicized (at least in East Michigan) 2010 primary. It may get more interesting this time. At worst, this pushes Upton to the right a bit on issues like energy.

Monday, January 16, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 60 (HD-60)

State House - District 60
Current Rep - Sean McCann (D-Kalamazoo)

Old District (60th)
Sean McCann - 13,841
Jeff Fernandez - 8,024

This is one of the safest democrat districts in West Michigan. It has all of the City of Kalamazoo and part of Kalamazoo Township. The old district drops Cooper Township and takes in most, although not all, of Kalamazoo Township making it more democrat. The City of Kalamazoo is usually 60%+ democrat thanks to WMU, Kalamazoo College, and the minority population on the city's north side. According to Dave's redistricting, it was a 72% Obama district.

State House Redistricting - District 59 (HD-59)

State House - District 59
Current Rep - Matt Lori (R-Constantine)

2010 Results - Old District (59th)
Matt Lori - 17,604
Carol Higgins - 6,846

This district expanded some with redistricting, although it is similar to the old incarnation. Both versions cover all of St Joseph County and part of Cass County. This district took more of Cass County.

The part of Cass County covered with the old district is Calvin, Jefferson, LaGrange, Marcellus, Mason, Milton, Newberg, Ontwa, Penn, Pokagon, Porter, and Volinia Townships. The new district drops Milton and Ontwa Townships and picks up Wayne Township and most notably Dowagiac. This district was safe GOP before, and probably leans that way now, but Dowagiac and Vandalia (Heavily minority village, corner of four townships, I think Calvin, Penn, LaGrange, Jefferson) together without heavy GOP Ontwa Twp makes me slightly nervous. McCain absolutely got hammered in SW Michigan compared to Bush. SW Michigan has more ties to South Bend and Chicago than it does to Detroit. Obama won the district.

I'll call this a lean district for now. That's due to this being a presidential year with a district "close" to Chicago/South Bend, and also due to the neighboring 78th district (with Dowagiac) being competitive in the past.

This one should stay ours, but shouldn't be taken for granted.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
St Joseph County 12886 12322 25208 564 51.12% 48.88% 2.24%
Cass County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Calvin Twp 331 591 922 -260 35.90% 64.10% -28.20%
Dowagiac City 667 1548 2215 -881 30.11% 69.89% -39.77%
Jefferson Twp 611 577 1188 34 51.43% 48.57% 2.86%
Lagrange Twp 540 992 1532 -452 35.25% 64.75% -29.50%
Marcellus Twp 464 603 1067 -139 43.49% 56.51% -13.03%
Mason Twp 560 452 1012 108 55.34% 44.66% 10.67%
Newberg Twp 374 381 755 -7 49.54% 50.46% -0.93%
Penn Twp 467 464 931 3 50.16% 49.84% 0.32%
Pokagon Twp 479 560 1039 -81 46.10% 53.90% -7.80%
Porter Twp 1103 807 1910 296 57.75% 42.25% 15.50%
Volinia Twp 317 237 554 80 57.22% 42.78% 14.44%
Wayne Twp 566 630 1196 -64 47.32% 52.68% -5.35%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



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0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 19365 20164 39529 -799 48.99% 51.01% -2.02%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
St Joseph County 15340 9648 24988 5692 61.39% 38.61% 22.78%
Cass County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Calvin Twp 440 379 819 61 53.72% 46.28% 7.45%
Dowagiac City 951 1207 2158 -256 44.07% 55.93% -11.86%
Jefferson Twp 656 444 1100 212 59.64% 40.36% 19.27%
Lagrange Twp 680 777 1457 -97 46.67% 53.33% -6.66%
Marcellus Twp 599 521 1120 78 53.48% 46.52% 6.96%
Mason Twp 627 347 974 280 64.37% 35.63% 28.75%
Newberg Twp 455 310 765 145 59.48% 40.52% 18.95%
Penn Twp 519 391 910 128 57.03% 42.97% 14.07%
Pokagon Twp 541 450 991 91 54.59% 45.41% 9.18%
Porter Twp 1262 537 1799 725 70.15% 29.85% 40.30%
Volinia Twp 355 251 606 104 58.58% 41.42% 17.16%
Wayne Twp 666 543 1209 123 55.09% 44.91% 10.17%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 23091 15805 38896 7286 59.37% 40.63% 18.73%








Last St House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
St Joseph County 11234 3945 15179 7289 74.01% 25.99% 48.02%
Cass County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Calvin Twp 289 204 493 85 58.62% 41.38% 17.24%
Dowagiac City

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Jefferson Twp 506 254 760 252 66.58% 33.42% 33.16%
Lagrange Twp 457 347 804 110 56.84% 43.16% 13.68%
Marcellus Twp 381 253 634 128 60.09% 39.91% 20.19%
Mason Twp 477 141 618 336 77.18% 22.82% 54.37%
Newberg Twp 322 145 467 177 68.95% 31.05% 37.90%
Penn Twp 405 182 587 223 68.99% 31.01% 37.99%
Pokagon Twp 374 228 602 146 62.13% 37.87% 24.25%
Porter Twp 935 280 1215 655 76.95% 23.05% 53.91%
Volinia Twp 242 109 351 133 68.95% 31.05% 37.89%
Wayne Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 15622 6088 21710 9534 71.96% 28.04% 43.92%

State House Redistricting - District 58 (HD-58)

State House - District 58
Current Rep - Ken Kurtz (R-Coldwater)

2010 Results - Old District (58th)
Ken Kurtz - Unopposed in general election

This is a safe republican district covering Hillsdale and Branch Counties. It remains unchanged from the old districts. It's a safe district that has not gone democrat under its current leanings with both counties going even for McCain. Walberg's won both counties in his congressional runs as well. Hillsdale competes with Livingston County and Allegan County for third place statewide every election. Branch County is safe as well, although more "competitive" than Hillsdale. It would take a disaster candidate to lose this one. 



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Branch County 9534 8413 17947 1121 53.12% 46.88% 6.25%
Hillsdale County 11221 8765 19986 2456 56.14% 43.86% 12.29%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 20755 17178 37933 3577 54.71% 45.29% 9.43%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Branch County 10784 7004 17788 3780 60.63% 39.37% 21.25%
Hillsdale County 12804 7123 19927 5681 64.25% 35.75% 28.51%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 23588 14127 37715 9461 62.54% 37.46% 25.09%

State House Redistricting - District 57 (HD-57)

State House - District 57
Current Rep - Nancy Jenkins (R-Clayton)

2010 Results - Old District (57th)
Nancy Jenkins - 16,660
Harvey Schmidt - 12,385

This district was unchanged. It covers all of Lenawee County outside of Cambridge Township. It's a social conservative swing district that votes for the person more than the party. Bush won it twice. Clinton and Obama both won it. It has been democrat for 12 years until the 2010 election. Doug and Dudley Spade were popular with crossover support. Nancy Jenkins won the open seat in 2010. Before the Spades, the state rep was now congressman Tim Walberg.

I expect competitive races here in the future, although Republicans overall tend to do better here than democrats if someone named Spade is not on the ticket. Tim Walberg had this district for either 16 or 18 years before being termed out. I'd still call it a swing district until Jenkins wins until being termed out with the winner going our way. It's not our toughest defense, but it's not going to be an easy one either.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Adrian 2684 5045 7729 -2361 34.73% 65.27% -30.55%
Adrian Twp 1798 1661 3459 137 51.98% 48.02% 3.96%
Blissfield Twp 1075 972 2047 103 52.52% 47.48% 5.03%
Clinton Twp 872 1021 1893 -149 46.06% 53.94% -7.87%
Deerfield Twp 379 377 756 2 50.13% 49.87% 0.26%
Dover Twp 401 344 745 57 53.83% 46.17% 7.65%
Fairfield Twp 407 429 836 -22 48.68% 51.32% -2.63%
Franklin Twp 810 758 1568 52 51.66% 48.34% 3.32%
Hudson 422 471 893 -49 47.26% 52.74% -5.49%
Hudson Twp 375 370 745 5 50.34% 49.66% 0.67%
Macon Twp 490 399 889 91 55.12% 44.88% 10.24%
Madison Twp 1457 1598 3055 -141 47.69% 52.31% -4.62%
Medina Twp 294 202 496 92 59.27% 40.73% 18.55%
Morenci 395 519 914 -124 43.22% 56.78% -13.57%
Ogden Twp 328 236 564 92 58.16% 41.84% 16.31%
Palmyra Twp 545 550 1095 -5 49.77% 50.23% -0.46%
Raisin Twp 1894 2004 3898 -110 48.59% 51.41% -2.82%
Ridgeway Twp 411 344 755 67 54.44% 45.56% 8.87%
Riga Twp 470 345 815 125 57.67% 42.33% 15.34%
Rollin Twp 835 777 1612 58 51.80% 48.20% 3.60%
Rome Twp 480 397 877 83 54.73% 45.27% 9.46%
Seneca Twp 261 289 550 -28 47.45% 52.55% -5.09%
Tecumseh 2001 2571 4572 -570 43.77% 56.23% -12.47%
Tecumseh Twp 631 527 1158 104 54.49% 45.51% 8.98%
Woodstock Twp 871 856 1727 15 50.43% 49.57% 0.87%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 20586 23062 43648 -2476 47.16% 52.84% -5.67%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Adrian 3525 4226 7751 -701 45.48% 54.52% -9.04%
Adrian Twp 2032 1342 3374 690 60.23% 39.77% 20.45%
Blissfield Twp 1207 798 2005 409 60.20% 39.80% 20.40%
Clinton Twp 984 836 1820 148 54.07% 45.93% 8.13%
Deerfield Twp 411 347 758 64 54.22% 45.78% 8.44%
Dover Twp 466 339 805 127 57.89% 42.11% 15.78%
Fairfield Twp 456 355 811 101 56.23% 43.77% 12.45%
Franklin Twp 892 657 1549 235 57.59% 42.41% 15.17%
Hudson 524 367 891 157 58.81% 41.19% 17.62%
Hudson Twp 418 333 751 85 55.66% 44.34% 11.32%
Macon Twp 525 311 836 214 62.80% 37.20% 25.60%
Madison Twp 1624 1251 2875 373 56.49% 43.51% 12.97%
Medina Twp 332 212 544 120 61.03% 38.97% 22.06%
Morenci 542 423 965 119 56.17% 43.83% 12.33%
Ogden Twp 363 201 564 162 64.36% 35.64% 28.72%
Palmyra Twp 588 483 1071 105 54.90% 45.10% 9.80%
Raisin Twp 2076 1655 3731 421 55.64% 44.36% 11.28%
Ridgeway Twp 497 303 800 194 62.13% 37.88% 24.25%
Riga Twp 508 284 792 224 64.14% 35.86% 28.28%
Rollin Twp 941 683 1624 258 57.94% 42.06% 15.89%
Rome Twp 551 348 899 203 61.29% 38.71% 22.58%
Seneca Twp 331 240 571 91 57.97% 42.03% 15.94%
Tecumseh 2410 2153 4563 257 52.82% 47.18% 5.63%
Tecumseh Twp 689 481 1170 208 58.89% 41.11% 17.78%
Woodstock Twp 970 755 1725 215 56.23% 43.77% 12.46%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 23862 19383 43245 4479 55.18% 44.82% 10.36%








Last St Rep GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Adrian 2207 2382 4589 -175 48.09% 51.91% -3.81%
Adrian Twp 1512 886 2398 626 63.05% 36.95% 26.11%
Blissfield Twp 864 519 1383 345 62.47% 37.53% 24.95%
Clinton Twp 664 608 1272 56 52.20% 47.80% 4.40%
Deerfield Twp 289 191 480 98 60.21% 39.79% 20.42%
Dover Twp 372 136 508 236 73.23% 26.77% 46.46%
Fairfield Twp 371 185 556 186 66.73% 33.27% 33.45%
Franklin Twp 645 463 1108 182 58.21% 41.79% 16.43%
Hudson 408 186 594 222 68.69% 31.31% 37.37%
Hudson Twp 347 194 541 153 64.14% 35.86% 28.28%
Macon Twp 398 213 611 185 65.14% 34.86% 30.28%
Madison Twp 1234 775 2009 459 61.42% 38.58% 22.85%
Medina Twp 231 95 326 136 70.86% 29.14% 41.72%
Morenci 318 219 537 99 59.22% 40.78% 18.44%
Ogden Twp 265 117 382 148 69.37% 30.63% 38.74%
Palmyra Twp 462 267 729 195 63.37% 36.63% 26.75%
Raisin Twp 1398 1195 2593 203 53.91% 46.09% 7.83%
Ridgeway Twp 316 222 538 94 58.74% 41.26% 17.47%
Riga Twp 356 159 515 197 69.13% 30.87% 38.25%
Rollin Twp 793 394 1187 399 66.81% 33.19% 33.61%
Rome Twp 429 174 603 255 71.14% 28.86% 42.29%
Seneca Twp 239 125 364 114 65.66% 34.34% 31.32%
Tecumseh 1350 1814 3164 -464 42.67% 57.33% -14.66%
Tecumseh Twp 486 381 867 105 56.06% 43.94% 12.11%
Woodstock Twp 724 485 1209 239 59.88% 40.12% 19.77%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 16678 12385 29063 4293 57.39% 42.61% 14.77%

State House Redistricting - District 56 (HD-56)

State House - District 56
Current Rep - Dale Zorn (R-Ida)

2010 Results - Old District (55th)
Rick Olson - 17,295
Mike Smith - 15,381

Old District (56th)
Dale Zorn - 15,582
Kate Ebli - 13,945

The new 56th district is more like the 55th than the old 56th. The old 56th covered Eastern Monroe County and was based in Monroe. The old 55th covered part of Washtenaw County and Western Monroe County with two anchors, one in Pittsfield Twp, and one in Bedford Twp outside of Toledo. The new 56th covers Southern and Northwestern Monroe County.

The new 56th kept Ida Twp, LaSalle Twp, Monroe Twp (not city), and Raisinville Twp. The rest all was added to the 55th. Bedford, Dundee, Erie, Milan City and Twp, Petersburg, Summerfield, and Whiteford Townships. This is still a swing district and nothing comes easy in Monroe County, either at the top of bottom of the ticket. It's voted for both parties in the past and has a populist heritage. This new district is slightly more republican than the old 55th or old 56th on paper, but it is certainly winnable by a candidate in either party. Dingell types do well here, and until 2010, John Dingell ran strong in Monroe County.

Dale Zorn is the incumbent, and defeated Kate Ebli, an incumbent who won tough races here in the past. Part of it was the 2010 year, but defeating incumbents show some strength.


McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bedford Twp 8162 8527 16689 -365 48.91% 51.09% -2.19%
Dundee Twp 1717 1615 3332 102 51.53% 48.47% 3.06%
Erie Twp 1000 1260 2260 -260 44.25% 55.75% -11.50%
Ida Twp 1487 1227 2714 260 54.79% 45.21% 9.58%
LaSalle Twp 1363 1268 2631 95 51.81% 48.19% 3.61%
Luna Pier 280 412 692 -132 40.46% 59.54% -19.08%
Milan 375 532 907 -157 41.35% 58.65% -17.31%
Milan Twp 459 417 876 42 52.40% 47.60% 4.79%
Monroe Twp 3066 3526 6592 -460 46.51% 53.49% -6.98%
Petersburg 251 310 561 -59 44.74% 55.26% -10.52%
Raisinville Twp 1598 1421 3019 177 52.93% 47.07% 5.86%
Summerfield Twp 828 792 1620 36 51.11% 48.89% 2.22%
Whiteford Twp 1314 1087 2401 227 54.73% 45.27% 9.45%



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Total 21900 22394 44294 -494 49.44% 50.56% -1.12%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bedford Twp 8761 7776 16537 985 52.98% 47.02% 5.96%
Dundee Twp 1666 1331 2997 335 55.59% 44.41% 11.18%
Erie Twp 1118 1237 2355 -119 47.47% 52.53% -5.05%
Ida Twp 1532 1105 2637 427 58.10% 41.90% 16.19%
LaSalle Twp 1451 1192 2643 259 54.90% 45.10% 9.80%
Luna Pier 323 388 711 -65 45.43% 54.57% -9.14%
Milan 432 458 890 -26 48.54% 51.46% -2.92%
Milan Twp 469 433 902 36 52.00% 48.00% 3.99%
Monroe Twp 3111 3336 6447 -225 48.26% 51.74% -3.49%
Petersburg 274 252 526 22 52.09% 47.91% 4.18%
Raisinville Twp 1647 1230 2877 417 57.25% 42.75% 14.49%
Summerfield Twp 938 712 1650 226 56.85% 43.15% 13.70%
Whiteford Twp 1416 955 2371 461 59.72% 40.28% 19.44%



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Total 23138 20405 43543 2733 53.14% 46.86% 6.28%








Last St House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bedford Twp

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Dundee Twp

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Erie Twp

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Ida Twp 1085 610 1695 475 64.01% 35.99% 28.02%
LaSalle Twp 1004 752 1756 252 57.18% 42.82% 14.35%
Luna Pier 200 221 421 -21 47.51% 52.49% -4.99%
Milan

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Milan Twp

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Monroe Twp 2153 1873 4026 280 53.48% 46.52% 6.95%
Petersburg

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Raisinville Twp 1259 869 2128 390 59.16% 40.84% 18.33%
Summerfield Twp

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Whiteford Twp

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Total 5701 4325 10026 1376 56.86% 43.14% 13.72%