Saturday, April 23, 2005

State Senate - District 12

State Senate - District 12

2006 Contest
Republican Candidates – Mike Bishop (Rochester)
Democrat Candidates – Joseph Barrera (Lake Orion)

Current Rep – Mike Bishop (R-Rochester)

2002 Results
Mike Bishop – 62.74%
Thomas Werth – 37.26%

Presidential results:
Bush – 53.80%
Kerry – 45.28%

Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Safe Republican

District covers:
Oakland County: - Addison Township, Auburn Hills, Clarkston, Independence Township, Keego Harbor, Lake Angelus, Oakland Township, Orion Township
Oxford Township, Pontiac, Rochester, Rochester Hills, Sylvan Lake

This district has a very strong Republican lean and is not as close as it seems. Pontiac kept Bush from a 10%+ win here, but the numbers elsewhere keep this district solid. There are only three areas here, which voted for John Kerry - Auburn Hills, Pontiac, and Keego Harbor. Pontiac is the democrat stronghold here and has the second highest number of voters. It went 79.21% for John Kerry, giving him a 13,260 vote spread. Bush won the district overall by 11,957 votes.

Most of the rest of the district are Republican Strongholds. The largest community here is Rochester Hills, which went 58.51% for Bush. Its 7,162 vote spread is over ½ of Pontiac’s. Independence and Orion Townships combine have about the same number of voters as Rochester Hills. Between those two communities, Bush had about a 9,700 vote spread. Those three GOP strongholds combined not only cancel out Pontiac, but Auburn Hills and Keego Harbor as well. Addison, Oakand, and Oxford Townships are all 60%+ GOP strongholds and keep this district solidly Republican.

This district is safe for Mike Bishop, despite Pontiac

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