Sunday, May 30, 2010

Another assault on our checks and balances

One thing is sacred in our checks and balances of government. Recall. Recalls are rare, but they are there when needed. Democrats hate recalls and have never forgiven the voters in 1984 for kicking out two state senators who voted for a 38% tax increase. That cost the democrats the state senate. The arrogant Lansing elite has been after the recall ever since as they know what's best for us little people.

One of the reasons the con-con proponents want a con-con is becauseof their desire to nearly eliminate recalls by turning them into judicial questions instead of questions to voters.

One term limited legislator, Mickey Switalski, wants to use a backdoor way to eliminate most recalls, by forcing them to be in November. Tim Skubick explains

Under the current law, anyone in public office can be recalled based on “conduct in office.” That means if elected men don’t put the toilet seat down in the unisex johns, the women could force them out of office.

In other words, some legislators believe the recall law is just a tad too liberal and needs some tightening up.

And they have tried to tighten it up over the years. However, each effort has gone up in smoke. Many intimidated lawmakers were simply too afraid to vote yes for fear of what might happen back home with all those anti-government types…and you know who you are.


The Roseville Democrat Mr. Switalski is not afraid. He’s losing his Senate job because of term limits and may be looking for work after his bid to unseat Congressman Sandy Levin goes caput.

Instead of changing the reasons for a recall — the approach that others tried — the crafty senator is coming in the back door. He has legislation to reduce the number of elections in the state.

Currently, local and state governments can hold elections in February, May, August and November. The recall crowd loves to stage its recalls in the dead of winter when voter turnout is low and the chances of recall are high.

..

Switaliski would revamp the election law to limit recalls to November. That automatically eliminates the two winter elections and the one in summer, which does not draw a lot of voters either.

It’s actually an ingenious attempt to stick a spoke in recall mania, because the legislation is being sold as a way to save money by eliminating elections. The “recall” factor is a hidden agenda.


Recalls need to be left alone. The assault on our checks and balances between government and people need to stop, and Switalski needs to be taught a lesson on this in August in his run against Sander Levin (not that he's any better).

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Another push to increase Michigan's 34 cent gas tax

I normally agree with the Chamber and personally like a lot of the people there. I also know that many of their members are road builders, and that accounts for their view on this issue, the gas tax. I also disagree with them 100% on this gimmicky, left-wing so called solution to the roads.

From the Free Press

LANSING – Michigan’s crumbling roads and bridges cause traffic congestion that will cost the state 12,000 jobs, and cost $287 for every resident in lost time and wasted fuel, a new study concludes.

That’s about the same amount typical motorists would pay for doubling the state gas tax and vehicle registration fees – a $2.2-billion revenue increase that would pay for a vastly improved highway system, according to the report.

The study by Anderson Economic Group of Lansing was commissioned by the Michigan Chamber of Commerce, and shows the economic impact of good and bad roads. Chamber president Rich Studley said it’s long past time for state government to boost revenue for roads that are the lifeline of Michigan’s commerce, from manufacturing to tourism to agriculture.

Once again, this whole gas tax push is based on a false premise. The false premise is that only the gas tax can fund roads. Every single so called plan I have seen is based on that false premise. Every single advocacy for the tax is based on that. It's crap. I'm not going to rehash the arguments. I've done that about seven times already and nothing has changed. I last wrote about this in January when Rep. Dick Ball pushed for this

Here's the other write ups I've done on this topic, going back to 2007.


The media LIED here.
The study is the latest ammunition for proponents of a gas tax increase, who’ve argued for two years that the state is seriously underfunding its roads. The state for the first time will lose its full allocation of federal aid -- $475 million – because of an $84-million shortfall in its transportation fund, which is fed by the state’s 19-cent-per-gallon gas tax and vehicle registration fees.

The gas tax is NOT 19 cents a gallon. That is bullshit. When I go to the pump, I don't pay 19 cents to the state of Michigan.

Currently, the price is around $2.79 a gallon here. The Michigan taxes on gasoline amount to 34 cents a gallon, at this amount. No, not 19 cents, like the media likes to say. 34 cents. 34 cents of every gallon paid goes to the State of Michigan. That's the tax.

The tax pushers want us to pay 43 cents a gallon, plus more in registration fees. We need to make sure that this push is defeated, and we make proper budget restructuring to fix the roads instead of a BS gimmick based on the false assumption that the gas tax, and only the gas tax, can pay for transportation.

Jobs not fluff.

Back in April, I wrote a piece ripping the new urbanist "cool cities" style of BS that bureaucrats and ivory towers think is the key for Michigan comeback. I stand by what I wrote in both the article and comments section and revisit it in the light of recent articles in New Geography.

In today's recession, and specifically to Michigan, there's a lot of talk about keeping younger workers here, and so called "diversifying the economy," which too often means abandoning manufacturing in favor of so called "cool-cities." To the Granholmites, it's "coolness" and "hipness" and not actual jobs that attract young workers. My post in April was Michigan specific on this matter. New Geography gave its own model city. It's not New York, Boston, Seattle, Chicago, or San Francisco. Houston. I can't speak for recent history with Houston as it has been over 20 years since I've been there. Joel Kotkin, who I believe is actually a democrat (more of an old school one who doesn't support cap and trade or Richard Florida style of urbanism), makes an interesting case for Houston, if one can handle the weather.

So what does Houston have that these other cities lack? Opportunity. Between 2000 and 2009 Houston's employment grew by 260,000. Greater New York City--with nearly three times the population of Houston--has added only 96,000 jobs. The Chicago area has lost 258,000 jobs, San Francisco 217,000, Los Angeles 168,000 and Boston 100,004.

Politicians in big cities talk about jobs, but by keeping taxes, fees and regulatory barriers high they discourage the creation of jobs, at least in the private sector. A business in San Francisco or Los Angeles never knows what bizarre new cost will be imposed by city hall. In New York or Boston you can thrive as a nonprofit executive, high-end consultant or financier, but if you are the owner of a business that wants to grow you're out of luck.

Houston, however, has kept the cost of government low while investing in ports, airports, roads, transit and schools. A person or business moving there gets an immediate raise through lower taxes and cheaper real estate. Houston just works better at nurturing jobs.

It starts with jobs, regulations, and costs, with the rest going to meat and potatoes issues of competence. Jobs and growing economies also attract college educated, much more than BS fluff that dominate the news these days.

Some traditional urbanists will concede these facts but then try to shift the focus to "qualitative" factors: the best-educated residents, the highest salaries, the most expensive real estate. Although it also attracts a large number of low-skill migrants, Houston has considerably expanded its white-collar workforce. According to the Praxis Strategy Group, Houston's ranks of college-educated residents grew 13% between 2005 and 2008. That's about on par with "creative class" capital Portland, Ore. and well more than twice the rate for New York, San Francisco or Los Angeles.

Back to Livingston County, I'll say the same thing about Houston as I said about the "cool cities". We're Livingston County. We aren't Chicago. We aren't Royal Oak. We aren't Ann Arbor. We won't copy them, and should not even try to do so. We don't need to be any of those. Livingston County's strength is rural character, small towns, lakes, and being driving distance from cities, but further away from its influence.

However, we need to study what makes Houston work in this economy compared to what isn't working in Chicago, San Francisco, LA, and Boston, and adapt it to fit in Michigan, and Livingston County.

Jobs will fix this economy, not "cool cities".

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Election Results - May Primaries in Pennsylvania, Oregon, Kentucky, Arkansas

The results are coming in from the primary races, along with the special election for the John Murtha district.

First off, in Kentucky, the projected winner is Rand Paul over the establishment choice, Trey Grayson. Rand Paul won easily with about 58% of the vote. It'll be interesting to see the fallout there.

Unfortunately, it looks like Critz, Murtha's aide, will take the special election unless some very strong GOP precincts are left. With 69% in, Critz is up by 8%. It's a democrat district, gerrymandered for Murtha. 53-44. They haven't called it yet, but that's a lot of ground to make up late. There will be a rematch in November, regardless of the situation.

The good news is that Ex-RINO and party switcher Arlen Specter is GONE. I hope Charlie Crist is watching that.....Good riddance. The dems didn't accept him. The Republicans didn't either.

It's early in Arkansas, but the best news possible may happen. Blanche Lincoln caught in a runoff with Bill Halter. In Arkansas, candidates who don't get 50% in the primary, have to have a runoff election to determine the winner of the primary.

Oregon has a primary, but nothing has been reported yet there.

------------------------
Update 12:38AM

Penn:
Senate - Pat Toomey will face Joe Sestak.
House - Critz held on to win John Murtha's seat. Tim Burns will have a rematch in November.

Oregon Governor - Former NBA player Chris Dudley will face John Kitzhaber. Kitzhaber is a former two term governor who wants his old job back.

Kentucky Senate - Rand Paul, a doctor and son of Ron Paul, will face Jack Conway.

Arkansas Senate - Blanche Lincoln, incumbent, will have a runoff against more left wing challenger Bill Halter. Boozman will be the GOP nominee.

Overall, it's a big day. One incumbent lost, and a second may lose. That means four federal incumbents may be toast this year alone in primaries or conventions. Bob Bennett lost in Utah. Alan Mollohan lost in West Virginia. Arlen Specter lost today. Blanche Lincoln may lost in the runoff.

I think we may have a very interesting August primary season in Michigan.

Updates

Today I updated the congressional districts to list the candidates who made it past the filing deadline.

Also, today is the day for the big congressional race in Pennsylvania to replace John Murtha, along with some primary races in Oregon, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Arkansas. Two of those states have incumbents in tough races, and Kentucky's primary is an establishment vs outsider race.

There will be some interesting results at the end of the day. Stay tuned.

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Fireworks finally to be legalized in Michigan?

While I've long thought that fireworks should be legalized I have mixed views on this bill. It seems awfully bureaucratic. The bill is HB 5999 and it passed the house. Both Rogers and Denby voted for it. I would have reluctantly voted for it in their position as it is better than the current law, but think we can do better than what is here.

I don't see the need for $5000 certificates (sales tax should be sufficient). There's a 2 million dollar insurance requirement for vendors. I'm opposed on principle to any requirement of any sort to buy any insurance by law. Outdoor/tent sales are severely regulated if not banned.

Hopefully, the senate bill will be better. We'll see.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

The Livingston County Commissioner seats

The Argus has an opinion piece story about the challenges in Livingston County. They think it is a big deal that they got people to put their names on the ballot for county commissioner.

From the Argus

By placing at least seven candidates on the ballot, Livingston County Democrats are bringing rare competition to elections for the Livingston County Board of Commissioners.
...
Winning an election in Livingston County as a Democrat is a daunting task. Party faithful like to suggest that the county's ideological makeup is shifting, but that's an argument that's been made — without much apparent accuracy — for several decades.

At the top of the ticket, the low mark for the GOP since 2000 is 56% The high mark is 62-63% Levin came closest to winning countywide in 2008, and the last two to do so were Frank Kelley and Richard Austin.

Currently, there's two democrats holding partisan elected office in the county. Putnam and Unadilla Township trustee positions.

If Democrats want a chance in the county commissioner races, they need to do more than criticize the low tax rate, which is a source of pride for the county Republican Party. Livingston County is not the place where elections are won by promising higher taxes.

Judy Daubenmier, chairwoman of the Livingston County Democrats, has criticized the incumbents for lacking "any sort of vision for moving our county forward."

How about leaving us alone? Low taxes, balanced budgets, and the basics. We aren't Ann Arbor, and don't want to be Ann Arbor. This county is still the fastest growing in the area, and part of that is people moving away from democrat paradises like Wayne County. Democrats, including white "progressive" democrats destroyed Detroit, are destroying Michigan, and want to take Livingston County down with it.

That seems to be the Republican Party viewpoint as expressed by county GOP Chairman Mike Murphy, the county's undersheriff.

"It's conservative Republican values that have gotten us where we're at," Murphy said in a story published Wednesday in this newspaper.

Further, Murphy said the Democratic candidates "don't stand a chance" in November. Even if he's right, it will be good for the county if their campaigns help elevate the county's business in the minds of voters.

I agree with Murph that it is conservative republican values that got the county where it is at, and that puts us in better shape than the other nearby counties. I do disagree that the dems don't stand a chance. All campaigns are based on matchups, and they do have a chance. I don't think any Ann Arbor liberals like Judy Daubenmier have a chance, but dems have won in the 90's.

If the democrats want to win Livingston County, they have an example. Jake Donohue. Donohue was the last county comissioner seat that was won by the dems. They can't run some so called "progressive" type which flourishes in Ann Arbor and started the major decline in Detroit. "Progressives" destroyed Detroit, and are destroying Michigan and the country, and we all know it. Farming democrats or Jim Barcia democrats are their best chance to win in most of the county.

Unfortunately, some townships in the county have been reprecincted since 2002 which makes things very difficult to compare the districts. The 2008 or 2006 numbers are good "low end" numbers for the districts. In order for a democrat to win, it would take an improvement over their high water marks. That usually happens in Unadilla and Putnam Townships which have locally supported democrats for years, and has happened in Hamburg, not surprisingly in 2008. It might have happened in Green Oak as well, by a moderate democrat Matt Evans in his runs. Evans isn't running this time.

These are estimates of the 2008 low ball numbers for the GOP in this district (Absentees were counted differently). Add about 7-9% to the GOP for the 2004 numbers.

District 2 - All of Osceola Twp and Deerfield Twp, Howell twp 2, Genoa Twp 3,11 -
GOP - Jim Mantey
Dem - Thomas Bell III
08 - GOP 58.16%, 39.77%

District 3 - All of Tyrone Twp and all of Hartland Twp except 5
GOP - Dave Domas and Charlie Aberasturi
Dem - Dane Morris

08 - GOP 59.24%, 39.20%

District 5 - All of Conway, Cohoctah, and Howell City, Howell Twp 1 - Open
GOP - Sue Dolato, Jay Drick, and Lou Anne Lathrop
Dem - David Berry

08 - GOP 52.85%, 44.95%

District 6 - All of Putnam Twp, Hamburg 3, Marion 2, 3, 4,Genoa 5, 12.
GOP - Steve Williams
Dem - Keith Tianen

08 - GOP 53.99%, 44.30%

District 7 - All of Brighton City, Genoa 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 - Incumbent Carol Griffith
GOP - Carol Griffith
Dem - Kelly Raskauskas

08 - GOP 55.29%, 43.38%

District 8 - All of Hamburg except precinct 3 - Incumbent Dennis Dolan
GOP - Dennis Dolan
Dem - Amir Baghdadchi

08 - GOP 51.25%, 47.34%

District 9 - All of Green Oak and Brighton Twp 5 - Incumbent Jack LaBelle
GOP - Jack LaBelle
Dem - Barry McBride

08 - GOP 54.47%, 43.71%

I think the landscape in MOST of the county is more favorable to us than 2008, although Hamburg is still Hamburg. For that reason alone, I think the 8th is going to be our toughest defense due to self inflicted wounds. After that, I'd say probably the 9th and much of that depends on Jack's health. Possibly the 6th is one to watch depending on the type of candidate Tianen is. The right type of campaign there could resonate. Over in the 5th, the City of Howell is by far the most liberal part of the county, especially in its establishment (more so establishment than residents), but it would take one incredible balancing act for a dem to win there, appealing to the country club lib set, as well as the farm independents. The 7th is a pipe dream for a recent Massachusetts transplanted democrat. The City of Brighton swings (More MEA, but establishment is more business oriented), and will probably swing back to the right with the national fiscal liberalism. Even if it doesn't, there's too much Genoa Township for the dems to have much of a chance. They went for this in 02, caught us offguard until late, and couldn't break 40% and lost the whole area. I spend 24 years there as a primary residence, so I know that area very well. The rest of the seats are slim to none chances for the dems.

I'll never say there's no chance, but I'll be real surprised to see the dems pick one off, especially if their views are anything like Obama, Daubenmier, Granholm, and the like. I don't see a Jake Donohue in this crowd.

But our county party needs to pretend we're down 10% in our attitudes with these campaigns. When that stops happened, then we lose.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Filing Deadline Passes - Preliminary Report (Unofficial) - Primary 2010

The pretenders are out and the contenders are in. Today is the filing deadline for the 2010 primary. It was at 4PM. There may be some paperwork going between the clerks and the Secretary of State Office, but here's a presumptive list of who is in and out from the Secretary of State


The Gubernatorial Candidates are:
GOP - Mike Bouchard, Mike Cox, Tom George, Pete Hoekstra, and Rick Snyder. There was talk about a couple of other longshots, but it's not happening. The petition requirements was the first elimination bout.

DEM - Andy Dillon and Virg Bernero. Alma Wheeler Smith dropped out. Geoff Fieger said he wasn't running. No Bob Bowman or anybody else.

It's a two way primary for the dems and a five way primary for the GOP

I'll update the congressional districts again when I have a chance to list who is in/out. It looks like we'll be seeing:

1st District (MI-01) - Open seat
GOP - Six way primary between Jason Allen, Dan Benishek, Patrick Donlon, Linda Goldthorpe, Don Hooper, and Tom Stillings.

Dem - Gary McDowell. I don't see Matt Gillard there. If McDowell has a free pass, this could be trouble for us. Major coup for McDowell (who is Stupak's guy) if he avoids a primary.


2nd District (MI-02) - Open seat
GOP - Seven way primary between Bill Cooper, Bill Huizenga, Wayne Kuipers, Chris Larson, Field Reichardt, Jay Riemersma, and Ted Schendel.

Dem - Primary between Fred Johnson and Nicolette McClure.

Interesting matchups for the primary here. Holland dominates the district for the GOP. Muskegon dominates for the dems, but no Muskegon democrat is running. All of the GOP candidates are from Holland except Bill Cooper (Muskegon County) and Ted Schendel from Benzie County. For the dems, Fred Johnson is from Holland and McClure is from Lake County.

3rd District (MI-03) - Open Seat

GOP - Justin Amash, Bill Hardiman, Steven Heacock, Louise Johnson, and Bob Overbeek

Dem - Paul Mayhue and Pat Miles

The interesting this here is does Grand Rapids follow the "It's his turn" format as it has done for years. It looks like the "his turn" views are split between Hardiman and Heacock. That leaves an opening for Amash who is the upstart who may cause an upset.

4th District (MI-04) - Incumbent Dave Camp

GOP - Dave Camp of Midland
Dem - Jerry Campbell of St Helen

5th District (MI-05 ) - Incumbent Dale Kildee
GOP - John Kupiec and Rick Wilson, both of Grand Blanc
Dem - Dale Kildee of Flint and Scott Withers of Vassar

I don't see how a primary challenge from Tuscola County will be a big threat to Kildee, who is probably the most popular pol in Flint. One thing to watch however is the UAW membership and their response to Obama's health care takeover. A lot of the retirees and workers are scared to death about the UAW putting them all on the government plan.

6th District (MI-06) - Incumbent Fred Upton

GOP - Jack Hoogendyk of Kalamazoo and Fred Upton of St Joe
Dem - Don Cooney of Kalamazoo

This will be interesting. Upton has had issues with his right flank in the past, and this is the year of the anti-incumbent as Bob Bennett in Utah showed. Jack Hoogendyk has a lot of grass roots support and may actually pull this off if he gets traction. Cooney is stronger than most democrats on the congressional level in this district. Don't sleep on him either.

7th District (MI-07) - Incumbent Mark Schauer

GOP - Marvin Carlson of Manchester, Brian Rooney of Dexter, and Tim Walberg of Tipton
Dem - Mark Schauer of Battle Creek

This is the best chance of a pickup among the GOP. Rooney just moved to the district, but does have an interesting background with pro-life organizations and backstory, the Steelers, and his Iraq service. Carlson is a businessman. Walberg is a conservative's conservative and has proven it over a period of years, and always gets more support than polling and finances suggest. Walberg did what no one has done yet, defeated Doug Spade. He would have won if the NRCC didn't abandon him in 08.

8th District - Incumbent Mike Rogers
GOP - Mike Rogers of Brighton/Howell
Dem - Kande Ngalamulume of Lansing

Blue Cross Kande vs Mike.

9th District - Incumbent Gary Peters

GOP - Anna Janek of West Bloomfield, Richard Kuhn of Waterford, Andrew Rocky Raczkowski of Farmington Hills, Paul Welday of Farmington Hills.

Dem - Gary Peters

This is our 2nd best shot for a pickup after the 7th. Peters is a 1st term incumbent who was a complete yesman without an original thought. What Pelosi wanted, Peters delivered, including Cap and Trade along with Obama's health care takeover in a district which was HQ for Chrysler, and has a GM plant.

10th District - Incumbent Candice Miller

GOP - Candice Miller of Harrison Township
Dem - Henry Yanez of Sterling Heights

11th District - Incumbent Thad McCotter
GOP - Thad McCotter of Livonia
Dem - Natalie Mosher of Canton

This is one to watch for defense purposes. McCotter had a tough go in 08, despite running way ahead of the top of the ticket.

12th District - Incumbent Sander Levin
GOP - Don Volaric of Clinton Township
Dem - Sander Levin or Royal Oak and Mickey Switalski of Roseville

This is interesting for two reasons. Levin has his toughest primary in ages. Switalski has won a ton of races in Macomb County. As Michigan lost a congressional seat, Levin's district had to be pushed further into Macomb County, which isn't his main territory. Can Volaric take advantage of that?

13th District - Incumbent Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick
GOP - John Hauler of Grosse Pointe Woods
Dem - Vincent Brown of Garden City?(Garden City is in the 11th), Hansen Clarke, Stephen Hume, and Carolyn Kilpatrick, and Glenn Plummer of Detroit.

Kilpatrick is in big trouble this August. If it wasn't for straight ticket voting, I'd give Hauler a 35% shot in the general for "Bill Jefferson" reasons, but the straight ticket zombies who don't even read the ballot make it about a 5% shot for a pickup.

14th District - Incumbent John Conyers
GOP - Pauline Montie of Southgate
Dem - John Conyers of Detroit

I figured someone would take on Conyers in the primary after his wife making the news as a city councilcritter. The straight ticket zombies rule applies here too, as it does in the 13th district (and 5th, 12th, and 15th for that matter)

15th District - Incumbent John Dingell
GOP - Tony Amorose of Southgate, John Lynch of Ypsilanti, John Materyn of Brownstown Township, Majed Moughni of Dearborn, and Rob Steele of Ypsi
Dem - John Dingell of Dearborn.

I'm a bit surprised at a five way primary here. Maybe something is bursting in this district as blowback against the Ann Arbor leftists.

Closer to home in Livingston County, these are the presumed matchups:

State Senate 22nd District - Open
GOP - Joe Hune v Paul Rogers
Dem - Chuck Fellows

State Rep 47th District - Incumbent Cindy Denby
GOP - Cindy Denby
Dem - Garry Post

State Rep 66th District - Incumbent Bill Rogers
GOP - Bill Rogers
Dem - James Delcamp

County Commissioners
District 1 - All of Brighton Twp outside precinct 5, Hartland Twp 5 - Incumbent Maggie Jones
GOP - Maggie Jones and Nancy Hill
Dem - None

District 2 - All of Osceola Twp and Deerfield Twp, Howell twp 2, Genoa Twp 3,11 - Incumbent Jim Mantey
GOP - Jim Mantey
Dem - Thomas Bell III

District 3 - All of Tyrone Twp and all of Hartland Twp except 5 - Incumbent Dave Domas
GOP - Dave Domas and Charlie Aberasturi
Dem - Dane Morris

District 4 - All of Handy, Iosco, and Unadilla Twp, Marion Twp 1, Howell Twp 3 - Incumbent Ronald Van Houten
Unopposed

District 5 - All of Conway, Cohoctah, and Howell City, Howell Twp 1 - Open
GOP - Sue Dolato, Jay Drick, and Lou Anne Lathrop
Dem - David Berry

District 6 - All of Putnam Twp, Hamburg 3, Marion 2, 3, 4,Genoa 5, 12.
Incumbent - Steve Williams
GOP - Steve Williams
Dem - Keith Tianen

District 7 - All of Brighton City, Genoa 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 - Incumbent Carol Griffith
GOP - Carol Griffith
Dem - Kelly Raskauskas

District 8 - All of Hamburg except precinct 3 - Incumbent Dennis Dolan
GOP - Dennis Dolan
Dem - Amir Baghdadchi

District 9 - All of Green Oak and Brighton Twp 5 - Incumbent Jack LaBelle
GOP - Jack LaBelle
Dem - Barry McBride

Judges - No opposition.

I'll take a closer look at the county commissioner and local races as time goes by, but here's the unofficial final list after the filing deadline.

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Filing Deadline coming up, preview of candidates.

We're less than a week away from the filing deadline for the August Primary. Some of the races are starting to come together here. I'm keeping a close eye on the filings.

So far we have a contested race for state senate, a contest for state rep, and three contests for the County Commissioner race.

For the State Senate Race in the 22nd District, we have a primary between Joe Hune (Fowlerville area) and Paul Rogers (City of Howell), with the winner facing Chuck Fellows of Green Oak. Joe did a good job in the state house holding the line on budget gimmicks and taxes. Chuck write a lot of letters to the editor supporting his party. 

For State Rep in the 47th District, incumbent Cindy Denby will likely be facing Garry Post. As recently as the 2006 election, Post had an Ann Arbor mailing address, although he had a Brighton one in the 2004 election cycle.

I don't know much about his views, but in North Carolina he was co-chair of the "Triangle Stonewall Democrats" which works to elect democrats who support gay rights. He supported "Coalition for a Fair Michigan" in 2004, a gay rights PAC, and supported the Matt Millen of Governors Jennifer Granholm and Mary Andersson in 2006, along with several donations to County Party. Is this guy more than a one issue supporter? I saw a lot of generics on his website, but no specifics.

On the County Level, we have three contests for county commissioner

District 3 - All of Tyrone Twp and all of Hartland Twp except 5

Here we have a primary between Tyrone Twp incumbent Dave Domas and Hartland Township's Charlie Aberasturi. Aberasturi ran for State Rep in the 08 primary and has been on Hartland School Board, which seems to do one thing better than many others in the county, stay out of the news. Domas has been a long time county commissioner and has done a good job there. The winner in the primary will fave Dane Morris, a democrat. I don't know anything about Morris.

District 5 - All of Conway, Cohoctah, and Howell City, Howell Twp 1

Here, we have a three way primary for an open seat between Sue Dolato, Jay Drick, and Lou Ann Lathrop. I've known both Sue and Jay for years and think highly of both of them. Sue has my support in a case of vote for Sue, not against the others. I don't know anything about Lathrop.

District 8 - All of Hamburg except precinct 3

Here we have a general election battle. Dennis Dolan, an incumbent is running against Amir Baghdadchi, who I think is a UM guy, but that's all I know about him. 

There's still six days before the deadline, but there isn't a lot of time left before we see for a fact who is in and who is out.

Monday, May 03, 2010

MI-01 - Sheltrown is out

I caught that on Right Michigan and the Michigan Liberal sites. Sheltrown is probably the strongest of the "troll" (below the bridge) candidates running.

May 11 is the filing deadline for partisan races on the August Primary. We'll find out officially who is in and who is out then.