Current Rep – Mike Nofs (R-Battle Creek)
2010 Results - Old District (19th)
Mike Nofs - 46,543
Brenda Abbey - 26,657
The old 19th (Calhoun and part of Jackson County) was the swing district of swing districts. It generally mirrors the trend of the country. It was open in 2002 and went for Mark Schauer. Mike Nofs won it in a special election after Schauer won his congressional race in 2008. Nofs won re-election easily. The old 19th voted for Bush, Granholm, and Obama.
The new 19th is much more republican, dropping its portion of Jackson County (competitive, maybe slight republican) and picks up GOP stronghold Barry County from the 24th district and GOP leaning Ionia County from the 33rd district. The Jackson portion went to the 16th district.
The only way this district will flip is if the GOP candidate loses Calhoun County by a gigantic margin, and also underperforms in Barry/Ionia. This district isn't safe, but leans GOP.
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