Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Congressional District 8 Updated 2013 (MI-08)

We got two major primaries here on both sides, so this is going to be interesting. Joe Hune running for State Senate eliminated a chance of my next congressman being from my county. The Rochester area will have our nominee. Barnett is the Rochester Hills Mayor and has a lot of Oakland County establishment support. Mike Bishop has Mike Rogers support and opened up an office in Livingston County. Tom McMillin has a lot of tea party and libertarian support.While Oakland will have our next nominee, the road to run runs through Livingston County.

On the dem side, Schertzing was recruited by the dem establishment. They wanted Whitmer or Byrum, but both declined. The other three candidates for them are sacrificial lambs.


MI-08 Update - 2013

The 2011 Update is here.

The 2009 Update is here.

Incumbent – Open with Mike Rogers retirement
Years in office as of 2014 election – 14

Challengers – Bryan Barnett (R-Rochester Hills), Mike Bishop (R-Rochester), Tom McMillin (R-Rochester Hills) Ken Darga (D-Lansing), Susan Grettenberger (D-Lansing), Jeffrey Hank (D-East Lansing), Eric Schertzing (D-East Lansing)

2012:
Mike Rogers – 202217 – 58.60%
Lance Enderle  – 128657 – 37.29%
73560 vote difference

Romney – 183240 votes – 51.10%
Obama – 171684 votes – 47.87%
11556 vote difference.

2008: (Approx)
McCain – 176239 votes – 46.38%
Obama – 197572 votes – 51.97%
-21243 vote difference

2004: (approx)
Bush – 195830 votes – 54.28%
Kerry –161383 votes – 44.73%
34447 vote difference

Note  - Rochester Hills renamed precincts between 08 and 12 so I’m estimating 04 and 08.

This district is a swing district that is a battle of the strongholds. It combines the 4th most democrat county in the state with the 3rd or 4th most republican county in the state and some of the most republican part of Oakland County. The keys here are to win your areas big and reduce the margins in the other base. It’s a Captain Obvious statement, but it is easier said than done. Base problems here can destroy your chances, as can alienating the swing voters.

Mike Rogers does a good job at striking that balance. He’s actually won Ingham County in the past, even once winning Lansing itself. He also runs ahead of everyone in Livingston County.

For the map, I’ll use the same color code, staying with the Dark Blue for 70% d areas that I used in Districts 5, 6, and 7

70%+Dem – Dark Blue
60%-69.99% - Blue
55%-59.99% - Slate Blue
50%-54.99% - Light Sky Blue
Less than 50% - Gold
R wins:
70%+Rep – Firebrick
60-69.99% - Red
55-59.99% - Orange Red
50-54.99% - Salmon
Less than 50% - Yellow
Tie – Spring Green

2012:
MI-0812A

MI-0812b

2008:
MI-0808

2004:
MI-0804

Ingham County is usually the 4th most democrat county in the state behind Genesee, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties in that order. Kerry won it with 57.78% and by 22143 votes. Obama in 08 with 65.86% and 47511 votes, and Obama in 2012 with 63.43% and 35541 votes.  In 2004, Ingham was 36.88% of the district vote. In 08, it was 37.54% of the vote. In 2012, it was 35.54% of the vote.  Key base areas for the dems here are Lansing, Lansing Township, East Lansing, and Meridian Township (Okemos and Haslett) Lansing and Meridian Township alone make up about ½ of the county voters. Lansing is a mix of UAW, government related workers, minorities, and college students (MSU, Cooley, LCC). Lansing Township has historically been more auto-related in one part, and MSU related on the other. East Lansing is MSU and also government workers commuting to Lansing. It is usually the most democrat part of the district, although Lansing was this election. Meridian Township to the east of East Lansing is where a lot of MSU professors life, as do some students. The vote deficits we had to make up with those four places alone are as follows - 35839 in 2012, 45528 in 2008, and 27047 in 2004. That’s not easy to do.

There’s four swing areas in this county that are key. Delhi Twp (Holt), Mason, Leslie, and Williamston.  They are all areas with a lot of Lansing commuters and can be won by either side. Bush won them all in 04. Obama won them all twice.  In an open seat for this district – if the R’s win all of them, this district is safe. If all of them are lost, it’s going to be a nervous night. The Southern and Eastern outer portions of the county often lean R, but not always. The Byrums are from Onondaga, own a store in Stockbridge, and run ahead of the ticket. That area is independent, and a bad showing there (like 08) makes things very scary district wide.  If we keep the dems under 60%, we have the district. If we keep them under 57%, we have  good chance winning statewide.

East of there is my home. Livingston County.  This county is highly educated, strongly conservative, pro-business, and is distrustful of big city politics. Being an hour or less from Detroit, Flint, Lansing, or Ann Arbor, that’s to be expected. By Oakland  County or Ann Arbor standards, this is “past civilization.” We like it that way. There’s a strong 2nd Amendment , tea party, libertarian, and pro-life movement here, but there are also more pro-choice republicans than one would expect in a county where RTL is very strong. This area wasn’t as social conservative in the 90’s. The MEA is also fairly strong here considering how Republican this county is. The magic number for us percentage wise is about 63%. If we break 63%, we have a good chance of winning statewide. If we’re under 60%, it’s going to be bad. Mike Rogers always runs extremely well here. In bad years or bad candidates, R’s are sometimes held to 53-55%. McCain was held to 55.79%. In 04, Livingston’s 62.90% and 24969 vote spread was able to counterpunch Ingham County on its own. 08 was a whooping. McCain barely made a dent in Ingham’s vote spread. 2012 was a recovery of sorts as Romney set the highwater mark for raw votes and got the percentage up to 61.10%. That’s better than Bush 2000 and McCain. That still isn’t good enough. It made a good dent in Ingham’s spread, but not enough. There’s no real dem base here enough to cause a threat without special circumstances. Candidate quality is always key and can change things, but generic R always smashes generic D here 60-40 in normal November elections. Dems have some strength in nonpartisan races here, and are strong in small pockets of the county (a handful of precincts they sometime win). Usually it’s either places with apartment complexes and/or where a lot of teachers live. The MEA is the base of the dems in these parts. In our worst years, Brighton, Howell, Putnam Twp, Unadilla Twp, and maybe Hamburg Twp can flip narrowly. Usually they are around the 54/55% R range. In good years, those same areas can go for close to 60% R  Most of the county is blood red, less so in the incorporated cities, and less so near the Washtenaw County line. Down the road, who knows? Nobody saw Oakland County going for democrats back in 1984. Livingston County is still growing, and it is our job to educate new residents why this is a great place to live, and part of that is due to our longtime local conservative and republican leadership. Do we have threats on the horizon? Absolutely. Novi’s six miles from the county line and used to be as Republican as we are. Now it’s 50/50. I’m not taking anything for granted.

East of here is Oakland County. While Oakland is purplish to blue overall, this part of Oakland County is not much different than Livingston County in its voting behavior. Holly is competitive, but that’s about it. A lot of these areas vote about 60%R. Rochester and Rochester Hills are causes for concern with migration however. Independence Township is blood red and a base area. Most of this area is base republican and some of it is even rural which isn’t what one expects in Oakland County. This is much of the R base in Oakland County. This is mainstream conservative country, much like Livingston County.

Overall this district is largely heavily blue or red. There isn’t a lot of in-between. Mike Rogers wins big because he keeps his base, racks up large margins in Livingston and North Oakland, and does respectable (sometimes winning) in Ingham County. He even won Meridian Township last election, along with all the swing areas like Delhi Twp and Mason. That’s the blueprint for making this a “safe” district for an incumbent. Is there a way the dems can take this district? Yes. Holding the R’s to 55% in Livingston and 54% in Oakland, while racking up big margins in Ingham County as in 2008 will do that. Could that happen again? Yes, with poor candidate quality. That’s our challenge if Mike Rogers runs for Senate. 


District 8 Romney Obama Total  Diff GOP  DEM
Ingham County





Alaiedon Twp 954 837 1818 117 52.48% 46.04%
Aurelius Twp 1192 980 2199 212 54.21% 44.57%
Bunker Hill Twp 498 445 952 53 52.31% 46.74%
Delhi Twp 5916 7364 13419 -1448 44.09% 54.88%
East Lansing 4560 11764 16487 -7204 27.66% 71.35%
Ingham Twp 720 510 1250 210 57.60% 40.80%
Lansing 11087 33661 45253 -22574 24.50% 74.38%
Lansing Twp 1260 2606 3918 -1346 32.16% 66.51%
Leroy Twp 999 735 1749 264 57.12% 42.02%
Leslie 351 391 755 -40 46.49% 51.79%
Leslie Twp 677 550 1244 127 54.42% 44.21%
Locke Twp 589 425 1026 164 57.41% 41.42%
Mason 1806 2057 3895 -251 46.37% 52.81%
Meridian Twp 8262 12977 21402 -4715 38.60% 60.63%
Onondaga Twp 735 706 1460 29 50.34% 48.36%
Stockbridge Twp 970 777 1772 193 54.74% 43.85%
Vevay Twp 1097 863 1975 234 55.54% 43.70%
Wheatfield Twp 587 429 1026 158 57.21% 41.81%
White Oak Twp 339 242 588 97 57.65% 41.16%
Williamston  987 1003 2010 -16 49.10% 49.90%
Williamstown Twp 1720 1525 3265 195 52.68% 46.71%
Total 45306 80847 127463 -35541 35.54% 63.43%







Livingston County





Brighton 2201 1828 4065 373 54.15% 44.97%
Brighton Twp 6964 3833 10903 3131 63.87% 35.16%
Cohoctah Twp 1042 539 1593 503 65.41% 33.84%
Conway Twp 1059 593 1671 466 63.38% 35.49%
Deerfield Twp 1417 797 2242 620 63.20% 35.55%
Genoa Twp 7186 3925 11224 3261 64.02% 34.97%
Green Oak Twp 6037 3888 10020 2149 60.25% 38.80%
Hamburg Twp 6918 5153 12185 1765 56.77% 42.29%
Handy Twp 2058 1425 3524 633 58.40% 40.44%
Hartland Twp 5143 2656 7880 2487 65.27% 33.71%
Howell 2249 1753 4079 496 55.14% 42.98%
Howell Twp 2146 1330 3520 816 60.97% 37.78%
Iosco Twp 1169 627 1818 542 64.30% 34.49%
Marion Twp 3620 1970 5635 1650 64.24% 34.96%
Oceola Twp 4108 2212 6389 1896 64.30% 34.62%
Putnam Twp 2369 1933 4353 436 54.42% 44.41%
Tyrone Twp 3496 2044 5602 1452 62.41% 36.49%
Unadilla Twp 901 710 1634 191 55.14% 43.45%
Total 60083 37216 98337 22867 61.10% 37.85%







Oakland County (pt)





Addison Twp 2302 1215 3564 1087 64.59% 34.09%
Brandon Twp 4552 3213 7850 1339 57.99% 40.93%
Clarkston 329 261 595 68 55.29% 43.87%
Groveland Twp 1864 1117 3007 747 61.99% 37.15%
Holly Twp 2752 2604 5433 148 50.65% 47.93%
Independence Twp 11841 7428 19484 4413 60.77% 38.12%
Oakland Twp 6663 3317 10051 3346 66.29% 33.00%
Orion Twp 11009 7644 18889 3365 58.28% 40.47%
Oxford Twp 6274 4058 10443 2216 60.08% 38.86%
Rochester 3930 3019 7015 911 56.02% 43.04%
Rochester Hills 1-8 509 301 815 208 62.45% 36.93%
Rochester Hills 1-14 986 675 1641 311 60.09% 41.13%
Rochester Hills 1-17 984 756 1752 228 56.16% 43.15%
RH 1-22 583 440 1033 143 56.44% 42.59%
RH 1-23 509 479 994 30 51.21% 48.19%
RH 1-26 1253 724 1981 529 63.25% 36.55%
RH 1-29 489 308 800 181 61.13% 38.50%
RH 2-4 475 478 961 -3 49.43% 49.74%
RH 2-7 465 386 856 79 54.32% 45.09%
RH 2-9 1028 754 1797 274 57.21% 41.96%
RH 2-10 661 526 1194 135 55.36% 44.05%
RH 2-18 704 422 1146 282 61.43% 36.82%
RH 2-19 696 414 1118 282 62.25% 37.03%
RH 2-21 835 458 1303 377 64.08% 35.15%
RH 2-25 1060 619 1690 441 62.72% 36.63%
RH 2-32 670 561 1241 109 53.99% 45.21%
RH 3-1 791 681 1493 110 52.98% 45.61%
RH 3-12 866 658 1537 208 56.34% 42.81%
RH 3-16 787 670 1473 117 53.43% 45.49%
RH 3-24 673 552 1229 121 54.76% 44.91%
RH 3-31 489 448 943 41 51.86% 47.51%
RH 4-5 720 635 1371 85 52.52% 46.32%
RH 4-11 443 550 1007 -107 43.99% 54.62%
RH 4-15 373 479 864 -106 43.17% 55.44%
RH 4-20 415 420 838 -5 49.52% 50.12%
RH 4-27 615 550 1174 65 52.39% 46.85%
RH 4-28 548 800 1361 -252 40.26% 58.78%
RH 4-30 759 782 1553 -23 48.87% 50.35%
Rose Twp 2024 1441 3517 583 57.55% 40.97%
Springfield Twp 4925 2778 7809 2147 63.07% 35.57%
Total 77851 53621 132822 24230 58.61% 40.37%







Total All 183240 171684 358622 11556 51.10% 47.87%


Congressional District 7 - Updated 2014 (MI-07)

Update 2014:
Walberg has a primary, and then faces Pam Byrnes. Byrnes is a state rep and will be stronger than most of Walberg's opponents (outside of Schauer), but much of Byrnes district was in the Dingell district instead. This will be a tough defense however.



MI-07 Update - 2013

The 2011 Update is here.

The 2009 Update is here.
Incumbent – Tim Walberg  (R-Tipton)
Years in office as of 2014 election – 6 (2006-2008, 2010-2014)

Challengers –Douglas Radcliffe North (R-Jackson), Pam Byrnes (D-Chelsea)

2012:
Tim Walberg – 169688 – 53.34%
Kurt Richard Haskell  – 136849 – 43.02%
32819 vote difference

Romney – 169400 votes – 50.92%
Obama – 159272 votes – 47.88%
10128 vote difference.

2008:
McCain – 165901 votes – 47.38%
Obama – 178005 votes – 50.84%
-12104 vote difference

2004:
Bush – 183990 votes – 54.33%
Kerry –151022 votes – 44.60%
32968 vote difference

This district is a swing district. Most of the counties here are competitive, with Branch and Hillsdale Counties being GOP strongholds, although smaller counties. Jackson and Lenawee are competitive, although go R more than D. Eaton County has been trending D for awhile. Washtenaw County outside Ann Arbor is competitive. Monroe County is a swing county from top to bottom with a labor democrat history but will vote for people in both parties.

Tim Walberg is no stranger to tough elections. This may have been his easiest in a long time. He had tough elections as a state rep in Lenawee County. He had a tough open seat (after he beat the incumbent RINO Joe Schwarz) in the 2006 primary. He narrowly lost to Mark Schauer in 2008. He beat Schauer in 2010. He had an easier defense than expected in 2012 when stronger candidates passed on the race. Calhoun County going to the 3rd district helps Walberg immensely as he’s strongly disliked there for defeating Schwarz. He still has Eaton and parts of Washtenaw, which usually don’t vote for him although it did in 2012. Monroe’s tough, but a better matchup for him than Calhoun County. Walberg lost it narrowly, but 50/50 isn’t bad there. Walberg wins by usually running with the ticket in Jackson County, and ahead of the ticket in Branch, Hillsdale, and Lenawee Counties.

For the map, I’ll use the same color code, staying with the Dark Blue for 70% d areas that I used in Districts 5 and 6.  I also posted the 08 and 04 maps as well. I may be off a little with Monroe County’s township borders.

70%+Dem – Dark Blue
60%-69.99% - Blue
55%-59.99% - Slate Blue
50%-54.99% - Light Sky Blue
Less than 50% - Gold
R wins:
70%+Rep – Firebrick
60-69.99% - Red
55-59.99% - Orange Red
50-54.99% - Salmon
Less than 50% - Yellow
Tie – Spring Green

2012
MI-0712A

MI-0712B
2008
 MI-0708

2004
MI-0704

Eaton County has been trouble on the horizon for a long time. It’s mostly part of the Lansing area down I-496/I-96/I-69 and has a lot of state workers between commuters and the number of offices also in Eaton County. It is more to the left than Clinton County (4th District) but less so than Ingham County (8th). It’s been treading D for awhile. Bush narrowly won it twice, but Granholm also won it twice as did Obama. Walberg struggles here as well as state workers don’t like him, nor how he defeating their advocate Joe Schwarz. In 2012, the dems took the state rep spot in a mild upset.   Eaton County (unlike urban/suburban areas of neighboring Ingham County) does have a bit of a social conservative streak (especially on guns) with Rick Jones and Sue Tabor running well there, but it doesn’t like fiscal libertarianism at all. The ideal candidate for this county might be a pro-gun version of Chris Smith.

Eaton County still has some staunchly R areas. The swing areas we need to win back are Charlotte, Eaton Rapids, Potterville, and Windsor Twp, all with a lot of Lansing commuters. Delta Township is probably gone – which makes it tough as it is almost 1/3 of the county. Bush won it twice with less than 50%. I was surprised he won it even back then. Lansing is emptying out to there. Grand Ledge next to Delta went dem again after Bush won it twice. The portion of Lansing in this district is luckily not large as this portion is a black majority and one of the most two democrat parts of the city (SW). Romney slowed the bleeding in this county, but we need to stop it.

SE of Eaton County is Jackson County. It’s a competitive county that goes R more than D, but is almost never won by a large margin. Obama took it in 2008 narrowly, but Romney won it, as did Bush twice. Bush 04 was one of the few times the county broke 55%. It has a couple of swing areas, a dem stronghold in the City of Jackson, and some strong Republican areas like Sandstone Twp and Spring Arbor (home of Spring Arbor University, a Free Methodist School).  Summit Twp is a key base area. It had as many votes as Jackson itself and a big margin there is needed. In 2004, it outvoted Jackson alone. In 2008, it couldn’t  outvote the swing areas of  Blackman Twp and Leoni Twp combined. Three key swing areas are. Blackman Twp, Leoni Twp, and Waterloo. The first two townships border Jackson. Blackman Twp was the home of the former infamous Jackson State Penitentiary which closed in 2007. Waterloo is a rural area in the Northeast Corner of the County near the Washtenaw, Livingston, and Ingham county lines.

East of Jackson is Washtenaw County. The county as a hole is a democrat stronghold, but the part in this district is competitive, although the Ann Arbor influence has spread. Bush won it with 53%, but Obama won it with 52% and Romney won it by 246 votes. Most of the heavy democrat parts are in the Dingell district. The big problem is Scio Township. Walberg has ½ of it. Luckily, most of the real bad parts of it were removed and given to Dingell. What alarmed me is that the most democrat parts he has are in the SW part of the Township, not Dexter (the village) as I expected.  In the tradeoff for Scio Twp, Walberg gets Augusta Township instead in the SE corner south of Ypsi. Augusta Twp is also democrat with Ypsi influence, but not to the same degree as Scio Twp’s eastern side. The other areas R’s failed to win the last three times are Chelsea and Milan. Bush tied in the Washtenaw portion of Milan in 04. It’s labor friendly. Chelsea has been dem the last four presidential elections (2000 it was mostly part of Sylvan Twp which went for Gore but leans R with Chelsea now a City). Chelsea is famously known for being the home of actor Jeff Daniels who started the Purple Rose Theatre. It’s also close to Ann Arbor. Lyndon Twp and Dexter Twps (doesn’t cover the village) are two areas to watch with a recent blue tinge. Those are full of Ann Arbor commuters who want to live by the lakes (a lot of the Huron River and its lakes are parkland). That influences go up to one precinct in Livingston County’s Putnam Township (Hell, Patterson Lake) that went dem. Webster Township’s 50/50 due to part of it covering Dexter (village). Northfield Twp’s population is more to the northern part (most of Whitmore Lake) and is competitive every election. It’s got a bit of everything. Salem Twp is the big red spot. It’s more like South Lyon and Western Oakland County than it is the rest of Washtenaw County. In the southern part of the county, Manchester is fairly blue collar and competitive. The rest of it is strongly R with the exception of Milan and the City of Saline, but not like it used to be. The City of Saline was won by Bush twice, but is going dem fast with Ann Arbor influence.


In the SW is Branch County. It is old free soil country that’s stayed largely rural to this day. Most drive through it on I-69 between Marshall/Battle Creek and Fort Wayne in Indiana. It’s staunchly Republican overall, about 2-3% to the left of Hillsdale County next door to its East. Most of the townships are well over 60%, but Coldwater, Bronson, Sherwood Twp, and Union Twp are less R than the rest of the county. Only a McCain level of candidate loses those areas except arguably Coldwater, and I’m being generous there. This is a safe R county.

Hillsdale County (along with neighboring Lenawee) is a little off the beaten path. You don’t usually drive through there, except possibly along US-127 bordering Lenawee County or along Michigan Ave as an alternate to I-94. People that go to Hillsdale or Adrian go to there, not through there to someplace else. As such, outside of the small colleges (Hillsdale/Adrian), most people in this area have been here or from nearby areas for generations going back to the railroad days. Hillsdale’s a small base county that usually battles Allegan, Antrim, Livingston, and Sanilac Counties for the third highest GOP percentage each year. All five of these counties  are very different. Allegan (MI-6) has the Dutch areas. Antrim (MI-01) is Up North. Livingston and Sanilac I’ll get to later in the 8th and 10th districts. Hillsdale County is a mix of old free soil country (like Branch County) and the home of conservative Hillsdale College founded during the heart of the free soil push. It’s always been staunchly non-discriminatory, whether it is regarding Jim Crow segregation (refusing to play in Tangerine Bowl unless all its players could play) or affirmative action programs. It’s long battled the government, and still does so to this day, influencing the county. Tim Walberg runs ahead of the ticket here. The only spot Romney didn’t win was Reading where he tied. Only five places he didn’t get 60% of the vote. Ironically while the college gives Hillsdale County its reputation, it’s less R than much of the rest of the county.

Lenawee County a swing county that goes R more than D. It went to the wire in 2000 and 2012. Bush did very well here in 2004 and Obama did so in 2008. Adrian always goes D. Bush won everything else in 2004. The D’s flipped much of it in 08. Tecumseh is a key area here, as is Morenci, Madison Twp, Clinton Twp and Raisin. This is a tough area to win that prefers Santorums to Romneys. Keep in mind that this area voted for Tim Walberg multiple times, but also voted for the Spade brothers even in good GOP years.

Lastly, Monroe County is the quintessential swing county. It votes very similar to Macomb County, and a lot of what sells there sells in Monroe County as well. It has some influences from “Downriver” in the Detroit area, as well as Toledo which is borders. Labor is strong here with the commuters to either area. It’s voted for Bush, Gore, and Obama. State rep districts here are competitive every election as well. John Dingell represented this area for a long time. Walberg picked this county up instead of Calhoun and it’s a better matchup for him. It’s still a tough matchup, and we’ll find out how tough if the dems next strong candidate for the district is out of Monroe County.

Overall this district is still a swing district, and if one of the Spade’s run, we’ll have a real tough campaign here. Walberg caught a break in 2012, and had a big win in 2010 to avenge his loss against a tough opponent. This district is difficult for either party, and has a high number of independents. It’s a (mostly) social conservative district, but not friendly to big business and not necessarily republican. 


District 7 Romney Obama Total  Diff GOP  DEM
Branch County





Algansee Twp 559 303 871 256 64.18% 34.79%
Batavia Twp 349 224 582 125 59.97% 38.49%
Bethel Twp 328 199 528 129 62.12% 37.69%
Bronson 352 309 676 43 52.07% 45.71%
Bronson Twp 353 228 588 125 60.03% 38.78%
Butler Twp 329 202 531 127 61.96% 38.04%
California Twp 136 69 207 67 65.70% 33.33%
Coldwater 2012 1826 3905 186 51.52% 46.76%
Coldwater Twp 1046 635 1692 411 61.82% 37.53%
Gilead Twp 184 115 299 69 61.54% 38.46%
Girard Twp 542 330 879 212 61.66% 37.54%
Kinderhook Twp 479 256 745 223 64.30% 34.36%
Matteson Twp 327 235 567 92 57.67% 41.45%
Noble Twp 153 59 214 94 71.50% 27.57%
Ovid Twp 828 469 1309 359 63.25% 35.83%
Quincy Twp 998 615 1635 383 61.04% 37.61%
Sherwood Twp 446 377 829 69 53.80% 45.48%
Union Twp 614 462 1090 152 56.33% 42.39%
Total 10035 6913 17147 3122 58.52% 40.32%







Eaton County





Bellevue Twp 897 541 1464 356 61.27% 36.95%
Benton Twp 820 661 1495 159 54.85% 44.21%
Brookfield Twp 418 294 723 124 57.81% 40.66%
Carmel Twp 848 637 1509 211 56.20% 42.21%
Charlotte 1789 1886 3729 -97 47.98% 50.58%
Chester Twp 550 389 970 161 56.70% 40.10%
Delta Twp 7785 9995 17967 -2210 43.33% 55.63%
Eaton Rapids 1030 1071 2116 -41 48.68% 50.61%
Eaton Rapids Twp 1173 962 2166 211 54.16% 44.41%
Eaton Twp 1244 1014 2284 230 54.47% 44.40%
Grand Ledge  1804 2138 3984 -334 45.28% 53.66%
Hamlin Twp 866 814 1717 52 50.44% 47.41%
Kalamo Twp 473 356 852 117 55.52% 41.78%
Lansing (part) 212 1609 1830 -1397 11.58% 87.92%
Olivet 219 231 452 -12 48.45% 51.11%
Oneida Twp 1220 1050 2291 170 53.25% 45.83%
Potterville 506 566 1082 -60 46.77% 52.31%
Roxand Twp 527 379 921 148 57.22% 41.15%
Sunfield Twp 599 411 1022 188 58.61% 40.22%
Vermontville Twp 489 391 893 98 54.76% 43.78%
Walton Twp 645 431 1092 214 59.07% 39.47%
Windsor Twp 2083 2087 4229 -4 49.26% 49.35%
Total 26197 27913 54788 -1716 47.82% 50.95%







Hillsdale County





Adams Twp 754 393 1166 361 64.67% 33.70%
Allen Twp 436 253 701 183 62.20% 36.09%
Amboy Twp 348 175 530 173 65.66% 33.02%
Cambria twp 700 374 1084 326 64.58% 34.50%
Camden Twp 409 188 609 221 67.16% 30.87%
Fayette Twp 852 507 1381 345 61.69% 36.71%
Hillsdale 1485 1036 2552 449 58.19% 40.60%
Hillsdale Twp 693 344 1052 349 65.87% 32.70%
Jefferson Twp 758 502 1274 256 59.50% 39.40%
Litchfield 283 220 513 63 55.17% 42.88%
Litchfield Twp 304 148 456 156 66.67% 32.46%
Moscow Twp 375 234 615 141 60.98% 38.05%
Pittsford Twp 508 266 784 242 64.80% 33.93%
Ransom Twp 243 113 366 130 66.39% 30.87%
Reading 170 170 349 0 48.71% 48.71%
Reading Twp 482 336 826 146 58.35% 40.68%
Scipio Twp 462 257 734 205 62.94% 35.01%
Somerset Twp 1372 1000 2393 372 57.33% 41.79%
Wheatland Twp 384 226 622 158 61.74% 36.33%
Woodbridge Twp 274 126 407 148 67.32% 30.96%
Wright Twp 435 238 686 197 63.41% 34.69%
Total 11727 7106 19100 4621 61.40% 37.20%







Jackson County





Blackman Twp 3717 3684 7472 33 49.75% 49.30%
Columbia Twp 2313 1739 4092 574 56.52% 42.50%
Concord Twp 822 485 1325 337 62.04% 36.60%
Grass Lake Twp 1784 1275 3088 509 57.77% 41.29%
Hanover Twp 1121 693 1829 428 61.29% 37.89%
Henrietta Twp 1174 993 2197 181 53.44% 45.20%
Jackson  4002 7579 11761 -3577 34.03% 64.44%
Leoni Twp 2995 3029 6118 -34 48.95% 49.51%
Liberty Twp 1077 617 1709 460 63.02% 36.10%
Napoleon Twp 1862 1462 3363 400 55.37% 43.47%
Norvell Twp 842 698 1560 144 53.97% 44.74%
Parma Twp 658 531 1208 127 54.47% 43.96%
Pulaski Twp 543 354 913 189 59.47% 38.77%
Rives Twp 1323 863 2206 460 59.97% 39.12%
Sandstone Twp 1275 689 1995 586 63.91% 34.54%
Spring Arbor Twp 2528 1246 3827 1282 66.06% 32.56%
Springport Twp 531 363 912 168 58.22% 39.80%
Summit Twp 6329 4781 11218 1548 56.42% 42.62%
Tompkins Twp 725 558 1302 167 55.68% 42.86%
Waterloo Twp 677 662 1351 15 50.11% 49.00%
Total 36298 32301 69446 3997 52.27% 46.51%







Lenawee County





Adrian 2579 4500 7169 -1921 35.97% 62.77%
Adrian Twp 1775 1489 3301 286 53.77% 45.11%
Blissfield Twp 1034 831 1880 203 55.00% 44.20%
Cambridge Twp 1702 1471 3224 231 52.79% 45.63%
Clinton Twp 955 888 1882 67 50.74% 47.18%
Deerfield Twp 389 321 720 68 54.03% 44.58%
Dover Twp 387 303 706 84 54.82% 42.92%
Fairfield Twp 439 367 813 72 54.00% 45.14%
Franklin Twp 886 714 1620 172 54.69% 44.07%
Hudson 438 394 855 44 51.23% 46.08%
Hudson Twp 403 337 746 66 54.02% 45.17%
Macon Twp 491 311 809 180 60.69% 38.44%
Madison Twp 1407 1463 2894 -56 48.62% 50.55%
Medina Twp 253 202 473 51 53.49% 42.71%
Morenci  370 453 840 -83 44.05% 53.93%
Ogden Twp 329 217 556 112 59.17% 39.03%
Palmyra Twp 546 489 1051 57 51.95% 46.53%
Raisin Twp 1824 1671 3534 153 51.61% 47.28%
Ridgeway Twp 432 329 770 103 56.10% 42.73%
Riga Twp 448 331 796 117 56.28% 41.58%
Rollin Twp 899 660 1580 239 56.90% 41.77%
Rome Twp 531 327 862 204 61.60% 37.94%
Seneca Twp 262 230 493 32 53.14% 46.65%
Tecumseh 2002 2304 4366 -302 45.85% 52.77%
Tecumseh Twp 684 443 1144 241 59.79% 38.72%
Woodstock Twp 886 731 1640 155 54.02% 44.57%
Total 22351 21776 44724 575 49.98% 48.69%







Monroe County





Ash Twp 1868 1663 3586 205 52.09% 46.37%
Bedford Twp 8359 8149 16654 210 50.19% 48.93%
Berlin Twp 2257 2217 4532 40 49.80% 48.92%
Dundee Twp 1681 1539 3258 142 51.60% 47.24%
Erie Twp 1008 1137 2177 -129 46.30% 52.23%
Exeter Twp 999 951 1972 48 50.66% 48.23%
Frenchtown Twp 3879 4458 8419 -579 46.07% 52.95%
Ida Twp 1474 1145 2646 329 55.71% 43.27%
La Salle Twp 1366 1171 2566 195 53.23% 45.64%
London Twp 644 732 1385 -88 46.50% 52.85%
Luna Pier 256 379 648 -123 39.51% 58.49%
Milan (part) 383 503 894 -120 42.84% 56.26%
Milan Twp 466 380 861 86 54.12% 44.13%
Monroe  3820 5124 9033 -1304 42.29% 56.73%
Monroe Twp 3031 3281 6380 -250 47.51% 51.43%
Petersburg  235 294 538 -59 43.68% 54.65%
Raisinville Twp 1699 1429 3160 270 53.77% 45.22%
Summerfield Twp 834 756 1613 78 51.70% 46.87%
Whiteford Twp 1334 1002 2360 332 56.53% 42.46%
Total 35593 36310 72682 -717 48.97% 49.96%







Washtenaw County (pt)




Augusta Twp 1571 1867 3481 -296 45.13% 53.63%
Bridgewater Twp 561 392 970 169 57.84% 40.41%
Chelsea 1308 1717 3054 -409 42.83% 56.22%
Dexter Twp 1882 1894 3805 -12 49.46% 49.78%
Freedom Twp 496 401 908 95 54.63% 44.16%
Lima Twp 1075 986 2084 89 51.58% 47.31%
Lodi Twp 2022 1675 3749 347 53.93% 44.68%
Lyndon Twp 785 837 1635 -52 48.01% 51.19%
Manchester Twp 1254 1213 2506 41 50.04% 48.40%
Milan (part) 835 1137 1998 -302 41.79% 56.91%
Northfield twp 2225 2095 4369 130 50.93% 47.95%
Salem Twp 2185 1389 3607 796 60.58% 38.51%
Saline 2371 2673 5119 -302 46.32% 52.22%
Saline Twp 592 473 1072 119 55.22% 44.12%
Scio Twp 1 798 1052 1861 -254 42.88% 56.53%
Scio Twp 2 397 421 832 -24 47.72% 50.60%
Scio Twp 5 327 665 1007 -338 32.47% 66.04%
Scio Twp 6 371 723 1099 -352 33.76% 65.79%
Sharion Twp 613 483 1107 130 55.37% 43.63%
Sylvan Twp 969 941 1930 28 50.21% 48.76%
Webster Twp 2181 2156 4375 25 49.85% 49.28%
York Twp 2381 1763 4200 618 56.69% 41.98%
Total 27199 26953 54768 246 49.66% 49.21%







Total All 169400 159272 332655 10128 50.92% 47.88%