Saturday, November 05, 2011

State House Redistricting - District 1 (HD-01)

State House - District 1
Current Rep – Open

Candidates announced:
Rep -  Dan Schulte (R-Grosse Pointe Shores)
Dems - Brian Banks (D-Detroit)

Update 8-30-2012 - Brian Banks won the dem primary and with the Grosse Pointes split, is strongly favored to win.

2010 Results - Old District (1st)
Tim Bledsoe - 17,718
Janice DuMochelle - 15,210

2010 Results - Old District (2nd)
Lisa Howze - 11,320
Damian Mitchell - 457

The new 1st became solidly democrat. The old first was formerly republican, but became much more leaning towards democrats with demographic changes. Harper Woods was the major change. It was once competitive and locally republican. Now it is almost 50% black and solidly democrat. Grosse Pointe Park has gained minorities and is now competitive. The other Grosse Pointes still lean republican. However, 1/6 of the old district is made up of the City of Detroit. In the last election, a republican year, Bledsoe took 5342 votes in the Detroit portion of the district. DuMochelle received 473. That portion always gives a good base for the dems. However Harper Woods instead of being 50/50 for state rep seats, now is 3-1 democrat. The two portions gives about a 7000 vote spread.

With the decrease in population and having to expand further into the City of Detroit, the GOP house simply conceded this district and likely created two voting rights act districts of 50%+ minority. The old district drops Grosse Pointe Farms, Grosse Pointe (Bledsoe's home) and Grosse Pointe Park. It keeps Grosse Pointe Shores (outside of the small Macomb County portion formerly Lake Township), Grosse Pointe Woods, and Harper Woods and adds more of Detroit. I'm not going to run the new numbers here. Dropping three of the Grosse Pointes puts this out of reach if it was not out of reach already. The part of Detroit in this district covers some of the Northeast Side.

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