Friday, June 03, 2005

Macomb County

Macomb County:
Location – Detroit Area
Population – 788,149 (2000 Census)
Demographics – 92.66% White, 2.71% Black, .31% American Indian, 2.14% Asian, .39% Some other Race, 1.77% Two or more races, 1.58% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Mount Clemens (pop 17,312)

Macomb County is one of the three major Detroit area counties in Michigan. It is a classic swing county and is the home of the “Reagan Democrats”. It has a strong independent streak in its voting. It has never forgotten its blue collar roots, and has a streak of populism. It is strongly pro-2nd Amendment, and distrustful of government, but also distrustful of big-business.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressmen:
10th District – Candice Miller (R) – Armada, Bruce, Chestefield, Harrison, Lenox, Macomb, Ray, Richmond, Shelby, and Washington Townships. Memphis, New Baltimore, and Richmond cities, part of Sterling Heights.
12th District – Sander Levin (D) – Clinton Township, Center Line, Eastpointe, Fraser, Mount Clemens, Roseville, St. Clair Shores, Warren, and part of Sterling Heights

State Senators:
9th District – Dennis Olshove (D) – Center Line, Eastpointe, Fraser, St Clair Shores, Warren
10th District – Michael Switalski (D) – Clinton Township, Roseville, Sterling Heights, Utica
11th District – Alan Sanborn (R) – Armada, Bruce, Chesterfield, Harrison, Lenox, Macomb, Ray, Richmond, Shelby, and Washington Townships. Memphis, Mount Clemens, New Baltimore, and Richmond.

State Representative:
24th District – Jack Brandenburg (R) – Harrison and Lake Townships, St Clair Shores
25th District – Steve Bieda (D) – Northern Warren, Southern Sterling Heights
28th District – Lisa Wojno (D) – Southern Warren, Center Line
30th District – Tory Rocca (R) – Centra/Northern Sterling Heights, Utica
31st District – Fred Miller (D) – Mount Clemens, part of Fraser, part of Clinton Township
32nd District – Daniel Acciavatti (R) – Armada, Chesterfield, Lenox, and Richmond Townships. Memphis, New Baltimore, and Richmond Cities.
33rd District – Leon Drolet (R) – Macomb and Ray Townships, part of Clinton Township
36th District – Brian Palmer (R) – Bruce, Shelby, and Washington Townships
42nd District – Frank Accavitti Jr (D) – Eastpointe, Roseville, and part of Fraser

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 67.48%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 32.51%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 74.18%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 24.12%
Attorney General - John Smietanka (R) – 52.19%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 47.81%

Congress:
10th District – David Bonior (D) – 52.27%, Brian Palmer (R) – 45.41%
12th District – Sander Levin (R) – 54.41%, Leslie Touma (R) – 43.64%

State Senators:
10th District – Arthur Miller (D) – 65.35%, Linda Goff (R) – 31.97%
11th District – Ken DeBeaussaert (D) – 50.74%, Jack Brandenburg (R) – 46.74%
12th District – Dave Jaye (R) – 61.89%, Dick Kennedy (D) – 35.84%

State Representative:
26th District – William Callahan (D) – 59.72%, Barbara Urban (R) – 37.48%
27th District – Michael Switalski (D) – 70.86%, Phillip Pitters (R) – 25.92%
28th District – Paul Wojno (D) – 72.31%, Paul Welch (R) – 27.69%
29th District – Jennifer Faunce (R) – 51.47%, Charles T Busse (D) – 46.92%
30th District – Sue Rocca (R) – 70.27%, Roger Fachini (D) - 26.29%
31st District – Paul Gieleghem (D) – 52.81%, Quinnie E Cody (R) – 43.89%
32nd District – Alan Sanborn (R) – 73.82%, Aristidis Andreopoulos (D) – 22.69%
33rd District – Janet Kukuk (R) – 57.30%, Charles Locklear (D) – 40.40%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate - Debbie Stabenow (D) – 48.58%, Spence Abraham (R) – 48.15%
Congress:
10th District – David Bonior (D) – 63.80%, Tom Turner (D) – 33.93%
12th District – Sander Levin (D) – 64.82%, Bart Baron (R) – 32.29%

State Representative:
26th District – William Callahan (D) – 58.80%, William Nearon (R) – 38.69%
27th District – Michael Switalski (D) – 73.27%, Jim Riske (R) – 23.93%
28th District – Paul Wojno (D) – 73.13%, Paul Welch (R) – 26.87%
29th District – Jennifer Faunce (R) – 52.33%, Steve Bieda (D) – 46.61%
30th District – Sal Rocca (R) – 61.07%, Irvin Broste (D) - 38.93%
31st District – Paul Gieleghem (D) – 61.21%, Diane Zondini (R) – 34.63%
32nd District – Alan Sanborn (R) – 66.59%, Greg Moore (D) – 30.75%
33rd District – Janet Kukuk (R) – 57.94%, Bernadette DiSano (D) – 37.46%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Dick Posthumus (R) – 51.64%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 47.16%
Secretary of State - Terri Lynn Land (R) – 60.17%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 37.74%
Attorney General – Mike Cox (R) – 51.36%, Gary Peters (D) – 46.26%
US Senate - Carl Levin (D) – 60.06%, Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 38.58%
Congress:
10th District – Candice Miller (R) - 61.70%, Carl Marlinga (D) – 37.20%
12th District – Sander Levin (D) – 62.09%, Harvey Dean (R) – 35.80%

State Senate:
9th District – Dennis Olshove (D) – 60.82%, Cecelia Stevens (R) – 36.52%
10th District – Michael Switalski (D) – 53.06%, Steve Rice (R) – 45.13%
11th District – Alan Sanborn (R) – 67.94%, Jim Ayers (D) – 32.06%

State Representative:
24th District – Jack Brandenburg (R) – 53.56%, Frank Benson (D) – 43.27%
25th District – Steve Bieda (D) – 56.74%, Keith Sadowski (R) – 43.26%
28th District – Lisa Wojno (D) – 67.27%, Scott Stevens (R) – 30.87%
30th District – Sal Rocca (R) – 62.40%, Joe McHugh (D) – 37.60%
31st District - Paul Gieleghem (D) – 60.13%, Sheryl Russo (R) – 36.99%
32nd District – Daniel Acciavitti (R) – 56.92%, John Hertel (D) – 43.08%
33rd District – Leon Drolet (R) – 60.17%, Anthony Ventimiglia (D) – 39.83%
36th District – Brian Palmer (R) – 67.36%, Robert Denison (D) – 32.64%
42nd District – Frank Accavitti (D) – 64.85%, Jim Riske (R) – 31.22%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
10th District – Candice Miller (R) – 68.70%, Rob Casey (D) – 29.48%
12th District – Sander Levin (D) – 64.13%, Randall Shafer (R) – 34.11%

State Representative:
24th District – Jack Brandenburg (R) – 62.70%, Dan Foukes (D) – 37.30%
25th District – Steve Bieda (D) – 61.05%, Michael Wiecek (R) – 38.95%
28th District – Lisa Wojno (D) – 70.23%, Timothy Knue (R) – 28.19%
30th District – Tory Rocca (R) – 53.85%, Roger Maceroni (D) – 46.15%
31st District – Fred Miller (D) – 54.91%, William Morelli (R) – 42.64%
32nd District – Daniel Acciavitti (R) – 65.90%, Michael Landsiedel (D) – 31.85%
33rd District – Leon Drolet (R) – 60.66%, Gary Cynowa (D) – 39.34%
36th District – Brian Palmer (R) – 64.76%, Robert Murphy (D) – 35.24%
42nd District – Frank Accavitti (D) – 72.46%, Greg Fleming (R) – 27.54%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.
MACOMB COUNTY
2000 – Bush – 164265 (47.52%), Gore – 172625 (49.94%)
2004 – Bush – 202166 (50.24%), Kerry – 196160 (48.75%)

Armada Township
2000 - 1486 (57.73%), 989 (38.42%)
2004 – 1797 (62.05%), 1062 (36.67%)

Bruce Township
2000 - 2461 (60.53%), 1494 (36.74%)
2004 – 2976 (62.59%), 1731 (36.40%)

Center Line City
2000 - 1365 (37.04%), 2215 (60.11%)
2004 – 1613 (40.61%), 2312 (58.21%)

Chesterfield Township
2000 - 7656 (50.33%), 7210 (47.40%)
2004 – 10533 (53.84%), 8853 (45.25%)

Clinton Township
2000 - 19427 (46.79%), 21075 (50.76%)
2004 – 23332 (48.98%), 23842 (50.05%)

Eastpointe City
2000 - 5383 (37.46%), 8558 (59.55%)
2004 – 5838 (36.98%), 9766 (61.87%)

Fraser City
2000 - 3325 (45.96%), 3743 (51.73%)
2004 – 3893 (49.09%), 3959 (49.92%)

Harrison Township
2000 - 5608 (51.01%), 5111 (46.49%)
2004 – 6946 (53.49%), 5906 (45.48%)

Lake Township
2000 - 33 (68.75%), 13 (27.08%)
2004 – 33 (68.75%), 15 (31.25%)

Lenox Township
2000 - 1300 (48.33%), 1335 (49.63%)
2004 – 1890 (51.72%), 1736 (47.51%)

Macomb Township
2000 - 12363 (53.67%), 10249 (44.49%)
2004 – 19496 (57.20%), 14342 (42.08%)

Memphis City
2000 - 197 (53.10%), 163 (43.94%)
2004 – 227 (56.47%), 170 (42.29%)

Mount Clemens City
2000 - 2393 (36.41%), 3964 (60.31%)
2004 – 2766 (38.03%), 4419 (60.76%)

New Baltimore City
2000 - 1827 (50.98%), 1659 (46.29%)
2004 – 3103 (55.48%), 2440 (43.63%)

Ray Township
2000 - 1144 (60.50%), 711 (37.60%)
2004 – 1315 (64.56%), 707 (34.71%)

Richmond City
2000 - 1136 (51.54%), 1004 (45.55%)
2004 – 1610 (57.09%), 1177 (41.74%)

Richmond Township
2000 - 935 (60.71%), 564 (36.62%)
2004 – 1156 (62.35%), 674 (36.35%)

Roseville City
2000 - 7059 (37.16%), 11417 (60.11%)
2004 – 8660 (40.11%), 12738 (59.00%)

Shelby Township
2000 - 17109 (57.35%), 12015 (40.27%)
2004 – 20921 (60.28%), 13452 (38.76%)

St Clair Shores City
2000 - 15175 (46.08%), 16807 (51.03%)
2004 – 17512 (48.62%), 18088 (50.22%)

Sterling Heights City
2000 - 26576 (50.18%), 25158 (47.50%)
2004 – 30885 (51.28%), 28697 (47.65%)

Utica City
2000 - 976 (49.09%), 962 (48.39%)
2004 – 1147 (51.02%), 1077 (47.91%)

Warren City
2000 - 23778 (40.99%), 32697 (56.36%)
2004 – 26991 (43.25%), 34697 (55.60%)

Washington Township
2000 - 5553 (60.09%), 3512 (38.00%)
2004 – 7526 (63.10%), 4300 (36.05%)

Macomb flipped from Gore to Bush in 2004, although it was very close in both elections - under 10,000 votes in a county of about 800,000. Bush made gains in most parts of the county, more so in fast growing and GOP leaning Northern Macomb, although he gained in Southern Macomb county as well, even in democrat strongholds like Warren, Roseville, and Center Line. The only area he lost ground was in Eastpointe. Lenox township (Includes New Haven) in Northern Macomb flipped to Bush. New Haven has a significant black population, so I’m a little surprised that flipped, although the other parts of Lenox Twp are overwhelmingly white so the growth there probably offset the township.

In general, M-59 is the dividing line. Anything South usually leans democrat, and North leans GOP, and those areas in the central part county are swing areas (Clinton Township, Sterling Heights). The exceptions are Fraser, St Clair Shores, and Lenox Township.

Redistricting made some major changes in Macomb County. The old 10th District covered Eastern Macomb and St Clair County and was represented by David Bonior. It removed Clinton Township and Mt Clemens which is Bonior’s home base. It also removed democrat strongholds such as Eastpointe and Roseville, as well as democrat leaning areas such as St Clair Shores and Fraser. All of Southeastern Macomb, as well as Clinton Township and Mt Clemens, was given to Sander Levin’s district. The 10th District also added the heavily GOP thumb area, making it impossible for almost all democrats to win, especially against a top candidate like Candice Miller. The old 12th district had part of Eastpoint, all of Sterling Heights, and Warren – as well as parts of Oakland County. It now has more of Macomb than Oakland and takes in all of the most democrat areas of the county. Bonior could have run against Levin or move about 4 miles North, but he ran for governor instead.

There are still three state senatorial districts in Macomb, and they changed only slightly in partisan strength. The old districts where the 10th, 11th, and 12th. The 10th was similar to the 9th, the 11th was similar to the 10th, and 12th is similar to the 11th. One Republican, one democrat, and one that leans slightly democrat, but is winnable for the GOP. The state representative districts are somewhat similar, but Macomb added ½ of a district which is the 32nd district shared with St Clair County.

The home of the Reagan Democrats will continue to be a competitive county in 2006 and 2008.

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