Tuesday, July 05, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 10 (SD-10)

State Senate - District 10
Current Reps – Tory Rocca (R-Sterling Heights)

2010 Results - Old District (10th)
Tory Rocca - 44,486
Paul Gieleghem - 33258

This was a district  the GOP finally picked up in 2010. They went for it in 2002, and lost to a very strong democrat in Mickey Switalski who served two terms. 2010 was the right timing, and the GOP won it with Tory Rocca. This is a competitive district that under the old setup, leaned democrat thanks to Roseville and all of Clinton Township. The current district drops Roseville, Fraser, Utica and about 1/3 of Clinton Township. It picks up Macomb Township, and keeps all of Sterling Heights and 2/3 of Clinton Township. Those changes are game changers, and should keep this district after Rocca is termed out. That said, nothing is safe in Macomb County.

I think the vote spreads are actually more favorable than those listed here, since I believe a lot of the real bad partisan Clinton Twp precincts are those near Gratiot south of Mt Clemens. That's in Bieda's district. Sterling Heights is competitive and has been for years. This portion of Clinton Township is probably competitive as well. Macomb Township leans GOP. It'll be interesting to see what happens here in 2018, when Rocca's termed out.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Macomb County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Clinton Twp (2/3) 13975 18297 32272 -4322 43.30% 56.70% -13.39%
Macomb Twp 19579 18952 38531 627 50.81% 49.19% 1.63%
Sterling Heights 27510 32009 59519 -4499 46.22% 53.78% -7.56%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 61064 69258 130322 -8194 46.86% 53.14% -6.29%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Macomb County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Clinton Twp (2/3) 15399 15736 31135 -337 49.46% 50.54% -1.08%
Macomb Twp 19496 14342 33838 5154 57.62% 42.38% 15.23%
Sterling Heights 30885 28697 59582 2188 51.84% 48.16% 3.67%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 65780 58775 124555 7005 52.81% 47.19% 5.62%








Last St Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Macomb County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Clinton Twp (2/3) 10182 9715 19897 467 51.17% 48.83% 2.35%
Macomb Twp 15384 7973 23357 7411 65.86% 34.14% 31.73%
Sterling Heights 22635 15464 38099 7171 59.41% 40.59% 18.82%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 48201 33152 81353 15049 59.25% 40.75% 18.50%

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