Monday, July 04, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 7 (SD-07)

State Senate - District 7
Current Reps – Patrick Colbeck (R-Canton)

2010 Results - Old District
Patrick Colbeck - 55,284
Kathleen Law - 43173

This district combines much of the old 6th and old 7th.

The old 6th was Garden City, Livonia, Redford, and Westland. The old 7th covers Belleville, Brownstown Twp, Canton, Flat Rock, Gibralter, Grosse Ile, Huron Twp, Northville, Plymouth, Rockwood, Sumpter Twp, Trenton, Van Buren Twp, and Woodhaven.

The new 7th covers Northville and Plymouth, both cities and township, Canton, Livonia, and Wayne. It's a lot more Republican leaning than the old district which is bluing quickly with Belleville and Van Buren Twp becoming base areas for the dems. Picking up Livonia helps, and picking up Wayne hurts.

This district isn't safe, but it does lean GOP, despite 2008. It can be competitive though, and can not be taken for granted. The GOP lost the State Rep 20th district for two terms. In 06, the dems took the portion of Canton, Northville City, Plymouth City, and Wayne for this seat. In 08, add Northville and Plymouth Townships. In 10, the GOP took the 20th back, but lost its portion of Canton and Wayne. The dems took the 21st in both 08 and 10, but lost the portion of Canton.

Overall, I'd consider this district a slight lean, but competitive. If it opens up, the bench favors the GOP with John Walsh, although Corriveau and Slavens could be tough challengers.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Wayne County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Canton 19078 26092 45170 -7014 42.24% 57.76% -15.53%
Livonia 28190 28358 56548 -168 49.85% 50.15% -0.30%
Northville City 846 895 1741 -49 48.59% 51.41% -2.81%
Northville Twp 9025 7497 16522 1528 54.62% 45.38% 9.25%
Plymouth City 2277 3013 5290 -736 43.04% 56.96% -13.91%
Plymouth Twp 9003 8115 17118 888 52.59% 47.41% 5.19%
Wayne  2700 5353 8053 -2653 33.53% 66.47% -32.94%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 71119 79323 150442 -8204 47.27% 52.73% -5.45%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Wayne County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Canton 21452 19743 41195 1709 52.07% 47.93% 4.15%
Livonia 30626 25148 55774 5478 54.91% 45.09% 9.82%
Northville City 955 790 1745 165 54.73% 45.27% 9.46%
Northville Twp 9110 5676 14786 3434 61.61% 38.39% 23.22%
Plymouth City 2557 2553 5110 4 50.04% 49.96% 0.08%
Plymouth Twp 9828 6987 16815 2841 58.45% 41.55% 16.90%
Wayne  3037 4852 7889 -1815 38.50% 61.50% -23.01%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 77565 65749 143314 11816 54.12% 45.88% 8.24%









GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Wayne County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Canton 14864 11897 26761 2967 55.54% 44.46% 11.09%
Livonia 20884 17207 38091 3677 54.83% 45.17% 9.65%
Northville City 705 471 1176 234 59.95% 40.05% 19.90%
Northville Twp 7654 3524 11178 4130 68.47% 31.53% 36.95%
Plymouth City 1850 1347 3197 503 57.87% 42.13% 15.73%
Plymouth Twp 7251 3691 10942 3560 66.27% 33.73% 32.54%
Wayne  1864 2371 4235 -507 44.01% 55.99% -11.97%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 55072 40508 95580 14564 57.62% 42.38% 15.24%

No comments: