Sunday, August 14, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 23 (SD-23)

State Senate - District 23
Current Rep – Gretchen Whitmer (D-East Lansing)

2010 Results - Old District (23rd)
Gretchen Whitmer - 49,990
Kyle Haubrich - 28,133

This district is a democrat stronghold, and that did not change. There was some change among the rural portions. It picks up Stockbridge, Mason, Vevay Twp, Bunker Hill Twp, and Leslie City/Township from Joe Hune. It drops Locke Twp, Leroy Twp, Williamston, Williamstown Twp, and Wheatfield Twp to the 24th District and Rick Jones. From a partisan standpoint, there's little change, although this district may be slightly more democrat giving up the Williamston and Webberville areas and taking on Stockbridge and Mason.

I believe Whitmer has one more turn if she wants it, first winning in a 2005 special election to replace Virg Bernero, now the mayor of Lansing. Whitmer has been rumored to make a statewide run. She's an heir of Blue Cross/Blue Shield so she has the money and connections to make a run whether it be governor or AG, although her very left wing record will be an issue. Blue Cross isn't all that popular either. I wouldn't be surprised if she runs against Bill Schuette for AG however, and I think that would be a tough defense right now. I don't expect her to run for Congress after her term is up because of her kids. DC's a big move, and East Lansing is obviously commuting distance to Lansing.

When this opens up, there could be a long line of challengers. Barb Byrum might want her mom's old state senate seat. Mark Meadows is a termed out state rep and former East Lansing mayor. Joan Bauer is a state rep in Lansing with strong support of the social left base. It's been solidly Democrat for years. Whitmer, Bernero, Dianne Byrum, and Debbie Stabenow. This is Stabenow's old seat. It'll probably take a Dan Rostenkowski or Bill Jefferson situation to win here.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Ingham County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp 991 906 1897 85 52.24% 47.76% 4.48%
Aurelius Twp 1050 960 2010 90 52.24% 47.76% 4.48%
Bunker Hill Twp 517 479 996 38 51.91% 48.09% 3.82%
Delhi Twp 5894 7856 13750 -1962 42.87% 57.13% -14.27%
East Lansing 5376 17179 22555 -11803 23.84% 76.16% -52.33%
Ingham Twp 690 598 1288 92 53.57% 46.43% 7.14%
Lansing 12180 38228 50408 -26048 24.16% 75.84% -51.67%
Lansing Twp 1336 2805 4141 -1469 32.26% 67.74% -35.47%
Leslie  357 435 792 -78 45.08% 54.92% -9.85%
Leslie Twp 638 641 1279 -3 49.88% 50.12% -0.23%
Mason 1802 2235 4037 -433 44.64% 55.36% -10.73%
Meridian Twp 8080 14288 22368 -6208 36.12% 63.88% -27.75%
Onondaga Twp 698 711 1409 -13 49.54% 50.46% -0.92%
Stockbridge Twp 941 928 1869 13 50.35% 49.65% 0.70%
Vevay Twp 1075 927 2002 148 53.70% 46.30% 7.39%
White Oak Twp 327 282 609 45 53.69% 46.31% 7.39%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 41952 89458 131410 -47506 31.92% 68.08% -36.15%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Ingham County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp 1088 838 1926 250 56.49% 43.51% 12.98%
Aurelius Twp 1222 771 1993 451 61.31% 38.69% 22.63%
Bunker Hill Twp 549 417 966 132 56.83% 43.17% 13.66%
Delhi Twp 6831 6105 12936 726 52.81% 47.19% 5.61%
East Lansing 5119 12647 17766 -7528 28.81% 71.19% -42.37%
Ingham Twp 734 463 1197 271 61.32% 38.68% 22.64%
Lansing 16101 32102 48203 -16001 33.40% 66.60% -33.20%
Lansing Twp 1707 2436 4143 -729 41.20% 58.80% -17.60%
Leslie  403 363 766 40 52.61% 47.39% 5.22%
Leslie Twp 806 468 1274 338 63.27% 36.73% 26.53%
Mason 1989 1880 3869 109 51.41% 48.59% 2.82%
Meridian Twp 9589 12378 21967 -2789 43.65% 56.35% -12.70%
Onondaga Twp 768 568 1336 200 57.49% 42.51% 14.97%
Stockbridge Twp 1000 708 1708 292 58.55% 41.45% 17.10%
Vevay Twp 1177 816 1993 361 59.06% 40.94% 18.11%
White Oak Twp 378 247 625 131 60.48% 39.52% 20.96%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 49461 73207 122668 -23746 40.32% 59.68% -19.36%








Last State Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Ingham County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp 762 672 1434 90 53.14% 46.86% 6.28%
Aurelius Twp 836 699 1535 137 54.46% 45.54% 8.93%
Bunker Hill Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Delhi Twp 4352 5057 9409 -705 46.25% 53.75% -7.49%
East Lansing 2244 6800 9044 -4556 24.81% 75.19% -50.38%
Ingham Twp 553 393 946 160 58.46% 41.54% 16.91%
Lansing 8218 21056 29274 -12838 28.07% 71.93% -43.85%
Lansing Twp 903 1732 2635 -829 34.27% 65.73% -31.46%
Leslie 

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Leslie Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Mason

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Meridian Twp 5839 9805 15644 -3966 37.32% 62.68% -25.35%
Onondaga Twp 528 455 983 73 53.71% 46.29% 7.43%
Stockbridge Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Vevay Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
White Oak Twp 217 179 396 38 54.80% 45.20% 9.60%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 24452 46848 71300 -22396 34.29% 65.71% -31.41%




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