Thursday, July 28, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 12 (SD-12)

State Senate - District 12
Current Rep – Jim Marleau (R-Lake Orion)

2010 Results - Old District (12th)
Jim Marleau - 56,894
Cassandra Ulrich - 36,526

This district changes slightly from the old 12th. It drops GOP leaning Rochester and Rochester Hills to the 13th, and Lake Angelus to the 14th. It picks up competitive Southfield Twp from the old 15th and strongly republican Bloomfield Township from the 13th. The rest stays the same. It is not completely safe with the democrat strongholds of Pontiac and Auburn Hills, but this district has never been close downticket despite being a "swing" district on paper at the top of the ticket. Gary Peters won a much different district with Pontiac in the 90's. This is a mostly North Oakland based district, and Northern Oakland County is the most republican part of the Detroit tri-county area. In addition, it'll be extremely unlikely to see swing voters outside of Pontiac vote for a Pontiac area rep. Maybe Tim Melton would make it tough, but despite Obama's win here due to Pontiac and Auburn Hills, I don't see Marleau getting beat here. Mike Bishop won a very similar district by 16000 votes in a very bad year.

This district isn't safe, but it leans GOP, especially at the state senate level.


McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Addison Twp 2248 1399 3647 849 61.64% 38.36% 23.28%
Auburn Hills 3577 5823 9400 -2246 38.05% 61.95% -23.89%
Bloomfield Twp 14368 12886 27254 1482 52.72% 47.28% 5.44%
Clarkston 296 252 548 44 54.01% 45.99% 8.03%
Independence Twp 11000 8253 19253 2747 57.13% 42.87% 14.27%
Keego Harbor 525 804 1329 -279 39.50% 60.50% -20.99%
Oakland Twp 5965 3679 9644 2286 61.85% 38.15% 23.70%
Orion Twp 10042 8512 18554 1530 54.12% 45.88% 8.25%
Oxford Twp 5836 4484 10320 1352 56.55% 43.45% 13.10%
Pontiac 2799 19980 22779 -17181 12.29% 87.71% -75.42%
Southfield Twp 4570 4925 9495 -355 48.13% 51.87% -3.74%
Sylvan Lake 551 558 1109 -7 49.68% 50.32% -0.63%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 61777 71555 133332 -9778 46.33% 53.67% -7.33%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Addison Twp 2406 1113 3519 1293 68.37% 31.63% 36.74%
Auburn Hills 4089 4724 8813 -635 46.40% 53.60% -7.21%
Bloomfield Twp 16314 11197 27511 5117 59.30% 40.70% 18.60%
Clarkston 322 252 574 70 56.10% 43.90% 12.20%
Independence Twp 12199 6847 19046 5352 64.05% 35.95% 28.10%
Keego Harbor 554 590 1144 -36 48.43% 51.57% -3.15%
Oakland Twp 6212 2898 9110 3314 68.19% 31.81% 36.38%
Orion Twp 11362 6887 18249 4475 62.26% 37.74% 24.52%
Oxford Twp 6155 3577 9732 2578 63.24% 36.76% 26.49%
Pontiac 4499 17759 22258 -13260 20.21% 79.79% -59.57%
Southfield Twp 5245 4346 9591 899 54.69% 45.31% 9.37%
Sylvan Lake 647 529 1176 118 55.02% 44.98% 10.03%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 70004 60719 130723 9285 53.55% 46.45% 7.10%








Last St Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Addison Twp 1916 594 2510 1322 76.33% 23.67% 52.67%
Auburn Hills 2837 2956 5793 -119 48.97% 51.03% -2.05%
Bloomfield Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Clarkston 285 143 428 142 66.59% 33.41% 33.18%
Independence Twp 9389 3653 13042 5736 71.99% 28.01% 43.98%
Keego Harbor 388 327 715 61 54.27% 45.73% 8.53%
Oakland Twp 5319 1720 7039 3599 75.56% 24.44% 51.13%
Orion Twp 8862 3473 12335 5389 71.84% 28.16% 43.69%
Oxford Twp 5008 1897 6905 3111 72.53% 27.47% 45.05%
Pontiac 1951 10596 12547 -8645 15.55% 84.45% -68.90%
Southfield Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Sylvan Lake 478 304 782 174 61.13% 38.87% 22.25%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 36433 25663 62096 10770 58.67% 41.33% 17.34%

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