Current Rep – John Moolenaar (R-Midland)
2010 Results - Old District (36th)
John Moolenaar - 56,634
Andy Neumann - 32,154
Don't let the numbers from 2010 fool anybody. The democrats got crushed among independents up north in 2010. In 2006, the GOP was hit hard in rural areas. This district is a swing district, and got tougher with redistricting. This is another district where Obama's numbers are not worst case scenario. Stupak's numbers are the worst case scenario, and he's always won this area BIG. Even though Obama did better and won in the new 35th district, the 36th district is more democrat downticket for state senate purposes. Andy Neumann in 2002 lost by about 2100 votes to Tony Stamas. It was down to the wire. That's the old district. This one I think is tougher with the loss of Crawford County. We lose Ogemaw which helps by leanings and more so Joel Sheltrown being in the other district, but picking up Arenac and Presque Isle Counties are not helpful to the GOP's defense.
The old district was Alcona, Alpena, Crawford (now in 35th), Gladwin, Iosco, Midland, Montmorency, Ogemaw (now in 35th), Oscoda, and Otsego counties. It drops GOP leaning Crawford and somewhat dem leaning Ogemaw counties and added somewhat democrat (downticket) leaning Presque Isle County and more solidly democrat leaning Arenac county. This defense will not be easy. The old district was won by GOP'er Tony Stamas by 2100 votes in 2002. Alpena and Arenac counties are usually solidly democrat. Presque Isle, Gladwin, Iosco, and sometimes Alcona are competitive. Midland and Montorency lean republican. Otsego and Oscoda are solidly republican.
I'm interested to see who runs for this spot. Former State Rep Matt Gillard could be a tough challenge. I think Neumann alienated some people by running to replace Gillard for one term, which is all he had left as he left his state rep spot for the 2002 run. I don't expect an easy challenge here in 2014 at all.
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