Sunday, November 13, 2011

State House Redistricting - District 29 (HD-29)

State House - District 29
Current Rep – Tim Greimel (D - Auburn Hills)

2010 Results - Old District (29th)
Tim Melton - 14,217
Bret Allen - 3,943

Declared Candidates:
Rep - Brian Stebick (R-Pontiac)
Dem - Tim Greimel (D-Auburn Hills)

Tim Melton resigned to take an education related job, leaving the district vacant. He was actually quite moderate compared to the rep you'd expect to get from this district.

The old district covered Pontiac and Auburn Hills. The new district expands to pick up Keego Harbor, Orchard Lake, amd Sylvan Lake. Orchard Lake and Sylvan Lake are republican leaning, but that won't be affecting this district much. In Oakland County, Pontiac is the 3rd most democrat municipality by percentage, and 2nd most in size. Only Southfield beats it in pure numbers or percentage. Royal Oak Twp beats it in percentage. The primary is the election here. Even with the expansion in area, this is still a majority-minority district, although whites have a small plurality of voters, not for long with the demographic changes in Auburn Hills as Pontiac's residents continue to empty out.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn Hills 3577 5823 9400 -2246 38.05% 61.95% -23.89%
Keego Harbor 525 804 1329 -279 39.50% 60.50% -20.99%
Orchard Lake 821 648 1469 173 55.89% 44.11% 11.78%
Pontiac 2799 19980 22779 -17181 12.29% 87.71% -75.42%
Sylvan Lake 551 558 1109 -7 49.68% 50.32% -0.63%
Total 8273 27813 36086 -19540 22.93% 77.07% -54.15%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn Hills 4089 4724 8813 -635 46.40% 53.60% -7.21%
Keego Harbor 554 590 1144 -36 48.43% 51.57% -3.15%
Orchard Lake 938 580 1518 358 61.79% 38.21% 23.58%
Pontiac 4499 17759 22258 -13260 20.21% 79.79% -59.57%
Sylvan Lake 647 529 1176 118 55.02% 44.98% 10.03%
Total 10727 24182 34909 -13455 30.73% 69.27% -38.54%








Last State House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn Hills 2387 3299 5686 -912 41.98% 58.02% -16.04%
Keego Harbor

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Orchard Lake

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Pontiac 1556 10918 12474 -9362 12.47% 87.53% -75.05%
Sylvan Lake

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 3943 14217 18160 -10274 21.71% 78.29% -56.57%

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