Friday, May 13, 2005

Muskegon County

Muskegon County:
Location – West Michigan
Population – 170,200 (2000 Census)
Demographics – 81.25% White, 14.20% Black, .82% American Indian, .42% Asian, 1.28% Some other Race, 2.01% Two or more races, 3.53% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Muskegon (pop 40,105)

Muskegon County is the democrat stronghold on the coast of Lake Michigan. It has a strong union tradition and a large minority population, and larger number of white democrats than other parts of West Michigan.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressmen:
2nd District – Pete Hoekstra (R)

State Senators:
34th District – Gerald Van Woerkom (R)

State Representative:
91st District – David Farhat (R) – Blue Lake, Casnovia, Cedar Creek, Dalton, Egelston, Fruitport, Holton, Montague, Mooreland, Raveena, Sullivan, White River, and White Hall Townships. Cities of Montague, Norton Shores, Roosevelt Park, and Whitehall.
92nd District – Doug Bennett (D) – Fruitland, Laketon, and Muskegon Townships. Cities of Muskegon, Muskegon Heights, and North Muskegon.

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 60.54%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 39.46%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 66.60%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 32.17%
Attorney General - Jennifer Granholm (D) – 56.55%, John Smietanka (R) – 43.45%

Congress:
2nd District – Pete Hoekstra (R) – 54.11%, Bob Shrauger (D) – 44.72%

State Senators:
32nd District – Leon Stille (R) – 57.53%, Greg Woodbury (D) – 42.47%

State Representative:
91st District – Gerald Van Woerkom (R) – 53.09%, Stephen Haberfler (D) – 46.91%
92nd District – Julie Dennis (D) – 60.90%, Inez Heller Jones (R) – 39.10%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate - Debbie Stabenow (D) – 50.25%, Spence Abraham (R) – 47.85%
Congress:
2nd District – Bob Shrauger (D) – 50.40%, Pete Hoekstra (R) – 47.93%

State Representative:
91st District – Gerald Van Woerkom (R) – 53.65%, Steve Haberfler (D) – 46.35%
92nd District – Julie Dennis (D) – 69.77%, Inez Heller Jones (R) – 30.23%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Jennifer Granholm (D) – 56.49%, Dick Posthumus (R) – 42.72%
Secretary of State - Terri Lynn Land (R) – 51.28%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 47.19%
Attorney General – Gary Peters (D) – 54.55%, Mike Cox (R) – 43.39%
US Senate - Carl Levin (D) – 65.66%, Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 33.20%
Congress:
2nd District – Pete Hoekstra (R) - 55.57%, Jeffrey Wrisley (D) – 42.58%

State Senate:
34th District – Bob Shrauger (D) – 52.07%, Gerald Van Woerkom (R) – 45.81%

State Representative:
91st District – David Farhat (R) – 50.23%, Nancy Frye (D) – 49.77%
92nd District – Julie Dennis (D) – 67.25%, Gregory Boughton (R) – 32.75%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
2nd District – Pete Hoekstra (R) – 56.13%, Kimon Kotos (D) – 42.55%

State Representative:
91st District – David Farhat (R) – 51.58%, Nancy Frye (D) – 48.42%
92nd District – Doug Bennett (D) – 65.59%, Bob Cutler (R) – 34.41%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.

MUSKEGON COUNTY
2000 – Bush - 30028 (43.35%), Gore – 37865 (54.66%)
2004 – Bush – 35302 (43.96%), Kerry – 44282 (55.14%)

Blue Lake Township
2000 - 416 (51.49%), 376 (46.53%)
2004 – 553 (51.30%), 515 (47.77%)

Casnovia Township
2000 - 650 (62.44%), 367 (35.25%)
2004 – 709 (63.08%), 406 (36.12%)

Cedar Creek Township
2000 - 468 (41.27%), 624 (55.03%)
2004 – 588 (43.24%), 757 (55.66%)

Dalton Township
2000 - 1486 (47.01%), 1612 (51.00%)
2004 – 1939 (46.84%), 2165 (52.29%)

Egelston Township
2000 - 1390 (40.40%), 1981 (57.57%)
2004 – 1718 (42.37%), 2302 (56.77%)

Fruitland Township
2000 - 1309 (51.17%), 1201 (46.95%)
2004 – 1549 (50.90%), 1473 (48.41%)

Fruitport Township
2000 - 2973 (51.42%), 2695 (46.61%)
2004 – 3737 (54.44%), 3080 (44.87%)

Holton Township
2000 - 440 (46.96%), 469 (50.05%)
2004 – 532 (51.65%), 482 (46.90%)

Laketon Township
2000 - 1794 (47.14%), 1925 (50.58%)
2004 – 2179 (49.61%), 2174 (49.50%)

Montague City
2000 - 577 (50.04%), 548 (47.53%)
2004 – 666 (49.08%), 676 (49.82%)

Montague Township
2000 - 419 (55.72%), 319 (42.42%)
2004 – 453 (54.38%), 373 (44.78%)

Moorland Township
2000 - 322 (52.27%), 280 (45.45%)
2004 – 396 (52.66%), 347 (46.14%)

Muskegon City
2000 - 3510 (29.37%), 8188 (68.52%)
2004 – 3905 (27.72%), 10039 (71.25%)

Muskegon Heights City
2000 - 247 (6.55%), 3502 (92.87%)
2004 – 312 (7.36%), 3911 (92.24%)

Muskegon Township
2000 - 2707 (39.97%), 3935 (58.11%)
2004 – 3328 (41.44%), 4609 (57.40%)

North Muskegon City
2000 - 1346 (58.19%), 929 (40.16%)
2004 – 1456 (58.40%), 1011 (40.55%)

Norton Shores City
2000 - 6199 (52.36%), 5440 (45.95%)
2004 – 6980 (53.04%), 6054 (46.00%)

Raveena Township
2000 - 809 (63.80%), 430 (33.91%)
2004 – 916 (64.33%), 498 (34.97%)

Roosevelt Park City
2000 - 995 (46.89%), 1081 (50.94%)
2004 – 1071 (48.55%), 1119 (50.73%)

Sullivan Township
2000 - 485 (44.37%), 582 (53.25%)
2004 – 591 (46.32%), 672 (52.66%)

White River Township
2000 - 430 (54.99%), 325 (41.56%)
2004 – 434 (51.30%), 406 (47.99%)

Whitehall City
2000 - 658 (47.72%), 679 (49.24%)
2004 – 714 (48.37%), 748 (50.68%)

Whitehall Township
2000 - 398 (50.19%), 377 (47.54%)
2004 – 482 (50.74%), 465 (48.95%)

There’s a one-two punch that makes this county almost impossible for the GOP to win. Mukegon and Muskegon Heights. Both are heavily minority and both are union strongholds. The results by percentage were similar in 2000 and 2004, where both Bush and Kerry gained slightly. Bush improved outcounty, and Kerry got his turnout in Muskegon and Muskegon heights to imrpove on Gore’s numbers. This is the democrats’ base county in West Michigan.

Redistricting barely altered the Congressional district. Hoekstra’s seat is still Ottawa County based, and cancels out the democrats in Muskegon. The state senate district changed significantly and is now a tossup district. It covered Northern Ottawa County and all of Muskegon County. It now covers all of Muskegon County, and adds Mason, Newaygo, and Oceana counties. All three of those counties lean GOP, but are not nearly as GOP as Ottawa County, and are not large enough to always enough to cancel out Muskegon’s votes. Gerry Van Woerkom earned his overall win with 49.45% of the vote. The district went 50.05% for John Kerry.

The state rep districts there are similar as before. One district is competitive and has recently gone Republican. but won his part of Muskegon County. The other district is solid democrat. Redistricting for the 91st added Ottawa County’s Chester Township and took away Fruitland Township. The 92nd district added Laketon Township. The rest stayed the same. The 91st had at least five tough races in a row, and I expect a sixth tough race there.

3 comments:

AuH2ORepublican said...

Boy, big mistake for GOP redistricters to remove the state senate district's Ottawa townships. Those counties north of Muskegon are Republican enough for a safe GOP district regardless of how you draw it, except if you include Muskegon, and they up and did that.

Republican Michigander said...

After the senate redistricting, State Senator Bob Emerson (D-Flint) said "We can work with this"

Abe said...

Jerry beat Shrauger before, and Julie Dennis doesn't have any rural appeal, this one is safe for one more term, no?