Sunday, May 22, 2005

Washtenaw County

Washtenaw County:
Location – Southeastern Michigan
Population – 322,895 (2000 Census)
Demographics – 77.40% White, 12.29% Black, .36% American Indian, 6.30% Asian, 1.04% Some other Race, 2.57% Two or more races, 2.74% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Ann Arbor (pop 114,024)

Washtenaw County is the home of the People’s Republic of Ann Arbor, as well as Ypsilanti, another college town. As such, it competes with Genesee County for being the second most democrat county in the state.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressmen:
7th District – Joe Schwarz (R) – Bridgewater, Dexter, Freedom, Lima, Lodi, Lyndon, Manchester, Northfield, Salem, Saline, Scio(Part), Sharon, Sylvan, and Webster Townships. Cities of Chelsea and Saline.

15th District – John Dingell (D) – Ann Arbor, Augusta, Pittsfield, Scio (Part), Superior, York, and Ypsilanti Townships. Cities of Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti.

State Senators:
17th District – Bev Hammerstrom (R) – Bridgewater, Lodi, Manchester, Pittsfield, Saline, and York Townships. Cities of Milan and Saline.

18th District – Liz Brater (D) – Rest of County

State Representative:
52nd District – Pam Byrnes (D) – Ann Arbor (part), Bridgewater, Dexter, Freedom, Lodi, Lyndon, Manchester, Northfield, Saline (Part), Scio (Part), Sharon, Sylvan, and Webster Townships. Cities of Saline and Chelsea, and part of the City of Ann Arbor.

53rd District – Chris Kolb (D) – Part of Ann Arbor, Scio, and Pittsfield Townships. Most of the City of Ann Arbor.

54th District – Alma Wheeler Smith (D) - Augusta, Salem, Superior, and Ypsilanti Townships. City of Ypsilanti.

55th District – Kathy Angerer (D) – York Township. Most of Pittsfield and Saline Townships. City of Milan.

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 57.03%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 42.94%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 63.74%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 34.86%
Attorney General - Jennifer Granholm (D) – 61.42%, John Smietanka (R) – 38.58%

Congress:
7th District – Nick Smith (R) – 56.17%, Jim Berryman (D) – 40.08%
8th District – Debbie Stabenow (D) – 53.47%, Susan Grimes Munsell (R) – 43.55%
13th District – Lynn Rivers (D) – 67.16%, Tom Hickey (R) – 30.89%

State Senators:
17th District – Bev Hammerstrom (R) – 61.84%, Lynn Owen (D) – 38.16%
18th District –Alma Wheeler Smith (D) – 62.21%, John C Hochsefler (R) – 35.17%

State Representative:
52nd District – John Hansen (D) – 54.51%, Julie Knight (R) – 45.49%
53rd District – Liz Brater (D) – 67.25%, Garret Carlson (R) – 30.81%
54th District – Ruth Ann Jamnick (D) – 63.36%, Tom Banks (R) – 34.09%
55th District – Gene DeRossett (R) – 68.41%, Donald Earhart (D) – 31.59%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate - Debbie Stabenow (D) – 59.65%, Spence Abraham (R) – 37.05%

Congress:
7th District – Nick Smith (R) – 57.65%, Jennie Crittendon (D) – 37.59%
8th District – Mike Rogers (R) – 50.84%, Dianne Byrum (D) – 46.03%
13th District – Lynn Rivers (D) – 72.51%, Carl Berry (R) – 24.47%

State Representative:
52nd District – John Hansen (D) – 65.22%, Scott Wojack (R) – 34.78%
53rd District – Chris Kolb (D) – 70.55%, Robert Bykowski (R) – 24.47%
54th District – Ruth Ann Jamnick (D) – 70.36%, Tom Banks (R) – 29.64%
55th District – Gene DeRossett (R) – 69.09%, Kenneth Paperhagen (D) – 30.91%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Jennifer Granholm (D) – 61.41%, Dick Posthumus (R) – 36.90%
Secretary of State - Butch Hollowell (D) – 51.07%, Terri Lynn Land (R) – 45.53%
Attorney General – Gary Peters (D) – 55.78%, Mike Cox (R) – 40.32%
US Senate - Carl Levin (D) – 66.80%, Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 30.99%
Congress:
7th District – Nick Smith (R) – 55.38%, Mike Simpston (D) – 41.80%
15th District – John Dingell (D) – 72.13%, Martin Kaltenbach (D) – 25.58%

State Senate:
17th – District – Bev Hammerstrom (R) – 60.86%, Sharon LeMasters (D) – 39.14%
18th - District – Liz Brater (D) – 63.54%, Gordon Darr (D) – 33.30%

State Representative:
52nd District – Gene DeRossett (R) – 53.39%, Pam Byrnes (D) – 46.61%
53rd District – Chris Kolb (D) – 77.99%, John Milroy (R) – 22.01%
54th District – Ruth Ann Jamnick (D) – 68.80%, David Trent (D) – 31.20%
55th District – Matt Milosch (R) – 50.78%, Gail Hauser-Hurley (D) – 49.22%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
7th District – Joe Schwarz (R) – 56.51%, Sharon Marie Renier (D) – 39.33%
15th District – John Dingell (D) – 72.85%, Dawn Ann Reamer (R) – 24.38%

State Representative:
52nd District – Pam Byrnes (D) – 54.66%, Joe Yekulis (R) – 45.34%
53rd District – Chris Kolb (D) – 80.10%, Erik Sheagren (R) – 19.90%
54th District – Alma Wheeler Smith (D) – 67.82%, Jason Myers (R) – 30.14%
55th District – Kathy Angerer (D) – 52.90%, Matt Milosch (D) – 47.10%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.
WASHTENAW COUNTY
2000 – Bush - 52459 (36.19%), Gore - 86647 (59.78%)
2004 – Bush – 61455 (35.47%), Kerry – 109953 (63.46%)

Ann Arbor City
2000 – 13473 (25.48%), 36597 (69.22%)
2004 – 13153 (22.30%), 45117 (76.51%)

Ann Arbor Township
2000 – 1167 (42.64%), 1491 (54.48%)
2004 – 1083 (37.60%), 1787 (62.05%)

Augusta Township
2000 - 1037 (44.56%), 1201 (51.61%)
2004 – 1411 (46.23%), 1599 (52.39%)

Bridgewater Township
2000 - 422 (54.52%), 330 (42.64%)
2004 – 550 (60.51%), 352 (38.72%)

Chelsea City
2000 – Part of Sylvan and Lima Townships
2004 – 1300 (46.03%), 1490 (52.39%)

Dexter Township
2000 - 1515 (52.13%), 1311 (45.11%)
2004 – 1909 (52.68%), 1672 (46.14%)

Freedom Township
2000 - 441 (53.78%), 345 (42.07%)
2004 – 481 (53.50%), 405 (45.05%)

Lima Township
2000 - 959 (52.87%), 774 (42.67%)
2004 – 926 (56.16%), 709 (43.00%)

Lodi Township
2000 - 1849 (59.34%), 1178 (37.80%)
2004 – 2104 (57.98%), 1509 (41.58%)

Lyndon Township
2000 - 639 (50.84%), 565 (44.95%)
2004 – 812 (52.56%), 718 (46.47%)

Manchester Township
2000 - 1029 (50.22%), 952 (46.46%)
2004 – 1299 (52.06%), 1168 (46.81%)

Milan City
2000 - 658 (46.31%), 735 (51.72%)
2004 – 822 (49.49%), 822 (49.49%)

Northfield Township
2000 - 1784 (49.79%), 1683 (46.97%)
2004 – 2352 (52.94%), 2037 (45.85%)

Pittsfield Township
2000 - 5183 (41.78%), 6833 (55.08%)
2004 – 5839 (38.25%), 9271 (60.73%)

Salem Township
2000 - 1648 (57.99%), 1108 (38.99%)
2004 – 2130 (60.65%), 1330 (37.87%)

Saline City
2000 - 2063 (49.87%), 1939 (46.87%)
2004 – 2656 (51.90%), 2418 (47.25%)

Saline Township
2000 - 406 (59.53%), 245 (35.92%)
2004 – 612 (56.41%), 464 (42.76%)

Scio Township
2000 - 3667 (43.23%), 4537 (53.49%)
2004 – 4244 (40.05%), 6262 (59.10%)

Sharon Township
2000 - 497 (54.14%), 397 (43.25%)
2004 – 630 (58.33%),. 440 (40.74%)

Superior Township
2000 - 1704 (35.43%), 2973 (61.82%)
2004 – 2227 (35.81%), 3948 (63.48%)

Sylvan Township
2000 - 1573 (47.70%), 1598 (48.45%)
2004 – 983 (53.98%), 819 (44.98%)

Webster Township
2000 - 1460 (53.05%), 1225 (44.51%)
2004 – 2097 (54.55%), 1707 (44.41%)

York Township
2000 - 1740 (55.81%), 1291 (41.40%)
2004 – 2367 (58.98%), 1623 (40.44%)

Ypsilanti City
2000 - 1459 (71.96%), 4681 (22.43%)
2004 – 1581 (77.99%), 6046 (20.39%)

Ypsilanti Township
2000 - 6088 (31.51%), 12658 (65.51%)
2004 – 7887 (32.37%), 16240 (66.65%)

This was a reverse case of what happened in Livingston County. The GOP worked extremely hard to make inroads here and did their part, but the democrats brought their A game here in the end. The GOP gained 9,000 votes to the dems 23,000. Most of the democrats’ strength here is in the Ann Arbor/Ypsi area, and their close in townships. Scio is Ann Arbor West. Pittsfield is between Ann Arbor and Ypsi. Superior is North of Ypsi. Augusta is South of Ypsi. Ann Arborites are moving to places like Scio and changing them from swing areas to solid democrat areas.

One thing that should be pointed out is that in 2000 Chelsea was part of Sylvan and Lima Townships for voting purposes, so Sylvan Township was not a flip for Bush since Chelsea went for Kerry by a larger difference than Sylvan went for Bush.

Redistricting significantly changed Washtenaw County. The old Lynn Rivers district which dominated most of the county was combined with John Dingell’s Wayne/Monroe district. Dingell defeated Rivers easily in a primary. Nick Smith’s/Joe Schwarz’s district district gained more of Washtenaw County in his district. Smith/Schwarz kept all the areas of his old 7th, and took Dexter, Freedom, Lima, Lodi, Lyndon, Northfield, Saline, part of Scio, Sharon, Sylvan, and Webster Townships from Mike Rogers. He took Salem from Dingell. Mike Rogers gave Pittsfield to Dingell. Congressional redistricting was very nice to Mike Rogers who no longer has to worry about Scio and Pittsfield townships. Nick Smith/Joe Schwarz was hurt slightly because of Scio Township, but most of the areas gained were marginally republican. They didn’t give him Pittsfield to deal with.

On the State Senate level, there was less change. Bev Hammerstrom kept her areas, but did have to take Pittsfield Township. She gained Bridgewater, Lodi, Manchester as well, and lost Augusta to Brater. Hammerstrom’s district is 51% Republican, so it will be close.

The big change was in the state rep districts. Gene DeRossett must not have had a good friend on the redistricting committee. Most of his new district was combined with John Hansen’s democrat leaning district. He overperformed big and won in a slightly democrat district before being termed out. Pam Byrnes won the open seat in 2004 with a lot of help from straight tickets in Scio and Ann Arbor. The GOP thinks it has a shot there in 2006 if Mark Ouimet runs. Ouimet has won in Scio Township in the past. It won’t be easy since it went 54% for Kerry. As for John Hansen, you may recognize Hansen’s name since he is currently interm superintendent for Brighton Schools.

Matt Milosch won an open seat in 2002 since Gene DeRossett was redistricted out of there. He was clipped in 2004 by 500 votes by Kathy Angerer due to straight tickets in Pittsfield Township. He may be making a comeback in 06. Good luck to Milosch if he runs again. He’s a good guy and libertarian leaning Republican who gives a strong voice to fiscal conservatives and the 2nd amendment. Milosch’s district went 50% for Kerry, so it’s very winnable if Milosch does well in Monroe County. The other two state rep districts changed little. Ann Arbor dominates one district, and Ypsilanti the other. Both will be democrat strongholds for the forseeable district.

Washtenaw County is a democrat stronghold and will stay that way for the forseeable future. The only competitions here will be the outlying townships, Hammerstrom state senate district, and the Angerer/Byrnes districts. Ann Arbor has the nickname “People’s Republic of Ann Arbor” for a reason.

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