Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Congressional District 4 - Updated 2013 (MI-04)

2014 Update:
Dave Camp retired and opened up this seat. This seat should stay Republican with the strongest possible dems not running (Sheltrown brothers). Peter Konetchy is a businessman from Roscommon. Paul Mitchell is a businessman from Saginaw Twp. John Moolenaar is a . Jeff Holmes is a sacrificial lamb from Alma area.


MI-04 Update - 2013

The 2011 Update is here.

The 2010 Update is here.

Incumbent – OPEN with Dave Camp's retirement.
Years in office as of 2014 election - 24.

Challengers: Peter Konetchy (R-Roscommon), Paul Mitchell (R-Saginaw Twp), John Moolenaar (R-Midland), Jeff Holmes (D-Alma)

2012:
Dave Camp – 197386– 63.07%
Debra Freidell Wirth – 104996 – 33.55%
92390 vote difference

Romney – 171845 votes – 53.42%
Obama – 146081 votes – 45.41%
25764 vote difference.

2008:
McCain – 166866 votes – 48.62%
Obama – 170542 votes – 49.70%
-3706 vote difference

2004:
Bush – 184141 votes – 55.06%
Kerry – 146294 votes – 43.74%
37847 vote difference


This is a large sprawling district that contains parts of 15 counties. It’s often called a Midland district because it almost always elects Midland reps, but that’s oversimplifying it. Basically Camp gets what’s left of the areas from other districts that need to go elsewhere. This district has Midland, Big Rapids, and Mt Pleasant, farm country, part of Saginaw County, and then takes a little up of Up North, all the way to some of the Lansing area and the rest of Shiawassee County. You can be in East Lansing (Clinton County portion so it wasn’t a split), drive North to the Roscommon/Crawford county line and not leave the district. You can go west to Cadillac at M-55 and still be in the district, go from Byron near the Livingston County line to Cadillac and not leave the district.

New territory for Camp includes Wexford County (GOP), Gladwin and Ogemaw Counties (Swing), Clinton County (Swing/slight GOP), Southern Shiawassee County (Swing), and the Frankenmuth part of Saginaw County (Staunch GOP). This district is safe for Camp, but keep an eye out if one of the Sheltrowns (Joel especially) runs out of Ogemaw County. He’s your Jim Barcia style of pro-life and pro-2nd Amendment (legitimately) democrat that does well up north. That type of democrat could also sell down in Shiawassee County and rural Saginaw County as well. Joel Sheltrown won Missaukee County as a state rep, which is the 2nd most Republican County in the state by percentage – more than Livingston, Hillsdale, Sanilac, or Allegan. Even Levin lost there in 2008, one of six counties. Sheltrown won that county. Luckily for Camp, Sheltrown’s district didn’t have Midland. Midland goes more R downticket than the top of the ticket, especially for homers. A tough state senate district went R in a tougher district against a strong North Michigan pro-2a (legitimately) democrat.

I think Camp is safe unless Sheltrown runs (even there probably almost safe), but an open seat race could be interesting. There’s a strong R bench here – too many to count. There is not a strong D bench outside of the Sheltrown brothers. Mike Huckleberry was a one term state rep out of Greenville, but Camp dispatched him easily twice. Huckleberry lost in 2010 and 2012 for state rep covering Montcalm County. Jennifer Elkins was a dem state rep in 2002, but lost a dem leaning seat (with Arenac and Bay as well as Clare/Gladwin) to Tim Moore in 2004 over her vote on banning gay marriage (voted against putting it on the ballot). Mt Pleasant is blue, but the state rep district still goes R due to candidate quality. It’s a thin bench outside of the Sheltrowns.

For the map, I’ll use the same color code.
70%+Dem – Black
60%-69.99% - Blue
55%-59.99% - Slate Blue
50%-54.99% - Light Sky Blue
Less than 50% - Gold
R wins:
70%+Rep – Firebrick
60-69.99% - Red
55-59.99% - Orange Red
50-54.99% - Salmon
Less than 50% - Yellow


MI-4A

MI-4B

MI-04C
You start seeing the difference here between the (non coastal yuppie influenced) Northwestern parts of Up North and the “Sunrise” side of Up North. Politically, I’d put Clare and Roscommon with the “sunrise” side culturally compared to Wexford, Osceola, and Missaukee Counties. It’s a little more union influenced, either through retirees, Bay City/Saginaw commuting, some industry, DNR, and corrections. It’s independent and populist. Clare, Gladwin, Roscommon, and Ogemaw Counties can all vote either way. They have a few small “base” yellow dog areas, and a few base strong R areas and a lot in-between.  Wexford, Missaukee, and Osceola Counties almost always go R.

Bush and Romney swept Wexford County, although Bush nearly got 60%. Missaukee is the 2nd reddest county in the state by percentage. Five municipalities here broke 70%, two with 80%. Holland Township is the only dem spot here, going so the last three elections by 1, 3, and 1 votes. Osceola isn’t Missaukee County, but Romney swept it nearly getting 60%.
Clare, Roscommon, and Ogemaw Counties are another matter. Romney won them, as did Bush the 2nd time in 2004. Gore and Obama won them as well. Gladwin went for Romney, Obama and Bush twice all narrowly. A lot of areas here are swingy with lots of light blue and salmon. In Roscommon, Au Sable Township’s slate blue and 55.91% is misleading. Romney lost it by 13 votes. (McCain 7). Bush won it. Population size is the factor. On the same note, Richfield Twp (St Helens) is a democrat mini-stronghold there. They usually get a 240 vote margin there or more. Obama was held to 53.43% instead of the 55%+ they often get there. East of there in Ogemaw County (home of the Sheltrowns), Romney did better than Bush by percentage and also won all swing areas except West Branch (lost by 8 votes). The dems have Mills Township (Skidway Lake) which is similar to Richfield, but more blue. It’s consistently 56-57% dem and gives about a 250 vote margin to the dems. I’m not sure why it’s more dem than the rest of the county, but I know there’s a high union retiree population in Ogemaw County.  Gladwin County has a high labor population as well, often corrections workers for the prisons in Standish. Interestingly, Gladwin itself is republican. The dems do well in the Eastern part of the county, bordering Arenac (Standish) and Bay Counties.  Clare is interesting and hard to figure out. There’s an Amish population there, and that accounts for some of that bright red in the SE part of the county (when they vote). The Harrison area is strongly dem (and City of Clare leans dem). Summerfield Twp stuck out. McCain did well there and held it to 50%. Romney and Bush bombed there. Hayes Township is the usual bad spot (like a Richfield and Mills Twp), but Romney slowed the bleeding there losing by 76 instead of 150+.  Those four counties are always competitive, and will be in the future.

Mecosta County is SW of there. It’s borderline considered “Up North” or “Mid Michigan” depending on who you ask. Big Rapids is the home of Ferris State University. It’s blue. The rest of the county is usually red outside of Martiny and Sheridan Townships. Chippewa Township there is moving to the right. Bush lost it. McCain won it. Romney won it with more raw votes than Bush. Romney had less votes than McCain overall though, but did better than McCain and Bush in overall percentage here. 54.25% compared to 49.52% and 53.13%.

Isabella County is the major blue county in the district, but it will vote for some R’s downticket like Dave Camp, the Cauls, and Kevin Cotter. R’s have been lucky with candidate quality in this county. It’s blue because of CMU and to a lesser extent, the Chippewa reservation, although the American Indian population here isn’t as large as it is up in the Eastern UP. Coldwater Township (really bleeding bad there for some reason – Romney did worse than McCain there in votes and percentage) is rural and white, and as democrat as mixed Chippewa Township (heart of the reservation and home of Soaring Eagle Casino). Union Township is to Mt Pleasant what Meridian Township is to East Lansing and is dem for the same reason. Mt Pleasant is the home of CMU and big for the dems. Bush got 40% here. McCain 31.39% Romney 34.27%  A real problem spot is Romney getting less raw votes than McCain in the county despite increasing his percentage 5% to 44.78% (still less than Bush’s 48%). Bush lost the county only by 586 votes. Romney slowed the bleeding and didn’t lose by 5500 like McCain did, but a 2239 vote loss is four times worse than Bush’s loss. A lot of areas in this county are swing areas.
Midland County was a bright spot for Romney. That’s not a surprise as it’s a business oriented county, much unlike its neighboring labor oriented counties (Bay/Saginaw). Midland is the home of Dow Chemical, and is a highly educated area. It also prefers the more business oriented Republicans as opposed to a Rick Santorum Republican, although there is a sizable social conservative presence as well. This is the home of the Mackinac Center as well as Gary Glenn. Romney had a higher vote percentage in Midland County than Bush did, although Bush had more votes. There’s some swing areas in the western part of the county (and Mills Twp in the NE), but Romney swept it, which even Bush didn’t do (Coleman).

South of there is Saginaw County. Saginaw County is a blue county, but not all of it is blue. The part in Camp’s district cuts out most of the major blue parts which are in the Eastern Part of the County outside of Frankenmuth. That southern part is farm areas with some labor areas (Chesaning), along with Birch Run, the big outlet mall. It’s historically democrat, but does sometimes vote for R’s. Lew Dodak was from Birch Run. He’s a former state house speaker who was defeated by Mike Goschka who held the swing district and later won countywide (twice) the dem leaning state senate district. Bush came close in some of these areas and won St Charles Twp, and nearly took Chesaning.The tourist town of Frankemuth aka Little Bavaria is a small GOP stronghold in the Eastern part of the county. It was settled by Christian missionaries and is to this day heavily ethnic German. It’s most known for Bronner’s Christmas Wonderland open all year, its chicken at Zehnder’s, the Bavarian Inn, and Oktoberfest which is actually sanctioned by Munich. It’s 70%+ GOP. The NW suburban and semi rural areas are solidly Republican, some of them 60%+. Part of it is Midland. Part of it is a countermeasure to the City of Saginaw.  


Gratiot County was rough the last two cycles. Bush won everything in the county, even Alma (home of a small college). He got 56.59%. McCain lost the county and got 46.92%. Romney won it with 51.39% but had lessvotes than McCain. Alma (precinct 3) was a big hit, but Romney lost Ithaca, St Louis, and Sumner Twp. In addition, he has a lower percentage of the vote than McCain in Hamilton and Lafayette Townships. Those were 60%+ under Bush and Romney was held to 55% and 54%. (56% and 57% for McCain). There’s trouble here. The college is part of it. I wonder if ethanol is a big part of it. Alma shouldn’t impact Ithaca, although it would impact St Louis.

Montcalm County was Camp’s toughest county a few years back when Mike Huckleberry ran twice. Camp won it by 500 votes in the dismal year of 2006. Greenville is the dem leaning area here. It’s the former home of Electrolux until that closed up and moved to Mexico. Belvidere Twp up in the northern part of the county has also gone dem three times. Bush won Stanton and next door Evergreen Township. Carson City is becoming a problem. Romney did worse than McCain there. The rest of the county leans R, with the areas off US-131 (Kent County influenced) the most R.



Clinton County just north of Lansing I know well. It is a spot to keep an eye on. It was an R stronghold for years, but the alarms started to ring a little in 2002. State workers caused a weaker R showing than 2000. 2004 was a good year there with Bush. Kerry did not sell there at all. 58.16% Bush. He only lost East Lansing and Bath (by 3 votes). He only got less that 55% in DeWitt Twp. Obama won the county in 08 with 49.57%. That was unheard of there. McCain bombed, but Obama cleaned up in Bath Twp took a few other townships as well. Romney won Clinton County, but only with 52.56%.  Bath Twp borders East Lansing (Mostly in Ingham County). If you drive down Abbot Rd north after it turns into Chandler Rd, you see a bunch of new high rises. Those are student apartments. That turned Bath into a blue zone. ¼ of it is now basically East Lansing. Bush won it in 2000, lost it narrowly in 04, and Obama got 57.61% and 54.89% there. DeWitt is getting bluer, but it’s purple more than blue. The same goes for the other eastern parts of Clinton County. On the other hand, Dallas Township (Fowler) and Westphalia Township stick out. I’m not sure why they are that red of a township (77/78%) compared to others (not just in Clinton County). German Catholics settled Westphalia. Dallas Township I’m not sure about, but probably a similar background. Could be a Dutch influence as well. A lot of those free soil areas are still R, but rarely 70%+. Lebanon Twp almost broke 70% as well. Surprisingly, the townships in Ionia bordering them aren’t nearly as Republican. One of them is blue North Plains. This is a key county to watch in the future and important to statewide chances.

Last but not least, one of my neighbors. Shiawassee County. It’s a swing county with a conservadem history, but one I never figured out. It’s whiter than my county (famous/infamous for it). It’s not what I’d call social liberal. It’s largely a bedroom community for Flint and Lansing, two areas which have commuters from my county. It has its farm areas. It votes much differently however. Bush won it twice, the first time under 50% and later with 52.86%. After 04, I thought that like Lapeer County, it was starting to go our way. 08 wasn’t a big shock, but 12 surprised me here. Romney had less raw votes than McCain (percentage went from 44.67% to 47.53%).  I don’t expect it to be a Livingston County with Durand and Owosso, but I don’t see any reason why this can’t be a solid 53-55% county for us each election. A lot of Bush areas here went for Obama twice. Perry (city) and New Haven Twp were 57% Bush and flipped. Durand’s always been the toughest area (GM commuters), and Owosso’s a labor area as well. Outside of the Livingston County border, that whole eastern part of the county is trouble right now, as is the Laingsburg and Perry areas (State workers). Flint’s influence is creeping in again. R’s are still winning downticket there, which wasn’t the case for 20+ years until the 90’s (for state rep). There’s still a lot of work there to be done.

Overall this district leans R and is safe for Camp. Geography is the biggest advantage for the R’s here. Midland is a solid base, as is the NW part of the district and parts of Saginaw County. Clinton County has also been solid R downticket, and even dem leaning Isabella County has R state reps. Those are all good bases to run from, and should keep this in the R column if Camp retires. Sheltrown would be a tough opponent, but that’s the only realistic threat I can see at this time (last three words key). If the Isabella County seat flips, then there is more potential trouble on the horizon. 


District 4 Romney Obama Total  Diff GOP  DEM
Clare County:





Arthur Twp 237 84 326 153 72.70% 25.77%
Clare  582 641 1239 -59 46.97% 51.74%
Franklin Twp 210 202 417 8 50.36% 48.44%
Freeman Twp 278 321 605 -43 45.95% 53.06%
Frost Twp 272 227 510 45 53.33% 44.51%
Garfield Twp 442 409 860 33 51.40% 47.56%
Grant Twp 928 529 1485 399 62.49% 35.62%
Greenwood Twp 306 250 559 56 54.74% 44.72%
Hamilton Twp 390 387 782 3 49.87% 49.49%
Harrison 362 417 793 -55 45.65% 52.59%
Hatton Twp 274 183 464 91 59.05% 39.44%
Hayes Twp 876 952 1849 -76 47.38% 51.49%
Lincoln Twp 383 447 842 -64 45.49% 53.09%
Redding Twp 94 107 203 -13 46.31% 52.71%
Sheridan Twp 357 195 561 162 63.64% 34.76%
Summerfield Twp 95 139 238 -44 39.92% 58.40%
Surrey Twp 783 755 1557 28 50.29% 48.49%
Winterfield Twp 119 93 214 26 55.61% 43.46%
Total 6988 6338 13504 650 51.75% 46.93%







Clinton County:





Bath Twp 2499 3083 5617 -584 44.49% 54.89%
Bengal Twp 443 236 687 207 64.48% 34.35%
Bingham Twp 839 611 1478 228 56.77% 41.34%
Dallas Twp 959 268 1238 691 77.46% 21.65%
DeWitt 1338 1306 2672 32 50.07% 48.88%
DeWitt Twp 3725 3751 7547 -26 49.36% 49.70%
Duplain Twp 527 560 1100 -33 47.91% 50.91%
Eagle Twp 856 706 1573 150 54.42% 44.88%
East Lansing 292 543 843 -251 34.64% 64.41%
Essex Twp 547 348 936 199 58.44% 37.18%
Greenbush Twp 680 508 1205 172 56.43% 42.16%
Lebanon Twp 213 94 308 119 69.16% 30.52%
Olive Twp 828 624 1469 204 56.36% 42.48%
Ovid Twp 824 739 1582 85 52.09% 46.71%
Riley Twp 631 495 1147 136 55.01% 43.16%
St Johns 1875 1773 3686 102 50.87% 48.10%
Victor Twp 956 957 1932 -1 49.48% 49.53%
Watertown Twp 1559 1324 2905 235 53.67% 45.58%
Westphalia Twp 1032 265 1310 767 78.78% 20.23%
Total 20623 18191 39235 2432 52.56% 46.36%







Gladwin County





Beaverton 217 219 444 -2 48.87% 49.32%
Beaverton Twp 448 336 797 112 56.21% 42.16%
Bentley Twp 177 218 401 -41 44.14% 54.36%
Billings Twp 599 619 1226 -20 48.86% 50.49%
Bourret Twp 135 124 265 11 50.94% 46.79%
Buckeye Twp 290 264 569 26 50.97% 46.40%
Butman Twp 852 556 1417 296 60.13% 39.24%
Clement Twp 235 247 485 -12 48.45% 50.93%
Gladwin  613 556 1189 57 51.56% 46.76%
Gladwin Twp 262 165 434 97 60.37% 38.02%
Grim Twp 29 37 66 -8 43.94% 56.06%
Grout Twp 490 345 847 145 57.85% 40.73%
Hay Twp 269 338 617 -69 43.60% 54.78%
Sage Twp 657 550 1221 107 53.81% 45.05%
Secord Twp 394 372 773 22 50.97% 48.12%
Sherman Twp 255 209 468 46 54.49% 44.66%
Tobacco Twp 739 605 1364 134 54.18% 44.35%
Total 6661 5760 12583 901 52.94% 45.78%







Gratiot County





Alma 1479 1838 3353 -359 44.11% 54.82%
Arcada Twp 440 378 825 62 53.33% 45.82%
Bethany Twp 410 229 645 181 63.57% 35.50%
Elba Twp 297 265 570 32 52.11% 46.49%
Emerson Twp 254 185 443 69 57.34% 41.76%
Fulton Twp 646 504 1165 142 55.45% 43.26%
Hamilton Twp 107 87 196 20 54.59% 44.39%
Ithaca 628 661 1311 -33 47.90% 50.42%
Lafayette Twp 159 129 289 30 55.02% 44.64%
New Haven Twp 209 189 402 20 51.99% 47.01%
Newark Twp 236 162 401 74 58.85% 40.40%
North Shade Twp 174 85 261 89 66.67% 32.57%
North Star Twp 245 198 448 47 54.69% 44.20%
Pine River Twp 584 525 1125 59 51.91% 46.67%
Seville Twp 502 401 922 101 54.45% 43.49%
St Louis 602 708 1320 -106 45.61% 53.64%
Sumner Twp 360 416 789 -56 45.63% 52.72%
Washington Twp 260 144 405 116 64.20% 35.56%
Wheeler Twp 649 506 1165 143 55.71% 43.43%
Total 8241 7610 16035 631 51.39% 47.46%







Isabella County





Broomfield Twp 457 387 855 70 53.45% 45.26%
Chippewa Twp 698 916 1637 -218 42.64% 55.96%
Coe Twp 724 669 1415 55 51.17% 47.28%
Coldwater Twp 144 184 331 -40 43.50% 55.59%
Deerfield Twp 909 787 1708 122 53.22% 46.08%
Denver Twp 210 253 468 -43 44.87% 54.06%
Fremont Twp 334 237 580 97 57.59% 40.86%
Gilmore Twp 325 322 650 3 50.00% 49.54%
Isabella Twp 416 487 915 -71 45.46% 53.22%
Lincoln Twp 490 395 894 95 54.81% 44.18%
Mt Pleasant 2415 4531 7047 -2116 34.27% 64.30%
Nottawa Twp 549 475 1029 74 53.35% 46.16%
Rolland Twp 271 268 546 3 49.63% 49.08%
Sherman Twp 638 619 1269 19 50.28% 48.78%
Union Twp 1510 1991 3538 -481 42.68% 56.27%
Vernon Twp 406 246 656 160 61.89% 37.50%
Wise Twp 304 271 581 33 52.32% 46.64%
Total 10800 13038 24119 -2238 44.78% 54.06%







Mecosta County:





Aetna Twp 454 346 811 108 55.98% 42.66%
Austin Twp 383 235 622 148 61.58% 37.78%
Big Rapids 977 1277 2305 -300 42.39% 55.40%
Big Rapids Twp 985 685 1686 300 58.42% 40.63%
Chippewa Twp 334 287 627 47 53.27% 45.77%
Colfax Twp 589 439 1036 150 56.85% 42.37%
Deerfield Twp 347 232 591 115 58.71% 39.26%
Fork Twp 402 322 747 80 53.82% 43.11%
Grant Twp 202 136 345 66 58.55% 39.42%
Green Twp 879 635 1539 244 57.12% 41.26%
Hinton Twp 259 171 438 88 59.13% 39.04%
Martiny Twp 353 384 747 -31 47.26% 51.41%
Mecosta Twp 651 491 1155 160 56.36% 42.51%
Millbrook Twp 252 189 446 63 56.50% 42.38%
Morton Twp 1549 1086 2651 463 58.43% 40.97%
Sheridan Twp 241 285 530 -44 45.47% 53.77%
Wheatland Twp 319 305 637 14 50.08% 47.88%
Total 9176 7505 16913 1671 54.25% 44.37%







Midland County





Coleman 248 223 484 25 51.24% 46.07%
Edenville Twp 736 504 1252 232 58.79% 40.26%
Geneva Twp 271 246 520 25 52.12% 47.31%
Greendale Twp 420 316 754 104 55.70% 41.91%
Homer Twp 1221 889 2120 332 57.59% 41.93%
Hope Twp 419 283 705 136 59.43% 40.14%
Ingersoll Twp 891 529 1444 362 61.70% 36.63%
Jasper Twp 221 213 439 8 50.34% 48.52%
Jerome Twp 1351 966 2347 385 57.56% 41.16%
Larkin Twp 2013 916 2947 1097 68.31% 31.08%
Lee Twp 942 801 1765 141 53.37% 45.38%
Lincoln Twp 783 509 1306 274 59.95% 38.97%
Midland 11904 9224 21290 2680 55.91% 43.33%
Midland Twp 685 472 1172 213 58.45% 40.27%
Mills Twp 460 391 861 69 53.43% 45.41%
Mount Haley Twp 478 369 859 109 55.65% 42.96%
Porter Twp 321 222 550 99 58.36% 40.36%
Warren Twp 555 377 939 178 59.11% 40.15%
Total 23919 17450 41754 6469 57.29% 41.79%







Missaukee County





Aetna Twp 182 46 229 136 79.48% 20.09%
Bloomfield Twp 145 121 271 24 53.51% 44.65%
Butterfield Twp 151 95 252 56 59.92% 37.70%
Caldwell Twp 383 183 575 200 66.61% 31.83%
Clam Union Twp 389 84 477 305 81.55% 17.61%
Enterprise Twp 50 35 86 15 58.14% 40.70%
Forest Twp 268 162 438 106 61.19% 36.99%
Holland Twp 50 51 105 -1 47.62% 48.57%
Lake City 211 179 394 32 53.55% 45.43%
Lake Twp 874 542 1430 332 61.12% 37.90%
McBain 221 64 288 157 76.74% 22.22%
Norwich Twp 179 127 313 52 57.19% 40.58%
Pioneer Twp 115 92 212 23 54.25% 43.40%
Reeder Twp 332 189 523 143 63.48% 36.14%
Richland Twp 602 116 727 486 82.81% 15.96%
Riverside Twp 384 109 498 275 77.11% 21.89%
West Branch Twp 129 79 209 50 61.72% 37.80%
Total 4665 2274 7027 2391 66.39% 32.36%







Montcalm County





Belvidere Twp 462 496 982 -34 47.05% 50.51%
Bloomer Twp 364 172 546 192 66.67% 31.50%
Bushnell Twp 349 275 635 74 54.96% 43.31%
Carson City 237 258 504 -21 47.02% 51.19%
Cato Twp 619 555 1186 64 52.19% 46.80%
Crystal Twp 543 514 1070 29 50.75% 48.04%
Day Twp 292 192 496 100 58.87% 38.71%
Douglass Twp 606 434 1054 172 57.50% 41.18%
Evergreen Twp 584 612 1216 -28 48.03% 50.33%
Fairplain Twp 434 334 786 100 55.22% 42.49%
Ferris Twp 300 288 592 12 50.68% 48.65%
Greenville 1365 1692 3107 -327 43.93% 54.46%
Home Twp 603 441 1059 162 56.94% 41.64%
Maple Valley Twp 531 307 859 224 61.82% 35.74%
Montcalm Twp 780 675 1484 105 52.56% 45.49%
Pierson Twp 872 535 1431 337 60.94% 37.39%
Pine Twp 399 371 775 28 51.48% 47.87%
Reynolds Twp 1164 724 1916 440 60.75% 37.79%
Richland Twp 667 445 1125 222 59.29% 39.56%
Sidney Twp 636 592 1242 44 51.21% 47.67%
Stanton 193 252 451 -59 42.79% 55.88%
Winfield Twp 593 366 970 227 61.13% 37.73%
Total 12593 10530 23486 2063 53.62% 44.84%







Ogemaw County





Churchill Twp 467 396 874 71 53.43% 45.31%
Cumming Twp 187 158 348 29 53.74% 45.40%
Edwards Twp 404 305 717 99 56.35% 42.54%
Foster Twp 253 238 498 15 50.80% 47.79%
Goodar Twp 126 105 233 21 54.08% 45.06%
Hill Twp 434 378 815 56 53.25% 46.38%
Horton Twp 246 202 452 44 54.42% 44.69%
Klacking Twp 187 143 332 44 56.33% 43.07%
Logan Twp 149 138 290 11 51.38% 47.59%
Mills Twp 659 904 1589 -245 41.47% 56.89%
Ogemaw Twp 388 270 664 118 58.43% 40.66%
Richland Twp 220 211 438 9 50.23% 48.17%
Rose City 108 91 205 17 52.68% 44.39%
Rose Twp 419 286 718 133 58.36% 39.83%
West Branch 450 458 922 -8 48.81% 49.67%
West Branch Twp 740 508 1266 232 58.45% 40.13%
Total 5437 4791 10361 646 52.48% 46.24%







Osceola County





Burdell Twp 389 251 648 138 60.03% 38.73%
Cedar Twp 144 73 221 71 65.16% 33.03%
Evart 333 254 599 79 55.59% 42.40%
Evart Twp 393 288 689 105 57.04% 41.80%
Hartwick Twp 173 110 284 63 60.92% 38.73%
Hersey Twp 464 346 824 118 56.31% 41.99%
Highland Twp 390 141 537 249 72.63% 26.26%
Le Roy Twp 339 193 545 146 62.20% 35.41%
Lincoln Twp 404 265 675 139 59.85% 39.26%
Marion Twp 406 279 696 127 58.33% 40.09%
Middle Branch Twp 211 133 352 78 59.94% 37.78%
Orient Twp 197 163 366 34 53.83% 44.54%
Osceola Twp 280 187 474 93 59.07% 39.45%
Reed City 486 413 914 73 53.17% 45.19%
Richmond Twp 535 305 847 230 63.16% 36.01%
Rose Lake Twp 433 212 648 221 66.82% 32.72%
Sherman Twp 326 195 526 131 61.98% 37.07%
Sylvan Twp 238 173 421 65 56.53% 41.09%
Total 6141 3981 10266 2160 59.82% 38.78%







Roscommon County





Au Sable Twp 58 71 127 -13 45.67% 55.91%
Backus Twp 93 57 150 36 62.00% 38.00%
Denton Twp 1584 1449 3062 135 51.73% 47.32%
Gerrish Twp 1091 824 1925 267 56.68% 42.81%
Higgins Twp 387 372 766 15 50.52% 48.56%
Lake Twp 393 347 752 46 52.26% 46.14%
Lyon Twp 462 377 847 85 54.55% 44.51%
Markey Twp 669 684 1364 -15 49.05% 50.15%
Nester Twp 99 67 166 32 59.64% 40.36%
Richfield Twp 839 988 1849 -149 45.38% 53.43%
Roscommon Twp 1028 962 2024 66 50.79% 47.53%
Total 6703 6198 13032 505 51.43% 47.56%







Saginaw County (part)





Albee Twp 423 566 999 -143 42.34% 56.66%
Birch Run Twp 1711 1459 3208 252 53.34% 45.48%
Brady Twp 492 514 1024 -22 48.05% 50.20%
Brant Twp 531 433 979 98 54.24% 44.23%
Chapin Twp 213 202 424 11 50.24% 47.64%
Chesaning Twp 1028 1291 2348 -263 43.78% 54.98%
Frankenmuth 2316 807 3141 1509 73.73% 25.69%
Frankenmuth Twp 966 289 1261 677 76.61% 22.92%
Fremont Twp 682 436 1132 246 60.25% 38.52%
James Twp 606 463 1086 143 55.80% 42.63%
Jonesfield Twp 455 366 833 89 54.62% 43.94%
Kochville Twp 651 507 1171 144 55.59% 43.30%
Lakefield Twp 285 236 534 49 53.37% 44.19%
Maple Grove Twp 686 789 1494 -103 45.92% 52.81%
Marion Twp 232 156 395 76 58.73% 39.49%
Richland Twp 1420 830 2265 590 62.69% 36.64%
Saginaw Twp 13 844 905 1768 -61 47.74% 51.19%
Saginaw Twp 14 865 703 1579 162 54.78% 44.52%
Saginaw Twp 15 434 249 685 185 63.36% 36.35%
Saginaw Twp 16 1067 782 1865 285 57.21% 41.93%
St Charles Twp 740 774 1533 -34 48.27% 50.49%
Swan Creek Twp 820 535 1368 285 59.94% 39.11%
Taymouth Twp 979 1199 2210 -220 44.30% 54.25%
Thomas Twp 4264 2799 7120 1465 59.89% 39.31%
Tittabawssee Twp 2773 1744 4556 1029 60.86% 38.28%
Total 25483 19034 44978 6449 56.66% 42.32%







Shiawassee County





Antrim Twp 612 473 1094 139 55.94% 43.24%
Bennington Twp 978 783 1783 195 54.85% 43.91%
Burns Twp 912 703 1636 209 55.75% 42.97%
Caledonia Twp 1010 1167 2218 -157 45.54% 52.61%
Corunna 557 734 1318 -177 42.26% 55.69%
Durand 556 870 1452 -314 38.29% 59.92%
Fairfield Twp 174 184 359 -10 48.47% 51.25%
Hazelton Twp 523 617 1148 -94 45.56% 53.75%
Laingsburg 296 325 627 -29 47.21% 51.83%
Middlebury Twp 437 331 779 106 56.10% 42.49%
New Haven Twp 350 384 739 -34 47.36% 51.96%
Owosso 2518 3468 6061 -950 41.54% 57.22%
Owosso Twp 1235 1261 2526 -26 48.89% 49.92%
Perry 462 501 978 -39 47.24% 51.23%
Perry Twp 1100 928 2050 172 53.66% 45.27%
Rush Twp 365 326 701 39 52.07% 46.50%
Sciota Twp 459 492 960 -33 47.81% 51.25%
Shiawassee Twp 677 753 1442 -76 46.95% 52.22%
Venice Twp 586 656 1268 -70 46.21% 51.74%
Vernon Twp 1039 1286 2356 -247 44.10% 54.58%
Woodhull twp 1121 955 2095 166 53.51% 45.58%
Total 15967 17197 33590 -1230 47.53% 51.20%







Wexford County





Antioch Twp 217 137 359 80 60.45% 38.16%
Boon Twp 175 166 349 9 50.14% 47.56%
Cadillac 2115 1833 4010 282 52.74% 45.71%
Cedar Creek Twp 431 274 713 157 60.45% 38.43%
Cherry Grove Twp 865 549 1431 316 60.45% 38.36%
Clam Lake Twp 814 557 1384 257 58.82% 40.25%
Colfax Twp 247 162 419 85 58.95% 38.66%
Greenwood Twp 164 130 297 34 55.22% 43.77%
Hanover Twp 407 268 687 139 59.24% 39.01%
Haring Twp 978 594 1579 384 61.94% 37.62%
Henderson Twp 68 51 120 17 56.67% 42.50%
Liberty Twp 238 129 371 109 64.15% 34.77%
Manton 256 219 481 37 53.22% 45.53%
Selma Twp 613 454 1083 159 56.60% 41.92%
Slagle Twp 132 128 266 4 49.62% 48.12%
South Branch Twp 116 85 206 31 56.31% 41.26%
Springfield Twp 328 283 620 45 52.90% 45.65%
Wexford Twp 284 165 457 119 62.14% 36.11%
Total 8448 6184 14832 2264 56.96% 41.69%







Total All 171845 146081 321715 25764 53.42% 45.41%


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