Friday, July 29, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 14 (SD-14)

State Senate - District 14
Current Rep – Dave Robertson (R-Grand Blanc)

2010 Results - Old District (26th)
Dave Robertson - 49,700
Paula Zelenko - 36,231

This district was mostly the old 26th district, although made much safer. It was an accidental swing district that was created for Deb Cherry at first. She was given a free pass in 02 and lost the Oakland County portion and won underwhelmingly due to the North Oakland portion. 06 was an easier race in a bigtime dem year. At the top of the ticket, I believe Bush won the old district actually in 2004.

The Flint district had to expand some and it did. Robertson dropped the toughest parts of his district to the Flint district. Mount Morris, Vienna Twp, Clio, Thetford Twp, Forest Twp, Richfield Twp, and Burton all went to the 27th district. Robertson actually ran very well in those areas in 2010. He only lost Mt Morris, Clio, and Burton. I wouldn't count on that as an every election situation, even for a guy who is known as a hard worker who wins tough races.

Robertson did pick up slightly democrat Mundy Twp and the City of Fenton. He picked up swing Holly Twp, and strongly GOP Rose and Highland Twps, as well as Lake Angelus. Giving up Mt Morris Twp and Burton alone tilts this into a GOP leaning district. It's not a safe district, but less vulnerable that it was and will likely only be threatened in a year like 2008.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Genesee County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Atlas Twp 2481 2129 4610 352 53.82% 46.18% 7.64%
Davison 1053 1625 2678 -572 39.32% 60.68% -21.36%
Davison Twp 4474 5776 10250 -1302 43.65% 56.35% -12.70%
Fenton 2709 3129 5838 -420 46.40% 53.60% -7.19%
Grand Blanc 1991 2411 4402 -420 45.23% 54.77% -9.54%
Grand Blanc Twp 8309 10951 19260 -2642 43.14% 56.86% -13.72%
Mundy Twp 3688 4807 8495 -1119 43.41% 56.59% -13.17%
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Brandon Twp 4394 3564 7958 830 55.21% 44.79% 10.43%
Groveland Twp 1769 1275 3044 494 58.11% 41.89% 16.23%
Highland Twp 5987 4533 10520 1454 56.91% 43.09% 13.82%
Holly Twp 2678 2969 5647 -291 47.42% 52.58% -5.15%
Lake Angelus 201 59 260 142 77.31% 22.69% 54.62%
Rose Twp 1936 1573 3509 363 55.17% 44.83% 10.34%
Springfield Twp 4654 3176 7830 1478 59.44% 40.56% 18.88%
Waterford Twp 16968 19134 36102 -2166 47.00% 53.00% -6.00%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 63292 67111 130403 -3819 48.54% 51.46% -2.93%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Genesee County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Atlas Twp 2606 1704 4310 902 60.46% 39.54% 20.93%
Davison 1317 1540 2857 -223 46.10% 53.90% -7.81%
Davison Twp 4833 5041 9874 -208 48.95% 51.05% -2.11%
Fenton 3026 2554 5580 472 54.23% 45.77% 8.46%
Grand Blanc 2394 1985 4379 409 54.67% 45.33% 9.34%
Grand Blanc Twp 9369 8862 18231 507 51.39% 48.61% 2.78%
Mundy Twp 3999 4102 8101 -103 49.36% 50.64% -1.27%
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Brandon Twp 4852 3030 7882 1822 61.56% 38.44% 23.12%
Groveland Twp 1988 1204 3192 784 62.28% 37.72% 24.56%
Highland Twp 6509 3849 10358 2660 62.84% 37.16% 25.68%
Holly Twp 2813 2442 5255 371 53.53% 46.47% 7.06%
Lake Angelus 217 43 260 174 83.46% 16.54% 66.92%
Rose Twp 2139 1337 3476 802 61.54% 38.46% 23.07%
Springfield Twp 4946 2710 7656 2236 64.60% 35.40% 29.21%
Waterford Twp 19965 16504 36469 3461 54.75% 45.25% 9.49%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 70973 56907 127880 14066 55.50% 44.50% 11.00%








Last St Senate GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Genesee County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Atlas Twp 2142 884 3026 1258 70.79% 29.21% 41.57%
Davison 925 801 1726 124 53.59% 46.41% 7.18%
Davison Twp 3782 2520 6302 1262 60.01% 39.99% 20.03%
Fenton

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Grand Blanc 1728 1212 2940 516 58.78% 41.22% 17.55%
Grand Blanc Twp 7088 5212 12300 1876 57.63% 42.37% 15.25%
Mundy Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Brandon Twp 3421 1473 4894 1948 69.90% 30.10% 39.80%
Groveland Twp 1425 541 1966 884 72.48% 27.52% 44.96%
Highland Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Holly Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Lake Angelus

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Rose Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Springfield Twp 3793 1329 5122 2464 74.05% 25.95% 48.11%
Waterford Twp 13532 8405 21937 5127 61.69% 38.31% 23.37%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 37836 22377 60213 15459 62.84% 37.16% 25.67%

No comments: