Friday, July 29, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 13 (SD-13)

State Senate - District 13
Current Rep – John Pappageorge (R-Troy, Termed out)

2010 Results - Old District (13th)
John Pappageorge - 62,324
Aaron Bailey - 42,830

This district is slightly safer than it was, but isn't one I'd consider safe. The 13th gained GOP leaning Rochester and Rochester Hills and dropped democrat Madison Heights and GOP leaning Bloomfield Hills. It still has the democrat strongholds of Royal Oak and Berkley and the GOP leaning (but not by the margins it used to) Troy. The democrats nearly picked up this seat in 2006 when Andy Levin (son of Sander) nearly beat John Pappageorge.

I expect this to be a tough defense in 2014. Adding Rochester and Rochester Hills help, but losing Bloomfield Township does not help. Dropping Madison Heights helps, but Berkley and Royal Oak are solidly blue. They aren't Pontiac, but Rochester Hills isn't Independence Twp or the northern townships either.

Marty Knollenberg said that he wasn't going to run for the congressional seat if McCotter decides to run. This district would be a good one for him if he decides not to run for congress. Rochester Hills has a very strong farm club for the GOP as well. Royal Oak has a good farm club for the dems.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 3560 5715 9275 -2155 38.38% 61.62% -23.23%
Birmingham 5900 6492 12392 -592 47.61% 52.39% -4.78%
Bloomfield Hills 1580 1112 2692 468 58.69% 41.31% 17.38%
Clawson 2998 3912 6910 -914 43.39% 56.61% -13.23%
Rochester  3515 3319 6834 196 51.43% 48.57% 2.87%
Rochester Hills 19919 18834 38753 1085 51.40% 48.60% 2.80%
Royal Oak 13094 21650 34744 -8556 37.69% 62.31% -24.63%
Troy 21230 21517 42747 -287 49.66% 50.34% -0.67%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 71796 82551 154347 -10755 46.52% 53.48% -6.97%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 4315 5027 9342 -712 46.19% 53.81% -7.62%
Birmingham 6772 5508 12280 1264 55.15% 44.85% 10.29%
Bloomfield Hills 1802 951 2753 851 65.46% 34.54% 30.91%
Clawson 3584 3471 7055 113 50.80% 49.20% 1.60%
Rochester  3979 2647 6626 1332 60.05% 39.95% 20.10%
Rochester Hills 22733 15571 38304 7162 59.35% 40.65% 18.70%
Royal Oak 15529 19143 34672 -3614 44.79% 55.21% -10.42%
Troy 24171 18175 42346 5996 57.08% 42.92% 14.16%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 82885 70493 153378 12392 54.04% 45.96% 8.08%








Last St Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 3087 3011 6098 76 50.62% 49.38% 1.25%
Birmingham 5712 3433 9145 2279 62.46% 37.54% 24.92%
Bloomfield Hills 1577 588 2165 989 72.84% 27.16% 45.68%
Clawson 2630 1967 4597 663 57.21% 42.79% 14.42%
Rochester 

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Rochester Hills

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Royal Oak 11353 11450 22803 -97 49.79% 50.21% -0.43%
Troy 19993 11175 31168 8818 64.15% 35.85% 28.29%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 44352 31624 75976 12728 58.38% 41.62% 16.75%

1 comment:

Chris said...

FYI. These Marxist Democrats will make you sick. They are having a meeting. They are coming out in the open now.

Subject: [DetroitActivists] Detroit Marxism Class on V.I. Lenin's "The State and Revolution," Chapter Five--Saturday, July 30, 5:00-7:00pm



Workers World Party and the Harriet Tubman School Invites You to a Special Educational Gathering

Please Attend the Next Detroit Marxism Class for Saturday, July 30, 5:00-7:00pm

Topic: "The State and Revolution by V.I. Lenin"
Location: 5920 Second Ave. at Antoinette, North of the WSU campus, Detroit

Reading: Chapter Five, "The State and Revolution"
Discussion Leader: Andrea Egypt

Just click on the site below to view the material for this class
http://www.marxist.net/lenin/staterev/index.html

This classic work by the founder of the Bolshevik Party, the Russian Revolution and the Union Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) was written during the period leading up to the Great October Revolution of 1917. In chapter five Lenin discusses the Economic Basis of the Withering
Away of the State.

Issues covered in this chapter include Marx's views on the nature and character of the state under capitalism and how this can be transformed under a socialist and communist society.

Reading materials for the class will be made available at this session.

The class is free and dinner will be served.

For more information call 313-671-3715
URL: http://www.workersworld.net/detroit
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