Sunday, December 13, 2009

Alpena County Updated

Alpena County is the anchor county for the sunrise side of Northern Michigan. While Northwestern Michigan is more affluent (although less so with the economy), Northeastern Michigan is more working class and populist in its leanings. There is a union influence more in this part of the state compared to other areas up north, both among the workers and a large number retirees from downstate who like the lower cost of living due to land and housing.

For the previous Alpena County profile, Click here

Alpena County:
Location - Northeast Michigan
Population - 29,679 (2005-07)
Demographics (2000) – 98.21% White, .25% Black, .39% American Indian, .33% Asian, .12% Some other Race, .7% Two or more races, .58% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat - Alpena (Population 11,201, 2000 estimate)

Local Elected Officials
Prosecutor - Ed Black - Democrat (won 56%-43%)
Sheriff - Steve Kieliszewski - Republican (unopposed)
Clerk - Bonnie Friedrichs - Republican (unopposed)
Treasurer - Jocelyn McCallum - Republican (unopposed)
Register of Deeds - Kathy J Matash - Republican
Drain Commissioner - Donald Bartosh - Republican (won by 14 votes)

County Commissioner:
District 1 - Dale Bell - Democrat (city of Alpena)
District 2 - Kathy Thomas - Democrat (city of Alpena)
District 3 - Thomas Mullaney - Republican (won 52-47%) (City of Alpena)
District 4 - Lyle Van Wormer - Republican  (Alpena Township)
District 5 - Gerald Fournier - Republican (won 51-48%) (Alpena Township)
District 6 - Mark Hall - Democrat (Alpena Twp, Long Rapids Twp, Maple Ridge Twp)
District 7 - Cameron Habermehl - Republican (Green, Long Rapids, Wellington, Wilson)
District 8 - Bill Estlak - Republican (Ossineke, Sanborn)

Alpena Township - 5 Democrats, 2 Republicans
Green Township - 5 Republicans
Long Rapids Township - 5 Republicans
Maple Ridge Township - 3 Democrats, 2 Republicans
Ossineke Township - 5 Republicans
Sanborn Township - 5 Democrats
Wellington Township - 3 Republicans, 1 Democrat
Wilson Township - 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat

I am surprised at the local republican strength in Alpena County, considering the top of the ticket results leaning democrat, as well as the congressional, state rep, and state senate results being almost a base county for the dems. The State Rep and State Senate districts are competitive here due to counties outside of Alpena, and so should the congressional seat if Stupak retires or runs for higher office.

1998:
This was the Engler v Fieger year, and the GOP did well.


Governor 98
Engler
Fieger
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2605
1427
0
4032
1178
64.61%
35.39%
29.22%
Alpena Twp
2395
1256
0
3651
1139
65.60%
34.40%
31.20%
Green Twp
252
143
0
395
109
63.80%
36.20%
27.59%
Long Rapids Twp
227
135
0
362
92
62.71%
37.29%
25.41%
Maple Ridge Twp
361
215
0
576
146
62.67%
37.33%
25.35%
Ossineke Twp
396
180
0
576
216
68.75%
31.25%
37.50%
Sanborn Twp
507
244
0
751
263
67.51%
32.49%
35.02%
Wellington Twp
56
23
0
79
33
70.89%
29.11%
41.77%
Wilson Twp
468
166
1
635
302
73.70%
26.14%
47.56%









Total
7267
3789
1
11057
3478
65.72%
34.27%
31.46%
The Secretary of State race was also a blowout.
Sec of State 98
Miller
Parks
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2554
1403
76
4033
1151
63.33%
34.79%
28.54%
Alpena Twp
2266
1108
39
3413
1158
66.39%
32.46%
33.93%
Green Twp
259
123
3
385
136
67.27%
31.95%
35.32%
Long Rapids Twp
241
113
4
358
128
67.32%
31.56%
35.75%
Maple Ridge Twp
332
199
8
539
133
61.60%
36.92%
24.68%
Ossineke Twp
388
155
5
548
233
70.80%
28.28%
42.52%
Sanborn Twp
466
226
7
699
240
66.67%
32.33%
34.33%
Wellington Twp
54
19
1
74
35
72.97%
25.68%
47.30%
Wilson Twp
446
141
4
591
305
75.47%
23.86%
51.61%









Total
7006
3487
147
10640
3519
65.85%
32.77%
33.07%

The AG's race however went narrowly democrat, here and statewide. The dems went all in for Granholm that year.

AG 98
Smietanka
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1894
2116
0
4010
-222
47.23%
52.77%
-5.54%
Alpena Twp
1648
1711
0
3359
-63
49.06%
50.94%
-1.88%
Green Twp
176
180
0
356
-4
49.44%
50.56%
-1.12%
Long Rapids Twp
182
149
0
331
33
54.98%
45.02%
9.97%
Maple Ridge Twp
257
275
0
532
-18
48.31%
51.69%
-3.38%
Ossineke Twp
302
220
0
522
82
57.85%
42.15%
15.71%
Sanborn Twp
334
330
0
664
4
50.30%
49.70%
0.60%
Wellington Twp
41
31
0
72
10
56.94%
43.06%
13.89%
Wilson Twp
339
235
0
574
104
59.06%
40.94%
18.12%









Total
5173
5247
0
10420
-74
49.64%
50.36%
-0.71%

Stupak showed his strength in 98 against arguably his toughest opponent in Michelle McManus. McManus landed on her feet after this race elected to state senate and now running for Secretary for State, but Stupak survived 94 (his weakest numbers as incumbent) and 98 (3rd weakest numbers - 2000 was weaker due to a gun vote) in a more republican 1st district than the current post 2002 boundaries.


Congress 1st 98
McManus
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1265
2785
59
4109
-1520
30.79%
67.78%
-36.99%
Alpena Twp
1242
2341
30
3613
-1099
34.38%
64.79%
-30.42%
Green Twp
153
232
4
389
-79
39.33%
59.64%
-20.31%
Long Rapids Twp
135
223
5
363
-88
37.19%
61.43%
-24.24%
Maple Ridge Twp
177
388
5
570
-211
31.05%
68.07%
-37.02%
Ossineke Twp
250
319
3
572
-69
43.71%
55.77%
-12.06%
Sanborn Twp
247
479
8
734
-232
33.65%
65.26%
-31.61%
Wellington Twp
28
50
0
78
-22
35.90%
64.10%
-28.21%
Wilson Twp
272
359
3
634
-87
42.90%
56.62%
-13.72%









Total
3769
7176
117
11062
-3407
34.07%
64.87%
-30.80%

The State Senate district was not as competitive as its geography suggested it could be. Walt North won easily. Redistricting changed this area heavily in 2002.

St. Senate 37th 98
North
Chase
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2311
1689
0
4000
622
57.78%
42.23%
15.55%
Alpena Twp
2032
1317
0
3349
715
60.67%
39.33%
21.35%
Green Twp
216
149
0
365
67
59.18%
40.82%
18.36%
Long Rapids Twp
220
119
0
339
101
64.90%
35.10%
29.79%
Maple Ridge Twp
314
219
0
533
95
58.91%
41.09%
17.82%
Ossineke Twp
364
169
0
533
195
68.29%
31.71%
36.59%
Sanborn Twp
418
252
0
670
166
62.39%
37.61%
24.78%
Wellington Twp
54
21
0
75
33
72.00%
28.00%
44.00%
Wilson Twp
402
179
0
581
223
69.19%
30.81%
38.38%









Total
6331
4114
0
10445
2217
60.61%
39.39%
21.23%

The state rep district I believe was an open seat in 98 and a big win for the dems. Andy Neumann won the seat and held it in 98 and 00, before running for State Senate in 02. He later recaptured the redistricted seat in 08. This one wasn't close in the county, although it was fairly close overall. Ludlow only lost by 1500 votes total. Alpena made the difference for Neumann. (District included Presque Isle, Cheboygan, and Charlevoix Counties as well)

St. Rep 106th 98
Ludlow
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1662
2450
0
4112
-788
40.42%
59.58%
-19.16%
Alpena Twp
1580
2113
0
3693
-533
42.78%
57.22%
-14.43%
Green Twp
170
227
0
397
-57
42.82%
57.18%
-14.36%
Long Rapids Twp
145
215
0
360
-70
40.28%
59.72%
-19.44%
Maple Ridge Twp
243
334
0
577
-91
42.11%
57.89%
-15.77%
Ossineke Twp
274
303
0
577
-29
47.49%
52.51%
-5.03%
Sanborn Twp
305
444
0
749
-139
40.72%
59.28%
-18.56%
Wellington Twp
34
41
0
75
-7
45.33%
54.67%
-9.33%
Wilson Twp
314
323
0
637
-9
49.29%
50.71%
-1.41%









Total
4727
6450
0
11177
-1723
42.29%
57.71%
-15.42%

2000 was close at the top of the ticket in Alpena. Al Gore won by about 300 votes countywide, despite losing most municipalities. The City of Alpena, Alpena Township, and Maple Ridge Township went for Gore, with the rest going for Bush, but those three were enough, and really only the City of Alpena was needed. The three areas are grouped together in the East/Northeast section of the county. Alpena City and Township have most of the votes. Bush won the "red" areas with 56%, but it was 3825 votes. Gore won the blue areas with 53%, but it was 10302 votes.

POTUS
Bush
Gore
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2081
2720
113
4914
-639
42.35%
55.35%
-13.00%
Alpena Twp
2179
2375
94
4648
-196
46.88%
51.10%
-4.22%
Green Twp
289
246
8
543
43
53.22%
45.30%
7.92%
Long Rapids Twp
256
216
13
485
40
52.78%
44.54%
8.25%
Maple Ridge Twp
349
370
21
740
-21
47.16%
50.00%
-2.84%
Ossineke Twp
479
292
19
790
187
60.63%
36.96%
23.67%
Sanborn Twp
534
424
22
980
110
54.49%
43.27%
11.22%
Wellington Twp
70
43
1
114
27
61.40%
37.72%
23.68%
Wilson Twp
532
367
14
913
165
58.27%
40.20%
18.07%









Total
6769
7053
305
14127
-284
47.92%
49.93%
-2.01%

The senate race surprised me here.


Senate 00
Abraham
Stabenow
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2466
2269
121
4856
197
50.78%
46.73%
4.06%
Alpena Twp
2294
1992
79
4365
302
52.55%
45.64%
6.92%
Green Twp
298
219
15
532
79
56.02%
41.17%
14.85%
Long Rapids Twp
259
179
10
448
80
57.81%
39.96%
17.86%
Maple Ridge Twp
356
322
16
694
34
51.30%
46.40%
4.90%
Ossineke Twp
478
249
14
741
229
64.51%
33.60%
30.90%
Sanborn Twp
529
322
23
874
207
60.53%
36.84%
23.68%
Wellington Twp
69
38
3
110
31
62.73%
34.55%
28.18%
Wilson Twp
567
312
21
900
255
63.00%
34.67%
28.33%









Total
7316
5902
302
13520
1414
54.11%
43.65%
10.46%

Stupak won easily again as 2000, although Chuck Yob was the closest challenger since 1994 districtwide.


Congress 1st 00
Yob
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1361
3442
42
4845
-2081
28.09%
71.04%
-42.95%
Alpena Twp
1341
3053
22
4416
-1712
30.37%
69.13%
-38.77%
Green Twp
218
303
2
523
-85
41.68%
57.93%
-16.25%
Long Rapids Twp
200
262
1
463
-62
43.20%
56.59%
-13.39%
Maple Ridge Twp
245
457
5
707
-212
34.65%
64.64%
-29.99%
Ossineke Twp
331
412
3
746
-81
44.37%
55.23%
-10.86%
Sanborn Twp
331
597
7
935
-266
35.40%
63.85%
-28.45%
Wellington Twp
49
61
1
111
-12
44.14%
54.95%
-10.81%
Wilson Twp
378
522
9
909
-144
41.58%
57.43%
-15.84%









Total
4454
9109
92
13655
-4655
32.62%
66.71%
-34.09%

Neumann had an easy re-election in 2000.

St Rep 106
Flanders
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1002
3816
0
4818
-2814
20.80%
79.20%
-58.41%
Alpena Twp
950
3486
0
4436
-2536
21.42%
78.58%
-57.17%
Green Twp
153
363
0
516
-210
29.65%
70.35%
-40.70%
Long Rapids Twp
123
326
0
449
-203
27.39%
72.61%
-45.21%
Maple Ridge Twp
146
554
0
700
-408
20.86%
79.14%
-58.29%
Ossineke Twp
254
489
0
743
-235
34.19%
65.81%
-31.63%
Sanborn Twp
230
702
0
932
-472
24.68%
75.32%
-50.64%
Wellington Twp
32
77
0
109
-45
29.36%
70.64%
-41.28%
Wilson Twp
276
631
0
907
-355
30.43%
69.57%
-39.14%









Total
3166
10444
0
13610
-7278
23.26%
76.74%
-53.48%

2002 was good to Granholm in Alpena County. Many parts of Northern Michigan, especially on the sunrise side (Lake Huron) are state democrats and federal or local republicans. They are more social conservative, but often work for the state with the DNR or Corrections departments. For a good illustration of this, compare 2000, 2002 (Posthumus ran ahead of Bush statewide in 2002), and 2004.


Governor 02
Posthumus
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1459
2362
55
3876
-903
37.64%
60.94%
-23.30%
Alpena Twp
1559
2221
28
3808
-662
40.94%
58.32%
-17.38%
Green Twp
176
212
3
391
-36
45.01%
54.22%
-9.21%
Long Rapids Twp
169
216
2
387
-47
43.67%
55.81%
-12.14%
Maple Ridge Twp
248
347
5
600
-99
41.33%
57.83%
-16.50%
Ossineke Twp
314
262
5
581
52
54.04%
45.09%
8.95%
Sanborn Twp
365
375
2
742
-10
49.19%
50.54%
-1.35%
Wellington Twp
57
39
1
97
18
58.76%
40.21%
18.56%
Wilson Twp
375
357
9
741
18
50.61%
48.18%
2.43%









Total
4722
6391
110
11223
-1669
42.07%
56.95%
-14.87%

The Secretary of State race was closer in the county than it was statewide.


Sec of State 02
Land
Hollowell
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1815
1829
121
3765
-14
48.21%
48.58%
-0.37%
Alpena Twp
1752
1611
39
3402
141
51.50%
47.35%
4.14%
Green Twp
194
171
4
369
23
52.57%
46.34%
6.23%
Long Rapids Twp
131
60
5
196
71
66.84%
30.61%
36.22%
Maple Ridge Twp
266
277
5
548
-11
48.54%
50.55%
-2.01%
Ossineke Twp
329
158
6
493
171
66.73%
32.05%
34.69%
Sanborn Twp
383
277
9
669
106
57.25%
41.41%
15.84%
Wellington Twp
65
27
1
93
38
69.89%
29.03%
40.86%
Wilson Twp
456
233
22
711
223
64.14%
32.77%
31.36%









Total
5391
4643
212
10246
748
52.62%
45.32%
7.30%

The Attorney General Race was the closest in the state.Peters won  Alpena County solidly, although not as much as Granholm did. Mike Cox won statewide by about 5000 votes.


Att. General 02
Cox
Peters
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1539
2128
95
3762
-589
40.91%
56.57%
-15.66%
Alpena Twp
1472
1871
39
3382
-399
43.52%
55.32%
-11.80%
Green Twp
172
190
8
370
-18
46.49%
51.35%
-4.86%
Long Rapids Twp
157
179
6
342
-22
45.91%
52.34%
-6.43%
Maple Ridge Twp
218
317
9
544
-99
40.07%
58.27%
-18.20%
Ossineke Twp
290
221
7
518
69
55.98%
42.66%
13.32%
Sanborn Twp
319
335
6
660
-16
48.33%
50.76%
-2.42%
Wellington Twp
64
25
2
91
39
70.33%
27.47%
42.86%
Wilson Twp
390
304
22
716
86
54.47%
42.46%
12.01%









Total
4621
5570
194
10385
-949
44.50%
53.64%
-9.14%


The US Senate seat was a case of Rocky thrown to the wolves.


US Senate 02
Raczkowski
Lenin
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1025
2795
60
3880
-1770
26.42%
72.04%
-45.62%
Alpena Twp
1070
2499
34
3603
-1429
29.70%
69.36%
-39.66%
Green Twp
131
241
4
376
-110
34.84%
64.10%
-29.26%
Long Rapids Twp
108
246
3
357
-138
30.25%
68.91%
-38.66%
Maple Ridge Twp
162
401
7
570
-239
28.42%
70.35%
-41.93%
Ossineke Twp
254
303
2
559
-49
45.44%
54.20%
-8.77%
Sanborn Twp
232
453
5
690
-221
33.62%
65.65%
-32.03%
Wellington Twp
41
53
1
95
-12
43.16%
55.79%
-12.63%
Wilson Twp
279
451
7
737
-172
37.86%
61.19%
-23.34%









Total
3302
7442
123
10867
-4140
30.39%
68.48%
-38.10%

Redistricting was friendly to Stupak giving him less of the Lake Michigan side and more of the sunrise side which has more Reagan Democrat type of voters that support someone like Stupak. That made the district just that much stronger for Stupak who ran about 10% higher districtwide than he did in the 90's.


Congress 1st 02
Hooper
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
733
3122
38
3893
-2389
18.83%
80.20%
-61.37%
Alpena Twp
779
2840
17
3636
-2061
21.42%
78.11%
-56.68%
Green Twp
108
274
1
383
-166
28.20%
71.54%
-43.34%
Long Rapids Twp
85
276
2
363
-191
23.42%
76.03%
-52.62%
Maple Ridge Twp
122
454
3
579
-332
21.07%
78.41%
-57.34%
Ossineke Twp
200
356
1
557
-156
35.91%
63.91%
-28.01%
Sanborn Twp
164
517
8
689
-353
23.80%
75.04%
-51.23%
Wellington Twp
34
60
1
95
-26
35.79%
63.16%
-27.37%
Wilson Twp
221
508
5
734
-287
30.11%
69.21%
-39.10%









Total
2446
8407
76
10929
-5961
22.38%
76.92%
-54.54%


Redistricting significantly changed the state senate district. The old 37th District covered parts of Northern Lower Michigan and a couple of UP Counties. Alcona, Alger, Alpena, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Emmet, Iosco, Luce, Mackinac, Montmorency, Oscoda, Presque Isle, and Schoolcraft Counties.

The post 2002 36th District covered Alcona, Alpena, Crawford, Gladwin, Iosco, Midland, Montmorency, Ogemaw, Oscoda, and Otsego Counties. It is mostly a different part of North Michigan, and Alpena over in the Saginaw Valley area. It's a tough district for either party due to local ties. Tony Stamas snuck out a victory over Andy Neumann in this open seat. Neumann did his job in Alpena however. Stamas did the same to Neumann in Midland however, and that made the difference in the district.


St Senate 36th 02
Stamas
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
852
3080
0
3932
-2228
21.67%
78.33%
-56.66%
Alpena Twp
914
2876
0
3790
-1962
24.12%
75.88%
-51.77%
Green Twp
111
285
0
396
-174
28.03%
71.97%
-43.94%
Long Rapids Twp
97
290
0
387
-193
25.06%
74.94%
-49.87%
Maple Ridge Twp
125
458
0
583
-333
21.44%
78.56%
-57.12%
Ossineke Twp
226
355
0
581
-129
38.90%
61.10%
-22.20%
Sanborn Twp
196
538
0
734
-342
26.70%
73.30%
-46.59%
Wellington Twp
37
58
0
95
-21
38.95%
61.05%
-22.11%
Wilson Twp
291
451
0
742
-160
39.22%
60.78%
-21.56%









Total
2849
8391
0
11240
-5542
25.35%
74.65%
-49.31%

Stamas actually won that race. That left an opening for state rep.in the 106th District.

The old 106th District covered Alcona, Alpena, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, and Presque Isle counties. The post 2002 106th District covers Alcona, Alpena, Crawford, Montmorency, Oscoda, and Presque Isle. Matt Gillard won a close race districtwide by 500 votes, thanks to his strong showing in Alpena County, which he won by 2900 votes. Both districts are swing districts with a slight local democrat lean. The GOP I think last held the district in the 80's or maybe early 90's, and has been close but no cigar when they go all in for it.


St Rep 106th 02
Wyman
Gillard
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1239
2650
0
3889
-1411
31.86%
68.14%
-36.28%
Alpena Twp
1311
2363
0
3674
-1052
35.68%
64.32%
-28.63%
Green Twp
157
226
0
383
-69
40.99%
59.01%
-18.02%
Long Rapids Twp
149
218
0
367
-69
40.60%
59.40%
-18.80%
Maple Ridge Twp
221
357
0
578
-136
38.24%
61.76%
-23.53%
Ossineke Twp
288
274
0
562
14
51.25%
48.75%
2.49%
Sanborn Twp
277
439
0
716
-162
38.69%
61.31%
-22.63%
Wellington Twp
51
44
0
95
7
53.68%
46.32%
7.37%
Wilson Twp
367
366
0
733
1
50.07%
49.93%
0.14%









Total
4060
6937
0
10997
-2877
36.92%
63.08%
-26.16%

In 2004, Bush somewhat suprisingly won Alpena County. Nothing flipped from 2000 in the municipalities that went red and blue, but Kerry won the same areas Gore won with 51% instead of 53%, and the Bush areas went with almost 58% instead of 56%.


POTUS
Bush
Kerry
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2355
2746
54
5155
-391
45.68%
53.27%
-7.58%
Alpena Twp
2453
2494
40
4987
-41
49.19%
50.01%
-0.82%
Green Twp
345
278
7
630
67
54.76%
44.13%
10.63%
Long Rapids Twp
273
246
2
521
27
52.40%
47.22%
5.18%
Maple Ridge Twp
405
410
6
821
-5
49.33%
49.94%
-0.61%
Ossineke Twp
525
318
6
849
207
61.84%
37.46%
24.38%
Sanborn Twp
598
467
9
1074
131
55.68%
43.48%
12.20%
Wellington Twp
89
43
2
134
46
66.42%
32.09%
34.33%
Wilson Twp
622
405
13
1040
217
59.81%
38.94%
20.87%









Total
7665
7407
139
15211
258
50.39%
48.70%
1.70%

There wasn't coattails however. Stupak won easily, as did Gillard.


Congress 1st 04
Hooper
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1037
3972
74
5083
-2935
20.40%
78.14%
-57.74%
Alpena Twp
1073
3768
55
4896
-2695
21.92%
76.96%
-55.04%
Green Twp
168
434
6
608
-266
27.63%
71.38%
-43.75%
Long Rapids Twp
138
370
2
510
-232
27.06%
72.55%
-45.49%
Maple Ridge Twp
193
603
9
805
-410
23.98%
74.91%
-50.93%
Ossineke Twp
294
525
9
828
-231
35.51%
63.41%
-27.90%
Sanborn Twp
250
792
9
1051
-542
23.79%
75.36%
-51.57%
Wellington Twp
47
85
15
147
-38
31.97%
57.82%
-25.85%
Wilson Twp
335
679
10
1024
-344
32.71%
66.31%
-33.59%









Total
3535
11228
189
14952
-7693
23.64%
75.09%
-51.45%


St Rep 106th 04
Fortier
Gillard
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1559
3530
0
5089
-1971
30.63%
69.37%
-38.73%
Alpena Twp
1573
3365
0
4938
-1792
31.86%
68.14%
-36.29%
Green Twp
249
361
0
610
-112
40.82%
59.18%
-18.36%
Long Rapids Twp
191
324
0
515
-133
37.09%
62.91%
-25.83%
Maple Ridge Twp
285
524
0
809
-239
35.23%
64.77%
-29.54%
Ossineke Twp
474
361
0
835
113
56.77%
43.23%
13.53%
Sanborn Twp
437
621
0
1058
-184
41.30%
58.70%
-17.39%
Wellington Twp
48
85
0
133
-37
36.09%
63.91%
-27.82%
Wilson Twp
504
530
0
1034
-26
48.74%
51.26%
-2.51%









Total
5320
9701
0
15021
-4381
35.42%
64.58%
-29.17%

2006 was a big dem year nationwide, and in Michigan, including Alpena. Granholm won easily.


Governor 06
DeVos
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1369
2511
48
3928
-1142
34.85%
63.93%
-29.07%
Alpena Twp
1443
2559
46
4048
-1116
35.65%
63.22%
-27.57%
Green Twp
209
270
8
487
-61
42.92%
55.44%
-12.53%
Long Rapids Twp
191
243
2
436
-52
43.81%
55.73%
-11.93%
Maple Ridge Twp
250
378
11
639
-128
39.12%
59.15%
-20.03%
Ossineke Twp
349
308
9
666
41
52.40%
46.25%
6.16%
Sanborn Twp
368
462
14
844
-94
43.60%
54.74%
-11.14%
Wellington Twp
64
41
0
105
23
60.95%
39.05%
21.90%
Wilson Twp
446
415
16
877
31
50.86%
47.32%
3.53%









Total
4689
7187
154
12030
-2498
38.98%
59.74%
-20.76%

However, there were two exceptions to the rule. Terri Land and Mike Cox.


Sec of State 06 Land Sabaugh 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2115 1663 90 3868 452 54.68% 42.99% 11.69%
Alpena Twp 2324 1539 52 3915 785 59.36% 39.31% 20.05%
Green Twp 299 171 8 478 128 62.55% 35.77% 26.78%
Long Rapids Twp 284 132 7 423 152 67.14% 31.21% 35.93%
Maple Ridge Twp 368 248 16 632 120 58.23% 39.24% 18.99%
Ossineke Twp 441 206 11 658 235 67.02% 31.31% 35.71%
Sanborn Twp 513 279 22 814 234 63.02% 34.28% 28.75%
Wellington Twp 79 21 1 101 58 78.22% 20.79% 57.43%
Wilson Twp 588 245 16 849 343 69.26% 28.86% 40.40%









Total 7011 4504 223 11738 2507 59.73% 38.37% 21.36%


Mike Cox flipped a county he lost in 02, and won every municipality.


Att. General 06 Cox Williams 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1857 1810 132 3799 47 48.88% 47.64% 1.24%
Alpena Twp 2015 1716 111 3842 299 52.45% 44.66% 7.78%
Green Twp 256 205 5 466 51 54.94% 43.99% 10.94%
Long Rapids Twp 253 154 13 420 99 60.24% 36.67% 23.57%
Maple Ridge Twp 319 266 23 608 53 52.47% 43.75% 8.72%
Ossineke Twp 390 226 29 645 164 60.47% 35.04% 25.43%
Sanborn Twp 449 329 27 805 120 55.78% 40.87% 14.91%
Wellington Twp 66 31 4 101 35 65.35% 30.69% 34.65%
Wilson Twp 513 292 28 833 221 61.58% 35.05% 26.53%









Total 6118 5029 372 11519 1089 53.11% 43.66% 9.45%

Unfortunately, Stabenow won easily.


US Senate 06 Bouchard Stabenow 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1145 2705 70 3920 -1560 29.21% 69.01% -39.80%
Alpena Twp 1284 2700 41 4025 -1416 31.90% 67.08% -35.18%
Green Twp 179 302 5 486 -123 36.83% 62.14% -25.31%
Long Rapids Twp 159 275 2 436 -116 36.47% 63.07% -26.61%
Maple Ridge Twp 202 423 10 635 -221 31.81% 66.61% -34.80%
Ossineke Twp 292 357 17 666 -65 43.84% 53.60% -9.76%
Sanborn Twp 296 529 14 839 -233 35.28% 63.05% -27.77%
Wellington Twp 43 62 4 109 -19 39.45% 56.88% -17.43%
Wilson Twp 371 479 16 866 -108 42.84% 55.31% -12.47%









Total 3971 7832 179 11982 -3861 33.14% 65.36% -32.22%

Stupak continued his winning ways in another rematch with Hooper.


Congress 1st 06 Hooper Stupak 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 722 3127 59 3908 -2405 18.47% 80.02% -61.54%
Alpena Twp 798 3142 58 3998 -2344 19.96% 78.59% -58.63%
Green Twp 126 347 9 482 -221 26.14% 71.99% -45.85%
Long Rapids Twp 115 315 3 433 -200 26.56% 72.75% -46.19%
Maple Ridge Twp 143 480 15 638 -337 22.41% 75.24% -52.82%
Ossineke Twp 201 454 12 667 -253 30.13% 68.07% -37.93%
Sanborn Twp 173 646 14 833 -473 20.77% 77.55% -56.78%
Wellington Twp 34 69 2 105 -35 32.38% 65.71% -33.33%
Wilson Twp 225 598 14 837 -373 26.88% 71.45% -44.56%









Total 2537 9178 186 11901 -6641 21.32% 77.12% -55.80%


Stamas had a much easier time in 2006 as one of the bright spots. He flipped this county after his 2002 race.


St. Senate 36th Stamas Reid 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2387 1484 0 3871 903 61.66% 38.34% 23.33%
Alpena Twp 2532 1416 0 3948 1116 64.13% 35.87% 28.27%
Green Twp 317 182 0 499 135 63.53% 36.47% 27.05%
Long Rapids Twp 303 124 0 427 179 70.96% 29.04% 41.92%
Maple Ridge Twp 386 241 0 627 145 61.56% 38.44% 23.13%
Ossineke Twp 459 200 0 659 259 69.65% 30.35% 39.30%
Sanborn Twp 561 265 0 826 296 67.92% 32.08% 35.84%
Wellington Twp 77 27 0 104 50 74.04% 25.96% 48.08%
Wilson Twp 605 257 0 862 348 70.19% 29.81% 40.37%









Total 7627 4196 0 11823 3431 64.51% 35.49% 29.02%

Gillard easily won his 3rd term.


St Rep 106th 06 Viegelahn Gillard 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 916 2974 0 3890 -2058 23.55% 76.45% -52.90%
Alpena Twp 991 2974 0 3965 -1983 24.99% 75.01% -50.01%
Green Twp 163 311 0 474 -148 34.39% 65.61% -31.22%
Long Rapids Twp 152 270 0 422 -118 36.02% 63.98% -27.96%
Maple Ridge Twp 191 443 0 634 -252 30.13% 69.87% -39.75%
Ossineke Twp 251 406 0 657 -155 38.20% 61.80% -23.59%
Sanborn Twp 217 610 0 827 -393 26.24% 73.76% -47.52%
Wellington Twp 49 53 0 102 -4 48.04% 51.96% -3.92%
Wilson Twp 324 539 0 863 -215 37.54% 62.46% -24.91%









Total 3254 8580 0 11834 -5326 27.50% 72.50% -45.01%

2008 was when the other one dropped. Obama took Alpena County, although narrowly. It was an improvement over 2006, but there's still no points for 2nd place. In order to win the state, Republicans need to win big in the north, and win in places with a lot of conservative democrats and ticket splitters like Alpena County.


POTUS McCain Obama 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2143 2853 71 5067 -710 42.29% 56.31% -14.01%
Alpena Twp 2300 2619 87 5006 -319 45.94% 52.32% -6.37%
Green Twp 337 278 14 629 59 53.58% 44.20% 9.38%
Long Rapids Twp 276 259 7 542 17 50.92% 47.79% 3.14%
Maple Ridge Twp 388 395 20 803 -7 48.32% 49.19% -0.87%
Ossineke Twp 487 335 11 833 152 58.46% 40.22% 18.25%
Sanborn Twp 534 506 15 1055 28 50.62% 47.96% 2.65%
Wellington Twp 70 57 2 129 13 54.26% 44.19% 10.08%
Wilson Twp 590 403 28 1021 187 57.79% 39.47% 18.32%









Total 7125 7705 255 15085 -580 47.23% 51.08% -3.84%

The senate race shows what happens when candidates are thrown to the wolves.


US Senate 08 Hoogendyk Levin 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1256 3556 154 4966 -2300 25.29% 71.61% -46.31%
Alpena Twp 1321 3447 156 4924 -2126 26.83% 70.00% -43.18%
Green Twp 219 373 21 613 -154 35.73% 60.85% -25.12%
Long Rapids Twp 170 342 12 524 -172 32.44% 65.27% -32.82%
Maple Ridge Twp 217 535 29 781 -318 27.78% 68.50% -40.72%
Ossineke Twp 345 455 22 822 -110 41.97% 55.35% -13.38%
Sanborn Twp 324 671 39 1034 -347 31.33% 64.89% -33.56%
Wellington Twp 54 69 4 127 -15 42.52% 54.33% -11.81%
Wilson Twp 372 589 39 1000 -217 37.20% 58.90% -21.70%









Total 4278 10037 476 14791 -5759 28.92% 67.86% -38.94%

Stupak had his toughest opponent since 98 with fellow Yooper and State Rep Tom Casperson, but it did not make a difference. Casperson didn't get the help he needed, and it probably would not have mattered anyway. Stupak is probably the most popular politician up north who isn't the ghost of Dominic Jacobetti.


Congress 1st 08 Casperson Stupak 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1214 3718 91 5023 -2504 24.17% 74.02% -49.85%
Alpena Twp 1301 3601 80 4982 -2300 26.11% 72.28% -46.17%
Green Twp 201 408 13 622 -207 32.32% 65.59% -33.28%
Long Rapids Twp 164 364 9 537 -200 30.54% 67.78% -37.24%
Maple Ridge Twp 212 566 15 793 -354 26.73% 71.37% -44.64%
Ossineke Twp 327 491 12 830 -164 39.40% 59.16% -19.76%
Sanborn Twp 292 734 21 1047 -442 27.89% 70.11% -42.22%
Wellington Twp 45 78 3 126 -33 35.71% 61.90% -26.19%
Wilson Twp 339 653 24 1016 -314 33.37% 64.27% -30.91%









Total 4095 10613 268 14976 -6518 27.34% 70.87% -43.52%

Andy Neumann had one term left as state rep, and ran for it. I think he's setting himself up for another shot at the state senate seat in 2010.Neumann had a tougher race in Alpena County than he did in even 98 for his first term, but still won.


St. Rep 106th 08 Pettalia Neumann 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2188 2737 101 5026 -549 43.53% 54.46% -10.92%
Alpena Twp 2222 2639 113 4974 -417 44.67% 53.06% -8.38%
Green Twp 278 324 18 620 -46 44.84% 52.26% -7.42%
Long Rapids Twp 257 268 8 533 -11 48.22% 50.28% -2.06%
Maple Ridge Twp 334 441 14 789 -107 42.33% 55.89% -13.56%
Ossineke Twp 444 362 19 825 82 53.82% 43.88% 9.94%
Sanborn Twp 501 526 25 1052 -25 47.62% 50.00% -2.38%
Wellington Twp 68 54 4 126 14 53.97% 42.86% 11.11%
Wilson Twp 532 458 22 1012 74 52.57% 45.26% 7.31%









Total 6824 7809 324 14957 -985 45.62% 52.21% -6.59%


2010 will be interesting in Alpena County. Neumann is termed out, as is Stamas. Two seats with an anchor in Alpena County are open. Both are competitive. Bush won both districts, and I think McCain won the state rep district, and possibly the state senate district, although I'm less sure about that one. They are both legitimate swing districts. If Stupak steps down from Congress, that seat is also a swing district.

What surprised me the most with Alpena County is the number of local republicans holding office, even in Maple Ridge and Alpena Townships. The ticket splitting there goes deeper than I thought. This county needs to be contested strongly to keep control of the state senate and to regain control of the state house and district boundaries for 2012.

1 comment:

Allen Reichle said...

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