Sunday, November 13, 2011

State House Redistricting - District 27 (HD-27)

State House - District 27
Current Rep – Ellen Cogen Lipton (D - Huntington Woods)

Declared Candidates:
Dem - Ellen Cogen Lipton (D-Huntington Woods),
GOP - Ezra Drissman (R-Oak Park)

Update 8-30-2012 - Lipton won her primary easilly.

Update 5-25-2012 - Ferndale vs Huntington Woods challenge here. 

2010 Results - Old District (26th)
Ellen Cogen Lipton - 19,245
Michelangelo Fortuna - 8,293

This district is possibly the most socially liberal in the state outside of Ann Arbor City Limits. It's also possibly the most democrat white majority district outside of maybe Ann Arbor.

The old district covers Berkley, part of Oak Park, Huntington Woods, Ferndale, Hazel Park, and Pleasant Ridge. It keeps all of these areas, and adds the rest of Oak Park and tiny Royal Oak Township. Royal Oak Township is not Royal Oak. It's for intents and purposes an unofficial extension of the City of Detroit into Oakland County. 8 Mile and Wyoming area.

The old district was at least 70% democrat. The new district is even more democrat as the new areas added are all majority black. I think if demographic changes continue in Ferndale and to a lesser extent Hazel Park, it is possible for a major cultural clash in the primary between the upper middle class liberals in Huntington Woods and Pleasant Ridge (Jim Blanchard country) and gays (Ferndale currently), and the black ex-Detroiters. That would probably be more 10 years down the line, but it is something to watch in the future. Oak Park and Ferndale combined are about 1/2 of the new district.

The primary is the election here.


McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 3560 5715 9275 -2155 38.38% 61.62% -23.23%
Ferndale 2621 8532 11153 -5911 23.50% 76.50% -53.00%
Hazel Park 2279 4461 6740 -2182 33.81% 66.19% -32.37%
Huntington Woods 1041 3255 4296 -2214 24.23% 75.77% -51.54%
Oak Park 2597 13836 16433 -11239 15.80% 84.20% -68.39%
Pleasant Ridge 512 1311 1823 -799 28.09% 71.91% -43.83%
Royal Oak Twp 16 1528 1544 -1512 1.04% 98.96% -97.93%
Total 12626 38638 51264 -26012 24.63% 75.37% -50.74%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 4315 5027 9342 -712 46.19% 53.81% -7.62%
Ferndale 3456 7637 11093 -4181 31.15% 68.85% -37.69%
Hazel Park 2780 4412 7192 -1632 38.65% 61.35% -22.69%
Huntington Woods 1236 3068 4304 -1832 28.72% 71.28% -42.57%
Oak Park 3120 12095 15215 -8975 20.51% 79.49% -58.99%
Pleasant Ridge 658 1140 1798 -482 36.60% 63.40% -26.81%
Royal Oak Twp 84 1683 1767 -1599 4.75% 95.25% -90.49%
Total 15649 35062 50711 -19413 30.86% 69.14% -38.28%








Last St House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Oakland County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Berkley 2544 3000 5544 -456 45.89% 54.11% -8.23%
Ferndale 1823 4375 6198 -2552 29.41% 70.59% -41.17%
Hazel Park 1326 1851 3177 -525 41.74% 58.26% -16.53%
Huntington Woods 746 2412 3158 -1666 23.62% 76.38% -52.75%
Oak Park 1410 6772 8182 -5362 17.23% 82.77% -65.53%
Pleasant Ridge 444 835 1279 -391 34.71% 65.29% -30.57%
Royal Oak Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 8293 19245 27538 -10952 30.11% 69.89% -39.77%

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