Saturday, May 21, 2005

Monroe County

Monroe County:
Location – Southeastern Michigan
Population – 145,945 (2000 Census)
Demographics – 95.42% White, 1.90% Black, .28% American Indian, .47% Asian, .62% Some other Race, 1.31% Two or more races, 2.13% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Monroe (pop 22,076)

Monroe County is a swing county in the Southeastern corner of Michigan. It is between Toledo and Detroit’s Downriver suburbs on I-75, and rural going towards Ann Arbor on US-23. It’s heavily Catholic, but also has a bit of a Southern influence. Monroe is socially conservative and also very pro-2nd amendment (lenient on CCW permits even before the 2000 law change), but has a strong populist streak. This is John Dingell country.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressmen:
15th District – John Dingell (D)

State Senators:
17th District – Beverly Hammerstrom (R)

State Representative:
55th District – Kathy Angerger (D) – Bedford, Dundee, Erie, Milan, Summerfield, and Whiteford Townships. Cities of Milan and Petersberg.
56th District – Vacant – Ash, Berlin, Exeter, Frenchtown, Ida, LaSalle, London, Monroe, and Raisinville townships, Cities of Monroe and Luna Pier.

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 64.95%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 35.05%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 68.16%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 30.30%
Attorney General - Jennifer Granholm (D) – 52.78%, John Smietanka (R) – 47.22%

Congress:
16th District – John Dingell (D) – 65.96%, William Morse (R) – 32.28%

State Senators:
17th District – Beverly Hammerstrom (R) – 52.27%, Lynn Owen (D) – 47.73%

State Representative:
55th District – Gene DeRossett (R) – 54.89%, Donald Earhart (D) – 45.11%
56th District – Randy Richardville (R) – 51.55%, Larry Rufledge (D) – 48.45%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate - Debbie Stabenow (D) – 48.71%, Spence Abraham (R) – 48.42%
Congress:
16th District – John Dingell (D) – 69.11%, William Morse (R) – 28.76%

State Representative:
55th District – Gene DeRossett (R) – 53.97%, – Kenneth Paperhagen (D) – 46.03%
56th District – Randy Richardville (R) – 50.42%, Herb Kehrl (D) – 47.52%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Dick Posthumus (R) – 51.17%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 47.75%
Secretary of State - Terri Lynn Land (R) – 57.31%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 40.26%
Attorney General – Mike Cox (R) – 48.81%, Gary Peters (D) – 48.48%
US Senate - Carl Levin (D) – 62.45%, Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 36.08%
Congress:
15th District – John Dingell (D) – 69.88%, Martin Kalterbach (R) – 28.79%

State Senate:
17th District – Beverly Hammerstrom (R) – 58.24%, Sharon LeMasters (D) – 41.76%

State Representative:
55th District – Matt Milosch (R) – 54.90%, Gail Hauser-Hurley (D) – 45.10%
56th District – Randy Richardville (R) – 65.84%, Joshua Sacks (D) – 34.16%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
15th District – John Dingell (D) – 66.79%, Dawn Ann Reamer (D) – 31.20%

State Representative:
55th District – Matt Milosch (R) - 51.64%, Kathy Angerer (D) – 48.36%
56th District – Herb Kerhl (D) – 49.11%, John Manor (R) – 47.10%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.

MONROE COUNTY
2000 – Bush - 28970 (46.86%), Gore – 31555 - (51.04%)
2004 – Bush – 39470 (50.54%), Kerry – 36089 – (48.68%)

Ash Township
2000 - 1410 (45.26%), 1643 (52.74%)
2004 – 1798 (50.34%), 1742 (48.77%)

Bedford Township
2000 - 6900 (51.49%), 6242 (46.58%)
2004 – 8761 (52.68%), 7776 (46.75%)

Berlin Township
2000 - 1485 (46.20%), 1650 (51.34%)
2004 – 2100 (49.72%), 2092 (49.53%)

Dundee Township
2000 - 1203 (49.22%), 1178 (48.20%)
2004 – 1666 (55.18%), 1331 (44.09%)

Erie Township
2000 - 921 (44.19%), 1112 (53.36%)
2004 – 1118 (46.97%), 1237 (51.97%)

Exeter Township
2000 – 734 (46.60%), 803 (50.98%)
2004 – 1010 (51.79%), 928 (47.59%)

Frenchtown Township
2000 - 3174 (41.51%), 4276 (55.92%)
2004 – 4313 (46.14%), 4968 (53.15%)

Ida Township
2000 - 1281 (55.99%), 960 (41.96%)
2004 – 1532 (57.57%), 1105 (41.53%)

La Salle Township
2000 – 1245 (52.66%), 1064 (45.01%)
2004 – 1451 (54.41%), 1192 (44.69%)

London Township
2000 - 453 (39.36%), 670 (58.21%)
2004 – 646 (44.04%), 805 (54.87%)

Luna Pier City
2000 - 210 (35.23%), 367 (61.58%)
2004 – 323 (45.11%), 388 (54.19%)

Milan City
2000 - 252 (39.87%), 361 (57.12%)
2004 – 432 (48.16%), 458 (51.06%)

Milan Township
2000 - 433 (49.32%), 424 (48.29%)
2004 – 469 (51.31%), 433 (47.37%)

Monroe City
2000 - 3622 (40.90%), 5089 (57.46%)
2004 – 4462 (45.97%), 5146 (53.02%)

Monroe Township
2000 - 2195 (41.68%), 2982 (56.63%)
2004 – 3111 (47.94%), 3336 (51.40%)

Petersburg City
2000 - 225 (48.81%), 228 (49.46%)
2004 – 274 (51.80%), 252 (47.64%)

Raisinville Township
2000 - 1264 (52.89%), 1074 (44.94%)
2004 – 1647 (56.83%), 1230 (42.79%)

Summerfield Township
2000 - 686 (51.12%), 627 (46.72%)
2004 – 938 (56.37%), 712 (42.79%)

Whiteford Township
2000 - 1247 (59.58%), 806 (38.51%)
2004 – 1416 (59.20%), 955 (39.92%)

Monroe County is the epidomy of a swing county, voting for Engler, Gore, Stabenow, Posthumus, Bush, and both parties for state representative distrcts. Western Monroe County (outside of Milan/London Twp) is more Republican, and Eastern Monroe County is more democrat. Berlin Townships is almost an extension of “Downriver” bodering Rockwood. Ash borders Wayne County as well. It flipped to Bush, as did Ash, Petersburg and Exeter. Frenchtown Township Northeast of Monroe is actually more democrat than the City. Bedford Township is fast growning North of Toledo near US 23 and is slightly GOP leaning. Bush gained in most of the county, especially Monroe City in 2004, causing the county to flip.

There will probably be a special election at some point to cover three vancancies, all of which were held by democrats. St Senator Virg Bernero became Lansing Mayor. Clarence Phillips won a Pontiac mayoralship, and Herb Kehrl unfortunatly passed away due to a tumor. Kehrl’s seat is currently vacant.

The dems targeted Milosch (A libertarian Republican in a populist district), and won his district by 319 votes. Bush may have helped Milosch in Monroe, but killed him in Pittsfield township in Washtenaw County. Kathy Angerer did a strong balancing act in her effort since Monroe County democrats are much more conservative on social issues than Pittsfield Township Democrats. She ran as a pro-2a democrat. Kerry won the district with 50.22%. The other district is the 56th District which is based in the city of Monroe. Herb Kehrl, who ran as a pro-2a democrat, took this one by 883 votes.
Every major race will be competitive in Monroe County, from the governor’s race down to the state house races. The State Senate will be a tough fought open seat. Redistricting centered the 55th in Monroe instead of Washtenaw County, while centering the 56th in Monroe City. The state senate district is centered on Monroe County as well, although contains parts of Jackson and Washtenaw counties.

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