Current Rep – Open
(Dr. Roger Kahn termed out)
2010 Results - Old District (32nd)
Roger Kahn - 43,577
Debasish Mridha - 32,692
This district got more democrat. It dropped slightly GOP leaning Gratiot County and picked up parts of Genesee County. It was a swing district that leaned democrat at the top of the ticket, although it was held by Republicans Mike Goschka (famous for defeating then Speaker Lew Dodak) and Roger Kahn. The old district covered Saginaw and Gratiot counties. This one picked up parts of Genesee County. I think this was sacrificed to help Mike Green and Phil Pavlov without violating the APOL standards.
This district isn't impossible to win, but much tougher than it was. The best news is that there are some fairly strong republicans areas in this district, mainly in Frankenmuth, Fenton, Argentine and some of the NW Townships in Saginaw County. Some good news is that most of the white democrats here are more of the same blue collar folks in the 31st district.. Those voters are winnable in the right circumstances. The bad news is Saginaw, Buena Vista, Bridgeport, Montrose, and Carrollton. Those are almost always solid democrat no matter what (Kahn actually won Carrollton by 1 vote, but that's an aberration as its usually 60%). This is winnable with the right matchups. It will take another Mike Goschka or Roger Kahn type to win (Kahn's termed out). State Rep Ken Horn is rumored to be a possible candidate. He might be able to do it if he can pick up some of the "Gleason/Barcia" democrats against a Saginaw City democrat. It'll be a tough go, and on paper this seat favors the dems. Even John Kerry won here. This will be one of our toughest defenses.
|Last St Senate||GOP||Dem||Total||Diff||GOP||DEM||Diff|