Sunday, October 16, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 34 (SD-34)

State Senate - District 34
Current Rep – Goeff Hansen (R-Hart)


2010 Results - Old District (34st)
Goeff Hansen - 49,065
Mary Valentine - 33,261

This district got tougher due to population growth. It dropped competitive but somewhat leaning Mason County and otherwise stays the same. Muskegon County tilts heavily Democrat and is the base of the district. Goeff Hansen and Gerald Van Woerkom won the district that includes this and Mason County. In Van Woerkom's case, it was 1400 votes in 2006, and 950 votes in 2002. This will be one of our toughest defenses in 2014. 2010 was an aberration, even with Hansen showing himself to be an excellent candidate.

Newaygo County is heavily GOP. Oceana County leans GOP slightly (and is the home of Hansen) but is competitive with the Mexican population there. Muskegon County is heavily union with a sizable black population, although many of the white areas have some democrat leanings there as well.

Obama won this district easily with a 24,000 vote spread. Kerry won it with 3100 vote spread. If this district didn't go GOP three straight times downticket (old district was much different), than I'd say it leans democrat. It does at the top, but is winnable downticket. It's a swing district.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Muskegon County 29145 53821 82966 -24676 35.13% 64.87% -29.74%
Newaygo County 11862 10790 22652 1072 52.37% 47.63% 4.73%
Oceana County 5860 6405 12265 -545 47.78% 52.22% -4.44%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 46867 71016 117883 -24149 39.76% 60.24% -20.49%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Muskegon County 35302 44282 79584 -8980 44.36% 55.64% -11.28%
Newaygo County 13608 9057 22665 4551 60.04% 39.96% 20.08%
Oceana County 6677 5441 12118 1236 55.10% 44.90% 10.20%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 55587 58780 114367 -3193 48.60% 51.40% -2.79%








Last St Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Muskegon County 25749 23859 49608 1890 51.90% 48.10% 3.81%
Newaygo County 10493 3969 14462 6524 72.56% 27.44% 45.11%
Oceana County 6030 2230 8260 3800 73.00% 27.00% 46.00%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 42272 30058 72330 12214 58.44% 41.56% 16.89%

No comments: