Current Rep – Bruce Caswell (R-Adams Twp)
2010 Results - Old District (16th)
Bruce Caswell - 47,504
Doug Spade - 26,181
This district changed dramatically back to something similar to the 1990's era district. Lenawee County was dropped to the 17th district. St Joseph County goes to the 21st. They instead pick up all of Jackson County from the 19th and 17th districts. Hillsdale and Branch Counties keep this a Republican leaning district. Jackson is a competitive county every election, although Republicans win it more than democrats, albeit the numbers are narrow every election.
The numbers may not show it, but Caswell actually beat a strong opponent in Doug Spade. The Spades have represented Lenawee County for 12 years as state reps, replacing Tim Walberg who is now in Congress. The GOP finally took the state rep district there back in 2010. The big numbers in the Caswell race is due to Hillsdale and Branch Counties being GOP strongholds. They ran almost even up in Lenawee County despite 2010 being a blowout year.
Overall, this is a safe GOP district outside of an absolute disaster. Even McCain won it. Jackson County could flip in a bad year, but Hillsdale and Branch should offset any voting deficits there. Jackson's state rep districts flipped back to the GOP too, so the farm club there is weak for the dems.
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