Saturday, July 30, 2011

State Senate Redistricting - District 21 (SD-21)

State Senate - District 21
Current Rep – John Proos (R-St Joseph)

2010 Results - Old District (21st)
John Proos - 49,818
Scott Elliot - 25,062

This district changed but is still centered on Berrien County. It keeps Cass County as well, but loses it's portion of Van Buren County to the 26th District. It also adds St Josepth County which was in the 16th District. It still leans Republican, although Cass County and Berrien County can sometimes be competitive due to Dowagiac, Cassopolis, and Vandalia in the former, and Benton Harbor and Niles in the latter. Benton Harbor in particular is a democrat stronghold, but is outvoted by the rest of the county. Some state rep races were much closer in this area than they should have been in 06 and 08.

This isn't completely safe, but this district certain leans GOP, 2008 numbers notwithstanding. Even in that year, the state rep districts here didn't flip. 08 was a perfect storm for SW Michigan. Minorities in Benton Harbor, Cassopolis, and Vandalia. Chicago influence on Lake Michigan Coast. Chicago is about a hour away from New Buffalo. Proos survived 08 by over 6000 votes despite straight ticket voting Benton Harbor and Benton Twp. That's despite the other state rep district in Berrien County being extremely close. Proos won't be easy for the dems to take out, especially in non presidential years with no Obama on the ticket.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Berrien County 36130 40381 76511 -4251 47.22% 52.78% -5.56%
Cass County 11114 12083 23197 -969 47.91% 52.09% -4.18%
St Joseph County 12886 12322 25208 564 51.12% 48.88% 2.24%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 60130 64786 124916 -4656 48.14% 51.86% -3.73%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Berrien County 41076 32846 73922 8230 55.57% 44.43% 11.13%
Cass County 12964 9537 22501 3427 57.62% 42.38% 15.23%
St Joseph County 15340 9648 24988 5692 61.39% 38.61% 22.78%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 69380 52031 121411 17349 57.14% 42.86% 14.29%








Last St Senate GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Berrien County 30915 14554 45469 16361 67.99% 32.01% 35.98%
Cass County 9124 4681 13805 4443 66.09% 33.91% 32.18%
St Joseph County

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 40039 19235 59274 20804 67.55% 32.45% 35.10%

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