Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Bert Johnson still going to primary Conyers

With Clarke and Conyers switching districts, it's going to be smooth sailing right?

Maybe not. Highland Park State Senator Bert Johnson is going to primary Conyers anyway, no matter which district he runs. How this effects the race will be unknown.

From the Detroit news

State Sen. Bert Johnson, D-Highland Park, announced Friday he'll run for Congress in the 13th District.

The decision follows a move Sunday by freshman Rep. Hansen Clarke, D-Detroit, to run in the 14th District rather than his current 13th. Rep. John Conyers, the current 14th District representative, has not announced his intention, but it's expected he'll run in Clarke's 13th.

The swap by the two congressmen occurs after redistricting maps were approved recently by Gov. Rick Snyder. The new maps drastically changed the shape of the Detroit districts, and a switch would allow Clarke and Conyers to better align with their constituencies.

"I am indeed running," Johnson said on the "First Shift with Tony Trupiano Show" on WDTW-AM (1310).

"… It will be the 13th Congressional District."

Johnson had originally said he would run against Conyers in the 14th District, which includes part of Detroit, the Grosse Pointes and parts of Oakland County. The shift to the 13th includes the west side of Detroit, his hometown of Highland Park and parts of western Wayne County.

Johnson has a felony on his record. Robbery related. He was 19 at the time. I think he's 34 or 35 now. It'll be an issue, but it was a long time ago.

The big question to his chances is who else jumps in. In a one-on-one matchup between the two, I think the key will be the white ethnics and suburban blacks in the district. Westland, Redford, Garden City. Who sells there. They aren't Conyers voters. They are Glenn Anderson, Richard LeBlanc, Jim Plakus, and Eileen DeHart voters (I'd like to see DeHart or LeBlanc run). They prefer union democrats with more moderate reputations. Will they vote for Johnson with his record? Usually no. Over Conyers? That's an interesting decision. This isn't a Brenda Lawrence type of challenge here.

At worst, there's a choice. I don't think there will be many voting record differences between Johnson or Conyers. I think Conyers will survive, but who knows what will happen. I hope they all spend a ton of money in the primary. That's how Republicans would win in this race.

1 comment:

Communications guru said...

If it wasn’t issue, you would not have brought it up. The good news is that it didn’t work when you tried when he ran for the state House, and it’s not going to work now.