State House - District 40
Current Reps - Open or Lisa Brown (D-West Bloomfield), Chuck Moss termed out.
Declared Candidates:
Rep - Michael McCready (R-Bloomfield Hills),
Dem - Dorion Coston (D-West Bloomfield)
Update 5-26-2012 - Four way primary here for an open seat. Brown's not running here either. Potts is probably a favorite to win being a county commissioner, but others aren't rookies. Lawrence is on the school board, McCready is on Bloomfield Hills City Commission and an ex-mayor. Wolkinson is the only candidate from West Bloomfield. This is going to be a primary to watch.
Update 8-30-2012 - Michael McCready wins the tough four way primary with several strong candidates. Big win for him, and he'll be favored in the general, although this is not a gimme of a district.
2010 Results - Old District (39th)
Lisa Brown - 17,137
Lois Shulman - 17,051
Old District (40th)
Chuck Moss - 27,622
Julie Chandler - 13,346
This district become much more potentially competitive. The old district covers Birmingham, Bloomfield Hills, Bloomfield Township, Keego Harbor, Sylvan Lake, Orchard Lake, and Southfield Twp. It drops Keego Harbor, Sylvan Lake, and Orchard Lake to the 29th District, Southfield Township to the 35th District, and adds Eastern West Bloomfield to the district.
Bloomfield Hills and Bloomfield Township are solidly Republican. Birmingham leans our way but can be competitive. This portion of West Bloomfield is extremely democrat. Dave's Redistricting has this seat at a little over 52% for Obama. On paper, this district is like the new 39th in partisanship, but I think this is the weaker district now. Bloomfield Hills and Bloomfield Township's population demographics are slightly less favorable than Commerce Township.
I do think this district should stay ours, but I'm not going to count this one for us in 2012 just yet.
Showing posts with label Lisa Brown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lisa Brown. Show all posts
Friday, November 25, 2011
State House Redistricting - District 39 (HD-39)
State House - District 39
Current Reps - Open or Lisa Brown (D-West Bloomfield)
Declared Candidates:
Rep - Klint Kesto (R-Commerce),
Dem - Pam Jackson (D-Commerce)
Update 5-26-2012 - Interesting matchups. There's a primary on both sides. I think this open seat leans slightly GOP without Brown, but with a six way primary, this is going to be interesting. Jackson on the dem side ran for state senate in 2010. She lost big, but that was partly due to the district and the year.
Update 8-30-2012 - Pam Jackson and Klint Kesto won the primaries. This one I think should stay ours, but keep an eye on it.
2010 Results - Old District (39th)
Lisa Brown - 17,137
Lois Shulman - 17,051
Redistricting split West Bloomfield more as a East/West split instead of a North/South split so I'm not sure if Brown is in the 39th or 40th district.
This race has been down to the wire the last three elections. West Bloomfield is usually solidly democrat and Commerce Township is usually solidly Republican. The new district adds Wixom and takes slightly less of West Bloomfield. Wixom used to be leaning republican, but went democrat in 2008 due to a high turnout in the apartments area. Wixom is split politically with the republican north and the democrat south.
Dave's redistricting has this seat at about 52% Obama. I think the Dem/GOP numbers in reality are lower than that. In an "average" year, West Bloomfield is about 56% dem overall and Wixom probably 54-55% GOP. The parts of West Bloomfield dropped from the old district run about 65%+ Obama. I wouldn't be surprised if the GOP takes this seat in 2012.
Current Reps - Open or Lisa Brown (D-West Bloomfield)
Declared Candidates:
Rep - Klint Kesto (R-Commerce),
Dem - Pam Jackson (D-Commerce)
Update 5-26-2012 - Interesting matchups. There's a primary on both sides. I think this open seat leans slightly GOP without Brown, but with a six way primary, this is going to be interesting. Jackson on the dem side ran for state senate in 2010. She lost big, but that was partly due to the district and the year.
Update 8-30-2012 - Pam Jackson and Klint Kesto won the primaries. This one I think should stay ours, but keep an eye on it.
2010 Results - Old District (39th)
Lisa Brown - 17,137
Lois Shulman - 17,051
Redistricting split West Bloomfield more as a East/West split instead of a North/South split so I'm not sure if Brown is in the 39th or 40th district.
This race has been down to the wire the last three elections. West Bloomfield is usually solidly democrat and Commerce Township is usually solidly Republican. The new district adds Wixom and takes slightly less of West Bloomfield. Wixom used to be leaning republican, but went democrat in 2008 due to a high turnout in the apartments area. Wixom is split politically with the republican north and the democrat south.
Dave's redistricting has this seat at about 52% Obama. I think the Dem/GOP numbers in reality are lower than that. In an "average" year, West Bloomfield is about 56% dem overall and Wixom probably 54-55% GOP. The parts of West Bloomfield dropped from the old district run about 65%+ Obama. I wouldn't be surprised if the GOP takes this seat in 2012.
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