Saturday, July 02, 2011
Congressional District 13 - Redistricted (MI-13)
Incumbent - Hansen Clarke (D-Detroit)
Years in office as of 2012 election - 2
The old 13th district information is here.
This is one of two black majority voting rights act districts in Michigan. I'm not going to run the numbers because Detroit itself is 93-95% democrat. Detroit's population keeps dropping, but it's still about 1/2 of the district. My guess is that Clarke will win with about 80% of the vote each election.
The old 13th district was Detroit, the Grosse Pointes, Harper Woods and much of downriver. The Pointes go to John Conyers. Most of Downriver goes to Dingell. Clarke picks up Highland Park, and has the only part of Downriver still in this district - Melvindale, Ecorse, and River Rouge which are all heavily minority.
Clarke picks up from McCotter Redford, Dearborn Heights, Westland, Garden City, and Wayne. He picks up Inkster, Romulus, and another part of Dearborn Heights from Dingell. All of those areas are blue sinks, and are gaining in minority population.
This and the Conyers 14th district are safest for democrats in Michigan.
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