Congressional District 5 - Updated 2013 (MI-05)

2014 Update:
GOP is running Allen Hardwick (R-Ypsilanti) and Tom Whitmire (R-Flushing) to challenge Dan Kildee. While you don't have to live in the district to run for Congress, I think it's real bad form to run for a seat 50 miles from where you live. That would be like me running in Levin's seat.

This district is a real tough go anyway and it will take a Bill Jefferson or Dan Rostenkowski situation to win this district.

MI-05 Update - 2013

The 2011 Update is here.

The 2010 Update is here.

Incumbent – Daniel Kildee (D-Flint Twp)
Years in office as of 2014 election - 2
Challengers – Allen Hardwick (R-Ypsilanti) and Tom Whitmire (R-Flushing)

2012:

Jim Slezak – 103931 – 31.48%

Daniel Kildee  – 214531 – 64.98%

-110600 vote difference

Romney – 130421 votes – 38.35%

Obama – 206294 votes – 60.66%

-75873 vote difference.

2008:

McCain – 130127 votes – 35.40%

Obama – 231432 votes – 62.97%

-101305 vote difference

2004:

Bush – 147774 votes – 40.96%

Kerry – 210205 votes – 58.26%

-62431 vote difference

This district is mostly a blue sink with some bridges and county split avoidances. Like the 2002 similar district, Genesee County is kept whole while Saginaw County is split. Bay County is made whole this time along with marginal swing counties of Iosco and Arenac which the mapmakers wanted to take away from Benishek. Tuscola County was split some as Candice Miller needed to take more of the thumb as Levin’s district expanded.

Genesee County dominates the district. It’s either the 2^nd or 3^rd most Democrat county in the state in any given year. That’s due to Flint along with most of its suburbs which are also blue. The bluest parts of Saginaw County are also in this district, as is the more moderate but yellow dog Bay County. Tuscola County is the bridge between Saginaw and Genesee as Birch Run was put in Camp’s district to give him Frankenmuth.

This is a safe D district, and you’ll see how safe it is, despite Dale Kildee’s (Dan’s uncle) scare in the wave year. Between Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, Mount Morris, and Buena Vista, it would take the perfect storm to win.

For the map, I’ll use the same color code, except that I’ll replace the black with dark blue for 70% d areas.

70%+Dem – Dark Blue

60%-69.99% - Blue

55%-59.99% - Slate Blue

50%-54.99% - Light Sky Blue

Less than 50% - Gold

R wins:

70%+Rep – Firebrick

60-69.99% - Red

55-59.99% - Orange Red

50-54.99% - Salmon

Less than 50% - Yellow

Iosco and Arenac are somewhat similar swing counties. Iosco is more apt to go Republican, although Romney won Arenac, something Bush was unable to do (lost by 5 votes in 04). These are populist counties which prefer Joel Sheltrown or Jim Barcia democrats compared to national democrats. Most of Iosco County is a swing area, although the GOP is strong in Alabaster Twp and Tawas while the dems are strong in Au Sable, Whittemore/Burleigh Twp, and Grant Twp. Arenac is mostly swing as well, but Adams Twp is a deep red island in an otherwise competitive area.  Deep River Twp (Sterling), Arenac Twp/Omer, and Standish Twp (east of Standish) are strong dem areas, usually stronger than in 2012.

Bay County is a yellow dog county most of the time. It’s competitive outside of the city area itself, but outside of 2012, the dems usually win that too. Pinconning, Fraser Twp, and Hampton Twp are usually much more dem than they were in 2012. Those are often 55%+. Bay City is the big dem stronghold. It was again 60%+ in 2012. Romney held the dems to 52.22%. I think we are slowly gaining some ground here. Kerry had 54% and Obama 08 had 56.75%

South of there is part of Saginaw County. Most of the county is in the 4^th, but the major dem parts are here. Blumfield Twp is 70%R and similar to Frankenmuth in voting, and Saginaw Twp can go either way overall, but leans slightly R. That’s the mix of precincts west of the city. Saginaw itself is just getting worse by percentage as whites leave town. 74.02% Kerry to 79.80% Obama to 81.01% Obama. Romney had 400 less votes than McCain. Obama had a 1000 less vote spread anyway, but that’s what makes the county go blue. Bridgeport and Carrolton are going to be more and more trouble as well with migration. Buena Vista Twp is black majority and an extension of East Saginaw.

East of there is a small part of Tuscola County mostly as a bridge to Genesee County so Camp could get Frankenmuth. There’s some strong GOP townships there, as well as dem Arbela twp.

Genesee County shows the story of this district. Flint is 89.03% Democrat now, up from 83.07% in 04 and even 88.13% in 08. Flint Twp just broke 70% D and is going to soon be another Mt Morris Twp (79.69%) due to migration. Romney had less votes countywide than McCain. Most of the light blue areas are just that. Blue. Flushing, Gaines, and Clayton Townships are winnable. Bush won it. Grand Blanc may be gone with migration, but I wouldn’t give up on it just yet. We’re bleeding badly in Davison. Obama broke 60% there which he didn’t do in 08. In this county, the key is to get what we can and win the Southern part of the County. Fenton, Linden, Argentine, Atlas Twp, and hopefully still Grand Blanc. Flushing is another major area. We also need to stop the bleeding in Davison (Michael Moore’s homeown).

Hopefully some more ground can be made up here with the auto bailout being less of an issue with Obama gone. Bush got this district under 60% Dem and in order to win statewide, that needs to be done again.  

District 5	Romney	Obama	Total	Diff	GOP	DEM
Arenac County
Adams Twp	180	92	274	88	65.69%	33.58%
Arenac Twp	192	233	433	-41	44.34%	53.81%
Au Gres	257	202	468	55	54.91%	43.16%
Au Gres Twp	306	248	560	58	54.64%	44.29%
Clayton Twp	202	245	458	-43	44.10%	53.49%
Deep River Twp	507	528	1052	-21	48.19%	50.19%
Lincoln Twp	228	183	417	45	54.68%	43.88%
Mason Twp	187	171	360	16	51.94%	47.50%
Moffatt Twp	354	300	667	54	53.07%	44.98%
Omer	43	74	119	-31	36.13%	62.18%
Sims Twp	379	281	666	98	56.91%	42.19%
Standish	307	251	571	56	53.77%	43.96%
Standish Twp	423	478	914	-55	46.28%	52.30%
Turner Twp	146	118	268	28	54.48%	44.03%
Whitney Twp	346	265	614	81	56.35%	43.16%
Total	4057	3669	7841	388	51.74%	46.79%
Bay County
Auburn	635	483	1132	152	56.10%	42.67%
Bangor Twp	3749	4115	7932	-366	47.26%	51.88%
Bay City	5029	8773	13949	-3744	36.05%	62.89%
Beaver Twp	797	635	1448	162	55.04%	43.85%
Essexville	906	1062	1992	-156	45.48%	53.31%
Frankenlust Twp	1370	718	2105	652	65.08%	34.11%
Fraser Twp	801	863	1694	-62	47.28%	50.94%
Garfield Twp	455	445	919	10	49.51%	48.42%
Gibson Twp	267	257	533	10	50.09%	48.22%
Hampton Twp	2195	2630	4889	-435	44.90%	53.79%
Kawkawlin Twp	1272	1169	2467	103	51.56%	47.39%
Merritt Twp	448	363	819	85	54.70%	44.32%
Midland	23	30	54	-7	42.59%	55.56%
Monitor Twp	3388	2882	6332	506	53.51%	45.51%
Mount Forest Twp	367	317	695	50	52.81%	45.61%
Pinconning	257	309	577	-52	44.54%	53.55%
Pinconning Twp	609	617	1237	-8	49.23%	49.88%
Portsmouth Twp	852	1060	1936	-208	44.01%	54.75%
Williams Twp	1491	1149	2671	342	55.82%	43.02%
Total	24911	27877	53381	-2966	46.67%	52.22%
Genesee County
Argentine Twp	1871	1502	3422	369	54.68%	43.89%
Atlas Twp	2655	1978	4670	677	56.85%	42.36%
Burton	4834	8348	13344	-3514	36.23%	62.56%
Clayton Twp	1991	2197	4240	-206	46.96%	51.82%
Clio	403	654	1069	-251	37.70%	61.18%
Davison	1004	1620	2659	-616	37.76%	60.93%
Davison Twp	4628	5457	10182	-829	45.45%	53.59%
Fenton	2809	2751	5630	58	49.89%	48.86%
Fenton Twp	5280	3786	9143	1494	57.75%	41.41%
Flint	4111	35630	40018	-31519	10.27%	89.03%
Flint Twp	4268	10463	14838	-6195	28.76%	70.51%
Flushing	2328	2476	4833	-148	48.17%	51.23%
Flushing Twp	2842	3078	5980	-236	47.53%	51.47%
Forest Twp	1114	1371	2513	-257	44.33%	54.56%
Gaines Twp	1763	1987	3781	-224	46.63%	52.55%
Genesee Twp	3122	6636	9898	-3514	31.54%	67.04%
Grand Blanc	2006	2261	4302	-255	46.63%	52.56%
Grand Blanc Twp	8785	10565	19502	-1780	45.05%	54.17%
Linden	1181	951	2149	230	54.96%	44.25%
Montrose	282	419	719	-137	39.22%	58.28%
Montrose Twp	1233	1647	2923	-414	42.18%	56.35%
Mount Morris	324	848	1192	-524	27.18%	71.14%
Mount Morris Twp	1919	7716	9693	-5797	19.80%	79.60%
Mundy Twp	3818	4446	8340	-628	45.78%	53.31%
Richfield Twp	1956	2637	4645	-681	42.11%	56.77%
Swartz Creek	1290	1798	3122	-508	41.32%	57.59%
Thetford Twp	1339	2072	3473	-733	38.55%	59.66%
Vienna Twp	2654	3711	6430	-1057	41.28%	57.71%
Total	71810	129005	202710	-57195	35.42%	63.64%
Iosco County
Alabaster Twp	183	118	304	65	60.20%	38.82%
Au Sable Twp	478	520	1015	-42	47.09%	51.23%
Baldwin Twp	509	429	945	80	53.86%	45.40%
Burleigh Twp	151	183	339	-32	44.54%	53.98%
East Tawas	780	659	1457	121	53.53%	45.23%
Grant Twp	366	394	768	-28	47.66%	51.30%
Oscoda Twp	1861	1690	3608	171	51.58%	46.84%
Plainfield Twp	981	955	1947	26	50.39%	49.05%
Reno Twp	169	145	316	24	53.48%	45.89%
Sherman Twp	136	117	261	19	52.11%	44.83%
Tawas City	465	366	839	99	55.42%	43.62%
Tawas Twp	539	380	932	159	57.83%	40.77%
Whittemore	78	98	188	-20	41.49%	52.13%
Wilber Twp	233	188	425	45	54.82%	44.24%
Total	6929	6242	13344	687	51.93%	46.78%
Saginaw County (part)
Blumfield Twp	868	303	1183	565	73.37%	25.61%
Bridgeport Twp	1861	3391	5303	-1530	35.09%	63.94%
Buena Vista Twp	494	3580	4092	-3086	12.07%	87.49%
Carrollton Twp	952	1754	2746	-802	34.67%	63.87%
Saginaw	3736	16788	20724	-13052	18.03%	81.01%
Saginaw Twp 1	476	772	1259	-296	37.81%	61.32%
Saginaw Twp 2	702	487	1202	215	58.40%	40.52%
Saginaw Twp 3	629	551	1186	78	53.04%	46.46%
Saginaw Twp 4	508	420	938	88	54.16%	44.78%
Saginaw Twp 5	856	842	1710	14	50.06%	49.24%
Saginaw Twp 6	940	822	1778	118	52.87%	46.23%
Saginaw Twp 7	982	936	1938	46	50.67%	48.30%
Saginaw Twp 8	553	503	1064	50	51.97%	47.27%
Saginaw Twp 9	900	679	1593	221	56.50%	42.62%
Saginaw Twp 10	734	895	1645	-161	44.62%	54.41%
Saginaw Twp 11	498	880	1393	-382	35.75%	63.17%
Saginaw Twp 12	668	630	1308	38	51.07%	48.17%
Spaulding Twp	455	631	1100	-176	41.36%	57.36%
Zilwaukee	402	458	866	-56	46.42%	52.89%
Zilwaukee Twp	23	25	49	-2	46.94%	51.02%
Total	17237	35347	53077	-18110	32.48%	66.60%
Tuscola County (part)
Arbela Twp	735	758	1520	-23	48.36%	49.87%
Denmark Twp	1130	496	1641	634	68.86%	30.23%
Gilford Twp	274	140	420	134	65.24%	33.33%
Millington Twp	1143	976	2143	167	53.34%	45.54%
Tuscola Twp	749	382	1138	367	65.82%	33.57%
Vassar	565	539	1117	26	50.58%	48.25%
Vassar Twp (part)	881	863	1767	18	49.86%	48.84%
Total	5477	4154	9746	1323	56.20%	42.62%
Total All	130421	206294	340099	-75873	38.35%	60.66%

Jim Slezak switches parties and runs for Congress (MI-05)

I think this will be a longshot, but not impossible to pick up if we catch a few major breaks. Here's the new 5th district. It's about the same as the old district in partisan makeup. It would take some major breaks. This district is about on par with the Scott Brown's senate race in partisan makeup. It would be about 3 points harder than the Bob Turner race in New York city. The democrats have held this district since the infamous Keating 5's Don Riegle was the rep. The old Jim Barcia district based in Bay City before merging in 2002 has been democrat since Bob Traxler has a similar district in the 70's and 80's.

Jim Slezak switching surprises me based on the partisan makeup of this district, although he was probably not all that popular with the establishment democrats there taking out Hammel in the primary.

From Flint Journal

GENESEE COUNTY, Michigan — Former state Rep. Jim Slezak said he's confident of receiving support when he runs as a Republican in 2012 for U.S. Rep. Dale Kildee's seat, and the county's party chairwoman agrees.

Rep. Jim Slezak will run for U.S. Rep. Dale Kildee's seat as a Republican in 2012.
“I looked at the priorities of the national Democrats and the president. There hasn’t been any real leadership right now or vision of the problems Michigan, and especially Flint, is facing,” he said of his decision to change parties.

“In the past, even now and in the future, I am willing to work for everyone. I am not going to work for one person and not another. I don’t think we’re doing that right now.”

Slezak, a 45-year-old Davison Townshi resident, said he mulled over the decision with his wife and family before making the switch.

He won the 50th District state House seat in 2008, but Slezak was defeated during the August 2010 Democratic primary by Burton Mayor Paula Zelenko for the 26th District state Sentate position which was later won by Republican Dave Robertson.

I don't know if Slezak will get past the GOP primary, but even if he does, this district is a longshot. Even in 2010, Dale Kildee received slightly over 53%, winning by almost 18,000 votes (with 6000 going to 3rd parties). The top of the ticket is normally close to 60%.

Any GOP nominee would have to have to run the table to win here. It would take a year like 1994 or 2010 AND there needs to be some fallout from the primary on the democrats. The nominee would have to be an unacceptable candidate. The names I'm hearing right now for the dems are Jim Barcia or Dan Kildee (nephew of Dale?). Kildee has won countywide for smaller offices. Barcia is a congressman who runs ahead of the ticket. Barcia would probably win this district easily. Kildee would probably have to deal with some nepotism claims, but does have some record of his own. He'd be tough to beat. I'd like to see two or three more democrats run in and muck this thing up. That could give whoever the GOP nominee is an opening for a Scott Brown type of upset. If someone who is a poor campaigner, uberleftist on social issues and is elitist, and/or has a bunch of scandals squeaks with the nomination, there's a chance. Hopefully Don Williamson runs.

It will be an interesting primary, to see what happens. My money is on the dems, but people can beat themselves in districts like this. Don Sherwood did it for the GOP. Dan Rostenkowski did it in a more democrat district than this back in 94.

Dale Kildee to retire

From the Detroit News

Washington— Longtime education champion Rep. Dale Kildee, D-Flint, announced this afternoon he is retiring from Congress.

The 81-year-old congressman, first elected to the House in 1976, said in an interview with The Detroit News his wife, Gayle, had persuaded him to retire and spend more time with his three children and 10 grandchildren.

"It's time," he said.

"I've been here 35 years, and you hear an inner voice. I'm still in good health, but you get a feeling it's time for someone else to come in and make their contribution," he added.

His nephew Dan Kildee, a former Genesee County treasurer, is among those likely interested in the seat. The congressman said he isn't ready to endorse, but added, "I'm sure you can probably guess my leanings."

Kildee represents Michigan's largely Democratic 5th Congressional District, which is in the Saginaw Bay area of the Thumb.

The new 5th District still has strong dem leanings, although anything can happen in an open seat. There is a large farm club of potential candidates. Dan Kildee is Dale's nephew and has been rumored to want to replace his uncle. Jim Barcia's an ex-congressman who won a district similar to the the new 5th north of Flint. John and Deb Cherry, as well as John Gleason run well in the suburbs.

On the GOP side, John Kupiec gave Dale Kildee his toughest race since Kildee had part of North Oakland in his district. If there's a nasty primary on the dem side, this could get interesting. Woodrow Stanley is a state rep.....and a recalled mayor. Don Williamson resigned rather than face a recall. If those two try to make a comeback and win a primary, either of them can be beat. This district tends to range between 55%-62% dem, not the 80% like Carolyn Kilpatrick's district.

In short, I think the chances for an upset here will depend on the candidates. I wouldn't be surprised if there's an attempt by dem leaders to try and anoint a candidate (Dan Kildee? Cherry?), but that doesn't always work out the way it is expected.

Congressional District 5 - Redistricted (MI-05)

Incumbent - Dale Kildee (D-Flint) - RETIRING in 2012
Years in office as of 2012 election - 36.
The old 5th District information is here

Challengers - Daniel Kildee (D-Flint Twp), Jim Slezak (R-Davison)

Update -5-16-2012 - The dems caught a break here by having no primary. With the wrong candidate for them, this could end up have been a competitive race with a party switching labor-moderate like Slezak. I was hoping that Don Williamson or Woodrow Stanley would have filed. Kildee is Dale's nephew, but like in Bill Rogers case in HD-66/(now HD-42) had some elective experience of his own as Genesee County treasurer.

-----

This district had to expand due to population losses. It is now largely a combination of the old 5th District, along with most of the 1990's era Jim Barcia district. In fact, Barcia will likely have an easy win in this district if he runs for it when Kildee steps down. Kildee will be 83 years old at the next election.

The only thing Kildee loses here is a small part of Tuscola County in the thumb, which is added to Candice Miller's district. Miller has most of the thumb already. Kildee takes from Benishek the slightly democrat leaning areas of Northern Bay County, Iosco County, and Arenac County. Those areas are open to voting for any party candidate. They are social conservative (pro-life, pro 2nd Amendment) areas, but also support labor. Many are UAW retirees, UAW commuters, or corrections workers. A lot of the democrats who win there are Jim Barcia types, not Ann Arbor types.

The partisan numbers here are about the same. Kildee lost Tuscola County bad in 2010, and nearly lost Bay County. Tuscola County is competitive, but sometimes goes big for Republicans. A democrat getting less than 50% in Bay County (including 3rd party votes) is an aberration that can't be counted on. It does show strength for John Kupiec, beyond his home area (Fenton/Grand Blanc). Some Republicans have done very well here on the state level winning districts multiple times that they shouldn't have won on paper. Joel Gougeon countywide in Bay County, and Mike Gocshka countywide in Saginaw County.

The old spread was about 58000 for Bush and 95000 for Obama. The new spread was about 61000 for Kerry and about 101000 for Obama.

Here's the numbers. Genesee County is still the base of this district.

2008
	McCain	Obama	Total	Diff	GOP	DEM	Diff
Arenac County	3807	4155	7962	-348	47.81%	52.19%	-4.37%
Bay County	23795	32589	56384	-8794	42.20%	57.80%	-15.60%
Genesee County	72451	143927	216378	-71476	33.48%	66.52%	-33.03%
Iosco County	6583	7309	13892	-726	47.39%	52.61%	-5.23%
Tuscola County:			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Arbela Twp	722	842	1564	-120	46.16%	53.84%	-7.67%
Denmark Twp	1086	615	1701	471	63.84%	36.16%	27.69%
Gilford Twp	246	177	423	69	58.16%	41.84%	16.31%
Millington Twp	1083	1182	2265	-99	47.81%	52.19%	-4.37%
Tuscola Twp	665	428	1093	237	60.84%	39.16%	21.68%
Vassar City	556	658	1214	-102	45.80%	54.20%	-8.40%
Vassar Twp (part)	874	966	1840	-92	47.50%	52.50%	-5.00%
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Saginaw County			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Blumfield Twp	850	358	1208	492	70.36%	29.64%	40.73%
Bridgeport Twp	1916	3595	5511	-1679	34.77%	65.23%	-30.47%
Buena Vista Twp	562	3813	4375	-3251	12.85%	87.15%	-74.31%
Carrollton Twp	1065	1866	2931	-801	36.34%	63.66%	-27.33%
Saginaw City	4419	18591	23010	-14172	19.20%	80.80%	-61.59%
Saginaw Twp(part)	11368	11944	23312	-576	48.76%	51.24%	-2.47%
Spaulding Twp	454	658	1112	-204	40.83%	59.17%	-18.35%
Zilwaukee City	384	501	885	-117	43.39%	56.61%	-13.22%
Zilwaukee Twp	23	22	45	1	51.11%	48.89%	2.22%
Total	132909	234196	367105	-101287	36.20%	63.80%	-27.59%
2004
	Bush	Kerry	Total	Diff	GOP	DEM	Diff
Arenac County	4071	4076	8147	-5	49.97%	50.03%	-0.06%
Bay County	25439	31032	56471	-5593	45.05%	54.95%	-9.90%
Genesee County	83870	128334	212204	-44464	39.52%	60.48%	-20.95%
Iosco County	7301	6557	13858	744	52.68%	47.32%	5.37%
Tuscola County:			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Arbela Twp	771	831	1602	-60	48.13%	51.87%	-3.75%
Denmark Twp	1190	606	1796	584	66.26%	33.74%	32.52%
Gilford Twp	262	167	429	95	61.07%	38.93%	22.14%
Millington Twp	1270	1131	2401	139	52.89%	47.11%	5.79%
Tuscola Twp	776	398	1174	378	66.10%	33.90%	32.20%
Vassar City	632	567	1199	65	52.71%	47.29%	5.42%
Vassar Twp (part)	913	888	1801	25	50.69%	49.31%	1.39%
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Saginaw County			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Blumfield Twp	896	362	1258	534	71.22%	28.78%	42.45%
Bridgeport Twp	2103	3474	5577	-1371	37.71%	62.29%	-24.58%
Buena Vista Twp	713	3472	4185	-2759	17.04%	82.96%	-65.93%
Carrollton Twp	1277	1730	3007	-453	42.47%	57.53%	-15.06%
Saginaw City	5800	16992	22792	-11192	25.45%	74.55%	-49.10%
Saginaw Twp(part)	12387	10810	23197	1577	53.40%	46.60%	6.80%
Spaulding Twp	491	669	1160	-178	42.33%	57.67%	-15.34%
Zilwaukee City	452	505	957	-53	47.23%	52.77%	-5.54%
Zilwaukee Twp	36	17	53	19	67.92%	32.08%	35.85%
Total	150650	212618	363268	-61968	41.47%	58.53%	-17.06%
2010
	Kupiec	Kildee	Total	Diff	GOP	DEM	Diff
Arenac County			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bay County	12933	13622	26555	-689	48.70%	51.30%	-2.59%
Genesee County	57443	73113	130556	-15670	44.00%	56.00%	-12.00%
Iosco County			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Tuscola County:			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Arbela Twp	546	456	1002	90	54.49%	45.51%	8.98%
Denmark Twp	922	351	1273	571	72.43%	27.57%	44.85%
Gilford Twp	211	77	288	134	73.26%	26.74%	46.53%
Millington Twp	903	576	1479	327	61.05%	38.95%	22.11%
Tuscola Twp	570	229	799	341	71.34%	28.66%	42.68%
Vassar City	452	308	760	144	59.47%	40.53%	18.95%
Vassar Twp (part)	664	399	1063	265	62.46%	37.54%	24.93%
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Saginaw County			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Blumfield Twp	729	208	937	521	77.80%	22.20%	55.60%
Bridgeport Twp			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Buena Vista Twp	378	2114	2492	-1736	15.17%	84.83%	-69.66%
Carrollton Twp			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Saginaw City	2866	9531	12397	-6665	23.12%	76.88%	-53.76%
Saginaw Twp(part)			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Spaulding Twp			0	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Zilwaukee City	238	262	500	-24	47.60%	52.40%	-4.80%
Zilwaukee Twp	18	15	33	3	54.55%	45.45%	9.09%
Total	78873	101261	180134	-22388	43.79%	56.21%	-12.43%