Monday, March 31, 2014

MI-04 - Dave Camp retiring

From Detroit Free Press

WASHINGTON — U.S. Rep. Dave Camp, a Republican from Midland who has in recent years chaired the powerful House Ways and Means Committee, will not seek re-election this year, adding to the growing number of Michigan members of Congress heading toward the exits.
Camp, 60, made the announcement official late today, saying the decision was “reached after much consideration and discussion with my family.” He did not give a reason for the decision.
In recent years, Camp has been a fervent proponent of changing and simplifying the U.S. tax code but there seemed to be little enthusiasm for making such a change in advance of the midterm elections. Because of House Republican rules, Camp will be forced to step down as Ways and Means chairman at the end of this year

My old description of MI-04 is here:

Right now, there's one Republican candidate who was challenging Camp in the primary, Peter Konetchy, a businessman from Roscommon. Konetchy ran for Senate and nearly got 15000 signatures basically himself until Gary Glenn's people challenged his petitions and got 700 knocked off. Peter's a strong tea party activist, but unlike many didn't make the gaffes others have made in his Senate run.

I don't know who's going to go for it besides Konetchy who stepped up to the plate early. There are a lot of reps are in this district. Midland punches well above their numbers downticket and there are several potential candidates from there. (Stamases, Moolenaar). Kevin Cotter run ahead of the ticket in Mt Pleasant, as do the Cauls. Bruce Rendon and Tim Moore are Up North. Dr Roger Kahn in Saginaw County. Tom Leonard and Alan Cropsey in Clinton County. Judy Emmons in Montcalm County.

There's two Democrats that I can see making things real difficult, and that's the Sheltrown brothers. Dale and especially Joel were state reps out of Ogemaw County. They carried tough districts there and were outspoken 2nd Amendment supporters who ran well ahead of the ticket.

As I see this currently, if the dems run Sheltrown, lean R. If not, safe R. 

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