Friday, November 25, 2011

State House Redistricting - District 38 (HD-38)

State House - District 38
Current Reps - Hugh Crawford (R-Novi)

2010 Results - Old District (38th)
Hugh Crawford - 22,873
Jeffrey Gedeon - 10,998

Declared Candidates:
Rep - Hugh Crawford (R-Novi)
Dem - Chuck Tindall (D-Novi)

Update 5-25-2012 - No primary here. It's a one on one battle.

This district is one of the more Republican leaning districts in Oakland County, although not quite as much as it used to be. The new district contracts some because of population growth. It covers Novi (city/Twp), Lyon Twp, Walled Lake, South Lyon, and the Oakland County portion of Northville. It drops competitive Wixom.

Obama came close in that big 2008 year, but even McCain won this district. It would take a perfect storm for this district to flip.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Lyon Twp 4120 3009 7129 1111 57.79% 42.21% 15.58%
Northville 1127 1001 2128 126 52.96% 47.04% 5.92%
Novi 13264 14397 27661 -1133 47.95% 52.05% -4.10%
Novi Twp 52 57 109 -5 47.71% 52.29% -4.59%
South Lyon 2983 2712 5695 271 52.38% 47.62% 4.76%
Walled Lake 1517 1823 3340 -306 45.42% 54.58% -9.16%
Total 23063 22999 46062 64 50.07% 49.93% 0.14%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Lyon Twp 4082 2274 6356 1808 64.22% 35.78% 28.45%
Northville 1269 866 2135 403 59.44% 40.56% 18.88%
Novi 14484 10612 25096 3872 57.71% 42.29% 15.43%
Novi Twp 67 40 107 27 62.62% 37.38% 25.23%
South Lyon 3191 2236 5427 955 58.80% 41.20% 17.60%
Walled Lake 1664 1580 3244 84 51.29% 48.71% 2.59%
Total 24757 17608 42365 7149 58.44% 41.56% 16.87%








Last State House GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Lyon Twp 3638 1255 4893 2383 74.35% 25.65% 48.70%
Northville 1057 467 1524 590 69.36% 30.64% 38.71%
Novi 11987 6072 18059 5915 66.38% 33.62% 32.75%
Novi Twp 56 28 84 28 66.67% 33.33% 33.33%
South Lyon 2461 1055 3516 1406 69.99% 30.01% 39.99%
Walled Lake 1223 809 2032 414 60.19% 39.81% 20.37%
Total 20422 9686 30108 10736 67.83% 32.17% 35.66%

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