Detroit gets an emergency financial manager

This is what happens with 50 years of Democrat rule. Insolvency. If there is one thing that we all need to remember, it is this. 50 years of Republican governance - Livingston County. 50 years of Democrat reigns of error - Wayne County.  Balanced Budgets, low taxes, high property values, low crime, less corruption and one of the better economies of SE Michigan - Livingston County. Insolvency, high taxes, low property values (mostly), high crime, major corruption, and an economic mess - Wayne County. Unassuming local officials who do their jobs property - Livingston County. Machine politics and corruption - Ed McNamara, Jennifer Granholm, Mike "Great white hope" Duggan, Monica Conyers, Kwame Kilpatrick, Bob Ficano - Wayne County. Republicans - Livingston County. Democrats - Wayne County.

Personally, I'd rather see Chapter 9 bankruptcy than an EFM, combined with a cutoff of all state funds outside of the musts until they get their act together. There's no doubt that Detroit needs an EFM from a competence standpoint. Is it a cure all? Not at all.

The question is this. When the EFM leaves Detroit, what's going to happen? The same old song and dance. Detroit is 95-5% Democrat. The same thing is going to happen when the outsiders leave unless things change quickly. Insanity is the same thing done over and over again and expecting better results. Until the progressives are neutered there, the city is going to keep mirroring the football team there in results. What else would you expect from a city that is 95% democrat? 

Dave Bing, a relatively sane democrat, is probably the best it's going to get out of there. At least he and Archer aren't crooks. The rest are going to be Kwames or maybe a Great White Hope for the liberal progressives in Mike Duggan - both of whom (along with Granholm and Ficano) who came from the same Ed McNamara machine. Duggan's tied in (at least indirectly) with the Metro Cars no big contracts. Even liberal Jack Lessenberry was suspicious of Duggan way back when he ran for prosecutor. The only difference between a Mike Duggan and Kwame Kilpatrick is color. It'd be the Rostenkowski or Blagojevich as compared to Jesse Jackson Jr. What's the difference? As far as I'm concerned, it's the same old song and dance.

From the Free Press

Rosendall said in court that Synagro officials "were very uncomfortable with dealing with someone that close to the mayor." He said the solution was to give 45% of the consulting fee to Jackson and 55% to the girlfriend, who would then give Kilpatrick his cut.
Rosendall said the money wouldn't all be paid at once.
The deal included $25,000 monthly fees, and milestone payments of roughly $100,000 for things like getting permits approved or construction started.
"Did Bernard Kilpatrick do anything to earn that money?" Bullotta asked.
"Not that I know of," Rosendall said.
Rosendall said he had heard rumors about that being the way things got done in Detroit.
"There was a pay-to-play thing going on in the city of Detroit," Rosendall testified. "You had to hire people or pay people to do (work)."
The government also played one audio recording in which Kilpatrick talked about carving out "borderline illegal" deals when he worked with Ed McNamara and Mike Duggan, who is now exploring running for mayor of Detroit. He didn't elaborate.

Bernard Kilpatrick is Kwame's dad and worked for McNamara.

After all this - can Detroit come back? Yes, it can. It won't be from outsiders either if it chooses to do so. EFM's can't save cities. They can at best mitigate some damage. The question is will Detroiters choose to come back. It's a choice made by Detroiters who live in the city, not suburban white people who left and still think they should run the city. Jobs, low crime, decent schools, lower costs. Those are what makes cities livable - not lofts and the "cool cities" tripe spewed by progressives. If Detroit wants to come back, they can't have the same old song and dance and 95-5% "progressive" democrat voting with the same city council, same policies, and same school boards elected time and time again. The other thing is this. Downtown won't save Detroit. Downtown and Wayne State aren't the big problem. The problem are the neighborhoods. Homes shouldn't be broken into. Lighting should work. Violent criminals should be taken off the streets. Property Taxes can't be 62 mills. Until those are fixed, Detroit will be what it is - a broken city with a relatively "safe zone" around downtown and Wayne State for suburban white people to come and spend their money and go home.

Detroit can choose to come back, but will it?  They'll have to take some pages from our playbook here in Livingston County to do so. I hope it'll happen, but I'll have to believe it to see it.

State House Redistricting - District 13 (HD-13)

State House - District 13
Current Rep – Andrew Kandrevas (D-Southgate)

Declared Candidates:
Dem - Andrew Kandrevas (D-Southgate)
Rep - Tony Amorose (R-Dearborn Heights)

2010 Results - Old District (13th)
Andrew Kandrevas - 14,338
Cynthia Kallgren - 12,130

5-25-2012 - No primary here in Downriver. This will be interesting to see if any 2010 trend was an aberration here or something to watch in the future. I think Kandrevas is still favored, but Allen Park isn't quite as solid as other parts of upper Downriver.

The old district was much more competitive in 2010 than I expected. I consider it an aberration until proven otherwise as all of those areas voted for John Kerry, Gore, and Obama. The old district covered Southgate, Trenton, Riverview, and Wyandotte. Trenton and Riverview can be competitive. Wyandotte is on rare occasions. Southgate is solidly democrat.

In 2010, Kandrevas won Southgate by 1400, Wyandotte by 900, and Riverview by about 120. He lost Trenton (less of a surprise in a bad democrat year) by 200.

This new district gives Kandrevas a slightly more difficult district. It drops everything except Southgate and picks up much of Dearborn Heights, and all of Allen Park. Allen Park is competitive at times. Dearborn Heights usually isn't. The district as a whole is approximately 58% for Obama according to the Dave's Redistricting software. I can't get exacts because of the Dearborn Heights split. Allen Park went 52% for Kerry, and Southgate 59%. I don't expect it to be that competitive very often because Southgate is a very strong base for the dems. 2006, 2008, and 2010 showed us though not to take anything district for granted - in either party.

State House Redistricting - District 11 (HD-11)

State House - District 11
Current Rep – Open (Bob Costan, D-Dearborn Heights, termed out)

Declared Candidates:
GOP - Kathleen Kopczyk (R-Garden City)
Dem - David Knezek (D-Dearborn Heights)

Update 8-30-2012 - Knezek won the primary.

Update 5-25-2012 - Interesting geographic battle here. One Dearborn Heights and Inkster candidate, two Garden City candidates, and nobody from Westland or the small Livonia portion.

2010 Results - Old District (16th)
Bob Costan - 14,715
Michael Mullins - 7,151

This district is mostly derived of the old 16th, with a little bit of the old 17th. It takes on a different part of Dearborn Heights than the old 17th and drops the Allen Park Portion. It picks up a small part of Livonia and Westland, keeps Garden City, and Inkster. This is a solidly democrat district. Costan won every portion. Dearborn Heights used to sometimes be competitive, although not recently. Inkster is well over 85% dem. This is still a Garden City/Inkster based district.

I can't run precinct numbers until there are elections here under the new borders, but according to an approximate map in Dave's Redistricting, it went about 70% for Obama, and was 25% black, mostly due to Inkster.

The primary could be interesting however with the open seat.

Census Observations Part II - Wayne County

This is a continuing series on the census numbers. Part I is here. This focuses on Wayne County.

Wayne County as a whole lost 240,578 people. Noticing trend here is this. Wayne County is shedding white people in a big way. There is some growth in the far downriver areas and near Northville/Canton towards Ann Arbor, but the inner-ring burbs near Detroit are shedding a lot of people.

Detroit (D) lost 237493. Lost 44,000 whites and 185K blacks. Was 10.5% White, 81.2% Black, 5% Hispanic. Now 7.8% White, 82.2% Black, 6.8% Hispanic. Only the Hispanic population grew. Detroit had white and black flight.

Dearborn (D) actually gained 378 people. 98,153 people. Middle Easterners are classified as whites for census purposes, so I'm not sure if there were big ethnic changes or not. If there was, it was mostly due to Middle Easterners, likely Muslims. A lot of the Middle Eastern Christians are now in Macomb County. There is black growth here as well, not as much as elsewhere bordering Detroit.

Highland Park (D) lost 4970 to 11,776. Across the board across racial lines.

Hamtramck (D) lost 553 to 22432. The loss was almost entirely among whites (Poles likely). The black and Asian (Bangladeshi or Pakistani mostly I believe) populations gained heavily. Was 60.4% white, 14.9% black, and 10.3 Asian, now 53% white, 19.1% black, and 21.4% Asian

Harper Woods (D) is going through a massive white flight. Dropped 18 people overall to 14,236. There was a loss of 5000 whites. It was 84.9% White, 10.2% Black, now 48.5% White, and 45.3% Black. I am surprised at how quick the change happened here. A lot of it was school flight.

Grosse Pointe Park (slight D) is going to be interesting in the next 10 years. Lost 888 people to 11,555. Lost of 1800 whites. It was 91.2 White, 2.9 black. Now 83% White, 10.5% Black. This is long been the most liberal of the Pointes. Will the whites there that love diversity live among it? The same thing is happening on a smaller scale among the other Pointes (Slight R) but not nearly on the same scale.

Redford (D) - Lost 3260 overall to 48,362. White flight has been going on here too for years, especially on the North end (and SE portion near Joy/Telegraph) near the Detroit and Southfield borders. Was 86.7% White, 8.5% Black, now 64.7% White and 28.7% Black. I thought the numbers would have changed more, but I'm more familiar with the northern part of Redford than southern part.

Livonia (slight R) lost 3603 - 96,342. Lost 7000 Whites. Was 94.1% White, 0.9% Black, and 1.9% Asian, 1.7% Hispanic, now 90.1% White, 3.4% Black, 2.5% Asian, 2.5% Hispanic. It is becoming diverse, or is the same thing going happen here as Redford?

Dearborn Heights (D) lost 494 - 57,774. Lost at least 4000 whites even if you consider Arabs white. Was 89.3% white, 2.1% black, 2.2% Asian, and 3.4% Hispanic. Now 83% White, 7.8% Black, 1.7% Asian, 4.7% Hispanic. I think a lot of the change here was in the area bordering Inkster and Parkland/far Warrendale portion of Detroit which massively changed after the City Workers left when the residency clause was outlawed.

Westland (D) lost 2.9%, down to 84,094. Lost 13,000 whites. Was 85.6% White, 6.7% Black, now 73.5% White, 17.1% Black. Same thing on much smaller scale in Garden City and Wayne. Westland borders Inkster to the Southeast.

Inkster (D) lost 15.8%, down to 25,369. More whites than blacks left, but it was across the board out migration.

River Rouge (D) lost 20.3%, down to 7903. Only Hispanics gain, but more whites than blacks left. Was 49.9% White, 41.8% Black, and 5% Hispanic. Now 49.8% Black, 34.8% White, and 11.2% Hispanic. Same thing happened in Ecorse. These northernmost downriver communities border Detroit.

Melvindale (D) - Lost 20 people, down to 10715. Lost 1600 whites. Was 81.7% White, 5.2% Black, 8.9 Hispanic, now 66.6% White, 10.8% Black, and 18.3% Hispanic. SW Detroit is expanding there.

Allen Park (Slight D) - Lost 4% to 28,210. Big growth among Hispanics here in Ford Country, part of which borders Detroit. Was 4.7% Hispanic, now 8.1% The black population doubled as well, but is only at 2.1% Whites dropped, but still higher percentage than nearby areas. Allen Park should be stable as long as Ford is.

Lincoln Park (D) - Dropped 4.7% to 38144. Lost 5500 whites. Was 89.2% White, 2% Black, 6.4% Hispanic, now 76.3% White, 5.7% Black, 14.9% Hispanic. Similar to Melvindale on a smaller scale.

Southgate (D) - Dropped 89 people to 30047. Lost 2000 whites. Was 90.9% white, 2.1% black, and 4% Hispanic. Now 84.5% White, 5.4% Black, 6.5% Hispanic.

Wyandotte (D) - Dropped 7.6% to 25883. Unlike Southgate, there wasn't much minority growth here outside of 500 Hispanics.

Trenton (Slight D) and Riverview (Slight D) didn't change much.

Southern Downriver gained, mostly among minorities.

Woodhaven (Slight D) gained 345 to 12875. Was 90.8% White, 2.3% Black, 3.5% Hispanic, now 85.2% White, 5.2% Black, and 5.5% Hispanic. Stable.

Gibralter (Slight D) gained 392 to 4656. Gains across the board among all ethnic groups.

Brownstown Township (D) had gains across the board, up 7638 to 30627. So did Huron Township (Swing) up 2142 to 15879, and Flat Rock (Slight D) up 1390 to 9878.

Rockwood (Slight D) dropped 153 to 3289. Few ethnic changes.

Towards the airport, Taylor (D) lost 2797 to 63,131. Lost 8,000 whites. Was 84% White, 8.7 Black and 3.2 Hispanic, now 74.4% White, 15.7% Black, and 5.1% Hispanic.

Romulus (D) went a dramatic change. It actually gained 1010 to 23989 people, but lost 3500 whites. It was 64.3% White, 29.8% Black, and now 49% White, 42.7% Black.

Sumpter Township (D) dropped 2307 to 9549. Losses were across the board here about equally.

Van Buren Township (D) gained 5262 to 28821. The white population actually dropped 1000. Was 81.2% White, 12% Black, now 63% White and 28.5% Black. This will be an area to watch. Van Buren Township is fairly rural. Belleville inside the township stayed about the same, although the minority increases were smaller than Van Buren Townnship.

Canton Township (Swings) - gained 13807 to 90173. One of the few areas where I'd actually consider integrated a bit instead of just percentages that look "diverse". Gains were across the board, smaller among whites than other ethnics. Blacks and Asians (Indians) were the big increase. Was 82.3 White, 4.5% Black, 8.7 Asian, now 70% White, 10.1% Black, 14.1% Asian.

Plymouth Township (R) - Dropped 274 to 27524. This one really surprised me compared to neighbors in Northville and Canton. Same percentages of whites and blacks left, although Asians and Hispanics gained. Few changes overall. Plymouth City (Swing) gained 110 to 9132. Few changes among ethnic lines here too.

Northville Township (R) - Gained 7461 to 28497. Big gains across the board, especially by Asians. The White and Black percentages dropped despite number increases. Was 88.1% White, 4.3% Black, and 4.2% Asian. Now 80.9% White, 3.6% Black, and 11.2% Asian.

As for political representation in Wayne County, there is currently parts of four congressional districts (Conyers, Clarke, Dingell, McCotter), 8 state senate districts (5 Detroit D, 1 Suburban D, 1D winnable for R's, 1 R winnable for D's), and 23 state rep districts (11 Detroit, 1 Detroit/Pointes lean D, 7 suburban D, 1 D winnable for R, 3 R winnable for D.) These were based on Wayne County's population of 2,061,162 and Michigan's population of 9,938,823. Wayne County's new population is 1,820,584. Michigan lost population overall to 9,883,640.

Population is 705,974 per Congressional District after losing one seat overall. Some articles state there is up to 5% variation. NOT true with CONGRESSIONAL districts. There can be with state districts. Population is 260095 (within 13004) per state senate district, and 89851 (within 4492) per state rep district. There is more limited municipal breaks with state/rep senate seats which means some reps here are in big trouble.

I'll get to Oakland County next.

Michigan 15th District (MI-15) Updated

Update 8-4-2010 - Primary result

Michigan's 15th District - Congress

Incumbent - John Dingell (D-Dearborn)
Years in office as of 2010 election - 55
Cook District Numbers - D+13

GOP Candidates - Rob Steele

Dem Candidate - John Dingell

Barone’s numbers
2008:
Obama - 66%
McCain - 32%

2004:
Kerry - 62%
Bush - 38%

2000
Gore - 60%
Bush - 38%

This district was created to combine two democrat incumbents at the time.Lynn Rivers represented Ann  Arbor, Ypsilanti, and Western Wayne County. John Dingell represented southern Wayne County and Monroe County. The primary pitted two different styles of democrats. The populist labor friend of the auto industry which dominates suburban Wayne County,  and the feminist, green, anti-gunner which dominates the Ann Arbor area. Dingell won, and showed that at then 76 years of age in 2002, he could still campaign with the best of them. Dingell's been in office for 55 years. He originally represented part of the City of Detroit. Now his district is based in part of Downriver.

This district covers all of Monroe County. It also covers in Washtenaw County - The City of Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor Township, Augusta Township, City of Milan, Pittsfield Township, part of Scio Township, Superior Township, York Township, the City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti Township. In Wayne County, it covers Brownstown Township, Part of Dearborn, Part of Dearborn Heights, Flat Rock, Huron Township, Inkster, Rockwood,  Romulus, Sumpter Township, Taylor, and Woodhaven. Most of this area votes for democrats, although Monroe County, Augusta Twp, York Twp, Huron Twp, Flat Rock, and Woodhaven is sometimes competitive. It would take a 1994 type of year to win this district. John Engler did it though, possibly twice.

Here's Dingell's 2008 numbers.

2008 Elections	Lynch	Dingell	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Monroe County	27,428	45,890	2829	76,147	-18462	36.02%	60.27%	-24.25%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Ann Arbor	10,300	46,520	3275	60,095	-36220	17.14%	77.41%	-60.27%
Ann Arbor Township	769	1,768	78	2,615	-999	29.41%	67.61%	-38.20%
Augusta Township	1,127	2,104	177	3,408	-977	33.07%	61.74%	-28.67%
City of Milan	678	1,118	100	1,896	-440	35.76%	58.97%	-23.21%
Pittsfield Township	4,563	10,743	677	15,983	-6180	28.55%	67.22%	-38.67%
Scio Township (4)	41	115	2	158	-74	25.95%	72.78%	-46.84%
Scio Township (7)		2		2	-2	0.00%	100.00%	-100.00%
Scio Township (8)	72	135	5	212	-63	33.96%	63.68%	-29.72%
Scio Township (9)	5	22	4	31	-17	16.13%	70.97%	-54.84%
Superior Township	1,848	4,790	247	6,885	-2942	26.84%	69.57%	-42.73%
York Township	1,981	1,979	173	4,133	2	47.93%	47.88%	0.05%
City of Ypsilanti	1,170	7,185	638	8,993	-6015	13.01%	79.90%	-66.89%
Ypsilanti Township	5,425	19,017	1111	25,553	-13592	21.23%	74.42%	-53.19%
Wayne County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Brownstown Township	3,658	9,580	443	13,681	-5922	26.74%	70.02%	-43.29%
City of Dearborn	5,581	12,242	781	18,604	-6661	30.00%	65.80%	-35.80%
Dearborn Heights	4,660	13,465	757	18,882	-8805	24.68%	71.31%	-46.63%
City of Flat Rock	1,220	2,859	170	4,249	-1639	28.71%	67.29%	-38.57%
Huron Township	2,506	4,504	347	7,357	-1998	34.06%	61.22%	-27.16%
City of Inkster	561	11,059	270	11,890	-10498	4.72%	93.01%	-88.29%
City of Rockwood	435	1,064	55	1,554	-629	27.99%	68.47%	-40.48%
City of Romulus	1,605	9,335	426	11,366	-7730	14.12%	82.13%	-68.01%
Sumpter Township	1,194	3,096	249	4,539	-1902	26.31%	68.21%	-41.90%
City of Taylor	5,750	18,937	1294	25,981	-13187	22.13%	72.89%	-50.76%
City of Woodhaven	1,925	4,265	227	6,417	-2340	30.00%	66.46%	-36.47%
Total	84,502	231,794	14,335	330,631	-147292	25.56%	70.11%	-44.55%

Here's the Presidential numbers broken down by county in the district. I skipped the Scio Township numbers since they were so insignificant parts of a precinct. That means these numbers are more democrat, while the 7th District numbers are slightly more republican.


Monroe County
2000 - Gore 51.07%, Bush 46.84%, 61,785 votes, -2615 vote spread
2004 - Bush 50.54%, Kerry 48.68%, 74,132 votes, 1381 vote spread
2008 - Obama 51.27%, McCain 46.92%, 73502 votes, -3322 vote spread

Washtenaw County Portion
2000 - Gore 67.84%, Bush 30.80%, 105530 votes, -35953 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 69.62%, Bush 29.29%, 124181 votes, -50083 vote spread
2008 - Obama 75.64%, McCain 22.99%, 135100 votes, -71129 vote spread

Wayne County Portion
2000 - Gore 60.12%, Bush 37.56%, 95,965 votes, -21643 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 60.29%, Bush 38.87%, 115802 votes, -24800 vote spread
2008 - Obama 64.29%, McCain 33.98%, 129,313 votes -39191 vote spread.

Here's the 2000 numbers. Surprisingly today, Bush actually won normally democrat Dearborn that year. I think Joe Lieberman may have something to do with that. It's flipped in a big way since then, going back to its roots (Dingell's represented Dearborn since 1966) after the Iraq war.

2000 Elections	Bush	Gore	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Monroe County	28,940	31,555	1290	61,785	-2615	46.84%	51.07%	-4.23%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Ann Arbor	13,473	36,597	2826	52,896	-23124	25.47%	69.19%	-43.72%
Ann Arbor Township	1,167	1,491	79	2,737	-324	42.64%	54.48%	-11.84%
Augusta Township	1,037	1,201	89	2,327	-164	44.56%	51.61%	-7.05%
City of Milan	656	735	28	1,419	-79	46.23%	51.80%	-5.57%
Pittsfield Township	5,183	6,833	390	12,406	-1650	41.78%	55.08%	-13.30%
Scio Township (4)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (7)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (8)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (9)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Superior Township	1,704	2,973	132	4,809	-1269	35.43%	61.82%	-26.39%
York Township	1,740	1,291	87	3,118	449	55.81%	41.40%	14.40%
City of Ypsilanti	1,459	4,681	365	6,505	-3222	22.43%	71.96%	-49.53%
Ypsilanti Township	6,088	12,658	567	19,313	-6570	31.52%	65.54%	-34.02%
Wayne County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Brownstown Township	3,412	4,944	191	8,547	-1532	39.92%	57.84%	-17.92%
City of Dearborn				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D31	253	237	20	510	16	49.61%	46.47%	3.14%
D32	284	249	18	551	35	51.54%	45.19%	6.35%
D33	320	300	18	638	20	50.16%	47.02%	3.13%
D34	350	285	26	661	65	52.95%	43.12%	9.83%
D35	266	188	10	464	78	57.33%	40.52%	16.81%
D36	180	148	7	335	32	53.73%	44.18%	9.55%
D37	156	161	10	327	-5	47.71%	49.24%	-1.53%
D38	158	145	15	318	13	49.69%	45.60%	4.09%
D39	213	133	12	358	80	59.50%	37.15%	22.35%
D40	263	201	13	477	62	55.14%	42.14%	13.00%
D41	278	137	7	422	141	65.88%	32.46%	33.41%
D42	377	213	15	605	164	62.31%	35.21%	27.11%
D43	246	216	13	475	30	51.79%	45.47%	6.32%
D44	295	219	20	534	76	55.24%	41.01%	14.23%
D45	230	181	13	424	49	54.25%	42.69%	11.56%
D46	296	125	14	435	171	68.05%	28.74%	39.31%
D47	231	201	20	452	30	51.11%	44.47%	6.64%
D48	226	155	14	395	71	57.22%	39.24%	17.97%
D49	153	163	14	330	-10	46.36%	49.39%	-3.03%
D50	100	155	10	265	-55	37.74%	58.49%	-20.75%
D955				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D956				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D957				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D958				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Dearborn Heights	11,049	12,574	757	24,380	-1525	45.32%	51.58%	-6.26%
DH 6	-158	-196	-16	(370)	38	42.70%	52.97%	-10.27%
DH7	-266	-290	-19	(575)	24	46.26%	50.43%	-4.17%
DH8	-268	-227	-12	(507)	-41	52.86%	44.77%	8.09%
DH9	-181	-227	-15	(423)	46	42.79%	53.66%	-10.87%
DH10	-160	-218	-14	(392)	58	40.82%	55.61%	-14.80%
DH11	-206	-221	-15	(442)	15	46.61%	50.00%	-3.39%
DH12	-187	-297	-11	(495)	110	37.78%	60.00%	-22.22%
DH13	-267	-262	-12	(541)	-5	49.35%	48.43%	0.92%
DH37	-113	-235	-9	(357)	122	31.65%	65.83%	-34.17%
DH38	-216	-246	-12	(474)	30	45.57%	51.90%	-6.33%
DH941	-409	-478	-21	(908)	69	45.04%	52.64%	-7.60%
DH942	-20	-38		(58)	18	34.48%	65.52%	-31.03%
City of Flat Rock	1,259	1,769	71	3,099	-510	40.63%	57.08%	-16.46%
Huron Township	2,602	3,053	120	5,775	-451	45.06%	52.87%	-7.81%
City of Inkster	976	8,210	102	9,288	-7234	10.51%	88.39%	-77.89%
City of Rockwood	609	870	42	1,521	-261	40.04%	57.20%	-17.16%
City of Romulus	2,106	5,930	164	8,200	-3824	25.68%	72.32%	-46.63%
Sumpter Township	1,467	2,563	69	4,099	-1096	35.79%	62.53%	-26.74%
City of Taylor	7,718	13,708	488	21,914	-5990	35.22%	62.55%	-27.33%
City of Woodhaven	2,427	3,194	87	5,708	-767	42.52%	55.96%	-13.44%
Total	97,496	157,707	8,077	263,280	-60211	37.03%	59.90%	-22.87%

Here's the 2004 numbers.

2004 Elections	Bush	Kerry	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Monroe County	37,470	36,089	573	74,132	1381	50.54%	48.68%	1.86%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Ann Arbor	13,153	45,117	700	58,970	-31964	22.30%	76.51%	-54.20%
Ann Arbor Township	1,083	1,787	10	2,880	-704	37.60%	62.05%	-24.44%
Augusta Township	1,411	1,599	42	3,052	-188	46.23%	52.39%	-6.16%
City of Milan	822	822	17	1,661	0	49.49%	49.49%	0.00%
Pittsfield Township	5,839	9,271	157	15,267	-3432	38.25%	60.73%	-22.48%
Scio Township (4)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (7)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (8)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (9)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Superior Township	2,227	3,948	44	6,219	-1721	35.81%	63.48%	-27.67%
York Township	2,367	1,623	23	4,013	744	58.98%	40.44%	18.54%
City of Ypsilanti	1,581	6,046	125	7,752	-4465	20.39%	77.99%	-57.60%
Ypsilanti Township	7,887	16,240	240	24,367	-8353	32.37%	66.65%	-34.28%
Wayne County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Brownstown Township	5,369	6,916	114	12,399	-1547	43.30%	55.78%	-12.48%
City of Dearborn				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D31	323	343	8	674	-20	47.92%	50.89%	-2.97%
D32	363	266	10	639	97	56.81%	41.63%	15.18%
D33	286	278	2	566	8	50.53%	49.12%	1.41%
D34	366	341	11	718	25	50.97%	47.49%	3.48%
D35	288	231	3	522	57	55.17%	44.25%	10.92%
D36	283	168	6	457	115	61.93%	36.76%	25.16%
D37	380	241	1	622	139	61.09%	38.75%	22.35%
D38	264	237	5	506	27	52.17%	46.84%	5.34%
D39	295	253	7	555	42	53.15%	45.59%	7.57%
D40	245	214	6	465	31	52.69%	46.02%	6.67%
D41	263	212	5	480	51	54.79%	44.17%	10.63%
D42	229	234	10	473	-5	48.41%	49.47%	-1.06%
D43	207	280	2	489	-73	42.33%	57.26%	-14.93%
D44	255	364	10	629	-109	40.54%	57.87%	-17.33%
D45	233	199	7	439	34	53.08%	45.33%	7.74%
D46	256	252	11	519	4	49.33%	48.55%	0.77%
D47	250	262	9	521	-12	47.98%	50.29%	-2.30%
D48	237	286	9	532	-49	44.55%	53.76%	-9.21%
D49	216	260	5	481	-44	44.91%	54.05%	-9.15%
D50	212	235	7	454	-23	46.70%	51.76%	-5.07%
D955				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D956				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D957				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D958				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Dearborn Heights	11,128	14,902	285	26,315	-3774	42.29%	56.63%	-14.34%
DH 6	-148	-257	-1	(406)	109	36.45%	63.30%	-26.85%
DH7	-288	-380	-13	(681)	92	42.29%	55.80%	-13.51%
DH8	-238	-274	-8	(520)	36	45.77%	52.69%	-6.92%
DH9	-195	-232	-8	(435)	37	44.83%	53.33%	-8.51%
DH10	-152	-237	-11	(400)	85	38.00%	59.25%	-21.25%
DH11	-272	-301	-14	(587)	29	46.34%	51.28%	-4.94%
DH12	-243	-336	-9	(588)	93	41.33%	57.14%	-15.82%
DH13	-253	-263	-4	(520)	10	48.65%	50.58%	-1.92%
DH37	-108	-263	-3	(374)	155	28.88%	70.32%	-41.44%
DH38	-208	-282	-11	(501)	74	41.52%	56.29%	-14.77%
DH941	-82	-119	-3	(204)	37	40.20%	58.33%	-18.14%
DH942	-602	-776	-17	(1,395)	174	43.15%	55.63%	-12.47%
City of Flat Rock	1,917	2,233	37	4,187	-316	45.78%	53.33%	-7.55%
Huron Township	3,578	3,417	53	7,048	161	50.77%	48.48%	2.28%
City of Inkster	1,254	9,729	51	11,034	-8475	11.36%	88.17%	-76.81%
City of Rockwood	759	948	10	1,717	-189	44.21%	55.21%	-11.01%
City of Romulus	2,848	7,563	80	10,491	-4715	27.15%	72.09%	-44.94%
Sumpter Township	1,979	2,963	38	4,980	-984	39.74%	59.50%	-19.76%
City of Taylor	10,444	16,377	225	27,046	-5933	38.62%	60.55%	-21.94%
City of Woodhaven	3,076	3,330	49	6,455	-254	47.65%	51.59%	-3.93%
Total	118,854	192,356	2,905	314,115	-73502	37.84%	61.24%	-23.40%

Here's the 2008 numbers.

2008 Elections	McCain	Obama	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Monroe County	35,858	39,180	1384	76,422	-3322	46.92%	51.27%	-4.35%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Ann Arbor	10,712	51,587	836	63,135	-40875	16.97%	81.71%	-64.74%
Ann Arbor Township	829	1,836	23	2,688	-1007	30.84%	68.30%	-37.46%
Augusta Township	1,489	1,979	78	3,546	-490	41.99%	55.81%	-13.82%
City of Milan	802	1,151	31	1,984	-349	40.42%	58.01%	-17.59%
Pittsfield Township	5,042	11,342	210	16,594	-6300	30.38%	68.35%	-37.97%
Scio Township (4)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (7)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (8)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Scio Township (9)				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Superior Township	2,048	4,951	109	7,108	-2903	28.81%	69.65%	-40.84%
York Township	2,313	1,934	56	4,303	379	53.75%	44.95%	8.81%
City of Ypsilanti	1,306	7,828	170	9,304	-6522	14.04%	84.14%	-70.10%
Ypsilanti Township	6,517	19,579	342	26,438	-13062	24.65%	74.06%	-49.41%
Wayne County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Brownstown Township	5,373	8,668	138	14,179	-3295	37.89%	61.13%	-23.24%
City of Dearborn				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
D31	212	423	8	643	-211	32.97%	65.79%	-32.81%
D32	280	389	14	683	-109	41.00%	56.95%	-15.96%
D33	230	350	10	590	-120	38.98%	59.32%	-20.34%
D34	402	581	22	1,005	-179	40.00%	57.81%	-17.81%
D35	261	351	10	622	-90	41.96%	56.43%	-14.47%
D36	269	370	16	655	-101	41.07%	56.49%	-15.42%
D37	250	306	12	568	-56	44.01%	53.87%	-9.86%
D38	300	301	11	612	-1	49.02%	49.18%	-0.16%
D39	316	360	9	685	-44	46.13%	52.55%	-6.42%
D40	286	302	8	596	-16	47.99%	50.67%	-2.68%
D41	415	381	9	805	34	51.55%	47.33%	4.22%
D42	276	344	10	630	-68	43.81%	54.60%	-10.79%
D43	365	387	20	772	-22	47.28%	50.13%	-2.85%
D44	441	471	24	936	-30	47.12%	50.32%	-3.21%
D45	373	598	27	998	-225	37.37%	59.92%	-22.55%
D46	355	540	16	911	-185	38.97%	59.28%	-20.31%
D47	269	390	17	676	-121	39.79%	57.69%	-17.90%
D48	281	373	9	663	-92	42.38%	56.26%	-13.88%
D49	380	574	31	985	-194	38.58%	58.27%	-19.70%
D50	277	490	18	785	-213	35.29%	62.42%	-27.13%
D955	630	580	16	1,226	50	51.39%	47.31%	4.08%
D956	544	532	12	1,088	12	50.00%	48.90%	1.10%
D957	573	655	27	1,255	-82	45.66%	52.19%	-6.53%
D958	465	491	19	975	-26	47.69%	50.36%	-2.67%
Dearborn Heights	9,466	16,095	543	26,104	-6629	36.26%	61.66%	-25.39%
DH 6	-96	-313	-5	(414)	217	23.19%	75.60%	-52.42%
DH7	-242	-413	-9	(664)	171	36.45%	62.20%	-25.75%
DH8	-196	-281	-7	(484)	85	40.50%	58.06%	-17.56%
DH9	-142	-282	-8	(432)	140	32.87%	65.28%	-32.41%
DH10	-126	-216	-10	(352)	90	35.80%	61.36%	-25.57%
DH11	-185	-321	-10	(516)	136	35.85%	62.21%	-26.36%
DH12	-180	-331	-13	(524)	151	34.35%	63.17%	-28.82%
DH13	-199	-280	-8	(487)	81	40.86%	57.49%	-16.63%
DH37	-86	-305	-7	(398)	219	21.61%	76.63%	-55.03%
DH38	-162	-278	-20	(460)	116	35.22%	60.43%	-25.22%
DH941	-71	-144	-4	(219)	73	32.42%	65.75%	-33.33%
DH942	-697	-804	-36	(1,537)	107	45.35%	52.31%	-6.96%
City of Flat Rock	1,807	2,504	101	4,412	-697	40.96%	56.75%	-15.80%
Huron Township	3,669	3,852	176	7,697	-183	47.67%	50.05%	-2.38%
City of Inkster	699	11,340	72	12,111	-10641	5.77%	93.63%	-87.86%
City of Rockwood	678	900	39	1,617	-222	41.93%	55.66%	-13.73%
City of Romulus	2,404	9,202	164	11,770	-6798	20.42%	78.18%	-57.76%
Sumpter Township	1,696	2,961	84	4,741	-1265	35.77%	62.46%	-26.68%
City of Taylor	9,224	17,264	563	27,051	-8040	34.10%	63.82%	-29.72%
City of Woodhaven	2,863	3,781	110	6,754	-918	42.39%	55.98%	-13.59%
Total	110,863	224,505	5,467	340,835	-113642	32.53%	65.87%	-33.34%

The farm club has mostly democrat areas, but not all of them are.

St. Senate 18th - Covers the City of Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor Twp, Augusta Twp, City of Chelsea, Dexter Twp, Freedom Twp, Lima Twp, Lyndon Twp, Northfield Twp, a small portion of Pittsfield Twp, Salem Twp, Scio Twp, Sharon Twp, Superior Twp, Sylvan Twp, City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti Twp in Washtenaw County. This is one of the most democrat state senate seats in the state. Most of this is in the 15th District (Dingell), but some of this is in the 7th.

St Senate 18th	GOP	Dem
06 - Kopinski/Brater	29,075	72,774	3	101,852	-43699	28.55%	71.45%	-42.90%
02 - Darr/Brater	27,726	52,912	2635	83,273	-25186	33.30%	63.54%	-30.25%

St. Senate 17th - Covers all of Monroe County, Grass Lake, Leoni, Norvell, and Summit Twps in Jackson County, and Bridgwater Twp, Lodi Twp, Manchester Twp, city of Milan, Pittsfield Twp, City of Saline, Saline Twp, and York Twp in Washtenaw County. This is another swing district. Monroe County is a swing county that has gone democrat more than republican. The rest of the area swings as well, although Washtenaw County portion is more democrat and the Jackson County portion more republican, although neither overwhelmingly so (Jackson thanks to Leoni, Washtenaw, thanks to everything but Pittsfield).The Jackson County and some of the Washtenaw County portion is in the 7th district. The rest is in the 15th. Randy Richardville is the incumbent who won in the tough 2006 year.

St Senate 17th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Richardville/Schockman	52113	45445		97,558	6668	53.42%	46.58%	6.83%
02 - Hammerstrom/LeMasters	44773	30262		75,035	14511	59.67%	40.33%	19.34%

St Senate 8th -  Covers Allen Park, Ecorse, Lincoln Park, Melvindale, Riverview, Romulus, Southgate, Taylor, Wayne, and Wyandotte in Wayne County. This is one of the two main downriver districts. It is solidly democrat with only Allen Park occasionally competitive. Ray Basham is a termed out incumbent most famous for the big government smoking ban.

St Senate 8th	GOP	Dem	3rd party
06 - Kalsic/Basham	21,727	58,501	2197	82,425	-36774	26.36%	70.97%	-44.62%
02 - Montelauro/Basham	22,128	43,874	2312	68,314	-21746	32.39%	64.22%	-31.83%

St Senate 7th - Covers Belleville, Brownstown Twp, Canton Twp, City of Flat Rock, Gibralter, Grosse Ile Twp, Huron Twp, City of Northville (Wayne County side), Northville Twp, City of Plymouth, Plymouth Twp, City of Rockwood, Sumpter Twp, City of Trenton, Van Buren Twp, and City of Woodhaven in Wayne County. This is a swing district, if not slightly democrat leaning. Bruce Patterson had two tough wins and is termed out. Patterson won, by cutting into the normal GOP losses in the downriver portions of the district, while winning Canton, Plymouth Twp and Northville. This will be a major battle in 2010. It's been a battleground district for years, as was its similar district pre-redistricting represented by Lorne Bennett.

St Senate 7th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Patterson/Slavens	59,647	56,156		115,803	3491	51.51%	48.49%	3.01%
02 - Patterson/Mans	52,435	40,675		93,110	11760	56.32%	43.68%	12.63%

St Senate 5th - Dearborn Heights, Detroit, and Inkster - This is a minority majority district based in Detroit. Dearborn Heights separates black majority Inkster and Detroit, so it's included. Detroit itself is the most democrat city over 100,000 people in the country. Tupac Hunter is the incumbent.

St Senate 5th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
06 - Malhalab/Hunter	8,164	56,252	1510	65,926	-48088	12.38%	85.33%	-72.94%
02 - Patrick/Leland	10,334	49,780		60,114	-39446	17.19%	82.81%	-65.62%

St Senate 3rd - Covers Dearborn, Detroit, and River Rouge - This is also a minority majority district based in Detroit. Dearborn is about 1/3 of the district and is outvoted by Detroit. Irma Clark-Coleman is the incumbent and is termed out. .

St Senate 3rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
06 - Sophiea/Clark-Coleman	12,353	58,063		70,416	-45710	17.54%	82.46%	-64.91%
02 - Hernandez/Clark	12,855	53,395	3	66,253	-40540	19.40%	80.59%	-61.19%

St Rep 56th - Covers Ash Township, Berlin Township,  Exeter Township, Frenchtown Township, Ida Township, La Salle Township, London Township, City of Luna Pier, City of Monroe, Monroe Township, and Raisinville Township in Monroe County. This is a swing district with a slight democrat leaning, although Randy Richardville has won here on several occasions. Kate Ebli is the incumbent.

St Rep 56th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Dahm/Ebli	15,459	28,495	1224	45,178	-13036	34.22%	63.07%	-28.85%
06 - Manor/Ebli	16,133	18,468		34,601	-2335	46.63%	53.37%	-6.75%
04 - Manor/Kerhl	20,671	21,554	1662	43,887	-883	47.10%	49.11%	-2.01%
02 - Richardville/Sacks	17,357	9,004		26,361	8353	65.84%	34.16%	31.69%

St Rep 55th - Covers Bedford Township, Dundee Township, Erie Township, City of Milan, Milan Township, City of Petersburg, Summerfield Township, and Whiteford Township in Monroe County, and City of Milan, Pittsfield Township, One precinct in Saline Township, and York Township in Washtenaw County. This is a swing district with the more Republican areas of Monroe County, and democrat Pittsfield Township in Washtenaw County. Pittsfield's leanings alone can flip this seat as it happened in 2004.
 

St Rep 55th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Moynihan/Angerer	17,054	33,236		50,290	-16182	33.91%	66.09%	-32.18%
06 - Milosch/Angerer	13,208	23,409		36,617	-10201	36.07%	63.93%	-27.86%
04 - Milosch/Angerer	23,980	24,299		48,279	-319	49.67%	50.33%	-0.66%
02 - Milosch/Hauser-Hurley	14,287	12,679		26,966	1608	52.98%	47.02%	5.96%

St Rep 54th - Covers Augusta Township, Salem Township, Superior Township, the City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti township in Washtenaw County. This is a solidly democrat district based in Ypsi.

St Rep 54th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Banks/Smith	12,283	33,509	1319	47,111	-21226	26.07%	71.13%	-45.06%
06 - Banks/Smith	9,036	22,250	1402	32,688	-13214	27.64%	68.07%	-40.42%
04 - Myers/Smith	12,698	28,568	860	42,126	-15870	30.14%	67.82%	-37.67%
02 - Trent/Jamnick	8,112	17,888		26,000	-9776	31.20%	68.80%	-37.60%

St Rep 53rd - Covers most of Ann Arbor, part of Ann Arbor Township, and small parts of Pittsfield and  Scio Townships in Washtenaw County - This is one of the two most liberal districts in the state.

St Rep 53rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Brewton/Warren	8,282	37,845	2200	48,327	-29563	17.14%	78.31%	-61.17%
06 - Sheagren/Warren	5,898	26,985	847	33,730	-21087	17.49%	80.00%	-62.52%
04 - Sheagren/Kolb	9,127	36,745		45,872	-27618	19.90%	80.10%	-60.21%
02 - Milroy/Kolb	6,279	22,254		28,533	-15975	22.01%	77.99%	-55.99%

St Rep 52nd - Covers Northeastern Ann Arbor, most of Ann Arbor Twp, Bridgwater Twp, City of Chelsea, Dexter Twp, Freedom Twp, Lima Twp, Lodi Twp, Lyndon Twp, Manchester Twp, Northfield Twp, City of Saline, Scio Twp, Sharon Twp, Sylvan Twp, and Webster Twp. This was created as a swing district, but does have some democrat leanings, especially within the last 6 years. Gene DeRossett won the district in 2002 by winning big in the far western townships as a two term incumbent (of a less democrat district). Pam Byrnes won the 2004 open seat and has held it since. She's termed out. The open seat I'd say favors a democrat, but the Republicans have their best candidate running in Mark Ouimet, who as a county commissioner, somehow still wins in Scio Twp. This will be one to watch.

St Rep 52nd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Lielbriedis/Byrnes	19,180	35,957	1982	57,119	-16777	33.58%	62.95%	-29.37%
06 - Brown/Byrnes	16,747	28,046		44,793	-11299	37.39%	62.61%	-25.22%
04 - Yekulis/Byrnes	24,669	29,740		54,409	-5071	45.34%	54.66%	-9.32%
02 - DeRossett/Byrnes	19,579	17,091		36,670	2488	53.39%	46.61%	6.78%

State Rep 23rd - Covers Brownstown Township, Flat Rock, Gibralter, Grosse Ile Township, Huron Township, Rockwood, Sumpter Township, and Woodhaven in Wayne County. This is a slight democrat leaning district, but competitive some years. It was very close in 2002.

St Rep 23rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - DeBlois/Kennedy	18,376	26,987		45,363	-8611	40.51%	59.49%	-18.98%
06 - Bostic/Law	12,677	21,636		34,313	-8959	36.95%	63.05%	-26.11%
04 - Vollenweider/Law	19,202	24,004	727	43,933	-4802	43.71%	54.64%	-10.93%
02 - Jones/Law	13,171	13,430	552	27,153	-259	48.51%	49.46%	-0.95%

State Rep 22nd - Covers Romulus and Taylor in Wayne County - Solidly democrat district covering the airport area. Heavily union and airport workers.

St Rep 22nd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - McNeill/Geiss	6,780	25,676	3919	36,375	-18896	18.64%	70.59%	-51.95%
06 - Armstrong/Hopgood	5,882	19,260	895	26,037	-13378	22.59%	73.97%	-51.38%
04 - Kalsic/Hopgood	8,863	24,375	1807	35,045	-15512	25.29%	69.55%	-44.26%
02 - Vaughan/Hopgood	5,696	14,042	657	20,395	-8346	27.93%	68.85%	-40.92%

State Rep 16th - Covers part of Allen Park, part of Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Inkster - Solidly democrat. All areas here lean democrat, with Inkster anchoring this seat.

St Rep 16th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Smith/Constan	9,133	28,195		37,328	-19062	24.47%	75.53%	-51.07%
06 - DeLozier/Constan	7,002	19,346		26,348	-12344	26.58%	73.42%	-46.85%
04 - Lauster/Plakas	9,259	25,756	1626	36,641	-16497	25.27%	70.29%	-45.02%
02 - Homeier/Plakas	5,595	16,693	913	23,201	-11098	24.12%	71.95%	-47.83%

State Rep 15th - Covers most of Dearborn - Strongly leans democrat, although Gary Woronchak won as a republican before switching parties. Dearborn long leaned Democrat being Dingell's home base since the 1960's. Bush won it in 2000, but Iraq shifted Dearborn about 10% more D at the top of the ticket.

St Rep 15th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Saionz/Polidori	8,292	28,606		36,898	-20314	22.47%	77.53%	-55.05%
06 - Ghasham/Polidori	6,755	21,391		28,146	-14636	24.00%	76.00%	-52.00%
04 - Thomas/Polidori	13,063	23,923		36,986	-10860	35.32%	64.68%	-29.36%
02 - Woronchak	19,227			19,227	19227	100.00%	0.00%	100.00%

Overall, this is a seat that did its job in 2002. It combined the Lynn Rivers base in Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti with Dingell's base in Southern Wayne County and Monroe County in an attempt to knock out Lynn Rivers or John Dingell. It did exactly that. It is a very difficult district for the GOP to win, although Engler carried it in 1998. Dingell's a hard worker, and usually doesn't take elections for granted. It depends on whether the bleeding can be stopped in the Ann Arbor area bringing it back at least to its 1990's era numbers (more the burbs), carrying Monroe big, and finally breaking through downriver with Inkster, Romulus, and a lot of the democrat base staying home. It's easy to say, and difficult to do, as this seat was gerrymandered to put two different democrat bases together, without giving Dingell's home to the Conyers district.

Update 5-18-2010 - I'm surprised there's a 5 way primary on the GOP side considering this district's history. Two of the candidates are in Ypsi, and three are in Wayne County. Maybe something is brewing here. At worst case scenario, maybe we can flip the Monroe districts and one of the downriver seats with some hard work.