Thursday, March 31, 2005

Congressional District 13

Congressional District 13

2006 Contest
Republican Candidates – none
Democrat Candidates – Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (Detroit)

Current Rep – Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (D-Detroit)
Years in office – 8 (1997-present)

2004 Results
Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick – 78%
Cynthia Cassell – 18%

Presidential results:

Barone’s numbers
Bush – 19%, Bush 19%
Kerry – 81%, Gore 80%

Cook’s partisan index – Democrats +32

Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Safe Democrat.

District covers:
Wayne County:
Part of Detroit, Ecorse, all of the Grosse Pointes, Harper Woods, Lincoln Park, River Rouge, and Wyandotte.

I did not data mine the Detroit precincts for this since it is mostly 90% democrat across the board. This district covers the East Side of Detroit, as well as Downtown and SW Detroit. The Grosse Pointes are Republican, but not nearly enough to counterbalance Detroit. The Downriver areas (outside Ecorse/River Rouge) don’t care for a Detroit Democrat, but Kilpatrick still wins there due to straight tickets.

This is one of the most Democrat Districts in the country, and Kilpatrick is safe here until she retires or is primaried out. It’ll take a miracle for the GOP to take this seat

UPDATE - That won't happen this year. Kilpatrick has a free pass, unfortunately.

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