Monday, May 08, 2006

GOP's numbers down due to conservative discontent

Kevins here always rips this blog for not reporting bad news very often. This site is like the NY Times. Very biased to one side. Unlike the Times, this blog doesn't claim to be unbiased.

Well, here is some bad news from John Fund of the Wall Street Journal titled "Democrats may not be able to win the House, but Republicans could lose it." I agree with it 100%. The problem is NOT that Republicans are too right wing. In fact, the problem is their move to the left. Republicans haven't been truly right-wing since 1994. That's why I refer to myself as a 1994 Republican as opposed to the "big government conservatism" to today.

Some polls show public disapproval of the GOP among conservatives reaching dangerously high levels. A new Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll found that only 66% of Republicans now approve of President Bush's performance. A new Associated Press/Public Affairs poll found 45% of self-identified conservatives disapprove of Mr. Bush's job as president, and 65% disapprove of the GOP Congress. The disapproval numbers are probably exaggerated because of an oversampling of Democrats, but even if somewhat lower, the numbers are still toxic.

"[What's] happening is a breakdown of the coalition that elected and re-elected the president," says pollster John Zogby. He told the Washington Times that in his surveys he found Mr. Bush pulling in less than 45% support among people invested in the stock market, Nascar fans and gun owners. His standing among born-again Christians was just over 50%.

Today, I give President Bush a weak grade. The reasons are due to spending and the amnesty he supports on immigration. Again, the poll numbers drop when he moves left-wing. I was never very enthusiastic about supporting him, but when the other choices are Al Gore and his hostility to the auto industry and Hanoi John Kerry, then there is no choice. At least Bush appoints good judges for the most part.

The one saving grace for the GOP right now is that as they move left, the competition from the democrats is from those even further left of the George Soros variety, not moderate conservative populists. I don't see Jim Barcia leading the democrats, I see San Francisco's Nancy Pelosi. Harry Reid caved and moved left at leadership's demands committing the same mistake in Libertarian leaning Nevada that Tom Daschle did in South Dakota. The right flank is the major problem for the GOP, and the democrats frankly have no credibility at exploiting it. They only win today if conservatives stay home, which many did in 1996 after the NRA refused to endorse Bob Dole. (Although Dole couldn't have won nationwide anyway, he could have made it closer)

So if I was Dennis Hastert and Bill Frist, this is what I'd push.

1. No amnesty immigration. Heavy fines and jail terms for businesses who break the law and hire illegals. Enforce current laws, particulary tax evasion against them as well. I don't care where the ILLEGAL immigrant is from, whether it be Mexico, Ireland, Saudi Arabia, China, or Canada. Illegal is illegal. Let's quit being afraid of the race baiting charges and do what's right.

2. Secure our borders. Two years ago, a terrorist was busted in Dearborn raising money for Hezbollah. He came here illegally through the Southern Border. Government is telling me to give up my rights in the Patriot Act (which I opposed from the start)while failing to secure the borders.

3. Balance the Budget. Grow a pair and pass Mike Pence's budget.

4. Confirm President Bush's judges.

As Dick Armey said - "When we act like us, we win. When we act like them, we lose." It's time for us to stop pandering to democrats and remember where we came from and what we got elected on, instead.

Else conservatives will stay home, and that will be some bad news in November.


patrick flynn said...

You are right on target Dan. Why do you think that guys like me have been inspired to jump into the fray?. I'm not upset with Kevin and the other liberals. They're actually being true to their creed. I am outraged at the wet noodle conservatives who will not lead and will not stand firm with good example. Those who politicize their morals and squander this supreme opportunity of two-house majority. We need to smarten up now before we blow the whole dang thing.

I am asking you good people for your vote this August. I am submitting my qualifying signatures this week and I will be on the ballot. If I'm given the grace to be elected, I promise that I will turn this outrage into a fire for real conservative leadership in DC. New blood? Yes, folks, the time is now!

Anonymous said...

That article only confirmed that which I have long believed, that the low approval numbers are due to discontent within Republican ranks, especially the conservative grass roots.

Conservatives can generally be broken up into 2 segments. One portion tends to lean libertarian and believes that government which governs best governs least. The other segment has a lot of social conservatives who are eager to use the power of government to promote their social agenda.

President Bush lost a lot of the support from libertarian leaning conservatives because of campaign finance reform and the patriot act.

Most conservatives of both stripes have been outraged by out-of-control federal spending and we now see both moderate and conservative Republicans becoming angry over the lack of action on the border security/illegal immigration issue.

A big part of the problem with Republicans right now is that we have many politicians that are more concerned about getting re-elected and keeping majority power then they are about trying to achieve good government as defined by Republican ideals.

Too often we vote for the lessor of two evils rather than feeling genuine enthusiasm for a particular candidate. The threat for Republicans is that the conservative base will refuse to donate money and volunteer time this fall because so many feel betrayed by the current Republican leadership. Some conservatives may even decide to stay home on voting day. With many close races expected this fall, even a small boycott by conservatives could result in a major power shift in Washington.

I hate to say it, but this might be exactly the kind of wake up call the Republican party needs. If we can get rid of the professional politicans who have forgotten why they went to Washington and replace them with some leaders who remember what it is the Republican party stands for then we would all be better off.

Paleoconservative said...

Tell it like it is Dan. Hopefully I'll be in Livingston County in August.

Radcliffe said...

We tend to have overlooked some things with Bush's approval rating. Yes, conservative and GOP approval is down from it's amazing highs, but the 10 percent of Democrats who supported Bush are totally gone. Independents have slipped too. Bush needs his base back first, but he also needs more people to support him. NRO nails the trends:

Second, my blog has a take on 3 House seats Dems think they can take. Not likely.


Anonymous said...

Bush Judge nominee rated "unqualified". His great qualifying achievement was that he was Senator Lott's lawyer, and the republican party of Mississippi's lawyer. Had never been a judge.

Kevins said...

That’s so sunny blaming bush’s abysmal approval ratings on conservatives, immigration and spending. Those ratings are also affecting Congress. It shows just how desperate and what a bush apologist you really are. The problem runs much deeper than that, and it began with the incompetence, dishonesty and corruption than began in bush’s first few months in office.
I’m also tired of you mouthing the gop talking point of the “liberal media” myth that began with Nixon with zero proof. I guess it proved the gop strategy of if you tell a lie often enough people start to believe it, and you have bough it hook, line and sinker.