Saturday, April 23, 2005

State Senate - District 16

State Senate - District 16

2006 Contest
Republican Candidates – Cameron Brown
Democrat Candidates – Timothy Christner

Current Rep – Cameron Brown (R-Sturgis)

2002 Results
Cameron Brown – 60.47%
Dudley Spade – 37.07%

Presidential results:
Bush – 58.50%
Kerry – 40.35%

Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Safe Republican

District covers:
All of Branch, St Joseph, Hillsdale, and Lenawee Counties

This district covers much of rural South Central Michigan. It stretches from the Tecumseh/Adrian area just West of Dundee and Monroe to Sturgis and Three Rivers south of Kalamazoo. It is solidly Republican, with all counties going to Bush in 2000 and 2004. All except Lenawee were over 60% Bush in 2004. Lenawee has about 40% of the voters, with the GOP strongholds having 60% of the voters.

Cameron Brown defeated Dudley Spade (now state rep for most of Lenawee County) in 2002 by a large margin, winning all except Lenawee County. If a Spade cannot win here, then there is almost no chance at all for the dems, even if they win Lenawee County big. There are just too many Republicans in the other three counties.

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