Saturday, April 02, 2005

State Senate - District 7

State Senate - District 7

2006 Contest
Republican Candidates – Bruce Patterson (Canton)
Democrat Candidates – Mark Slavens (Canton)

Current Rep – Bruce Patterson (R-Canton)

2002 Results
Bruce Patterson – 56.32%
George Mans – 43.68%

Presidential results:
Bush – 50.63%
Kerry – 48.14%

Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Leans Republican

District covers:
Wayne County:
Belleville, Brownstown Township, Canton Township, Flat Rock, Gibraltar, Grosse Ile, Huron Township, Northville City(Wayne County), Northville Township, Plymouth City and Township, Rockwood, Sumpter Township, Trenton, Van Buren Township, Woodhaven

This is an “L” shaped district on the outer edge of Wayne County. It covers the western Detroit suburbs, part of the “Metro Airport” area, and the Southern most “Downriver” suburbs. Eight municipalities went for John Kerry. Six went for President Bush. It is a competitive district with a good number of conservative republicans, liberal republicans, populist democrats, and some Ann Arbor type Liberals.

The Republican base of this district is Northville and Plymouth. Canton and Huron Township are competitive. Grosse Ile is the Republican base downriver. The democrat base of the district is near Metro Airport and Downriver. The former has more population than the latter, so there is a slight GOP leaning to the district.

The current incumbent is Bruce Patterson, who had a race that was much less competitive race than expected. Patterson defeated George Mans solidly, not only winning the areas President Bush won, but also took strongly democrat Belleville, Van Buren Township, and even Downriver’s Woodhaven near where George Mans lives.

Slightly over ¼ of the votes are in Canton Township where Patterson lives. Canton is slightly Republican leaning. Another ¼ of the votes are in Northville/Plymouth which strongly lean Republican (Despite being Granholm’s home), although by a lesser margin than they used to be. Slightly under 1/3 of the votes are from the Downriver area which is slightly democrat leaning, although also by a lesser margin than they used to be. The last 1/7 to 1/8 of the vote is the Metro Airport area, which is the most democrat, although Patterson actually won this in the last election due to the “homer factor” as Canton is closer to that area than Downriver.

Overall, this area leans slightly Republican due to the incumbency factor, but should be competitive.

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