Sunday, May 01, 2005

Alger County - Profile

Alger County:
Location – Upper Penninsula of Michigan:
Population – 9,862 (2000 census)
Demographics – 87.8% White, 6.1% Black, 3.3% American Indian, .3% Asian, .4% Some other Race, 2.0% Two or more races, 1.0% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat - Munising (pop 2539) (2000 census)

Alger County is a rural county in the Upper Penninsula of Michigan. It is on the Lake Superior shoreline. It is strongly democrat, although competitive at the state level. It is the only county in Michigan to flip from Bush to Kerry between 2000 and 2004. Marquette is to the West, Tahquanameon Falls is to the East, and Escanaba and Mantistique is to the South.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressman - Bart Stupak (D), 1st District
State Senator – Michael Prusi (D), 38th District
State Rep – Stephen Adamini (D), 109th District

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor – John Engler (R) – 56.92%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 43.08%
Secretary of State – Candice Miller (R) – 64.83%, Mary Lou Parks (R) – 35.17%
Attorney General – Jennifer Granholm (D) – 54.22%, John Smietanka (R) – 45.78%
Congress (1st District) – Bart Stupak (D) – 65.56%, Michelle McManus (R) – 34.44%
State Senator (37th District) – Kay Ann Chase (D) – 52.78%, Walt North (R) – 47.22%
State Representative (109th District) – Michael Prusi (D) – 72.30%, Jason DesParois (R) 27.70%

2000 Results Countywide:
US Senate – Spence Abraham (R) – 50.18%, Debbie Stabenow (D) – 46.97%
Congress (1st District) – Bart Stupak (D) – 61.02%, Chuck Yob (R) – 38.15%
State Representative (109th District) – Stephen Adamini (D) – 62.42%, Gus Ryhdolm (R) – 37.58%

2002 Results Countywide:
Governor – Jennifer Granholm (D) – 52.59%, Dick Posthumus (R) – 46.02%
Secretary of State – Terri Lynn Land (R) – 51.20%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 46.72%
Attorney General – Gary Peters (D) – 53.43%, Mike Cox (R) – 44.02%
US Senate – Carl Levin (D) – 66.92%, Andrew “Rocky” Raczkowski (R) – 31.92%
Congress (1st District) – Bart Stupak (D) – 72.99%, Don Hooper (R) – 26.12%
State Senator (38th District) – Michael Prusi (D) – 67.85%, David Schoenhow (R) – 32.15%
State Representative (109th District) – Stephen Adamini (D) – 67.62%, Jim Hafeman (R) – 32.38%

2004 Results Countywide:
Congress (1st District) - Bart Stupak (D) - 70.18, Don Hooper (R) - 29.03
State Representative (109th District) - Stephen Adamini (D) - 64.53%, David Kaltenbach (R) - 35.47%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.

ALGER COUNTY
2000 Bush - 2142 (49.06%), Gore 2071 (47.43%)
2004 Bush – 2318 (48.65%), Kerry 2395 (50.26%)

Onota Township
2000 90 (40.00%), 123 (54.67%)
2004 114 (45.42%), 136 (54.18%)

Mathias Township
2000 107 (42.13%), 136 (53.54%)
2004 111 (36.75%), 189 (62.58%)

Rock River Township
2000 269 (44.39%), 320 (52.81%)
2004 321 (46.93%), 355 (51.90%)

Limestone Township
2000 93 (45.37%), 102 (49.76%)
2004 96 (43.24%), 125 (56.31%)

Munsing City
2000 540 (46.67%), 582 (50.30%)
2004 537 (45.05%), 643 (53.94%)

Burt Township
2000 167 (50.91%), 144 (43.90%)
2004 161 (47.21%), 174 (51.03%)

Au Train Township
2000 299 (52.27%), 252 (44.06%)
2004 350 (54.01%), 291 (44.91%)

Grand Island Township
2000 17 (54.84%), 14 (45.16%)
2004 21 (65.63%), 11 (34.38%)

Munsing Township
2000 560 (56.74%), 398 (40.32%)
2004 607 (55.54%), 471 (43.09%)

Alger County is the only county to flip to Kerry in 2004 due to the Nader vote coming home. It is still a very strong Democrat county. They aren’t as apt to ticket split as the rest of the UP or North Michigan is. They do however strongly prefer local democrats. Adamina, Prusi, and Stupak all did particulary well compared to their downstate counterparts. I am surprised that Walt North lost Alger in 1998 since he is also a Yooper, although he is from the Eastern part of the UP which is much more friendly to the GOP.

Redistricting only slightly changed the districts in Alger. The only change is that they are now in the Marquette and Western UP based state senate district which is more democrat than the previous seat.

In 2008, the best chance the GOP has to win here is if the dems run another leftist with no blue collar appeal and if the GOP runs a Midwestern social conservative with blue collar appeal. The dems have their best shot with a pro-labor and pro-2a democrat. Tim Pawlenty would do well here.

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