Wednesday, April 18, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 96 (HD-96)

State House - District 96
Current Rep - Charles Brunner (D - Bay City)

Candidates:
GOP - Chad Dewey (R-Bay City)
DEM - Charles Brunner (D-Bay City)

Old District (96th)
Charles Brunner - 17,064
Dennis Poirier - 15,684

That was much closer than expected win for a democrat in a Bay City based district. The district did change slightly with redistricting, but not heavily. It drops Auburn, Williams Twp, and the small part of Midland, and picks up Kawkawlin Township. The whole area is union, so there's not a lot of changes in partisanship. This is a yellow dog, moderate democrat district, tailor made for the Jim Barcia types. Pro-life, pro-gun, pro-union. They will vote for liberals over republicans in most cases.

Despite the 2010 numbers, I think Brunner is if not safe, almost safe. There's just too much tradition here currently.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bangor Twp 3539 4559 8098 -1020 43.70% 56.30% -12.60%
Bay City 5276 10819 16095 -5543 32.78% 67.22% -34.44%
Essexville  800 1233 2033 -433 39.35% 60.65% -21.30%
Frankenlust Twp 1213 834 2047 379 59.26% 40.74% 18.51%
Hampton Twp 2014 2991 5005 -977 40.24% 59.76% -19.52%
Kawkawlin Twp 1187 1391 2578 -204 46.04% 53.96% -7.91%
Merritt Twp 416 437 853 -21 48.77% 51.23% -2.46%
Monitor Twp 3138 3249 6387 -111 49.13% 50.87% -1.74%
Portsmouth Twp 855 1108 1963 -253 43.56% 56.44% -12.89%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 18438 26621 45059 -8183 40.92% 59.08% -18.16%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bangor Twp 3779 4233 8012 -454 47.17% 52.83% -5.67%
Bay City 6005 10450 16455 -4445 36.49% 63.51% -27.01%
Essexville  989 1183 2172 -194 45.53% 54.47% -8.93%
Frankenlust Twp 1146 672 1818 474 63.04% 36.96% 26.07%
Hampton Twp 2185 2865 5050 -680 43.27% 56.73% -13.47%
Kawkawlin Twp 1271 1377 2648 -106 48.00% 52.00% -4.00%
Merritt Twp 430 406 836 24 51.44% 48.56% 2.87%
Monitor Twp 3199 2970 6169 229 51.86% 48.14% 3.71%
Portsmouth Twp 912 1089 2001 -177 45.58% 54.42% -8.85%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 19916 25245 45161 -5329 44.10% 55.90% -11.80%









GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bangor Twp 2609 2949 5558 -340 46.94% 53.06% -6.12%
Bay City 4024 6224 10248 -2200 39.27% 60.73% -21.47%
Essexville  758 713 1471 45 51.53% 48.47% 3.06%
Frankenlust Twp 983 551 1534 432 64.08% 35.92% 28.16%
Hampton Twp 1744 1719 3463 25 50.36% 49.64% 0.72%
Kawkawlin Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Merritt Twp 358 256 614 102 58.31% 41.69% 16.61%
Monitor Twp 2465 2152 4617 313 53.39% 46.61% 6.78%
Portsmouth Twp 647 781 1428 -134 45.31% 54.69% -9.38%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 13588 15345 28933 -1757 46.96% 53.04% -6.07%

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