Thursday, April 19, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 98 (HD-98)

State House - District 98
Current Rep - Jim Stamas (R - Midland)

Candidates:
GOP -  Jim Stamas (R-Midland)
Dem  - Joan Brausch (D-Midland)

Update 8-30-2012 - Stamas won his primary.

Old District (98th)
Jim Stamas - Unopposed outside 3rd parties.


This district is a safe district based in Midland. It changes a bit, but the partisanship doesn't change much, maybe slightly more dem. The old district covered Homer, Ingersoll, Midland, and Mt Haley Townships, and the City of Midland, and parts of Saginaw County.  The new district drops Mt Haley and Ingersoll Townships, and picks up Lee, Jerome, Lincoln, and Larkin Townships. It also picks up some democrat leaning areas in rural Bay County.


The dems pushed hard in 08 for the old district. It wasn't that close. There's a lot of new territory here for Stamas. I think there's too much Midland for the dems to make a good run downticket, but maybe a Barcia type could with some big numbers out of rural Bay County if he can reduce his losses. I don't see it. Too much population loss in Bay County, and gain in Midland.




McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bay County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn 590 591 1181 -1 49.96% 50.04% -0.08%
Beaver Twp 798 744 1542 54 51.75% 48.25% 3.50%
Fraser Twp 715 1006 1721 -291 41.55% 58.45% -16.91%
Garfield Twp 425 500 925 -75 45.95% 54.05% -8.11%
Gibson Twp 239 294 533 -55 44.84% 55.16% -10.32%
Midland(bay) 22 41 63 -19 34.92% 65.08% -30.16%
Mt Forest Twp 342 383 725 -41 47.17% 52.83% -5.66%
Pinconning 208 378 586 -170 35.49% 64.51% -29.01%
Pinconning Twp 614 700 1314 -86 46.73% 53.27% -6.54%
Williams Twp 1404 1331 2735 73 51.33% 48.67% 2.67%
Midland County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Homer Twp 1149 1058 2207 91 52.06% 47.94% 4.12%
Jerome Twp 1217 1191 2408 26 50.54% 49.46% 1.08%
Lee Twp 865 929 1794 -64 48.22% 51.78% -3.57%
Lincoln Twp 705 608 1313 97 53.69% 46.31% 7.39%
Midland 11108 10863 21971 245 50.56% 49.44% 1.12%
Midland Twp 648 554 1202 94 53.91% 46.09% 7.82%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 21049 21171 42220 -122 49.86% 50.14% -0.29%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bay County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn 641 537 1178 104 54.41% 45.59% 8.83%
Beaver Twp 792 691 1483 101 53.41% 46.59% 6.81%
Fraser Twp 768 992 1760 -224 43.64% 56.36% -12.73%
Garfield Twp 391 542 933 -151 41.91% 58.09% -16.18%
Gibson Twp 261 293 554 -32 47.11% 52.89% -5.78%
Midland(bay) 10 28 38 -18 26.32% 73.68% -47.37%
Mt Forest Twp 337 401 738 -64 45.66% 54.34% -8.67%
Pinconning 249 377 626 -128 39.78% 60.22% -20.45%
Pinconning Twp 628 686 1314 -58 47.79% 52.21% -4.41%
Williams Twp 1446 1240 2686 206 53.83% 46.17% 7.67%
Midland County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Homer Twp 1229 906 2135 323 57.56% 42.44% 15.13%
Jerome Twp 279 189 468 90 59.62% 40.38% 19.23%
Lee Twp 882 771 1653 111 53.36% 46.64% 6.72%
Lincoln Twp 726 555 1281 171 56.67% 43.33% 13.35%
Midland 12646 9461 22107 3185 57.20% 42.80% 14.41%
Midland Twp 709 516 1225 193 57.88% 42.12% 15.76%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 21994 18185 40179 3809 54.74% 45.26% 9.48%








Last St House (08) GOP DEM Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Bay County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Auburn

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Beaver Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Fraser Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Garfield Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Gibson Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Midland(bay)

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Mt Forest Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Pinconning

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Pinconning Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Williams Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Midland County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Homer Twp 1394 825 2219 569 62.82% 37.18% 25.64%
Jerome Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Lee Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Lincoln Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Midland 13199 8654 21853 4545 60.40% 39.60% 20.80%
Midland Twp 819 401 1220 418 67.13% 32.87% 34.26%



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!



0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 15412 9880 25292 5532 60.94% 39.06% 21.87%

No comments: