Michigan 8th District (MI-08) Updated (part 1)

Michigan's 8th District - Congress
This is Part 1. Part 2 is here

Incumbent - Mike Rogers (R-Brighton)
Years in office as of 2010 election - 10.
Cook District Numbers - R+2

GOP Candidate - Mike Rogers
Dem Candidate - Kande Ngalamulume

Barone’s numbers
2008:
Obama - 53%
McCain - 46%

2004:
Bush - 54%
Kerry – 45%

2000
Bush - 51%
Gore - 47%

This is my home district. It covers all of Clinton County, Ingham County, and Livingston County, Addison Twp, Brandon Twp, City of Clarkston, Groveland Twp, Holly Twp, Independence Twp, part of Orion Twp, Oxford Twp, Rose Twp, and Springfield Twps in Oakland County, and Antrim Twp,  Bennington Twp, Burns Twp, City of Durand, City of Laingsburg, City of Perry, Perry Twp, Sciota Twp, Shiawassee Twp, part of Vernon Twp, and Woodhull Twp in Shiawassee County.

The 8th District, or what is now the 8th district, has been a battleground for years, especially in the 1990's. In the 80's, Livingston County was split, between two districts, one Lansing based, and the other Oakland based. Bob Carr represented the area in the late 70's, lost in 1980, and won again in 1982. He was entrenched and was the last Democrat congressman to actually win Livingston County at some point. I'm not sure if it was 1990, 88, or 86. I don't believe he had the Brighton area in his district, and I know back in the 1980's, contrary to conventional wisdom, democrats have won in Livingston County, more so than today. There's still remnants of that in Putnam and Unadilla Townships which are most historically competitive. There are currently two democrat officials elected in a partisan position. Lori Cowan in Unadilla and Kevin Dobis in Putnam. Dobis ran on a bipartisan slate of "Keep Putnam Rural." Cowan has had tough elections, but keeps winning. Small town rural politics is still king in about 1/2 of the county.

Redistricting for 1992 made the 8th very competitive, although slightly democrat leaning. The old 8th had part of Washtenaw County's Ann Arbor suburbs, as well as Genesee County's Flint Suburbs, both of which leaned democrat, but was winnable. It also only had Holly and Rose Twps in Oakland, and had part of Shiawassee similar to day. The rest was all of Ingham and Livingston County which have a turnout war. Bob Carr won a close race in 1992 to Dick Chrysler. Chrysler won in 1994 in an open seat as Carr ran for Senate and lost to Spence Abraham. Chrysler lost to Debbie Stabenow in 1996, which was Clinton's big win in Michigan. Stabenow had too easy of a run in 1998 due to pro-lifers skipping the race. Stabenow ran for senate in 2000 and won leaving an open seat in 2000. Mike Rogers won in what was possibly the closest congressional race in the country. (either his or Clay Shaw in Florida). Gore won the district too.

The newer district is much more republican. Washtenaw and Genessee Counties were given up, and Rogers got one of the two most republican regions of Oakland County, as well as the then solid republican and now competitive (especially in gubernatorial years) Clinton County to replace that. The Livingston v Ingham County turnout war is still the biggest factor. Ingham County is the 4th most democrat county in the state. Livingston ranges between 3rd and 5th among Republican percentages.It makes for interesting races.

I don't have the 92, 94, or 96 numbers, and haven't seen them since 08. They aren't online, and I'd have to go to the County Clerk's office to get them. I'm going to start with 98. The old 8th. This is NOT the current 8th district, but much of it is the same. The 98 race was supposed to be closer than it was, considering Geoff Fieger was leading the way. It was a whooping.

1998 Election	Munsell	Stabenow	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Genesee County				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Argentine Twp	707	1,108	77	1,892	-401	37.37%	58.56%	-21.19%
Clayton Twp	983	1,646	90	2,719	-663	36.15%	60.54%	-24.38%
City of Fenton	1,248	1,968	108	3,324	-720	37.55%	59.21%	-21.66%
Fenton Twp	1,956	2,620	119	4,695	-664	41.66%	55.80%	-14.14%
Flint Twp	3,042	7,415	277	10,734	-4373	28.34%	69.08%	-40.74%
Gaines Twp	745	1,453	79	2,277	-708	32.72%	63.81%	-31.09%
Grand Blanc Twp	2,349	3,229	108	5,686	-880	41.31%	56.79%	-15.48%
City of Linden	433	652	28	1,113	-219	38.90%	58.58%	-19.68%
Mundy Twp	1,645	2,974	133	4,752	-1329	34.62%	62.58%	-27.97%
City of Swartz Creek	634	1,319	72	2,025	-685	31.31%	65.14%	-33.83%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	581	830	65	1,476	-249	39.36%	56.23%	-16.87%
Aurelius Twp	516	719	55	1,290	-203	40.00%	55.74%	-15.74%
Bunker Hill Twp	219	412	25	656	-193	33.38%	62.80%	-29.42%
Delhi Twp	2,996	5,009	413	8,418	-2013	35.59%	59.50%	-23.91%
City of East Lansing	3,085	8,727	573	12,385	-5642	24.91%	70.46%	-45.56%
Ingham Twp	299	436	31	766	-137	39.03%	56.92%	-17.89%
City of Lansing	8,545	23,989	1848	34,382	-15444	24.85%	69.77%	-44.92%
Lansing Twp	1,065	1,923	139	3,127	-858	34.06%	61.50%	-27.44%
Leroy Twp	520	677	50	1,247	-157	41.70%	54.29%	-12.59%
City of Leslie	166	320	11	497	-154	33.40%	64.39%	-30.99%
Leslie Twp	293	519	28	840	-226	34.88%	61.79%	-26.90%
Locke Twp	301	355	31	687	-54	43.81%	51.67%	-7.86%
City of Mason	895	1,593	62	2,550	-698	35.10%	62.47%	-27.37%
Meridian Twp	5,945	9,651	543	16,139	-3706	36.84%	59.80%	-22.96%
Onondaga Twp	311	470	42	823	-159	37.79%	57.11%	-19.32%
Stockbridge Twp	395	594	55	1,044	-199	37.84%	56.90%	-19.06%
Vevay Twp	555	838	50	1,443	-283	38.46%	58.07%	-19.61%
Wheatfield Twp	283	393	37	713	-110	39.69%	55.12%	-15.43%
White Oak Twp	170	207	13	390	-37	43.59%	53.08%	-9.49%
City of Williamston	503	682	48	1,233	-179	40.79%	55.31%	-14.52%
Williamstown Twp	989	1,272	112	2,373	-283	41.68%	53.60%	-11.93%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,177	1,084	57	2,318	93	50.78%	46.76%	4.01%
Brighton Twp	3,755	2,513	238	6,506	1242	57.72%	38.63%	19.09%
Cohoctah Twp	593	423	39	1,055	170	56.21%	40.09%	16.11%
Conway Twp	466	381	50	897	85	51.95%	42.47%	9.48%
Deerfield Twp	614	589	49	1,252	25	49.04%	47.04%	2.00%
Genoa Twp	2,902	1,992	181	5,075	910	57.18%	39.25%	17.93%
Green Oak Twp	2,827	2,243	187	5,257	584	53.78%	42.67%	11.11%
Hamburg Twp	3,187	3,055	265	6,507	132	48.98%	46.95%	2.03%
Handy Twp	927	748	98	1,773	179	52.28%	42.19%	10.10%
Hartland Twp	2,017	1,368	133	3,518	649	57.33%	38.89%	18.45%
City of Howell	1,308	1,151	105	2,564	157	51.01%	44.89%	6.12%
Howell Twp	1,005	674	74	1,753	331	57.33%	38.45%	18.88%
Iosco Twp	421	347	33	801	74	52.56%	43.32%	9.24%
Marion Twp	1,255	909	110	2,274	346	55.19%	39.97%	15.22%
Oceola Twp	1,314	905	88	2,307	409	56.96%	39.23%	17.73%
Putnam Twp	1,005	1,179	132	2,316	-174	43.39%	50.91%	-7.51%
Tyrone Twp	1,509	1,616	93	3,218	-107	46.89%	50.22%	-3.33%
Unadilla Twp	414	546	72	1,032	-132	40.12%	52.91%	-12.79%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Holly Twp	980	1,552	153	2,685	-572	36.50%	57.80%	-21.30%
Rose Twp	886	1,107	130	2,123	-221	41.73%	52.14%	-10.41%
Shiawassee County				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim twp	316	323	37	676	-7	46.75%	47.78%	-1.04%
Burns Twp	553	548	35	1,136	5	48.68%	48.24%	0.44%
City of Durand	405	763	67	1,235	-358	32.79%	61.78%	-28.99%
Shiawassee Twp	393	540	50	983	-147	39.98%	54.93%	-14.95%
Venice Twp (2)	57	71	8	136	-14	41.91%	52.21%	-10.29%
Vernon Twp	678	1,138	74	1,890	-460	35.87%	60.21%	-24.34%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Dexter Twp	918	1,118	53	2,089	-200	43.94%	53.52%	-9.57%
Freedom Twp	302	289	14	605	13	49.92%	47.77%	2.15%
Lima Twp	624	670	44	1,338	-46	46.64%	50.07%	-3.44%
Lodi Twp	1,162	942	54	2,158	220	53.85%	43.65%	10.19%
Lyndon Twp	361	522	32	915	-161	39.45%	57.05%	-17.60%
Northfield Twp	1,019	1,225	128	2,372	-206	42.96%	51.64%	-8.68%
Pittsfield Twp (part)	1,612	1,804	90	3,506	-192	45.98%	51.45%	-5.48%
City of Saline	671	981	63	1,715	-310	39.13%	57.20%	-18.08%
Scio twp	2,082	3,120	130	5,332	-1038	39.05%	58.51%	-19.47%
Sharon Twp	285	322	23	630	-37	45.24%	51.11%	-5.87%
Sylvan Twp	972	1,392	61	2,425	-420	40.08%	57.40%	-17.32%
Webster Twp	908	1,019	57	1,984	-111	45.77%	51.36%	-5.59%
				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Total	84,254	125,169	8,629	218,052	-40915	38.64%	57.40%	-18.76%

The 2000 race was ultra close. Two then state senators, Dianne Byrum and Mike Rogers, were the top two candidates. There wern't a lot mistakes on either side. It was the turnout in Livingston County that made the difference, as well as Mike doing better than expected and winning a couple of areas he shouldn't have won. Pittsfield Twp and Sylvan Twp come to mind. Scio Twp was closer than it should have been. Durand went for Rogers. Even Onondaga, which while normally republican, is Byrum's home, was close. Stockbridge, home of Byrum's business, went for Mike. The number here are off, but not much. The official numbers were I believe 88 votes after recounts.

2000 Election	Rogers	Byrum	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Genesee County				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Argentine Twp	1,445	1,295	53	2,793	150	51.74%	46.37%	5.37%
Clayton Twp	1,697	1,890	74	3,661	-193	46.35%	51.63%	-5.27%
City of Fenton	2,331	2,145	122	4,598	186	50.70%	46.65%	4.05%
Fenton Twp	3,765	3,098	145	7,008	667	53.72%	44.21%	9.52%
Flint Twp	5,080	9,123	299	14,502	-4043	35.03%	62.91%	-27.88%
Gaines Twp	1,395	1,683	74	3,152	-288	44.26%	53.39%	-9.14%
Grand Blanc Twp	4,126	3,930	135	8,191	196	50.37%	47.98%	2.39%
City of Linden	766	693	35	1,494	73	51.27%	46.39%	4.89%
Mundy Twp	2,888	3,516	139	6,543	-628	44.14%	53.74%	-9.60%
City of Swartz Creek	1,126	1,544	42	2,712	-418	41.52%	56.93%	-15.41%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	909	798	41	1,748	111	52.00%	45.65%	6.35%
Aurelius Twp	910	814	22	1,746	96	52.12%	46.62%	5.50%
Bunker Hill Twp	397	426	19	842	-29	47.15%	50.59%	-3.44%
Delhi Twp	5,204	5,664	173	11,041	-460	47.13%	51.30%	-4.17%
City of East Lansing	4,913	10,162	599	15,674	-5249	31.34%	64.83%	-33.49%
Ingham Twp	500	484	23	1,007	16	49.65%	48.06%	1.59%
City of Lansing	14,430	28,531	1167	44,128	-14101	32.70%	64.66%	-31.95%
Lansing Twp	1,627	2,175	83	3,885	-548	41.88%	55.98%	-14.11%
Leroy Twp	895	631	38	1,564	264	57.23%	40.35%	16.88%
City of Leslie	293	392	7	692	-99	42.34%	56.65%	-14.31%
Leslie Twp	487	600	19	1,106	-113	44.03%	54.25%	-10.22%
Locke Twp	521	327	12	860	194	60.58%	38.02%	22.56%
City of Mason	1,496	1,693	46	3,235	-197	46.24%	52.33%	-6.09%
Meridian Twp	9,270	10,517	395	20,182	-1247	45.93%	52.11%	-6.18%
Onondaga Twp	540	551	15	1,106	-11	48.82%	49.82%	-0.99%
Stockbridge Twp	743	684	35	1,462	59	50.82%	46.79%	4.04%
Vevay Twp	915	851	33	1,799	64	50.86%	47.30%	3.56%
Wheatfield Twp	497	414	15	926	83	53.67%	44.71%	8.96%
White Oak Twp	283	218	12	513	65	55.17%	42.50%	12.67%
City of Williamston	925	716	23	1,664	209	55.59%	43.03%	12.56%
Williamstown Twp	1,608	1,280	28	2,916	328	55.14%	43.90%	11.25%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,922	1,252	72	3,246	670	59.21%	38.57%	20.64%
Brighton Twp	6,316	2,842	198	9,356	3474	67.51%	30.38%	37.13%
Cohoctah Twp	971	477	41	1,489	494	65.21%	32.03%	33.18%
Conway Twp	793	373	30	1,196	420	66.30%	31.19%	35.12%
Deerfield Twp	1,221	655	44	1,920	566	63.59%	34.11%	29.48%
Genoa Twp	5,285	2,500	156	7,941	2785	66.55%	31.48%	35.07%
Green Oak Twp	4,467	2,647	212	7,326	1820	60.97%	36.13%	24.84%
Hamburg Twp	5,802	3,669	269	9,740	2133	59.57%	37.67%	21.90%
Handy Twp	1,732	817	58	2,607	915	66.44%	31.34%	35.10%
Hartland Twp	3,639	1,616	124	5,379	2023	67.65%	30.04%	37.61%
City of Howell	2,220	1,293	82	3,595	927	61.75%	35.97%	25.79%
Howell Twp	1,768	739	60	2,567	1029	68.87%	28.79%	40.09%
Iosco Twp	830	389	33	1,252	441	66.29%	31.07%	35.22%
Marion Twp	2,212	1,054	66	3,332	1158	66.39%	31.63%	34.75%
Oceola Twp	2,368	1,200	82	3,650	1168	64.88%	32.88%	32.00%
Putnam Twp	1,917	1,342	107	3,366	575	56.95%	39.87%	17.08%
Tyrone Twp	2,751	1,557	106	4,414	1194	62.32%	35.27%	27.05%
Unadilla Twp	718	572	46	1,336	146	53.74%	42.81%	10.93%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Holly Twp	1,927	1,956	178	4,061	-29	47.45%	48.17%	-0.71%
Rose Twp	1,506	1,180	141	2,827	326	53.27%	41.74%	11.53%
Shiawassee County				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim twp	557	315	18	890	242	62.58%	35.39%	27.19%
Burns Twp	930	577	32	1,539	353	60.43%	37.49%	22.94%
City of Durand	744	716	51	1,511	28	49.24%	47.39%	1.85%
Shiawassee Twp	703	576	27	1,306	127	53.83%	44.10%	9.72%
Venice Twp (2)	80	78	1	159	2	50.31%	49.06%	1.26%
Vernon Twp	1,275	1,038	56	2,369	237	53.82%	43.82%	10.00%
Washtenaw County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Dexter Twp	1,495	1,214	90	2,799	281	53.41%	43.37%	10.04%
Freedom Twp	445	316	28	789	129	56.40%	40.05%	16.35%
Lima Twp	949	743	71	1,763	206	53.83%	42.14%	11.68%
Lodi Twp	1,838	1,096	70	3,004	742	61.19%	36.48%	24.70%
Lyndon Twp	623	562	44	1,229	61	50.69%	45.73%	4.96%
Northfield Twp	1,808	1,492	154	3,454	316	52.35%	43.20%	9.15%
Pittsfield Twp (part)	3,079	2,792	157	6,028	287	51.08%	46.32%	4.76%
City of Saline	1,258	1,160	76	2,494	98	50.44%	46.51%	3.93%
Scio twp	3,582	4,366	241	8,189	-784	43.74%	53.32%	-9.57%
Sharon Twp	490	355	30	875	135	56.00%	40.57%	15.43%
Sylvan Twp	1,571	1,555	90	3,216	16	48.85%	48.35%	0.50%
Webster Twp	1,416	1,148	87	2,651	268	53.41%	43.30%	10.11%
				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Total	145,190	145,074	7,351	297,615	116	48.78%	48.75%	0.04%

Redistricting changed a bit, but here were comparisons of 98 and 2000.
Genesee County (Flint Twp tilts this strongly democrat)
98 - Stabenow 62.18%, Munsell 35.04%, 39217 votes, -10642 vote spread
00 - Byrum 52.92%, Rogers 45.05%, 54654 votes, -4298 vote spread.

Ingham County (all - Democrat stronghold)
98 - Stabenow 64.46%, Munsell 30.96%, 92479 votes, -30984 vote spread
00 - Byrum 57.52%, Rogers 40.11%, 118,096 votes, -20565 vote spread

Ingham County - Lansing Area  - (Lansing, East Lansing, Meridian Twp, Delhi Twp - Home base for Dems)
98 - Stabenow 66.22%, Munsell 29.08%, 74451 votes, -27663 vote spread
00 - Byrum 60.11%, Rogers 37.34%, 94910 votes, -21605 vote spread

Ingham County - Outside Lansing (Byrum's home)
98- Stabenow 57.23%, Munsell 38.81%, 18028 votes, -3321 vote spread
00 - Rogers 51.41%, Byrum 46.92%, 23186 votes, 1040 vote spread

Livingston County - Usually a Republican stronghold. Munsell's numbers really surprised me, even with the 3rd party defections and no votes. She's from the county. Looking back, I wonder how many would have voted for her if they knew Stabenow would now be a senator. Elections have consequences, and that includes down the road. For comparisons sake, McCain's 55-56% in the county is considered bad, and Munsell wasn't a true sacrificial lamb in the sense Levin's opponents are. Stabenow runs well in the county for some reason, but this one still sticks out to me. Bob Carr picked up some social conservative votes, Stabenow wouldn't.

98 - Munsell 52.94%, Stabenow 43.08%, 50423 votes, 4973 vote spread
00 - Rogers 63.67%, Byrum 33.91%, 73712 votes, 21938 vote spread

Washtenaw County - This is where Mike surprised me the most.
98 - Stabenow 53.47%, Munsell 43.54%, 25069 votes, -2488 votes
00 - Rogers 50.85%, Byrum 46.04%, 36491 votes, 1755 vote spread

Redistricting changed things a bit. Clinton County, which Mike Rogers represented as a state senator, was added. So was northern Oakland. Washtenaw Portion was given to Smith/Schwarz/Walberg/Schauer, and the Genesee Portion went to Dale Kildee. That added about 4% to the GOP. There are some danger signs to this district that need to be addressed, and that is happening. Clinton County has woken up after the 2006 and 2008 elections, especially in Bath Twp. Shiawassee County has always been competitive, so that's no surprise. Livingston has blued some, but hasn't blued as much as other GOP strongholds (By percentage it was Bush's 6th best, Posthumus's 4th best, Bush's 5th best, DeVos's 4th best, and McCain's 3rd best). It's still a concern with the drop. The bleeding needs to stop here, and we are well aware of it. North Oakland is well aware already with what's happened in South Oakland. Ingham County does the best it can, but is facing a real juggernaut with the three headed democrat monster known as Lansing, East Lansing, and Okemos. More of Orion Twp is in the 8th district, but part of it is not. Those precincts are on the tables as "negative" votes for presidential races. Those are part of the Knollenberg/Peters district. Vernon Twp is overrepresented as well for presidential races, since there's a split precinct there. Part of that is in Dave Camp's district.

Rogers usually runs about 8% of the ticket in Livingston County. It was 4% in 2000, but 13% in 02, 8% in 04,

2002 was a good year for Mike. It's now secret that his best numbers are in Livingston County, but he fights hard in Ingham County as well. He did what nobody did except John Engler against Fieger. Win the city and township of Lansing. This is an aberration of a race, but shows what happen when your opponent acts like a jerk on the campaign trail. I'll never forget the debate in Howell for this election. Mike's opponent got the well deserved boo birds and people walking out, not because of his views, but snide remarks about the County. Anyway, this is an aberration race here. If you can't win the 65%+ Democrat Lansing, that means you can't even win most of your base. Mike's a good candidate, but even he would concede that he usually doesn't win Lansing. McAlpine is one of the worst general election candidates I've seen in my lifetime. The other two are Senkowski (Campaign finance) and Fieger (who actually is a very good lawyer). There's a couple of republicans I can name too for that list (McCain), but I'll leave most of that in house for now.

2002 Election	Rogers	McAlpine	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	1,960	989	35	2,984	971	65.68%	33.14%	32.54%
Bengal Twp	439	87	5	531	352	82.67%	16.38%	66.29%
Biingham Twp	743	193	9	945	550	78.62%	20.42%	58.20%
Dallas Twp	789	97	6	892	692	88.45%	10.87%	77.58%
City of DeWitt	1,451	450	22	1,923	1001	75.46%	23.40%	52.05%
DeWitt Twp	3,434	1,396	49	4,879	2038	70.38%	28.61%	41.77%
Duplain Twp	545	254	4	803	291	67.87%	31.63%	36.24%
Eagle Twp	794	308	13	1,115	486	71.21%	27.62%	43.59%
City of East Lansing	35	21		56	14	62.50%	37.50%	25.00%
Essex Twp	470	154	11	635	316	74.02%	24.25%	49.76%
Greenbrush Twp	619	187	9	815	432	75.95%	22.94%	53.01%
Lebanon Twp	181	42	4	227	139	79.74%	18.50%	61.23%
Olive Twp	774	268	7	1,049	506	73.78%	25.55%	48.24%
Ovid Twp	860	256	13	1,129	604	76.17%	22.67%	53.50%
Riley Twp	579	162	4	745	417	77.72%	21.74%	55.97%
City of St Johns	1,921	628	17	2,566	1293	74.86%	24.47%	50.39%
Victor Twp	1,916	388	13	2,317	1528	82.69%	16.75%	65.95%
Watertown Twp	1,398	515	16	1,929	883	72.47%	26.70%	45.78%
Westphalia Twp	835	127	2	964	708	86.62%	13.17%	73.44%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	1,075	382	21	1,478	693	72.73%	25.85%	46.89%
Aurelius Twp	1,075	342	10	1,427	733	75.33%	23.97%	51.37%
Bunker Hill Twp	453	171	4	628	282	72.13%	27.23%	44.90%
Delhi Twp	6,271	2,525	74	8,870	3746	70.70%	28.47%	42.23%
City of East Lansing	4,442	5,655	149	10,246	-1213	43.35%	55.19%	-11.84%
Ingham Twp	606	212	6	824	394	73.54%	25.73%	47.82%
City of Lansing	16,544	15,322	467	32,333	1222	51.17%	47.39%	3.78%
Lansing Twp	1,806	1,222	40	3,068	584	58.87%	39.83%	19.04%
Leroy Twp	945	253	17	1,215	692	77.78%	20.82%	56.95%
City of Leslie	372	137	4	513	235	72.51%	26.71%	45.81%
Leslie Twp	658	230	15	903	428	72.87%	25.47%	47.40%
Locke Twp	584	171	4	759	413	76.94%	22.53%	54.41%
City of Mason	1,888	762	36	2,686	1126	70.29%	28.37%	41.92%
Meridian Twp	10,174	5,864	168	16,206	4310	62.78%	36.18%	26.60%
Onondaga Twp	633	214	11	858	419	73.78%	24.94%	48.83%
Stockbridge Twp	776	347	25	1,148	429	67.60%	30.23%	37.37%
Vevay Twp	1,111	354	20	1,485	757	74.81%	23.84%	50.98%
Wheatfield Twp	589	187	9	785	402	75.03%	23.82%	51.21%
White Oak Twp	326	114	6	446	212	73.09%	25.56%	47.53%
City of Williamston	968	351	9	1,328	617	72.89%	26.43%	46.46%
Williamstown Twp	1,861	684	24	2,569	1177	72.44%	26.63%	45.82%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,890	670	35	2,595	1220	72.83%	25.82%	47.01%
Brighton Twp	5,811	1,316	89	7,216	4495	80.53%	18.24%	62.29%
Cohoctah Twp	854	209	24	1,087	645	78.56%	19.23%	59.34%
Conway Twp	830	171	15	1,016	659	81.69%	16.83%	64.86%
Deerfield Twp	1,080	308	26	1,414	772	76.38%	21.78%	54.60%
Genoa Twp	5,202	1,286	73	6,561	3916	79.29%	19.60%	59.69%
Green Oak Twp	4,486	1,537	87	6,110	2949	73.42%	25.16%	48.27%
Hamburg Twp	5,470	2,010	98	7,578	3460	72.18%	26.52%	45.66%
Handy Twp	1,603	367	27	1,997	1236	80.27%	18.38%	61.89%
Hartland Twp	3,464	836	60	4,360	2628	79.45%	19.17%	60.28%
City of Howell	1,901	587	30	2,518	1314	75.50%	23.31%	52.18%
Howell Twp	1,490	326	26	1,842	1164	80.89%	17.70%	63.19%
Iosco Twp	841	181	14	1,036	660	81.18%	17.47%	63.71%
Marion Twp	2,230	518	29	2,777	1712	80.30%	18.65%	61.65%
Oceola Twp	2,340	595	30	2,965	1745	78.92%	20.07%	58.85%
Putnam Twp	1,830	712	36	2,578	1118	70.99%	27.62%	43.37%
Tyrone Twp	2,597	816	32	3,445	1781	75.38%	23.69%	51.70%
Unadilla Twp	670	270	25	965	400	69.43%	27.98%	41.45%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	1,672	519	51	2,242	1153	74.58%	23.15%	51.43%
Brandon Twp	3,173	1,352	112	4,637	1821	68.43%	29.16%	39.27%
City of Clarkston	292	120	10	422	172	69.19%	28.44%	40.76%
Groveland Twp	1,390	550	41	1,981	840	70.17%	27.76%	42.40%
Holly Twp	1,949	1,161	66	3,176	788	61.37%	36.56%	24.81%
Independence Twp	8,751	3,326	214	12,291	5425	71.20%	27.06%	44.14%
Orion Twp	6,030	2,390	166	8,586	3640	70.23%	27.84%	42.39%
Orion 8				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 9				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 11				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion14				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp	3,901	1,513	103	5,517	2388	70.71%	27.42%	43.28%
Rose Twp	1,504	626	50	2,180	878	68.99%	28.72%	40.28%
Springfield Twp	3,386	1,283	91	4,760	2103	71.13%	26.95%	44.18%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	532	161	7	700	371	76.00%	23.00%	53.00%
Bennington Twp	929	350	12	1,291	579	71.96%	27.11%	44.85%
Burns Twp	799	319	5	1,123	480	71.15%	28.41%	42.74%
City of Durand	710	377	13	1,100	333	64.55%	34.27%	30.27%
City of Laingsburg	259	91	5	355	168	72.96%	25.63%	47.32%
City of Perry	472	169	11	652	303	72.39%	25.92%	46.47%
Perry Twp	1,011	399	14	1,424	612	71.00%	28.02%	42.98%
Scoita Twp	472	184	9	665	288	70.98%	27.67%	43.31%
Shiawassee Twp	664	311	10	985	353	67.41%	31.57%	35.84%
Vernon Twp	1,013	483	27	1,523	530	66.51%	31.71%	34.80%
Woodhull Twp	1,027	500	22	1,549	527	66.30%	32.28%	34.02%
Total	157,425	70,920	3,153	231,498	86505	68.00%	30.64%	37.37%

2004 was another good year for Mike. Bush won the district by a decent margin, and Rogers is still competing on Bob Alexander's turf in the Lansing area. Ingham County itself is usually 60% democrat, and Rogers held Alexander to under 54% in the Lansing area alone, where only Delhi Twp is a legitimate swing area. (If you're winning Meridian Twp and almost winning Lansing Twp, you're in great shape). Alexander took Ingham County, barely. Rogers still didn't need his Livingston County vote spread to win.

2004 Election	Rogers	Alexander	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	2,665	1,836	82	4,583	829	58.15%	40.06%	18.09%
Bengal Twp	522	131	9	662	391	78.85%	19.79%	59.06%
Biingham Twp	1,013	365	14	1,392	648	72.77%	26.22%	46.55%
Dallas Twp	999	163	11	1,173	836	85.17%	13.90%	71.27%
City of DeWitt	1,690	832	41	2,563	858	65.94%	32.46%	33.48%
DeWitt Twp	4,604	2,442	129	7,175	2162	64.17%	34.03%	30.13%
Duplain Twp	731	399	11	1,141	332	64.07%	34.97%	29.10%
Eagle Twp	968	429	25	1,422	539	68.07%	30.17%	37.90%
City of East Lansing	159	184	7	350	-25	45.43%	52.57%	-7.14%
Essex Twp	636	270	22	928	366	68.53%	29.09%	39.44%
Greenbrush Twp	819	298	27	1,144	521	71.59%	26.05%	45.54%
Lebanon Twp	219	75	6	300	144	73.00%	25.00%	48.00%
Olive Twp	993	418	24	1,435	575	69.20%	29.13%	40.07%
Ovid Twp	1,101	508	24	1,633	593	67.42%	31.11%	36.31%
Riley Twp	799	303	17	1,119	496	71.40%	27.08%	44.33%
City of St Johns	2,574	1,086	50	3,710	1488	69.38%	29.27%	40.11%
Victor Twp	1,293	658	29	1,980	635	65.30%	33.23%	32.07%
Watertown Twp	1,702	856	47	2,605	846	65.34%	32.86%	32.48%
Westphalia Twp	1,047	195	9	1,251	852	83.69%	15.59%	68.11%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	1,183	649	32	1,864	534	63.47%	34.82%	28.65%
Aurelius Twp	1,330	562	28	1,920	768	69.27%	29.27%	40.00%
Bunker Hill Twp	599	309	20	928	290	64.55%	33.30%	31.25%
Delhi Twp	7,669	4,514	233	12,416	3155	61.77%	36.36%	25.41%
City of East Lansing	5,601	10,887	310	16,798	-5286	33.34%	64.81%	-31.47%
Ingham Twp	799	360	24	1,183	439	67.54%	30.43%	37.11%
City of Lansing	19,075	26,751	949	46,775	-7676	40.78%	57.19%	-16.41%
Lansing Twp	1,959	1,976	74	4,009	-17	48.87%	49.29%	-0.42%
Leroy Twp	1,234	474	25	1,733	760	71.21%	27.35%	43.85%
City of Leslie	482	256	14	752	226	64.10%	34.04%	30.05%
Leslie Twp	871	391	18	1,280	480	68.05%	30.55%	37.50%
Locke Twp	709	272	6	987	437	71.83%	27.56%	44.28%
City of Mason	2,274	1,410	57	3,741	864	60.79%	37.69%	23.10%
Meridian Twp	10,923	9,882	341	21,146	1041	51.66%	46.73%	4.92%
Onondaga Twp	865	416	23	1,304	449	66.33%	31.90%	34.43%
Stockbridge Twp	1,047	554	34	1,635	493	64.04%	33.88%	30.15%
Vevay Twp	1,295	597	29	1,921	698	67.41%	31.08%	36.34%
Wheatfield Twp	694	264	13	971	430	71.47%	27.19%	44.28%
White Oak Twp	398	199	12	609	199	65.35%	32.68%	32.68%
City of Williamston	1,191	675	44	1,910	516	62.36%	35.34%	27.02%
Williamstown Twp	2,054	1,039	32	3,125	1015	65.73%	33.25%	32.48%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	2,618	1,223	56	3,897	1395	67.18%	31.38%	35.80%
Brighton Twp	7,711	2,379	160	10,250	5332	75.23%	23.21%	52.02%
Cohoctah Twp	1,184	386	35	1,605	798	73.77%	24.05%	49.72%
Conway Twp	1,151	362	29	1,542	789	74.64%	23.48%	51.17%
Deerfield Twp	1,592	589	47	2,228	1003	71.45%	26.44%	45.02%
Genoa Twp	7,774	2,547	149	10,470	5227	74.25%	24.33%	49.92%
Green Oak Twp	6,254	2,670	183	9,107	3584	68.67%	29.32%	39.35%
Hamburg Twp	7,612	3,675	226	11,513	3937	66.12%	31.92%	34.20%
Handy Twp	2,340	774	64	3,178	1566	73.63%	24.35%	49.28%
Hartland Twp	5,233	1,653	130	7,016	3580	74.59%	23.56%	51.03%
City of Howell	2,850	1,210	92	4,152	1640	68.64%	29.14%	39.50%
Howell Twp	2,437	756	53	3,246	1681	75.08%	23.29%	51.79%
Iosco Twp	1,166	323	26	1,515	843	76.96%	21.32%	55.64%
Marion Twp	3,420	1,152	60	4,632	2268	73.83%	24.87%	48.96%
Oceola Twp	3,819	1,221	76	5,116	2598	74.65%	23.87%	50.78%
Putnam Twp	2,682	1,274	92	4,048	1408	66.25%	31.47%	34.78%
Tyrone Twp	3,734	1,456	105	5,295	2278	70.52%	27.50%	43.02%
Unadilla Twp	992	480	46	1,518	512	65.35%	31.62%	33.73%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	2,304	896	114	3,314	1408	69.52%	27.04%	42.49%
Brandon Twp	4,614	2,471	258	7,343	2143	62.84%	33.65%	29.18%
City of Clarkston	342	193	11	546	149	62.64%	35.35%	27.29%
Groveland Twp	1,943	1,010	87	3,040	933	63.91%	33.22%	30.69%
Holly Twp	2,881	2,010	146	5,037	871	57.20%	39.90%	17.29%
Independence Twp	12,108	5,426	450	17,984	6682	67.33%	30.17%	37.16%
Orion Twp	8,453	3,928	390	12,771	4525	66.19%	30.76%	35.43%
Orion 8				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 9				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 11				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion14				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp	6,064	2,820	268	9,152	3244	66.26%	30.81%	35.45%
Rose Twp	2,196	1,008	111	3,315	1188	66.24%	30.41%	35.84%
Springfield Twp	4,994	2,103	195	7,292	2891	68.49%	28.84%	39.65%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	748	346	10	1,104	402	67.75%	31.34%	36.41%
Bennington Twp	1,246	517	24	1,787	729	69.73%	28.93%	40.79%
Burns Twp	1,152	517	33	1,702	635	67.69%	30.38%	37.31%
City of Durand	940	680	41	1,661	260	56.59%	40.94%	15.65%
City of Laingsburg	380	206	10	596	174	63.76%	34.56%	29.19%
City of Perry	657	314	26	997	343	65.90%	31.49%	34.40%
Perry Twp	1,388	681	35	2,104	707	65.97%	32.37%	33.60%
Scoita Twp	581	327	18	926	254	62.74%	35.31%	27.43%
Shiawassee Twp	907	553	27	1,487	354	61.00%	37.19%	23.81%
Vernon Twp	1,335	834	49	2,218	501	60.19%	37.60%	22.59%
Woodhull Twp	1,334	762	42	2,138	572	62.39%	35.64%	26.75%
Total	207,922	125,617	6,876	340,415	82305	61.08%	36.90%	24.18%

2006 was his toughest test. Jim Marcinkowski, most known for being a good buddy of Joe Wilson and Valerie Plame, ran against Mike. He was recruited by the DCCC, although reportedly abandoned by them afterward, much to the anger of a lot of the local dems. Rogers had a tougher than usual test, although it was nothing like his race against Byrum in 2000.It wasn't really that close, and Rogers didn't need his Livingston County vote spread to win. Oakland alone was enough, and that was Marcinkowski's home.

2006 Election	Rogers	Marcinkowski	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	2,112	1,893	58	4,063	219	51.98%	46.59%	5.39%
Bengal Twp	418	161	1	580	257	72.07%	27.76%	44.31%
Bingham Twp	787	418	17	1,222	369	64.40%	34.21%	30.20%
Dallas Twp	767	265	8	1,040	502	73.75%	25.48%	48.27%
City of DeWitt	1,277	857	32	2,166	420	58.96%	39.57%	19.39%
DeWitt Twp	3,402	2,546	64	6,012	856	56.59%	42.35%	14.24%
Duplain Twp	530	409	8	947	121	55.97%	43.19%	12.78%
Eagle Twp	818	533	15	1,366	285	59.88%	39.02%	20.86%
City of East Lansing	186	239	4	429	-53	43.36%	55.71%	-12.35%
Essex Twp	501	294	11	806	207	62.16%	36.48%	25.68%
Greenbrush Twp	631	384	14	1,029	247	61.32%	37.32%	24.00%
Lebanon Twp	176	87	3	266	89	66.17%	32.71%	33.46%
Olive Twp	754	480	14	1,248	274	60.42%	38.46%	21.96%
Ovid Twp	812	521	23	1,356	291	59.88%	38.42%	21.46%
Riley Twp	651	359	11	1,021	292	63.76%	35.16%	28.60%
City of St Johns	1,774	1,232	43	3,049	542	58.18%	40.41%	17.78%
Victor Twp	993	697	26	1,716	296	57.87%	40.62%	17.25%
Watertown Twp	1,394	960	32	2,386	434	58.42%	40.23%	18.19%
Westphalia Twp	814	274	10	1,098	540	74.13%	24.95%	49.18%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	936	664	27	1,627	272	57.53%	40.81%	16.72%
Aurelius Twp	1,022	637	23	1,682	385	60.76%	37.87%	22.89%
Bunker Hill Twp	486	342	19	847	144	57.38%	40.38%	17.00%
Delhi Twp	5,873	4,755	166	10,794	1118	54.41%	44.05%	10.36%
City of East Lansing	3,534	8,786	301	12,621	-5252	28.00%	69.61%	-41.61%
Ingham Twp	636	388	8	1,032	248	61.63%	37.60%	24.03%
City of Lansing	13,563	22,315	707	36,585	-8752	37.07%	60.99%	-23.92%
Lansing Twp	1,423	1,726	56	3,205	-303	44.40%	53.85%	-9.45%
Leroy Twp	948	500	29	1,477	448	64.18%	33.85%	30.33%
City of Leslie	372	222	14	608	150	61.18%	36.51%	24.67%
Leslie Twp	620	455	20	1,095	165	56.62%	41.55%	15.07%
Locke Twp	568	285	7	860	283	66.05%	33.14%	32.91%
City of Mason	1,769	1,418	43	3,230	351	54.77%	43.90%	10.87%
Meridian Twp	8,233	9,378	259	17,870	-1145	46.07%	52.48%	-6.41%
Onondaga Twp	688	453	29	1,170	235	58.80%	38.72%	20.09%
Stockbridge Twp	851	580	28	1,459	271	58.33%	39.75%	18.57%
Vevay Twp	1,037	636	29	1,702	401	60.93%	37.37%	23.56%
Wheatfield Twp	562	307	5	874	255	64.30%	35.13%	29.18%
White Oak Twp	329	177	8	514	152	64.01%	34.44%	29.57%
City of Williamston	934	676	19	1,629	258	57.34%	41.50%	15.84%
Williamstown Twp	1,613	1,096	35	2,744	517	58.78%	39.94%	18.84%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,845	1,260	45	3,150	585	58.57%	40.00%	18.57%
Brighton Twp	5,898	2,651	123	8,672	3247	68.01%	30.57%	37.44%
Cohoctah Twp	894	486	24	1,404	408	63.68%	34.62%	29.06%
Conway Twp	915	447	25	1,387	468	65.97%	32.23%	33.74%
Deerfield Twp	1,186	621	41	1,848	565	64.18%	33.60%	30.57%
Genoa Twp	6,009	2,747	127	8,883	3262	67.65%	30.92%	36.72%
Green Oak Twp	4,743	2,825	154	7,722	1918	61.42%	36.58%	24.84%
Hamburg Twp	5,600	3,859	152	9,611	1741	58.27%	40.15%	18.11%
Handy Twp	1,758	870	56	2,684	888	65.50%	32.41%	33.08%
Hartland Twp	4,029	1,855	96	5,980	2174	67.37%	31.02%	36.35%
City of Howell	1,871	1,275	64	3,210	596	58.29%	39.72%	18.57%
Howell Twp	1,758	884	49	2,691	874	65.33%	32.85%	32.48%
Iosco Twp	947	444	14	1,405	503	67.40%	31.60%	35.80%
Marion Twp	2,697	1,468	53	4,218	1229	63.94%	34.80%	29.14%
Oceola Twp	2,946	1,369	63	4,378	1577	67.29%	31.27%	36.02%
Putnam Twp	1,910	1,501	60	3,471	409	55.03%	43.24%	11.78%
Tyrone Twp	2,887	1,455	64	4,406	1432	65.52%	33.02%	32.50%
Unadilla Twp	742	540	37	1,319	202	56.25%	40.94%	15.31%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	1,818	914	72	2,804	904	64.84%	32.60%	32.24%
Brandon Twp	3,547	2,425	187	6,159	1122	57.59%	39.37%	18.22%
City of Clarkston	305	160	11	476	145	64.08%	33.61%	30.46%
Groveland Twp	1,537	927	72	2,536	610	60.61%	36.55%	24.05%
Holly Twp	2,245	1,864	130	4,239	381	52.96%	43.97%	8.99%
Independence Twp	9,515	5,148	287	14,950	4367	63.65%	34.43%	29.21%
Orion Twp	6,571	3,780	271	10,622	2791	61.86%	35.59%	26.28%
Orion 8				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 9				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 11				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion14				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp	4,728	2,880	187	7,795	1848	60.65%	36.95%	23.71%
Rose Twp	1,650	1,087	68	2,805	563	58.82%	38.75%	20.07%
Springfield Twp	3,909	2,141	147	6,197	1768	63.08%	34.55%	28.53%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	592	347	6	945	245	62.65%	36.72%	25.93%
Bennington Twp	964	561	20	1,545	403	62.39%	36.31%	26.08%
Burns Twp	844	563	32	1,439	281	58.65%	39.12%	19.53%
City of Durand	629	620	31	1,280	9	49.14%	48.44%	0.70%
City of Laingsburg	279	222	3	504	57	55.36%	44.05%	11.31%
City of Perry	499	313	12	824	186	60.56%	37.99%	22.57%
Perry Twp	1,045	669	23	1,737	376	60.16%	38.51%	21.65%
Scoita Twp	461	343	16	820	118	56.22%	41.83%	14.39%
Shiawassee Twp	677	555	25	1,257	122	53.86%	44.15%	9.71%
Vernon Twp	942	868	28	1,838	74	51.25%	47.23%	4.03%
Woodhull Twp	1,049	758	27	1,834	291	57.20%	41.33%	15.87%
Total	157,235	122,107	5,128	284,470	35128	55.27%	42.92%	12.35%

2008 was the return of Bob Alexander. Bob did better than he did in 2004 thanks to the national picture, but Mike runs ahead of the ticket and improved on his 2006 percentages, which were low by Mike's standards. He still reduces the losses in Ingham County to avoid making this a major contest like the 2002 race where he needed to tap into his Livingston reserves in order to win. It is getting harder to reduce the Ingham County losses however, since he now dropped below 40% in the Lansing area. It's not a huge deal, but now makes the "to be aware" of stage. I wouldn't even say "alarm bells" stage, like Bath Twp is. My alarm bells go off if one or two of the following happen. Ingham County's (Rural Ingham takes a dent out of the vote spread deficit Mike usually has in Ingham County) overall vote spread hits 18000, Clinton County is 55% or less, Livingston drops below 60%, and Oakland drops below 60%, or if Mike Rogers doesn't run for re-election.

2008 Election	Rogers	Alexander	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	2,680	2,433	113	5,226	247	51.28%	46.56%	4.73%
Bengal Twp	473	150	13	636	323	74.37%	23.58%	50.79%
Bingham Twp	1,014	403	49	1,466	611	69.17%	27.49%	41.68%
Dallas Twp	927	219	24	1,170	708	79.23%	18.72%	60.51%
City of DeWitt	1,628	935	64	2,627	693	61.97%	35.59%	26.38%
DeWitt Twp	4,488	2,869	188	7,545	1619	59.48%	38.03%	21.46%
Duplain Twp	674	465	21	1,160	209	58.10%	40.09%	18.02%
Eagle Twp	1,017	552	35	1,604	465	63.40%	34.41%	28.99%
City of East Lansing	372	470	11	853	-98	43.61%	55.10%	-11.49%
Essex Twp	646	284	28	958	362	67.43%	29.65%	37.79%
Greenbrush Twp	770	404	31	1,205	366	63.90%	33.53%	30.37%
Lebanon Twp	203	82	11	296	121	68.58%	27.70%	40.88%
Olive Twp	924	479	34	1,437	445	64.30%	33.33%	30.97%
Ovid Twp	1,047	625	43	1,715	422	61.05%	36.44%	24.61%
Riley Twp	754	374	34	1,162	380	64.89%	32.19%	32.70%
City of St Johns	2,191	1,334	111	3,636	857	60.26%	36.69%	23.57%
Victor Twp	1,221	719	62	2,002	502	60.99%	35.91%	25.07%
Watertown Twp	1,814	986	80	2,880	828	62.99%	34.24%	28.75%
Westphalia Twp	1,027	242	20	1,289	785	79.67%	18.77%	60.90%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	1,196	649	58	1,903	547	62.85%	34.10%	28.74%
Aurelius Twp	1,288	669	44	2,001	619	64.37%	33.43%	30.93%
Bunker Hill Twp	619	349	34	1,002	270	61.78%	34.83%	26.95%
Delhi Twp	7,550	5,659	351	13,560	1891	55.68%	41.73%	13.95%
City of East Lansing	6,968	13,167	857	20,992	-6199	33.19%	62.72%	-29.53%
Ingham Twp	847	409	35	1,291	438	65.61%	31.68%	33.93%
City of Lansing	17,282	30,723	1698	49,703	-13441	34.77%	61.81%	-27.04%
Lansing Twp	1,785	2,196	130	4,111	-411	43.42%	53.42%	-10.00%
Leroy Twp	1,184	540	40	1,764	644	67.12%	30.61%	36.51%
City of Leslie	476	280	29	785	196	60.64%	35.67%	24.97%
Leslie Twp	816	440	25	1,281	376	63.70%	34.35%	29.35%
Locke Twp	690	319	25	1,034	371	66.73%	30.85%	35.88%
City of Mason	2,331	1,573	108	4,012	758	58.10%	39.21%	18.89%
Meridian Twp	10,385	11,098	545	22,028	-713	47.14%	50.38%	-3.24%
Onondaga Twp	878	477	30	1,385	401	63.39%	34.44%	28.95%
Stockbridge Twp	1,101	655	53	1,809	446	60.86%	36.21%	24.65%
Vevay Twp	1,291	646	65	2,002	645	64.49%	32.27%	32.22%
Wheatfield Twp	643	336	24	1,003	307	64.11%	33.50%	30.61%
White Oak Twp	400	198	13	611	202	65.47%	32.41%	33.06%
City of Williamston	1,174	815	48	2,037	359	57.63%	40.01%	17.62%
Williamstown Twp	1,963	1,188	68	3,219	775	60.98%	36.91%	24.08%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	2,450	1,479	108	4,037	971	60.69%	36.64%	24.05%
Brighton Twp	7,514	1,801	298	9,613	5713	78.16%	18.74%	59.43%
Cohoctah Twp	1,154	476	50	1,680	678	68.69%	28.33%	40.36%
Conway Twp	1,145	433	54	1,632	712	70.16%	26.53%	43.63%
Deerfield Twp	1,494	666	78	2,238	828	66.76%	29.76%	37.00%
Genoa Twp	7,603	3,027	309	10,939	4576	69.50%	27.67%	41.83%
Green Oak Twp	6,207	3,155	332	9,694	3052	64.03%	32.55%	31.48%
Hamburg Twp	7,360	4,259	362	11,981	3101	61.43%	35.55%	25.88%
Handy Twp	2,398	1,055	112	3,565	1343	67.27%	29.59%	37.67%
Hartland Twp	5,304	2,057	211	7,572	3247	70.05%	27.17%	42.88%
City of Howell	2,559	1,434	147	4,140	1125	61.81%	34.64%	27.17%
Howell Twp	2,368	966	111	3,445	1402	68.74%	28.04%	40.70%
Iosco Twp	1,288	481	57	1,826	807	70.54%	26.34%	44.19%
Marion Twp	3,770	1,484	129	5,383	2286	70.04%	27.57%	42.47%
Oceola Twp	4,144	1,654	184	5,982	2490	69.27%	27.65%	41.62%
Putnam Twp	2,550	1,543	167	4,260	1007	59.86%	36.22%	23.64%
Tyrone Twp	3,666	1,633	167	5,466	2033	67.07%	29.88%	37.19%
Unadilla Twp	969	583	85	1,637	386	59.19%	35.61%	23.58%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	2,310	940	168	3,418	1370	67.58%	27.50%	40.08%
Brandon Twp	4,504	2,693	353	7,550	1811	59.66%	35.67%	23.99%
City of Clarkston	344	179	20	543	165	63.35%	32.97%	30.39%
Groveland Twp	1,813	943	138	2,894	870	62.65%	32.58%	30.06%
Holly Twp	2,897	2,296	261	5,454	601	53.12%	42.10%	11.02%
Independence Twp	12,137	5,678	605	18,420	6459	65.89%	30.83%	35.07%
Orion Twp	8,429	4,202	524	13,155	4227	64.07%	31.94%	32.13%
Orion 8				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 9				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion 11				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Orion14				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp	6,088	3,267	415	9,770	2821	62.31%	33.44%	28.87%
Rose Twp	2,093	1,122	166	3,381	971	61.90%	33.19%	28.72%
Springfield Twp	4,968	2,222	296	7,486	2746	66.36%	29.68%	36.68%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	688	399	35	1,122	289	61.32%	35.56%	25.76%
Bennington Twp	1,201	593	42	1,836	608	65.41%	32.30%	33.12%
Burns Twp	1,092	558	87	1,737	534	62.87%	32.12%	30.74%
City of Durand	835	711	63	1,609	124	51.90%	44.19%	7.71%
City of Laingsburg	378	245	23	646	133	58.51%	37.93%	20.59%
City of Perry	600	386	29	1,015	214	59.11%	38.03%	21.08%
Perry Twp	1,317	745	59	2,121	572	62.09%	35.12%	26.97%
Scoita Twp	554	382	37	973	172	56.94%	39.26%	17.68%
Shiawassee Twp	844	638	48	1,530	206	55.16%	41.70%	13.46%
Vernon Twp	1,186	925	84	2,195	261	54.03%	42.14%	11.89%
Woodhull Twp	1,269	800	47	2,116	469	59.97%	37.81%	22.16%
Total	204,227	144,521	11,713	360,461	59706	56.66%	40.09%	16.56%

Comparisons
Clinton County
2002 - Rogers 74.49%, McAlpine 24.61%, 26,504 votes, 13221 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 67.10%, Alexander 31.31%, 36566 votes, 13086 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 59.11%, Marcinkowski 39.65%, 31800 votes, 6188 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 61.41%, Alexander 36.08%, 38867 votes, 9845 vote spread

Ingham County (all)
2002 - Rogers 59.21%, McAlpine 39.54%, 89775 votes, 17658 vote spread

2004 - Alexander 49.16%, Rogers 49.01%, 127007 votes, -185 vote spread
2006 - Marcinkowski 53.84%, Rogers 44.39%, 103625 votes, -9799 vote spread
2008 - Alexander 52.63%, Rogers 44.26%, 137533 votes, -11519 vote spread

Ingham County - Lansing area (Lansing, East Lansing, Meridian Twp, Delhi Twp)
2002 - Rogers 55.48%, McAlpine 43.25%, 70723 votes, 8649 vote spread
2004 - Alexander 53.40%, Rogers 44.72%, 101144 votes, -8783 vote spread
2006 - Marcinkowski 57.92%, Rogers 40.24%, 81075 votes, -14334 vote spread
2008 - Alexander 56.93%, Rogers 39.83%, 110,394 votes, -18873

Ingham County - Rest of the county
2002 - Rogers 73.06%, McAlpine 25.78%, 19052 votes, 9009 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 65.83%, Alexander 32.58%, 25863 votes, 8598 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 59.29%, Marcinkowski 39.18%, 22550 votes, 4525 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 62.26%, Alexander 35.16%, 27139 votes, 7354 vote spread

Livingston County
2002 - Rogers 76.80%, McAlpine 21.90%, 59060 votes, 31874 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 71.48%, Alexander 26.71%, 90328 votes, 40439 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 63.63%, Marcinkowski 34.74%, 76439 votes, 22078 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 67.24%, Alexander 29.64%, 95090 votes, 35757 vote spread

Oakland County
2002 - Rogers 69.99%, McAlpine 28.04%, 45792 votes, 19208 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 65.76%, Alexander 31.33%, 69794 votes, 24034 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 61.15%, Marcinkowski 36.40%, 58583 votes, 14499 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 63.25%, Alexander 32.67%, 72071 votes, 22041 vote spread

Shiawassee County
2002 - Rogers 69.39%, McAlpine 29.42%, 11367 votes, 4544 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 63.80%, Alexander 34.31%, 16720 votes, 4931 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 56.91%, Marcinkowski 41.50%, 14023 votes, 2162 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 58.96%, Alexander 37.76%, 16900 votes, 3582 vote spread

Considering how bad the 06 and 08 elections were to the GOP, especially in three of the district counties,  Mike's held up fairly well. I'll start with 2000 and through the gubernatorial numbers in as well, because Ingham County and Clinton County are usually more democrat in gubernatorial years. State Workers.

(More in Part 2)