Monday, January 18, 2010

Michigan 8th District (MI-08) Updated (part 1)

Michigan's 8th District - Congress
This is Part 1. Part 2 is here

Incumbent - Mike Rogers (R-Brighton)
Years in office as of 2010 election - 10.
Cook District Numbers - R+2

GOP Candidate - Mike Rogers
Dem Candidate - Kande Ngalamulume

Barone’s numbers
2008:
Obama - 53%
McCain - 46%

2004:
Bush - 54%
Kerry – 45%

2000
Bush - 51%
Gore - 47%



This is my home district. It covers all of Clinton County, Ingham County, and Livingston County, Addison Twp, Brandon Twp, City of Clarkston, Groveland Twp, Holly Twp, Independence Twp, part of Orion Twp, Oxford Twp, Rose Twp, and Springfield Twps in Oakland County, and Antrim Twp,  Bennington Twp, Burns Twp, City of Durand, City of Laingsburg, City of Perry, Perry Twp, Sciota Twp, Shiawassee Twp, part of Vernon Twp, and Woodhull Twp in Shiawassee County.

The 8th District, or what is now the 8th district, has been a battleground for years, especially in the 1990's. In the 80's, Livingston County was split, between two districts, one Lansing based, and the other Oakland based. Bob Carr represented the area in the late 70's, lost in 1980, and won again in 1982. He was entrenched and was the last Democrat congressman to actually win Livingston County at some point. I'm not sure if it was 1990, 88, or 86. I don't believe he had the Brighton area in his district, and I know back in the 1980's, contrary to conventional wisdom, democrats have won in Livingston County, more so than today. There's still remnants of that in Putnam and Unadilla Townships which are most historically competitive. There are currently two democrat officials elected in a partisan position. Lori Cowan in Unadilla and Kevin Dobis in Putnam. Dobis ran on a bipartisan slate of "Keep Putnam Rural." Cowan has had tough elections, but keeps winning. Small town rural politics is still king in about 1/2 of the county.

Redistricting for 1992 made the 8th very competitive, although slightly democrat leaning. The old 8th had part of Washtenaw County's Ann Arbor suburbs, as well as Genesee County's Flint Suburbs, both of which leaned democrat, but was winnable. It also only had Holly and Rose Twps in Oakland, and had part of Shiawassee similar to day. The rest was all of Ingham and Livingston County which have a turnout war. Bob Carr won a close race in 1992 to Dick Chrysler. Chrysler won in 1994 in an open seat as Carr ran for Senate and lost to Spence Abraham. Chrysler lost to Debbie Stabenow in 1996, which was Clinton's big win in Michigan. Stabenow had too easy of a run in 1998 due to pro-lifers skipping the race. Stabenow ran for senate in 2000 and won leaving an open seat in 2000. Mike Rogers won in what was possibly the closest congressional race in the country. (either his or Clay Shaw in Florida). Gore won the district too.

The newer district is much more republican. Washtenaw and Genessee Counties were given up, and Rogers got one of the two most republican regions of Oakland County, as well as the then solid republican and now competitive (especially in gubernatorial years) Clinton County to replace that. The Livingston v Ingham County turnout war is still the biggest factor. Ingham County is the 4th most democrat county in the state. Livingston ranges between 3rd and 5th among Republican percentages.It makes for interesting races.

I don't have the 92, 94, or 96 numbers, and haven't seen them since 08. They aren't online, and I'd have to go to the County Clerk's office to get them. I'm going to start with 98. The old 8th. This is NOT the current 8th district, but much of it is the same. The 98 race was supposed to be closer than it was, considering Geoff Fieger was leading the way. It was a whooping.


1998 Election
Munsell
Stabenow
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Genesee County



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Argentine Twp
707
1,108
77
       1,892
-401
37.37%
58.56%
-21.19%
Clayton Twp
983
1,646
90
       2,719
-663
36.15%
60.54%
-24.38%
City of Fenton
1,248
1,968
108
       3,324
-720
37.55%
59.21%
-21.66%
Fenton Twp
1,956
2,620
119
       4,695
-664
41.66%
55.80%
-14.14%
Flint Twp
3,042
7,415
277
     10,734
-4373
28.34%
69.08%
-40.74%
Gaines Twp
745
1,453
79
       2,277
-708
32.72%
63.81%
-31.09%
Grand Blanc Twp
2,349
3,229
108
       5,686
-880
41.31%
56.79%
-15.48%
City of Linden
433
652
28
       1,113
-219
38.90%
58.58%
-19.68%
Mundy Twp
1,645
2,974
133
       4,752
-1329
34.62%
62.58%
-27.97%
City of Swartz Creek
634
1,319
72
       2,025
-685
31.31%
65.14%
-33.83%
Ingham County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp
581
830
65
       1,476
-249
39.36%
56.23%
-16.87%
Aurelius Twp
516
719
55
       1,290
-203
40.00%
55.74%
-15.74%
Bunker Hill Twp
219
412
25
         656
-193
33.38%
62.80%
-29.42%
Delhi Twp
2,996
5,009
413
       8,418
-2013
35.59%
59.50%
-23.91%
City of East Lansing
3,085
8,727
573
     12,385
-5642
24.91%
70.46%
-45.56%
Ingham Twp
299
436
31
         766
-137
39.03%
56.92%
-17.89%
City of Lansing
8,545
23,989
1848
     34,382
-15444
24.85%
69.77%
-44.92%
Lansing Twp
1,065
1,923
139
       3,127
-858
34.06%
61.50%
-27.44%
Leroy Twp
520
677
50
       1,247
-157
41.70%
54.29%
-12.59%
City of Leslie
166
320
11
         497
-154
33.40%
64.39%
-30.99%
Leslie Twp
293
519
28
         840
-226
34.88%
61.79%
-26.90%
Locke Twp
301
355
31
         687
-54
43.81%
51.67%
-7.86%
City of Mason
895
1,593
62
       2,550
-698
35.10%
62.47%
-27.37%
Meridian Twp
5,945
9,651
543
     16,139
-3706
36.84%
59.80%
-22.96%
Onondaga Twp
311
470
42
         823
-159
37.79%
57.11%
-19.32%
Stockbridge Twp
395
594
55
       1,044
-199
37.84%
56.90%
-19.06%
Vevay Twp
555
838
50
       1,443
-283
38.46%
58.07%
-19.61%
Wheatfield Twp
283
393
37
         713
-110
39.69%
55.12%
-15.43%
White Oak Twp
170
207
13
         390
-37
43.59%
53.08%
-9.49%
City of Williamston
503
682
48
       1,233
-179
40.79%
55.31%
-14.52%
Williamstown Twp
989
1,272
112
       2,373
-283
41.68%
53.60%
-11.93%
Livingston County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
1,177
1,084
57
       2,318
93
50.78%
46.76%
4.01%
Brighton Twp
3,755
2,513
238
       6,506
1242
57.72%
38.63%
19.09%
Cohoctah Twp
593
423
39
       1,055
170
56.21%
40.09%
16.11%
Conway Twp
466
381
50
         897
85
51.95%
42.47%
9.48%
Deerfield Twp
614
589
49
       1,252
25
49.04%
47.04%
2.00%
Genoa Twp
2,902
1,992
181
       5,075
910
57.18%
39.25%
17.93%
Green Oak Twp
2,827
2,243
187
       5,257
584
53.78%
42.67%
11.11%
Hamburg Twp
3,187
3,055
265
       6,507
132
48.98%
46.95%
2.03%
Handy Twp
927
748
98
       1,773
179
52.28%
42.19%
10.10%
Hartland Twp
2,017
1,368
133
       3,518
649
57.33%
38.89%
18.45%
City of Howell
1,308
1,151
105
       2,564
157
51.01%
44.89%
6.12%
Howell Twp
1,005
674
74
       1,753
331
57.33%
38.45%
18.88%
Iosco Twp
421
347
33
         801
74
52.56%
43.32%
9.24%
Marion Twp
1,255
909
110
       2,274
346
55.19%
39.97%
15.22%
Oceola Twp
1,314
905
88
       2,307
409
56.96%
39.23%
17.73%
Putnam Twp
1,005
1,179
132
       2,316
-174
43.39%
50.91%
-7.51%
Tyrone Twp
1,509
1,616
93
       3,218
-107
46.89%
50.22%
-3.33%
Unadilla Twp
414
546
72
       1,032
-132
40.12%
52.91%
-12.79%
Oakland County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Holly Twp
980
1,552
153
       2,685
-572
36.50%
57.80%
-21.30%
Rose Twp
886
1,107
130
       2,123
-221
41.73%
52.14%
-10.41%
Shiawassee County



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Antrim twp
316
323
37
         676
-7
46.75%
47.78%
-1.04%
Burns Twp
553
548
35
       1,136
5
48.68%
48.24%
0.44%
City of Durand
405
763
67
       1,235
-358
32.79%
61.78%
-28.99%
Shiawassee Twp
393
540
50
         983
-147
39.98%
54.93%
-14.95%
Venice Twp (2)
57
71
8
         136
-14
41.91%
52.21%
-10.29%
Vernon Twp
678
1,138
74
       1,890
-460
35.87%
60.21%
-24.34%
Washtenaw County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Dexter Twp
918
1,118
53
       2,089
-200
43.94%
53.52%
-9.57%
Freedom Twp
302
289
14
         605
13
49.92%
47.77%
2.15%
Lima Twp
624
670
44
       1,338
-46
46.64%
50.07%
-3.44%
Lodi Twp
1,162
942
54
       2,158
220
53.85%
43.65%
10.19%
Lyndon Twp
361
522
32
         915
-161
39.45%
57.05%
-17.60%
Northfield Twp
1,019
1,225
128
       2,372
-206
42.96%
51.64%
-8.68%
Pittsfield Twp (part)
1,612
1,804
90
       3,506
-192
45.98%
51.45%
-5.48%
City of Saline
671
981
63
       1,715
-310
39.13%
57.20%
-18.08%
Scio twp
2,082
3,120
130
       5,332
-1038
39.05%
58.51%
-19.47%
Sharon Twp
285
322
23
         630
-37
45.24%
51.11%
-5.87%
Sylvan Twp
972
1,392
61
       2,425
-420
40.08%
57.40%
-17.32%
Webster Twp
908
1,019
57
       1,984
-111
45.77%
51.36%
-5.59%




            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!









Total
84,254
125,169
8,629
218,052
-40915
38.64%
57.40%
-18.76%

The 2000 race was ultra close. Two then state senators, Dianne Byrum and Mike Rogers, were the top two candidates. There wern't a lot mistakes on either side. It was the turnout in Livingston County that made the difference, as well as Mike doing better than expected and winning a couple of areas he shouldn't have won. Pittsfield Twp and Sylvan Twp come to mind. Scio Twp was closer than it should have been. Durand went for Rogers. Even Onondaga, which while normally republican, is Byrum's home, was close. Stockbridge, home of Byrum's business, went for Mike. The number here are off, but not much. The official numbers were I believe 88 votes after recounts.


2000 Election
Rogers
Byrum
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Genesee County



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Argentine Twp
1,445
1,295
53
       2,793
150
51.74%
46.37%
5.37%
Clayton Twp
1,697
1,890
74
       3,661
-193
46.35%
51.63%
-5.27%
City of Fenton
2,331
2,145
122
       4,598
186
50.70%
46.65%
4.05%
Fenton Twp
3,765
3,098
145
       7,008
667
53.72%
44.21%
9.52%
Flint Twp
5,080
9,123
299
     14,502
-4043
35.03%
62.91%
-27.88%
Gaines Twp
1,395
1,683
74
       3,152
-288
44.26%
53.39%
-9.14%
Grand Blanc Twp
4,126
3,930
135
       8,191
196
50.37%
47.98%
2.39%
City of Linden
766
693
35
       1,494
73
51.27%
46.39%
4.89%
Mundy Twp
2,888
3,516
139
       6,543
-628
44.14%
53.74%
-9.60%
City of Swartz Creek
1,126
1,544
42
       2,712
-418
41.52%
56.93%
-15.41%
Ingham County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp
909
798
41
       1,748
111
52.00%
45.65%
6.35%
Aurelius Twp
910
814
22
       1,746
96
52.12%
46.62%
5.50%
Bunker Hill Twp
397
426
19
         842
-29
47.15%
50.59%
-3.44%
Delhi Twp
5,204
5,664
173
     11,041
-460
47.13%
51.30%
-4.17%
City of East Lansing
4,913
10,162
599
     15,674
-5249
31.34%
64.83%
-33.49%
Ingham Twp
500
484
23
       1,007
16
49.65%
48.06%
1.59%
City of Lansing
14,430
28,531
1167
     44,128
-14101
32.70%
64.66%
-31.95%
Lansing Twp
1,627
2,175
83
       3,885
-548
41.88%
55.98%
-14.11%
Leroy Twp
895
631
38
       1,564
264
57.23%
40.35%
16.88%
City of Leslie
293
392
7
         692
-99
42.34%
56.65%
-14.31%
Leslie Twp
487
600
19
       1,106
-113
44.03%
54.25%
-10.22%
Locke Twp
521
327
12
         860
194
60.58%
38.02%
22.56%
City of Mason
1,496
1,693
46
       3,235
-197
46.24%
52.33%
-6.09%
Meridian Twp
9,270
10,517
395
     20,182
-1247
45.93%
52.11%
-6.18%
Onondaga Twp
540
551
15
       1,106
-11
48.82%
49.82%
-0.99%
Stockbridge Twp
743
684
35
       1,462
59
50.82%
46.79%
4.04%
Vevay Twp
915
851
33
       1,799
64
50.86%
47.30%
3.56%
Wheatfield Twp
497
414
15
         926
83
53.67%
44.71%
8.96%
White Oak Twp
283
218
12
         513
65
55.17%
42.50%
12.67%
City of Williamston
925
716
23
       1,664
209
55.59%
43.03%
12.56%
Williamstown Twp
1,608
1,280
28
       2,916
328
55.14%
43.90%
11.25%
Livingston County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
1,922
1,252
72
       3,246
670
59.21%
38.57%
20.64%
Brighton Twp
6,316
2,842
198
       9,356
3474
67.51%
30.38%
37.13%
Cohoctah Twp
971
477
41
       1,489
494
65.21%
32.03%
33.18%
Conway Twp
793
373
30
       1,196
420
66.30%
31.19%
35.12%
Deerfield Twp
1,221
655
44
       1,920
566
63.59%
34.11%
29.48%
Genoa Twp
5,285
2,500
156
       7,941
2785
66.55%
31.48%
35.07%
Green Oak Twp
4,467
2,647
212
       7,326
1820
60.97%
36.13%
24.84%
Hamburg Twp
5,802
3,669
269
       9,740
2133
59.57%
37.67%
21.90%
Handy Twp
1,732
817
58
       2,607
915
66.44%
31.34%
35.10%
Hartland Twp
3,639
1,616
124
       5,379
2023
67.65%
30.04%
37.61%
City of Howell
2,220
1,293
82
       3,595
927
61.75%
35.97%
25.79%
Howell Twp
1,768
739
60
       2,567
1029
68.87%
28.79%
40.09%
Iosco Twp
830
389
33
       1,252
441
66.29%
31.07%
35.22%
Marion Twp
2,212
1,054
66
       3,332
1158
66.39%
31.63%
34.75%
Oceola Twp
2,368
1,200
82
       3,650
1168
64.88%
32.88%
32.00%
Putnam Twp
1,917
1,342
107
       3,366
575
56.95%
39.87%
17.08%
Tyrone Twp
2,751
1,557
106
       4,414
1194
62.32%
35.27%
27.05%
Unadilla Twp
718
572
46
       1,336
146
53.74%
42.81%
10.93%
Oakland County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Holly Twp
1,927
1,956
178
       4,061
-29
47.45%
48.17%
-0.71%
Rose Twp
1,506
1,180
141
       2,827
326
53.27%
41.74%
11.53%
Shiawassee County



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Antrim twp
557
315
18
         890
242
62.58%
35.39%
27.19%
Burns Twp
930
577
32
       1,539
353
60.43%
37.49%
22.94%
City of Durand
744
716
51
       1,511
28
49.24%
47.39%
1.85%
Shiawassee Twp
703
576
27
       1,306
127
53.83%
44.10%
9.72%
Venice Twp (2)
80
78
1
         159
2
50.31%
49.06%
1.26%
Vernon Twp
1,275
1,038
56
       2,369
237
53.82%
43.82%
10.00%
Washtenaw County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Dexter Twp
1,495
1,214
90
       2,799
281
53.41%
43.37%
10.04%
Freedom Twp
445
316
28
         789
129
56.40%
40.05%
16.35%
Lima Twp
949
743
71
       1,763
206
53.83%
42.14%
11.68%
Lodi Twp
1,838
1,096
70
       3,004
742
61.19%
36.48%
24.70%
Lyndon Twp
623
562
44
       1,229
61
50.69%
45.73%
4.96%
Northfield Twp
1,808
1,492
154
       3,454
316
52.35%
43.20%
9.15%
Pittsfield Twp (part)
3,079
2,792
157
       6,028
287
51.08%
46.32%
4.76%
City of Saline
1,258
1,160
76
       2,494
98
50.44%
46.51%
3.93%
Scio twp
3,582
4,366
241
       8,189
-784
43.74%
53.32%
-9.57%
Sharon Twp
490
355
30
         875
135
56.00%
40.57%
15.43%
Sylvan Twp
1,571
1,555
90
       3,216
16
48.85%
48.35%
0.50%
Webster Twp
1,416
1,148
87
       2,651
268
53.41%
43.30%
10.11%




            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!









Total
145,190
145,074
7,351
297,615
116
48.78%
48.75%
0.04%



Redistricting changed a bit, but here were comparisons of 98 and 2000.
Genesee County (Flint Twp tilts this strongly democrat)
98 - Stabenow 62.18%, Munsell 35.04%, 39217 votes, -10642 vote spread
00 - Byrum 52.92%, Rogers 45.05%, 54654 votes, -4298 vote spread.

Ingham County (all - Democrat stronghold)
98 - Stabenow 64.46%, Munsell 30.96%, 92479 votes, -30984 vote spread
00 - Byrum 57.52%, Rogers 40.11%, 118,096 votes, -20565 vote spread

Ingham County - Lansing Area  - (Lansing, East Lansing, Meridian Twp, Delhi Twp - Home base for Dems)
98 - Stabenow 66.22%, Munsell 29.08%, 74451 votes, -27663 vote spread
00 - Byrum 60.11%, Rogers 37.34%, 94910 votes, -21605 vote spread

Ingham County - Outside Lansing (Byrum's home)
98- Stabenow 57.23%, Munsell 38.81%, 18028 votes, -3321 vote spread
00 - Rogers 51.41%, Byrum 46.92%, 23186 votes, 1040 vote spread

Livingston County - Usually a Republican stronghold. Munsell's numbers really surprised me, even with the 3rd party defections and no votes. She's from the county. Looking back, I wonder how many would have voted for her if they knew Stabenow would now be a senator. Elections have consequences, and that includes down the road. For comparisons sake, McCain's 55-56% in the county is considered bad, and Munsell wasn't a true sacrificial lamb in the sense Levin's opponents are. Stabenow runs well in the county for some reason, but this one still sticks out to me. Bob Carr picked up some social conservative votes, Stabenow wouldn't.

98 - Munsell 52.94%, Stabenow 43.08%, 50423 votes, 4973 vote spread
00 - Rogers 63.67%, Byrum 33.91%, 73712 votes, 21938 vote spread

Washtenaw County - This is where Mike surprised me the most.
98 - Stabenow 53.47%, Munsell 43.54%, 25069 votes, -2488 votes
00 - Rogers 50.85%, Byrum 46.04%, 36491 votes, 1755 vote spread

Redistricting changed things a bit. Clinton County, which Mike Rogers represented as a state senator, was added. So was northern Oakland. Washtenaw Portion was given to Smith/Schwarz/Walberg/Schauer, and the Genesee Portion went to Dale Kildee. That added about 4% to the GOP. There are some danger signs to this district that need to be addressed, and that is happening. Clinton County has woken up after the 2006 and 2008 elections, especially in Bath Twp. Shiawassee County has always been competitive, so that's no surprise. Livingston has blued some, but hasn't blued as much as other GOP strongholds (By percentage it was Bush's 6th best, Posthumus's 4th best, Bush's 5th best, DeVos's 4th best, and McCain's 3rd best). It's still a concern with the drop. The bleeding needs to stop here, and we are well aware of it. North Oakland is well aware already with what's happened in South Oakland. Ingham County does the best it can, but is facing a real juggernaut with the three headed democrat monster known as Lansing, East Lansing, and Okemos. More of Orion Twp is in the 8th district, but part of it is not. Those precincts are on the tables as "negative" votes for presidential races. Those are part of the Knollenberg/Peters district. Vernon Twp is overrepresented as well for presidential races, since there's a split precinct there. Part of that is in Dave Camp's district.

Rogers usually runs about 8% of the ticket in Livingston County. It was 4% in 2000, but 13% in 02, 8% in 04,

2002 was a good year for Mike. It's now secret that his best numbers are in Livingston County, but he fights hard in Ingham County as well. He did what nobody did except John Engler against Fieger. Win the city and township of Lansing. This is an aberration of a race, but shows what happen when your opponent acts like a jerk on the campaign trail. I'll never forget the debate in Howell for this election. Mike's opponent got the well deserved boo birds and people walking out, not because of his views, but snide remarks about the County. Anyway, this is an aberration race here. If you can't win the 65%+ Democrat Lansing, that means you can't even win most of your base. Mike's a good candidate, but even he would concede that he usually doesn't win Lansing. McAlpine is one of the worst general election candidates I've seen in my lifetime. The other two are Senkowski (Campaign finance) and Fieger (who actually is a very good lawyer). There's a couple of republicans I can name too for that list (McCain), but I'll leave most of that in house for now.


2002 Election
Rogers
McAlpine
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Clinton County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Bath Twp
1,960
989
35
       2,984
971
65.68%
33.14%
32.54%
Bengal Twp
439
87
5
         531
352
82.67%
16.38%
66.29%
Biingham Twp
743
193
9
         945
550
78.62%
20.42%
58.20%
Dallas Twp
789
97
6
         892
692
88.45%
10.87%
77.58%
City of DeWitt
1,451
450
22
       1,923
1001
75.46%
23.40%
52.05%
DeWitt Twp
3,434
1,396
49
       4,879
2038
70.38%
28.61%
41.77%
Duplain Twp
545
254
4
         803
291
67.87%
31.63%
36.24%
Eagle Twp
794
308
13
       1,115
486
71.21%
27.62%
43.59%
City of East Lansing
35
21

           56
14
62.50%
37.50%
25.00%
Essex Twp
470
154
11
         635
316
74.02%
24.25%
49.76%
Greenbrush Twp
619
187
9
         815
432
75.95%
22.94%
53.01%
Lebanon Twp
181
42
4
         227
139
79.74%
18.50%
61.23%
Olive Twp
774
268
7
       1,049
506
73.78%
25.55%
48.24%
Ovid Twp
860
256
13
       1,129
604
76.17%
22.67%
53.50%
Riley Twp
579
162
4
         745
417
77.72%
21.74%
55.97%
City of St Johns
1,921
628
17
       2,566
1293
74.86%
24.47%
50.39%
Victor Twp
1,916
388
13
       2,317
1528
82.69%
16.75%
65.95%
Watertown Twp
1,398
515
16
       1,929
883
72.47%
26.70%
45.78%
Westphalia Twp
835
127
2
         964
708
86.62%
13.17%
73.44%
Ingham County:



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Alaiedon Twp
1,075
382
21
       1,478
693
72.73%
25.85%
46.89%
Aurelius Twp
1,075
342
10
       1,427
733
75.33%
23.97%
51.37%
Bunker Hill Twp
453
171
4
         628
282
72.13%
27.23%
44.90%
Delhi Twp
6,271
2,525
74
       8,870
3746
70.70%
28.47%
42.23%
City of East Lansing
4,442
5,655
149
     10,246
-1213
43.35%
55.19%
-11.84%
Ingham Twp
606
212
6
         824
394
73.54%
25.73%
47.82%
City of Lansing
16,544
15,322
467
     32,333
1222
51.17%
47.39%
3.78%
Lansing Twp
1,806
1,222
40
       3,068
584
58.87%
39.83%
19.04%
Leroy Twp
945
253
17
       1,215
692
77.78%
20.82%
56.95%
City of Leslie
372
137
4
         513
235
72.51%
26.71%
45.81%
Leslie Twp
658
230
15
         903
428
72.87%
25.47%
47.40%
Locke Twp
584
171
4
         759
413
76.94%
22.53%
54.41%
City of Mason
1,888
762
36
       2,686
1126
70.29%
28.37%
41.92%
Meridian Twp
10,174
5,864
168
     16,206
4310
62.78%
36.18%
26.60%
Onondaga Twp
633
214
11
         858
419
73.78%
24.94%
48.83%
Stockbridge Twp
776
347
25
       1,148
429
67.60%
30.23%
37.37%
Vevay Twp
1,111
354
20
       1,485
757
74.81%
23.84%
50.98%
Wheatfield Twp
589
187
9
         785
402
75.03%
23.82%
51.21%
White Oak Twp
326
114
6
         446
212
73.09%
25.56%
47.53%
City of Williamston
968
351
9
       1,328
617
72.89%
26.43%
46.46%
Williamstown Twp
1,861
684
24
       2,569
1177
72.44%
26.63%
45.82%
Livingston County:



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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
1,890
670
35
       2,595
1220
72.83%
25.82%
47.01%
Brighton Twp
5,811
1,316
89
       7,216
4495
80.53%
18.24%
62.29%
Cohoctah Twp
854
209
24
       1,087
645
78.56%
19.23%
59.34%
Conway Twp
830
171
15
       1,016
659
81.69%
16.83%
64.86%
Deerfield Twp
1,080
308
26
       1,414
772
76.38%
21.78%
54.60%
Genoa Twp
5,202
1,286
73
       6,561
3916
79.29%
19.60%
59.69%
Green Oak Twp
4,486
1,537
87
       6,110
2949
73.42%
25.16%
48.27%
Hamburg Twp
5,470
2,010
98
       7,578
3460
72.18%
26.52%
45.66%
Handy Twp
1,603
367
27
       1,997
1236
80.27%
18.38%
61.89%
Hartland Twp
3,464
836
60
       4,360
2628
79.45%
19.17%
60.28%
City of Howell
1,901
587
30
       2,518
1314
75.50%
23.31%
52.18%
Howell Twp
1,490
326
26
       1,842
1164
80.89%
17.70%
63.19%
Iosco Twp
841
181
14
       1,036
660
81.18%
17.47%
63.71%
Marion Twp
2,230
518
29
       2,777
1712
80.30%
18.65%
61.65%
Oceola Twp
2,340
595
30
       2,965
1745
78.92%
20.07%
58.85%
Putnam Twp
1,830
712
36
       2,578
1118
70.99%
27.62%
43.37%
Tyrone Twp
2,597
816
32
       3,445
1781
75.38%
23.69%
51.70%
Unadilla Twp
670
270
25
         965
400
69.43%
27.98%
41.45%
Oakland County:



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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Addison Twp
1,672
519
51
       2,242
1153
74.58%
23.15%
51.43%
Brandon Twp
3,173
1,352
112
       4,637
1821
68.43%
29.16%
39.27%
City of Clarkston
292
120
10
         422
172
69.19%
28.44%
40.76%
Groveland Twp
1,390
550
41
       1,981
840
70.17%
27.76%
42.40%
Holly Twp
1,949
1,161
66
       3,176
788
61.37%
36.56%
24.81%
Independence Twp
8,751
3,326
214
     12,291
5425
71.20%
27.06%
44.14%
Orion Twp
6,030
2,390
166
       8,586
3640
70.23%
27.84%
42.39%
Orion 8



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0
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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion 9



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0
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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion 11



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion14



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0
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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp
3,901
1,513
103
       5,517
2388
70.71%
27.42%
43.28%
Rose Twp
1,504
626
50
       2,180
878
68.99%
28.72%
40.28%
Springfield Twp
3,386
1,283
91
       4,760
2103
71.13%
26.95%
44.18%
Shiawassee County:



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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp
532
161
7
         700
371
76.00%
23.00%
53.00%
Bennington Twp
929
350
12
       1,291
579
71.96%
27.11%
44.85%
Burns Twp
799
319
5
       1,123
480
71.15%
28.41%
42.74%
City of Durand
710
377
13
       1,100
333
64.55%
34.27%
30.27%
City of Laingsburg
259
91
5
         355
168
72.96%
25.63%
47.32%
City of Perry
472
169
11
         652
303
72.39%
25.92%
46.47%
Perry Twp
1,011
399
14
       1,424
612
71.00%
28.02%
42.98%
Scoita Twp
472
184
9
         665
288
70.98%
27.67%
43.31%
Shiawassee Twp
664
311
10
         985
353
67.41%
31.57%
35.84%
Vernon Twp
1,013
483
27
       1,523
530
66.51%
31.71%
34.80%
Woodhull Twp
1,027
500
22
       1,549
527
66.30%
32.28%
34.02%









Total
157,425
70,920
3,153
231,498
86505
68.00%
30.64%
37.37%

2004 was another good year for Mike. Bush won the district by a decent margin, and Rogers is still competing on Bob Alexander's turf in the Lansing area. Ingham County itself is usually 60% democrat, and Rogers held Alexander to under 54% in the Lansing area alone, where only Delhi Twp is a legitimate swing area. (If you're winning Meridian Twp and almost winning Lansing Twp, you're in great shape). Alexander took Ingham County, barely. Rogers still didn't need his Livingston County vote spread to win.


2004 Election
Rogers
Alexander
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Clinton County:



            -  
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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Bath Twp
2,665
1,836
82
       4,583
829
58.15%
40.06%
18.09%
Bengal Twp
522
131
9
         662
391
78.85%
19.79%
59.06%
Biingham Twp
1,013
365
14
       1,392
648
72.77%
26.22%
46.55%
Dallas Twp
999
163
11
       1,173
836
85.17%
13.90%
71.27%
City of DeWitt
1,690
832
41
       2,563
858
65.94%
32.46%
33.48%
DeWitt Twp
4,604
2,442
129
       7,175
2162
64.17%
34.03%
30.13%
Duplain Twp
731
399
11
       1,141
332
64.07%
34.97%
29.10%
Eagle Twp
968
429
25
       1,422
539
68.07%
30.17%
37.90%
City of East Lansing
159
184
7
         350
-25
45.43%
52.57%
-7.14%
Essex Twp
636
270
22
         928
366
68.53%
29.09%
39.44%
Greenbrush Twp
819
298
27
       1,144
521
71.59%
26.05%
45.54%
Lebanon Twp
219
75
6
         300
144
73.00%
25.00%
48.00%
Olive Twp
993
418
24
       1,435
575
69.20%
29.13%
40.07%
Ovid Twp
1,101
508
24
       1,633
593
67.42%
31.11%
36.31%
Riley Twp
799
303
17
       1,119
496
71.40%
27.08%
44.33%
City of St Johns
2,574
1,086
50
       3,710
1488
69.38%
29.27%
40.11%
Victor Twp
1,293
658
29
       1,980
635
65.30%
33.23%
32.07%
Watertown Twp
1,702
856
47
       2,605
846
65.34%
32.86%
32.48%
Westphalia Twp
1,047
195
9
       1,251
852
83.69%
15.59%
68.11%
Ingham County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp
1,183
649
32
       1,864
534
63.47%
34.82%
28.65%
Aurelius Twp
1,330
562
28
       1,920
768
69.27%
29.27%
40.00%
Bunker Hill Twp
599
309
20
         928
290
64.55%
33.30%
31.25%
Delhi Twp
7,669
4,514
233
     12,416
3155
61.77%
36.36%
25.41%
City of East Lansing
5,601
10,887
310
     16,798
-5286
33.34%
64.81%
-31.47%
Ingham Twp
799
360
24
       1,183
439
67.54%
30.43%
37.11%
City of Lansing
19,075
26,751
949
     46,775
-7676
40.78%
57.19%
-16.41%
Lansing Twp
1,959
1,976
74
       4,009
-17
48.87%
49.29%
-0.42%
Leroy Twp
1,234
474
25
       1,733
760
71.21%
27.35%
43.85%
City of Leslie
482
256
14
         752
226
64.10%
34.04%
30.05%
Leslie Twp
871
391
18
       1,280
480
68.05%
30.55%
37.50%
Locke Twp
709
272
6
         987
437
71.83%
27.56%
44.28%
City of Mason
2,274
1,410
57
       3,741
864
60.79%
37.69%
23.10%
Meridian Twp
10,923
9,882
341
     21,146
1041
51.66%
46.73%
4.92%
Onondaga Twp
865
416
23
       1,304
449
66.33%
31.90%
34.43%
Stockbridge Twp
1,047
554
34
       1,635
493
64.04%
33.88%
30.15%
Vevay Twp
1,295
597
29
       1,921
698
67.41%
31.08%
36.34%
Wheatfield Twp
694
264
13
         971
430
71.47%
27.19%
44.28%
White Oak Twp
398
199
12
         609
199
65.35%
32.68%
32.68%
City of Williamston
1,191
675
44
       1,910
516
62.36%
35.34%
27.02%
Williamstown Twp
2,054
1,039
32
       3,125
1015
65.73%
33.25%
32.48%
Livingston County:



            -  
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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
2,618
1,223
56
       3,897
1395
67.18%
31.38%
35.80%
Brighton Twp
7,711
2,379
160
     10,250
5332
75.23%
23.21%
52.02%
Cohoctah Twp
1,184
386
35
       1,605
798
73.77%
24.05%
49.72%
Conway Twp
1,151
362
29
       1,542
789
74.64%
23.48%
51.17%
Deerfield Twp
1,592
589
47
       2,228
1003
71.45%
26.44%
45.02%
Genoa Twp
7,774
2,547
149
     10,470
5227
74.25%
24.33%
49.92%
Green Oak Twp
6,254
2,670
183
       9,107
3584
68.67%
29.32%
39.35%
Hamburg Twp
7,612
3,675
226
     11,513
3937
66.12%
31.92%
34.20%
Handy Twp
2,340
774
64
       3,178
1566
73.63%
24.35%
49.28%
Hartland Twp
5,233
1,653
130
       7,016
3580
74.59%
23.56%
51.03%
City of Howell
2,850
1,210
92
       4,152
1640
68.64%
29.14%
39.50%
Howell Twp
2,437
756
53
       3,246
1681
75.08%
23.29%
51.79%
Iosco Twp
1,166
323
26
       1,515
843
76.96%
21.32%
55.64%
Marion Twp
3,420
1,152
60
       4,632
2268
73.83%
24.87%
48.96%
Oceola Twp
3,819
1,221
76
       5,116
2598
74.65%
23.87%
50.78%
Putnam Twp
2,682
1,274
92
       4,048
1408
66.25%
31.47%
34.78%
Tyrone Twp
3,734
1,456
105
       5,295
2278
70.52%
27.50%
43.02%
Unadilla Twp
992
480
46
       1,518
512
65.35%
31.62%
33.73%
Oakland County:



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#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Addison Twp
2,304
896
114
       3,314
1408
69.52%
27.04%
42.49%
Brandon Twp
4,614
2,471
258
       7,343
2143
62.84%
33.65%
29.18%
City of Clarkston
342
193
11
         546
149
62.64%
35.35%
27.29%
Groveland Twp
1,943
1,010
87
       3,040
933
63.91%
33.22%
30.69%
Holly Twp
2,881
2,010
146
       5,037
871
57.20%
39.90%
17.29%
Independence Twp
12,108
5,426
450
     17,984
6682
67.33%
30.17%
37.16%
Orion Twp
8,453
3,928
390
     12,771
4525
66.19%
30.76%
35.43%
Orion 8



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0
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#DIV/0!
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Orion 9



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion 11



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion14



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp
6,064
2,820
268
       9,152
3244
66.26%
30.81%
35.45%
Rose Twp
2,196
1,008
111
       3,315
1188
66.24%
30.41%
35.84%
Springfield Twp
4,994
2,103
195
       7,292
2891
68.49%
28.84%
39.65%
Shiawassee County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp
748
346
10
       1,104
402
67.75%
31.34%
36.41%
Bennington Twp
1,246
517
24
       1,787
729
69.73%
28.93%
40.79%
Burns Twp
1,152
517
33
       1,702
635
67.69%
30.38%
37.31%
City of Durand
940
680
41
       1,661
260
56.59%
40.94%
15.65%
City of Laingsburg
380
206
10
         596
174
63.76%
34.56%
29.19%
City of Perry
657
314
26
         997
343
65.90%
31.49%
34.40%
Perry Twp
1,388
681
35
       2,104
707
65.97%
32.37%
33.60%
Scoita Twp
581
327
18
         926
254
62.74%
35.31%
27.43%
Shiawassee Twp
907
553
27
       1,487
354
61.00%
37.19%
23.81%
Vernon Twp
1,335
834
49
       2,218
501
60.19%
37.60%
22.59%
Woodhull Twp
1,334
762
42
       2,138
572
62.39%
35.64%
26.75%









Total
207,922
125,617
6,876
340,415
82305
61.08%
36.90%
24.18%

2006 was his toughest test. Jim Marcinkowski, most known for being a good buddy of Joe Wilson and Valerie Plame, ran against Mike. He was recruited by the DCCC, although reportedly abandoned by them afterward, much to the anger of a lot of the local dems. Rogers had a tougher than usual test, although it was nothing like his race against Byrum in 2000.It wasn't really that close, and Rogers didn't need his Livingston County vote spread to win. Oakland alone was enough, and that was Marcinkowski's home.


2006 Election
Rogers
Marcinkowski
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Clinton County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Bath Twp
2,112
1,893
58
       4,063
219
51.98%
46.59%
5.39%
Bengal Twp
418
161
1
         580
257
72.07%
27.76%
44.31%
Bingham Twp
787
418
17
       1,222
369
64.40%
34.21%
30.20%
Dallas Twp
767
265
8
       1,040
502
73.75%
25.48%
48.27%
City of DeWitt
1,277
857
32
       2,166
420
58.96%
39.57%
19.39%
DeWitt Twp
3,402
2,546
64
       6,012
856
56.59%
42.35%
14.24%
Duplain Twp
530
409
8
         947
121
55.97%
43.19%
12.78%
Eagle Twp
818
533
15
       1,366
285
59.88%
39.02%
20.86%
City of East Lansing
186
239
4
         429
-53
43.36%
55.71%
-12.35%
Essex Twp
501
294
11
         806
207
62.16%
36.48%
25.68%
Greenbrush Twp
631
384
14
       1,029
247
61.32%
37.32%
24.00%
Lebanon Twp
176
87
3
         266
89
66.17%
32.71%
33.46%
Olive Twp
754
480
14
       1,248
274
60.42%
38.46%
21.96%
Ovid Twp
812
521
23
       1,356
291
59.88%
38.42%
21.46%
Riley Twp
651
359
11
       1,021
292
63.76%
35.16%
28.60%
City of St Johns
1,774
1,232
43
       3,049
542
58.18%
40.41%
17.78%
Victor Twp
993
697
26
       1,716
296
57.87%
40.62%
17.25%
Watertown Twp
1,394
960
32
       2,386
434
58.42%
40.23%
18.19%
Westphalia Twp
814
274
10
       1,098
540
74.13%
24.95%
49.18%
Ingham County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp
936
664
27
       1,627
272
57.53%
40.81%
16.72%
Aurelius Twp
1,022
637
23
       1,682
385
60.76%
37.87%
22.89%
Bunker Hill Twp
486
342
19
         847
144
57.38%
40.38%
17.00%
Delhi Twp
5,873
4,755
166
     10,794
1118
54.41%
44.05%
10.36%
City of East Lansing
3,534
8,786
301
     12,621
-5252
28.00%
69.61%
-41.61%
Ingham Twp
636
388
8
       1,032
248
61.63%
37.60%
24.03%
City of Lansing
13,563
22,315
707
     36,585
-8752
37.07%
60.99%
-23.92%
Lansing Twp
1,423
1,726
56
       3,205
-303
44.40%
53.85%
-9.45%
Leroy Twp
948
500
29
       1,477
448
64.18%
33.85%
30.33%
City of Leslie
372
222
14
         608
150
61.18%
36.51%
24.67%
Leslie Twp
620
455
20
       1,095
165
56.62%
41.55%
15.07%
Locke Twp
568
285
7
         860
283
66.05%
33.14%
32.91%
City of Mason
1,769
1,418
43
       3,230
351
54.77%
43.90%
10.87%
Meridian Twp
8,233
9,378
259
     17,870
-1145
46.07%
52.48%
-6.41%
Onondaga Twp
688
453
29
       1,170
235
58.80%
38.72%
20.09%
Stockbridge Twp
851
580
28
       1,459
271
58.33%
39.75%
18.57%
Vevay Twp
1,037
636
29
       1,702
401
60.93%
37.37%
23.56%
Wheatfield Twp
562
307
5
         874
255
64.30%
35.13%
29.18%
White Oak Twp
329
177
8
         514
152
64.01%
34.44%
29.57%
City of Williamston
934
676
19
       1,629
258
57.34%
41.50%
15.84%
Williamstown Twp
1,613
1,096
35
       2,744
517
58.78%
39.94%
18.84%
Livingston County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
1,845
1,260
45
       3,150
585
58.57%
40.00%
18.57%
Brighton Twp
5,898
2,651
123
       8,672
3247
68.01%
30.57%
37.44%
Cohoctah Twp
894
486
24
       1,404
408
63.68%
34.62%
29.06%
Conway Twp
915
447
25
       1,387
468
65.97%
32.23%
33.74%
Deerfield Twp
1,186
621
41
       1,848
565
64.18%
33.60%
30.57%
Genoa Twp
6,009
2,747
127
       8,883
3262
67.65%
30.92%
36.72%
Green Oak Twp
4,743
2,825
154
       7,722
1918
61.42%
36.58%
24.84%
Hamburg Twp
5,600
3,859
152
       9,611
1741
58.27%
40.15%
18.11%
Handy Twp
1,758
870
56
       2,684
888
65.50%
32.41%
33.08%
Hartland Twp
4,029
1,855
96
       5,980
2174
67.37%
31.02%
36.35%
City of Howell
1,871
1,275
64
       3,210
596
58.29%
39.72%
18.57%
Howell Twp
1,758
884
49
       2,691
874
65.33%
32.85%
32.48%
Iosco Twp
947
444
14
       1,405
503
67.40%
31.60%
35.80%
Marion Twp
2,697
1,468
53
       4,218
1229
63.94%
34.80%
29.14%
Oceola Twp
2,946
1,369
63
       4,378
1577
67.29%
31.27%
36.02%
Putnam Twp
1,910
1,501
60
       3,471
409
55.03%
43.24%
11.78%
Tyrone Twp
2,887
1,455
64
       4,406
1432
65.52%
33.02%
32.50%
Unadilla Twp
742
540
37
       1,319
202
56.25%
40.94%
15.31%
Oakland County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Addison Twp
1,818
914
72
       2,804
904
64.84%
32.60%
32.24%
Brandon Twp
3,547
2,425
187
       6,159
1122
57.59%
39.37%
18.22%
City of Clarkston
305
160
11
         476
145
64.08%
33.61%
30.46%
Groveland Twp
1,537
927
72
       2,536
610
60.61%
36.55%
24.05%
Holly Twp
2,245
1,864
130
       4,239
381
52.96%
43.97%
8.99%
Independence Twp
9,515
5,148
287
     14,950
4367
63.65%
34.43%
29.21%
Orion Twp
6,571
3,780
271
     10,622
2791
61.86%
35.59%
26.28%
Orion 8



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion 9



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion 11



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Orion14



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Oxford Twp
4,728
2,880
187
       7,795
1848
60.65%
36.95%
23.71%
Rose Twp
1,650
1,087
68
       2,805
563
58.82%
38.75%
20.07%
Springfield Twp
3,909
2,141
147
       6,197
1768
63.08%
34.55%
28.53%
Shiawassee County:



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0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp
592
347
6
         945
245
62.65%
36.72%
25.93%
Bennington Twp
964
561
20
       1,545
403
62.39%
36.31%
26.08%
Burns Twp
844
563
32
       1,439
281
58.65%
39.12%
19.53%
City of Durand
629
620
31
       1,280
9
49.14%
48.44%
0.70%
City of Laingsburg
279
222
3
         504
57
55.36%
44.05%
11.31%
City of Perry
499
313
12
         824
186
60.56%
37.99%
22.57%
Perry Twp
1,045
669
23
       1,737
376
60.16%
38.51%
21.65%
Scoita Twp
461
343
16
         820
118
56.22%
41.83%
14.39%
Shiawassee Twp
677
555
25
       1,257
122
53.86%
44.15%
9.71%
Vernon Twp
942
868
28
       1,838
74
51.25%
47.23%
4.03%
Woodhull Twp
1,049
758
27
       1,834
291
57.20%
41.33%
15.87%









Total
157,235
122,107
5,128
284,470
35128
55.27%
42.92%
12.35%

2008 was the return of Bob Alexander. Bob did better than he did in 2004 thanks to the national picture, but Mike runs ahead of the ticket and improved on his 2006 percentages, which were low by Mike's standards. He still reduces the losses in Ingham County to avoid making this a major contest like the 2002 race where he needed to tap into his Livingston reserves in order to win. It is getting harder to reduce the Ingham County losses however, since he now dropped below 40% in the Lansing area. It's not a huge deal, but now makes the "to be aware" of stage. I wouldn't even say "alarm bells" stage, like Bath Twp is. My alarm bells go off if one or two of the following happen. Ingham County's (Rural Ingham takes a dent out of the vote spread deficit Mike usually has in Ingham County) overall vote spread hits 18000, Clinton County is 55% or less, Livingston drops below 60%, and Oakland drops below 60%, or if Mike Rogers doesn't run for re-election.


2008 Election
Rogers
Alexander
3rd Party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Clinton County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Bath Twp
2,680
2,433
113
       5,226
247
51.28%
46.56%
4.73%
Bengal Twp
473
150
13
         636
323
74.37%
23.58%
50.79%
Bingham Twp
1,014
403
49
       1,466
611
69.17%
27.49%
41.68%
Dallas Twp
927
219
24
       1,170
708
79.23%
18.72%
60.51%
City of DeWitt
1,628
935
64
       2,627
693
61.97%
35.59%
26.38%
DeWitt Twp
4,488
2,869
188
       7,545
1619
59.48%
38.03%
21.46%
Duplain Twp
674
465
21
       1,160
209
58.10%
40.09%
18.02%
Eagle Twp
1,017
552
35
       1,604
465
63.40%
34.41%
28.99%
City of East Lansing
372
470
11
         853
-98
43.61%
55.10%
-11.49%
Essex Twp
646
284
28
         958
362
67.43%
29.65%
37.79%
Greenbrush Twp
770
404
31
       1,205
366
63.90%
33.53%
30.37%
Lebanon Twp
203
82
11
         296
121
68.58%
27.70%
40.88%
Olive Twp
924
479
34
       1,437
445
64.30%
33.33%
30.97%
Ovid Twp
1,047
625
43
       1,715
422
61.05%
36.44%
24.61%
Riley Twp
754
374
34
       1,162
380
64.89%
32.19%
32.70%
City of St Johns
2,191
1,334
111
       3,636
857
60.26%
36.69%
23.57%
Victor Twp
1,221
719
62
       2,002
502
60.99%
35.91%
25.07%
Watertown Twp
1,814
986
80
       2,880
828
62.99%
34.24%
28.75%
Westphalia Twp
1,027
242
20
       1,289
785
79.67%
18.77%
60.90%
Ingham County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp
1,196
649
58
       1,903
547
62.85%
34.10%
28.74%
Aurelius Twp
1,288
669
44
       2,001
619
64.37%
33.43%
30.93%
Bunker Hill Twp
619
349
34
       1,002
270
61.78%
34.83%
26.95%
Delhi Twp
7,550
5,659
351
     13,560
1891
55.68%
41.73%
13.95%
City of East Lansing
6,968
13,167
857
     20,992
-6199
33.19%
62.72%
-29.53%
Ingham Twp
847
409
35
       1,291
438
65.61%
31.68%
33.93%
City of Lansing
17,282
30,723
1698
     49,703
-13441
34.77%
61.81%
-27.04%
Lansing Twp
1,785
2,196
130
       4,111
-411
43.42%
53.42%
-10.00%
Leroy Twp
1,184
540
40
       1,764
644
67.12%
30.61%
36.51%
City of Leslie
476
280
29
         785
196
60.64%
35.67%
24.97%
Leslie Twp
816
440
25
       1,281
376
63.70%
34.35%
29.35%
Locke Twp
690
319
25
       1,034
371
66.73%
30.85%
35.88%
City of Mason
2,331
1,573
108
       4,012
758
58.10%
39.21%
18.89%
Meridian Twp
10,385
11,098
545
     22,028
-713
47.14%
50.38%
-3.24%
Onondaga Twp
878
477
30
       1,385
401
63.39%
34.44%
28.95%
Stockbridge Twp
1,101
655
53
       1,809
446
60.86%
36.21%
24.65%
Vevay Twp
1,291
646
65
       2,002
645
64.49%
32.27%
32.22%
Wheatfield Twp
643
336
24
       1,003
307
64.11%
33.50%
30.61%
White Oak Twp
400
198
13
         611
202
65.47%
32.41%
33.06%
City of Williamston
1,174
815
48
       2,037
359
57.63%
40.01%
17.62%
Williamstown Twp
1,963
1,188
68
       3,219
775
60.98%
36.91%
24.08%
Livingston County:



            -  
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Brighton
2,450
1,479
108
       4,037
971
60.69%
36.64%
24.05%
Brighton Twp
7,514
1,801
298
       9,613
5713
78.16%
18.74%
59.43%
Cohoctah Twp
1,154
476
50
       1,680
678
68.69%
28.33%
40.36%
Conway Twp
1,145
433
54
       1,632
712
70.16%
26.53%
43.63%
Deerfield Twp
1,494
666
78
       2,238
828
66.76%
29.76%
37.00%
Genoa Twp
7,603
3,027
309
     10,939
4576
69.50%
27.67%
41.83%
Green Oak Twp
6,207
3,155
332
       9,694
3052
64.03%
32.55%
31.48%
Hamburg Twp
7,360
4,259
362
     11,981
3101
61.43%
35.55%
25.88%
Handy Twp
2,398
1,055
112
       3,565
1343
67.27%
29.59%
37.67%
Hartland Twp
5,304
2,057
211
       7,572
3247
70.05%
27.17%
42.88%
City of Howell
2,559
1,434
147
       4,140
1125
61.81%
34.64%
27.17%
Howell Twp
2,368
966
111
       3,445
1402
68.74%
28.04%
40.70%
Iosco Twp
1,288
481
57
       1,826
807
70.54%
26.34%
44.19%
Marion Twp
3,770
1,484
129
       5,383
2286
70.04%
27.57%
42.47%
Oceola Twp
4,144
1,654
184
       5,982
2490
69.27%
27.65%
41.62%
Putnam Twp
2,550
1,543
167
       4,260
1007
59.86%
36.22%
23.64%
Tyrone Twp
3,666
1,633
167
       5,466
2033
67.07%
29.88%
37.19%
Unadilla Twp
969
583
85
       1,637
386
59.19%
35.61%
23.58%
Oakland County:



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Addison Twp
2,310
940
168
       3,418
1370
67.58%
27.50%
40.08%
Brandon Twp
4,504
2,693
353
       7,550
1811
59.66%
35.67%
23.99%
City of Clarkston
344
179
20
         543
165
63.35%
32.97%
30.39%
Groveland Twp
1,813
943
138
       2,894
870
62.65%
32.58%
30.06%
Holly Twp
2,897
2,296
261
       5,454
601
53.12%
42.10%
11.02%
Independence Twp
12,137
5,678
605
     18,420
6459
65.89%
30.83%
35.07%
Orion Twp
8,429
4,202
524
     13,155
4227
64.07%
31.94%
32.13%
Orion 8



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Oxford Twp
6,088
3,267
415
       9,770
2821
62.31%
33.44%
28.87%
Rose Twp
2,093
1,122
166
       3,381
971
61.90%
33.19%
28.72%
Springfield Twp
4,968
2,222
296
       7,486
2746
66.36%
29.68%
36.68%
Shiawassee County:



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Antrim Twp
688
399
35
       1,122
289
61.32%
35.56%
25.76%
Bennington Twp
1,201
593
42
       1,836
608
65.41%
32.30%
33.12%
Burns Twp
1,092
558
87
       1,737
534
62.87%
32.12%
30.74%
City of Durand
835
711
63
       1,609
124
51.90%
44.19%
7.71%
City of Laingsburg
378
245
23
         646
133
58.51%
37.93%
20.59%
City of Perry
600
386
29
       1,015
214
59.11%
38.03%
21.08%
Perry Twp
1,317
745
59
       2,121
572
62.09%
35.12%
26.97%
Scoita Twp
554
382
37
         973
172
56.94%
39.26%
17.68%
Shiawassee Twp
844
638
48
       1,530
206
55.16%
41.70%
13.46%
Vernon Twp
1,186
925
84
       2,195
261
54.03%
42.14%
11.89%
Woodhull Twp
1,269
800
47
       2,116
469
59.97%
37.81%
22.16%









Total
204,227
144,521
11,713
360,461
59706
56.66%
40.09%
16.56%

Comparisons
Clinton County
2002 - Rogers 74.49%, McAlpine 24.61%, 26,504 votes, 13221 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 67.10%, Alexander 31.31%, 36566 votes, 13086 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 59.11%, Marcinkowski 39.65%, 31800 votes, 6188 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 61.41%, Alexander 36.08%, 38867 votes, 9845 vote spread

Ingham County (all)
2002 - Rogers 59.21%, McAlpine 39.54%, 89775 votes, 17658 vote spread

2004 - Alexander 49.16%, Rogers 49.01%, 127007 votes, -185 vote spread
2006 - Marcinkowski 53.84%, Rogers 44.39%, 103625 votes, -9799 vote spread
2008 - Alexander 52.63%, Rogers 44.26%, 137533 votes, -11519 vote spread

Ingham County - Lansing area (Lansing, East Lansing, Meridian Twp, Delhi Twp)
2002 - Rogers 55.48%, McAlpine 43.25%, 70723 votes, 8649 vote spread
2004 - Alexander 53.40%, Rogers 44.72%, 101144 votes, -8783 vote spread
2006 - Marcinkowski 57.92%, Rogers 40.24%, 81075 votes, -14334 vote spread
2008 - Alexander 56.93%, Rogers 39.83%, 110,394 votes, -18873

Ingham County - Rest of the county
2002 - Rogers 73.06%, McAlpine 25.78%, 19052 votes, 9009 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 65.83%, Alexander 32.58%, 25863 votes, 8598 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 59.29%, Marcinkowski 39.18%, 22550 votes, 4525 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 62.26%, Alexander 35.16%, 27139 votes, 7354 vote spread

Livingston County
2002 - Rogers 76.80%, McAlpine 21.90%, 59060 votes, 31874 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 71.48%, Alexander 26.71%, 90328 votes, 40439 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 63.63%, Marcinkowski 34.74%, 76439 votes, 22078 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 67.24%, Alexander 29.64%, 95090 votes, 35757 vote spread

Oakland County
2002 - Rogers 69.99%, McAlpine 28.04%, 45792 votes, 19208 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 65.76%, Alexander 31.33%, 69794 votes, 24034 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 61.15%, Marcinkowski 36.40%, 58583 votes, 14499 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 63.25%, Alexander 32.67%, 72071 votes, 22041 vote spread

Shiawassee County
2002 - Rogers 69.39%, McAlpine 29.42%, 11367 votes, 4544 vote spread
2004 - Rogers 63.80%, Alexander 34.31%, 16720 votes, 4931 vote spread
2006 - Rogers 56.91%, Marcinkowski 41.50%, 14023 votes, 2162 vote spread
2008 - Rogers 58.96%, Alexander 37.76%, 16900 votes, 3582 vote spread

Considering how bad the 06 and 08 elections were to the GOP, especially in three of the district counties,  Mike's held up fairly well. I'll start with 2000 and through the gubernatorial numbers in as well, because Ingham County and Clinton County are usually more democrat in gubernatorial years. State Workers.

(More in Part 2)

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