Michigan 8th District (MI-08) Updated (Part 2)

Michigan's 8th District - Congress - Part 2
This is Part two of my 8th district update. Part 1 is here

The 2000 numbers show how close this district is at the top of the ticket.

2000 Election	Bush	Gore	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	1,752	1,738	106	3,596	14	48.72%	48.33%	0.39%
Bengal Twp	419	199	4	622	220	67.36%	31.99%	35.37%
Bingham Twp	742	430	30	1,202	312	61.73%	35.77%	25.96%
Dallas Twp	914	206	13	1,133	708	80.67%	18.18%	62.49%
City of DeWitt	1,365	971	45	2,381	394	57.33%	40.78%	16.55%
DeWitt Twp	3,117	2,900	163	6,180	217	50.44%	46.93%	3.51%
Duplain Twp	579	511	15	1,105	68	52.40%	46.24%	6.15%
Eagle Twp	742	573	37	1,352	169	54.88%	42.38%	12.50%
City of East Lansing	0	1	0	1	-1	0.00%	100.00%	-100.00%
Essex Twp	464	343	25	832	121	55.77%	41.23%	14.54%
Greenbrush Twp	662	383	19	1,064	279	62.22%	36.00%	26.22%
Lebanon Twp	205	86	4	295	119	69.49%	29.15%	40.34%
Olive Twp	702	507	34	1,243	195	56.48%	40.79%	15.69%
Ovid Twp	742	658	27	1,427	84	52.00%	46.11%	5.89%
Riley Twp	547	360	23	930	187	58.82%	38.71%	20.11%
City of St Johns	1,914	1,529	75	3,518	385	54.41%	43.46%	10.94%
Victor Twp	947	791	42	1,780	156	53.20%	44.44%	8.76%
Watertown Twp	1,322	970	56	2,348	352	56.30%	41.31%	14.99%
Westphalia Twp	919	238	27	1,184	681	77.62%	20.10%	57.52%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	956	779	58	1,793	177	53.32%	43.45%	9.87%
Aurelius Twp	979	746	48	1,773	233	55.22%	42.08%	13.14%
Bunker Hill Twp	427	403	23	853	24	50.06%	47.25%	2.81%
Delhi Twp	5,309	5,632	282	11,223	-323	47.30%	50.18%	-2.88%
City of East Lansing	4,702	10,770	836	16,308	-6068	28.83%	66.04%	-37.21%
Ingham Twp	557	434	41	1,032	123	53.97%	42.05%	11.92%
City of Lansing	14,075	29,340	1476	44,891	-15265	31.35%	65.36%	-34.00%
Lansing Twp	1,606	2,226	125	3,957	-620	40.59%	56.25%	-15.67%
Leroy Twp	877	671	49	1,597	206	54.92%	42.02%	12.90%
City of Leslie	343	340	7	690	3	49.71%	49.28%	0.43%
Leslie Twp	596	479	34	1,109	117	53.74%	43.19%	10.55%
Locke Twp	514	345	17	876	169	58.68%	39.38%	19.29%
City of Mason	1,541	1,668	84	3,293	-127	46.80%	50.65%	-3.86%
Meridian Twp	9,202	10,756	658	20,616	-1554	44.64%	52.17%	-7.54%
Onondaga Twp	602	477	36	1,115	125	53.99%	42.78%	11.21%
Stockbridge Twp	753	703	53	1,509	50	49.90%	46.59%	3.31%
Vevay Twp	1,013	789	41	1,843	224	54.96%	42.81%	12.15%
Wheatfield Twp	515	390	35	940	125	54.79%	41.49%	13.30%
White Oak Twp	291	211	12	514	80	56.61%	41.05%	15.56%
City of Williamston	873	767	57	1,697	106	51.44%	45.20%	6.25%
Williamstown Twp	1,583	1,305	78	2,966	278	53.37%	44.00%	9.37%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,770	1,445	95	3,310	325	53.47%	43.66%	9.82%
Brighton Twp	6,061	3,222	250	9,533	2839	63.58%	33.80%	29.78%
Cohoctah Twp	905	581	38	1,524	324	59.38%	38.12%	21.26%
Conway Twp	720	470	32	1,222	250	58.92%	38.46%	20.46%
Deerfield Twp	1,144	759	68	1,971	385	58.04%	38.51%	19.53%
Genoa Twp	5,079	2,799	186	8,064	2280	62.98%	34.71%	28.27%
Green Oak Twp	4,373	3,006	218	7,597	1367	57.56%	39.57%	17.99%
Hamburg Twp	5,502	4,200	261	9,963	1302	55.22%	42.16%	13.07%
Handy Twp	1,505	1,069	83	2,657	436	56.64%	40.23%	16.41%
Hartland Twp	3,543	1,897	124	5,564	1646	63.68%	34.09%	29.58%
City of Howell	2,010	1,535	115	3,660	475	54.92%	41.94%	12.98%
Howell Twp	1,638	931	61	2,630	707	62.28%	35.40%	26.88%
Iosco Twp	765	479	35	1,279	286	59.81%	37.45%	22.36%
Marion Twp	2,097	1,228	86	3,411	869	61.48%	36.00%	25.48%
Oceola Twp	2,298	1,368	76	3,742	930	61.41%	36.56%	24.85%
Putnam Twp	1,793	1,513	118	3,424	280	52.37%	44.19%	8.18%
Tyrone Twp	2,741	1,649	140	4,530	1092	60.51%	36.40%	24.11%
Unadilla Twp	695	619	54	1,368	76	50.80%	45.25%	5.56%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	1,948	952	97	2,997	996	65.00%	31.77%	33.23%
Brandon Twp	3,824	2,638	189	6,651	1186	57.50%	39.66%	17.83%
City of Clarkston	300	230	25	555	70	54.05%	41.44%	12.61%
Groveland Twp	1,582	1,056	101	2,739	526	57.76%	38.55%	19.20%
Holly Twp	2,029	2,064	139	4,232	-35	47.94%	48.77%	-0.83%
Independence Twp	10,116	6,003	477	16,596	4113	60.95%	36.17%	24.78%
Orion Twp	9,329	6,157	481	15,967	3172	58.43%	38.56%	19.87%
Orion 8	-363	-363	-26	(752)	0	48.27%	48.27%	0.00%
Orion 9	-708	-368	-23	(1,099)	-340	64.42%	33.48%	30.94%
Orion 11	-437	-402	-23	(862)	-35	50.70%	46.64%	4.06%
Orion14	-373	-230	-9	(612)	-143	60.95%	37.58%	23.37%
Oxford Twp	4,263	2,846	180	7,289	1417	58.49%	39.05%	19.44%
Rose Twp	1,660	1,203	125	2,988	457	55.56%	40.26%	15.29%
Springfield Twp	3,915	2,464	139	6,518	1451	60.06%	37.80%	22.26%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	544	337	18	899	207	60.51%	37.49%	23.03%
Bennington Twp	862	631	35	1,528	231	56.41%	41.30%	15.12%
Burns Twp	880	668	45	1,593	212	55.24%	41.93%	13.31%
City of Durand	608	864	61	1,533	-256	39.66%	56.36%	-16.70%
City of Laingsburg	238	234	18	490	4	48.57%	47.76%	0.82%
City of Perry	479	380	24	883	99	54.25%	43.04%	11.21%
Perry Twp	985	834	45	1,864	151	52.84%	44.74%	8.10%
Scoita Twp	446	410	38	894	36	49.89%	45.86%	4.03%
Shiawassee Twp	629	662	41	1,332	-33	47.22%	49.70%	-2.48%
Vernon Twp	1,105	1,227	50	2,382	-122	46.39%	51.51%	-5.12%
Woodhull Twp	954	838	53	1,845	116	51.71%	45.42%	6.29%
Total	154,822	142,730	9,135	306,687	12092	50.48%	46.54%	3.94%

The 2002 numbers show the effect of state workers. This is where Clinton County first got my attention as not being as strong of a GOP county as I thought it was. Eaton also caught my attention here, but that's in another district. Ingham was much stronger for Granholm than Gore as well.

2002 Election	Posthumus	Granholm	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	1,365	1,619	49	3,033	-254	45.00%	53.38%	-8.37%
Bengal Twp	328	209	4	541	119	60.63%	38.63%	22.00%
Bingham Twp	568	378	10	956	190	59.41%	39.54%	19.87%
Dallas Twp	690	220	8	918	470	75.16%	23.97%	51.20%
City of DeWitt	1,029	905	20	1,954	124	52.66%	46.32%	6.35%
DeWitt Twp	2,306	2,576	59	4,941	-270	46.67%	52.14%	-5.46%
Duplain Twp	409	396	7	812	13	50.37%	48.77%	1.60%
Eagle Twp	623	509	5	1,137	114	54.79%	44.77%	10.03%
City of East Lansing	25	33		58	-8	43.10%	56.90%	-13.79%
Essex Twp	373	266	9	648	107	57.56%	41.05%	16.51%
Greenbrush Twp	464	363	6	833	101	55.70%	43.58%	12.12%
Lebanon Twp	157	76		233	81	67.38%	32.62%	34.76%
Olive Twp	563	492	15	1,070	71	52.62%	45.98%	6.64%
Ovid Twp	625	508	17	1,150	117	54.35%	44.17%	10.17%
Riley Twp	427	323	7	757	104	56.41%	42.67%	13.74%
City of St Johns	1,350	1,244	25	2,619	106	51.55%	47.50%	4.05%
Victor Twp	702	710	17	1,429	-8	49.13%	49.69%	-0.56%
Watertown Twp	986	963	20	1,969	23	50.08%	48.91%	1.17%
Westphalia Twp	721	280	1	1,002	441	71.96%	27.94%	44.01%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	737	736	19	1,492	1	49.40%	49.33%	0.07%
Aurelius Twp	756	686	14	1,456	70	51.92%	47.12%	4.81%
Bunker Hill Twp	329	299	9	637	30	51.65%	46.94%	4.71%
Delhi Twp	3,992	4,928	85	9,005	-936	44.33%	54.73%	-10.39%
City of East Lansing	2,935	7,427	161	10,523	-4492	27.89%	70.58%	-42.69%
Ingham Twp	417	403	9	829	14	50.30%	48.61%	1.69%
City of Lansing	10,052	22,222	520	32,794	-12170	30.65%	67.76%	-37.11%
Lansing Twp	1,167	1,898	45	3,110	-731	37.52%	61.03%	-23.50%
Leroy Twp	661	552	17	1,230	109	53.74%	44.88%	8.86%
City of Leslie	233	285	5	523	-52	44.55%	54.49%	-9.94%
Leslie Twp	475	430	9	914	45	51.97%	47.05%	4.92%
Locke Twp	436	319	9	764	117	57.07%	41.75%	15.31%
City of Mason	1,153	1,533	31	2,717	-380	42.44%	56.42%	-13.99%
Meridian Twp	6,614	9,673	176	16,463	-3059	40.17%	58.76%	-18.58%
Onondaga Twp	466	394	12	872	72	53.44%	45.18%	8.26%
Stockbridge Twp	631	521	16	1,168	110	54.02%	44.61%	9.42%
Vevay Twp	754	737	6	1,497	17	50.37%	49.23%	1.14%
Wheatfield Twp	424	364	5	793	60	53.47%	45.90%	7.57%
White Oak Twp	240	202	6	448	38	53.57%	45.09%	8.48%
City of Williamston	655	674	17	1,346	-19	48.66%	50.07%	-1.41%
Williamstown Twp	1,287	1,288	21	2,596	-1	49.58%	49.61%	-0.04%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,431	1,153	28	2,612	278	54.79%	44.14%	10.64%
Brighton Twp	4,733	2,512	48	7,293	2221	64.90%	34.44%	30.45%
Cohoctah Twp	725	360	14	1,099	365	65.97%	32.76%	33.21%
Conway Twp	683	352	8	1,043	331	65.48%	33.75%	31.74%
Deerfield Twp	966	479	14	1,459	487	66.21%	32.83%	33.38%
Genoa Twp	4,252	2,320	69	6,641	1932	64.03%	34.93%	29.09%
Green Oak Twp	3,693	2,503	75	6,271	1190	58.89%	39.91%	18.98%
Hamburg Twp	4,449	3,191	71	7,711	1258	57.70%	41.38%	16.31%
Handy Twp	1,250	796	34	2,080	454	60.10%	38.27%	21.83%
Hartland Twp	2,917	1,465	49	4,431	1452	65.83%	33.06%	32.77%
City of Howell	1,470	1,082	33	2,585	388	56.87%	41.86%	15.01%
Howell Twp	1,249	633	17	1,899	616	65.77%	33.33%	32.44%
Iosco Twp	732	325	7	1,064	407	68.80%	30.55%	38.25%
Marion Twp	1,855	978	24	2,857	877	64.93%	34.23%	30.70%
Oceola Twp	1,995	1,048	32	3,075	947	64.88%	34.08%	30.80%
Putnam Twp	1,501	1,097	36	2,634	404	56.99%	41.65%	15.34%
Tyrone Twp	2,206	1,316	52	3,574	890	61.72%	36.82%	24.90%
Unadilla Twp	583	396	14	993	187	58.71%	39.88%	18.83%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	1,607	749	43	2,399	858	66.99%	31.22%	35.76%
Brandon Twp	3,019	1,882	64	4,965	1137	60.81%	37.91%	22.90%
City of Clarkston	257	187	7	451	70	56.98%	41.46%	15.52%
Groveland Twp	1,351	700	31	2,082	651	64.89%	33.62%	31.27%
Holly Twp	1,643	1,594	46	3,283	49	50.05%	48.55%	1.49%
Independence Twp	8,013	4,877	110	13,000	3136	61.64%	37.52%	24.12%
Orion Twp	7,366	4,577	173	12,116	2789	60.80%	37.78%	23.02%
Orion 8	-338	-242	-6	(586)	-96	57.68%	41.30%	16.38%
Orion 9	-516	-300	-5	(821)	-216	62.85%	36.54%	26.31%
Orion 11	-281	-249	-11	(541)	-32	51.94%	46.03%	5.91%
Orion14	-329	-204	-5	(538)	-125	61.15%	37.92%	23.23%
Oxford Twp	3,560	2,185	88	5,833	1375	61.03%	37.46%	23.57%
Rose Twp	1,336	915	36	2,287	421	58.42%	40.01%	18.41%
Springfield Twp	3,170	1,842	61	5,073	1328	62.49%	36.31%	26.18%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	420	284	6	710	136	59.15%	40.00%	19.15%
Bennington Twp	747	552	12	1,311	195	56.98%	42.11%	14.87%
Burns Twp	728	424	15	1,167	304	62.38%	36.33%	26.05%
City of Durand	523	582	18	1,123	-59	46.57%	51.83%	-5.25%
City of Laingsburg	187	184	6	377	3	49.60%	48.81%	0.80%
City of Perry	343	307	14	664	36	51.66%	46.23%	5.42%
Perry Twp	762	667	19	1,448	95	52.62%	46.06%	6.56%
Scoita Twp	359	329	9	697	30	51.51%	47.20%	4.30%
Shiawassee Twp	523	496	3	1,022	27	51.17%	48.53%	2.64%
Vernon Twp	901	904	31	1,836	-3	49.07%	49.24%	-0.16%
Woodhull Twp	748	793	29	1,570	-45	47.64%	50.51%	-2.87%
Total	120,914	113,682	2,890	237,486	7232	50.91%	47.87%	3.05%

2004 was the contrast with the "state worker" bloc and somewhat more like 2000. Rural Ingham County swung more towards the GOP that year as well. Watch Bath Twp here. It was Bath Twp precinct 2 (since re-precincted) that did caused it to flip to Kerry. DeWitt however went back to presidential form from state workers form (at least until 08 - but that was bad across the board) Precinct 2 went 2-1 for Obama, and is also the largest precinct.

2004 Election	Bush	Kerry	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	2,338	2,341	43	4,722	-3	49.51%	49.58%	-0.06%
Bengal Twp	472	202	4	678	270	69.62%	29.79%	39.82%
Bingham Twp	928	498	9	1,435	430	64.67%	34.70%	29.97%
Dallas Twp	979	256	6	1,241	723	78.89%	20.63%	58.26%
City of DeWitt	1,521	1,073	29	2,623	448	57.99%	40.91%	17.08%
DeWitt Twp	4,065	3,273	58	7,396	792	54.96%	44.25%	10.71%
Duplain Twp	629	548	4	1,181	81	53.26%	46.40%	6.86%
Eagle Twp	910	552	7	1,469	358	61.95%	37.58%	24.37%
City of East Lansing	136	235	2	373	-99	36.46%	63.00%	-26.54%
Essex Twp	574	380	13	967	194	59.36%	39.30%	20.06%
Greenbrush Twp	720	445	16	1,181	275	60.97%	37.68%	23.29%
Lebanon Twp	216	92	2	310	124	69.68%	29.68%	40.00%
Olive Twp	875	584	15	1,474	291	59.36%	39.62%	19.74%
Ovid Twp	967	696	20	1,683	271	57.46%	41.35%	16.10%
Riley Twp	737	421	12	1,170	316	62.99%	35.98%	27.01%
City of St Johns	2,206	1,589	44	3,839	617	57.46%	41.39%	16.07%
Victor Twp	1,141	867	21	2,029	274	56.23%	42.73%	13.50%
Watertown Twp	1,568	1,143	19	2,730	425	57.44%	41.87%	15.57%
Westphalia Twp	1,007	288	11	1,306	719	77.11%	22.05%	55.05%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	1,088	838	13	1,939	250	56.11%	43.22%	12.89%
Aurelius Twp	1,222	771	16	2,009	451	60.83%	38.38%	22.45%
Bunker Hill Twp	549	417	9	975	132	56.31%	42.77%	13.54%
Delhi Twp	6,831	6,105	137	13,073	726	52.25%	46.70%	5.55%
City of East Lansing	5,119	12,647	260	18,026	-7528	28.40%	70.16%	-41.76%
Ingham Twp	734	463	13	1,210	271	60.66%	38.26%	22.40%
City of Lansing	16,102	32,102	537	48,741	-16000	33.04%	65.86%	-32.83%
Lansing Twp	1,707	2,436	44	4,187	-729	40.77%	58.18%	-17.41%
Leroy Twp	1,103	674	23	1,800	429	61.28%	37.44%	23.83%
City of Leslie	403	363	10	776	40	51.93%	46.78%	5.15%
Leslie Twp	806	486	18	1,310	320	61.53%	37.10%	24.43%
Locke Twp	657	361	9	1,027	296	63.97%	35.15%	28.82%
City of Mason	1,989	1,880	29	3,898	109	51.03%	48.23%	2.80%
Meridian Twp	9,589	12,378	203	22,170	-2789	43.25%	55.83%	-12.58%
Onondaga Twp	768	568	21	1,357	200	56.60%	41.86%	14.74%
Stockbridge Twp	1,000	708	22	1,730	292	57.80%	40.92%	16.88%
Vevay Twp	1,177	816	12	2,005	361	58.70%	40.70%	18.00%
Wheatfield Twp	624	375	6	1,005	249	62.09%	37.31%	24.78%
White Oak Twp	378	247	9	634	131	59.62%	38.96%	20.66%
City of Williamston	1,065	869	21	1,955	196	54.48%	44.45%	10.03%
Williamstown Twp	1,824	1,373	28	3,225	451	56.56%	42.57%	13.98%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	2,226	1,763	35	4,024	463	55.32%	43.81%	11.51%
Brighton Twp	6,977	3,525	94	10,596	3452	65.85%	33.27%	32.58%
Cohoctah Twp	1,091	548	22	1,661	543	65.68%	32.99%	32.69%
Conway Twp	1,025	540	21	1,586	485	64.63%	34.05%	30.58%
Deerfield Twp	447	313	7	767	134	58.28%	40.81%	17.47%
Genoa Twp	7,081	3,608	90	10,779	3473	65.69%	33.47%	32.22%
Green Oak Twp	5,779	3,618	103	9,500	2161	60.83%	38.08%	22.75%
Hamburg Twp	6,933	4,933	113	11,979	2000	57.88%	41.18%	16.70%
Handy Twp	2,056	1,225	26	3,307	831	62.17%	37.04%	25.13%
Hartland Twp	4,925	2,329	59	7,313	2596	67.35%	31.85%	35.50%
City of Howell	2,499	1,751	52	4,302	748	58.09%	40.70%	17.39%
Howell Twp	2,202	1,134	33	3,369	1068	65.36%	33.66%	31.70%
Iosco Twp	1,071	468	14	1,553	603	68.96%	30.14%	38.83%
Marion Twp	3,137	1,600	36	4,773	1537	65.72%	33.52%	32.20%
Oceola Twp	3,513	1,768	48	5,329	1745	65.92%	33.18%	32.75%
Putnam Twp	2,417	1,792	49	4,258	625	56.76%	42.09%	14.68%
Tyrone Twp	3,560	1,917	32	5,509	1643	64.62%	34.80%	29.82%
Unadilla Twp	919	641	29	1,589	278	57.84%	40.34%	17.50%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	2,406	1,113	44	3,563	1293	67.53%	31.24%	36.29%
Brandon Twp	4,852	3,030	111	7,993	1822	60.70%	37.91%	22.79%
City of Clarkston	322	252	6	580	70	55.52%	43.45%	12.07%
Groveland Twp	1,988	1,204	27	3,219	784	61.76%	37.40%	24.36%
Holly Twp	2,813	2,442	80	5,335	371	52.73%	45.77%	6.95%
Independence Twp	12,199	6,847	164	19,210	5352	63.50%	35.64%	27.86%
Orion Twp	11,362	6,887	195	18,444	4475	61.60%	37.34%	24.26%
Orion 8	-584	-420	-7	(1,011)	-164	57.76%	41.54%	16.22%
Orion 9	-785	-438	-13	(1,236)	-347	63.51%	35.44%	28.07%
Orion 11	-456	-348	-13	(817)	-108	55.81%	42.59%	13.22%
Orion14	-479	-252	-6	(737)	-227	64.99%	34.19%	30.80%
Oxford Twp	6,155	3,577	145	9,877	2578	62.32%	36.22%	26.10%
Rose Twp	2,139	1,337	44	3,520	802	60.77%	37.98%	22.78%
Springfield Twp	4,946	2,710	73	7,729	2236	63.99%	35.06%	28.93%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	680	432	7	1,119	248	60.77%	38.61%	22.16%
Bennington Twp	1,106	712	18	1,836	394	60.24%	38.78%	21.46%
Burns Twp	1,054	688	19	1,761	366	59.85%	39.07%	20.78%
City of Durand	773	914	29	1,716	-141	45.05%	53.26%	-8.22%
City of Laingsburg	329	279	8	616	50	53.41%	45.29%	8.12%
City of Perry	584	432	8	1,024	152	57.03%	42.19%	14.84%
Perry Twp	1,255	908	16	2,179	347	57.60%	41.67%	15.92%
Scoita Twp	535	425	12	972	110	55.04%	43.72%	11.32%
Shiawassee Twp	804	719	17	1,540	85	52.21%	46.69%	5.52%
Vernon Twp	1,374	1,329	26	2,729	45	50.35%	48.70%	1.65%
Woodhull Twp	1,258	905	28	2,191	353	57.42%	41.31%	16.11%
Total	191,212	161,517	3,676	356,405	29695	53.65%	45.32%	8.33%

2006 and 2008 were the tough years, and showed how well Mike Rogers runs ahead of the ticket. Here's 06

2006 Election	DeVos	Granholm	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	1,646	2,425	47	4,118	-779	39.97%	58.89%	-18.92%
Bengal Twp	304	273	6	583	31	52.14%	46.83%	5.32%
Bingham Twp	579	638	22	1,239	-59	46.73%	51.49%	-4.76%
Dallas Twp	641	407	5	1,053	234	60.87%	38.65%	22.22%
City of DeWitt	1,012	1,183	16	2,211	-171	45.77%	53.51%	-7.73%
DeWitt Twp	2,602	3,454	61	6,117	-852	42.54%	56.47%	-13.93%
Duplain Twp	385	580	6	971	-195	39.65%	59.73%	-20.08%
Eagle Twp	649	727	12	1,388	-78	46.76%	52.38%	-5.62%
City of East Lansing	145	284	5	434	-139	33.41%	65.44%	-32.03%
Essex Twp	386	428	18	832	-42	46.39%	51.44%	-5.05%
Greenbrush Twp	478	556	15	1,049	-78	45.57%	53.00%	-7.44%
Lebanon Twp	153	111	4	268	42	57.09%	41.42%	15.67%
Olive Twp	561	685	18	1,264	-124	44.38%	54.19%	-9.81%
Ovid Twp	589	767	26	1,382	-178	42.62%	55.50%	-12.88%
Riley Twp	482	542	16	1,040	-60	46.35%	52.12%	-5.77%
City of St Johns	1,330	1,713	48	3,091	-383	43.03%	55.42%	-12.39%
Victor Twp	766	950	19	1,735	-184	44.15%	54.76%	-10.61%
Watertown Twp	558	723	12	1,293	-165	43.16%	55.92%	-12.76%
Westphalia Twp	659	469	9	1,137	190	57.96%	41.25%	16.71%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	727	891	20	1,638	-164	44.38%	54.40%	-10.01%
Aurelius Twp	771	906	15	1,692	-135	45.57%	53.55%	-7.98%
Bunker Hill Twp	377	467	13	857	-90	43.99%	54.49%	-10.50%
Delhi Twp	4,267	6,540	121	10,928	-2273	39.05%	59.85%	-20.80%
City of East Lansing	2,830	9,941	181	12,952	-7111	21.85%	76.75%	-54.90%
Ingham Twp	509	519	13	1,041	-10	48.90%	49.86%	-0.96%
City of Lansing	9,324	27,316	431	37,071	-17992	25.15%	73.69%	-48.53%
Lansing Twp	985	2,223	39	3,247	-1238	30.34%	68.46%	-38.13%
Leroy Twp	744	733	22	1,499	11	49.63%	48.90%	0.73%
City of Leslie	263	347	7	617	-84	42.63%	56.24%	-13.61%
Leslie Twp	481	605	20	1,106	-124	43.49%	54.70%	-11.21%
Locke Twp	449	428	6	883	21	50.85%	48.47%	2.38%
City of Mason	1,277	1,968	23	3,268	-691	39.08%	60.22%	-21.14%
Meridian Twp	6,377	11,511	174	18,062	-5134	35.31%	63.73%	-28.42%
Onondaga Twp	517	647	25	1,189	-130	43.48%	54.42%	-10.93%
Stockbridge Twp	685	777	27	1,489	-92	46.00%	52.18%	-6.18%
Vevay Twp	769	918	24	1,711	-149	44.94%	53.65%	-8.71%
Wheatfield Twp	425	450	9	884	-25	48.08%	50.90%	-2.83%
White Oak Twp	251	259	9	519	-8	48.36%	49.90%	-1.54%
City of Williamston	717	913	23	1,653	-196	43.38%	55.23%	-11.86%
Williamstown Twp	1,292	1,461	26	2,779	-169	46.49%	52.57%	-6.08%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,623	1,523	30	3,176	100	51.10%	47.95%	3.15%
Brighton Twp	5,339	3,415	103	8,857	1924	60.28%	38.56%	21.72%
Cohoctah Twp	838	557	25	1,420	281	59.01%	39.23%	19.79%
Conway Twp	828	572	21	1,421	256	58.27%	40.25%	18.02%
Deerfield Twp	1,090	758	51	1,899	332	57.40%	39.92%	17.48%
Genoa Twp	5,507	3,398	121	9,026	2109	61.01%	37.65%	23.37%
Green Oak Twp	4,236	3,583	123	7,942	653	53.34%	45.11%	8.22%
Hamburg Twp	5,091	4,590	138	9,819	501	51.85%	46.75%	5.10%
Handy Twp	1,541	1,132	53	2,726	409	56.53%	41.53%	15.00%
Hartland Twp	3,849	2,180	80	6,109	1669	63.01%	35.69%	27.32%
City of Howell	1,688	1,515	63	3,266	173	51.68%	46.39%	5.30%
Howell Twp	1,639	1,064	33	2,736	575	59.90%	38.89%	21.02%
Iosco Twp	892	523	23	1,438	369	62.03%	36.37%	25.66%
Marion Twp	2,549	1,694	38	4,281	855	59.54%	39.57%	19.97%
Oceola Twp	2,774	1,625	52	4,451	1149	62.32%	36.51%	25.81%
Putnam Twp	1,787	1,723	49	3,559	64	50.21%	48.41%	1.80%
Tyrone Twp	2,542	1,911	61	4,514	631	56.31%	42.33%	13.98%
Unadilla Twp	682	643	24	1,349	39	50.56%	47.66%	2.89%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	1,867	1,012	47	2,926	855	63.81%	34.59%	29.22%
Brandon Twp	3,710	2,672	122	6,504	1038	57.04%	41.08%	15.96%
City of Clarkston	274	207	9	490	67	55.92%	42.24%	13.67%
Groveland Twp	1,554	1,030	36	2,620	524	59.31%	39.31%	20.00%
Holly Twp	2,116	2,184	90	4,390	-68	48.20%	49.75%	-1.55%
Independence Twp	9,225	6,059	193	15,477	3166	59.60%	39.15%	20.46%
Orion Twp	8,651	5,998	245	14,894	2653	58.08%	40.27%	17.81%
Orion 8	-448	-371	-14	(833)	-77	53.78%	44.54%	9.24%
Orion 9	-543	-399	-9	(951)	-144	57.10%	41.96%	15.14%
Orion 11	-359	-299	-15	(673)	-60	53.34%	44.43%	8.92%
Orion14	-362	-267	-8	(637)	-95	56.83%	41.92%	14.91%
Oxford Twp	4,763	3,233	134	8,130	1530	58.59%	39.77%	18.82%
Rose Twp	1,555	1,288	59	2,902	267	53.58%	44.38%	9.20%
Springfield Twp	3,864	2,525	98	6,487	1339	59.57%	38.92%	20.64%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	485	448	18	951	37	51.00%	47.11%	3.89%
Bennington Twp	757	790	18	1,565	-33	48.37%	50.48%	-2.11%
Burns Twp	708	726	22	1,456	-18	48.63%	49.86%	-1.24%
City of Durand	495	777	30	1,302	-282	38.02%	59.68%	-21.66%
City of Laingsburg	198	303	9	510	-105	38.82%	59.41%	-20.59%
City of Perry	379	438	13	830	-59	45.66%	52.77%	-7.11%
Perry Twp	840	915	21	1,776	-75	47.30%	51.52%	-4.22%
Scoita Twp	316	505	15	836	-189	37.80%	60.41%	-22.61%
Shiawassee Twp	535	716	19	1,270	-181	42.13%	56.38%	-14.25%
Vernon Twp	780	1,344	33	2,157	-564	36.16%	62.31%	-26.15%
Woodhull Twp	865	963	23	1,851	-98	46.73%	52.03%	-5.29%
Total	134,682	151,938	3,889	290,509	-17256	46.36%	52.30%	-5.94%

 And 08:

2008 Election	McCain	Obama	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
Clinton County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Bath Twp	2,303	3,236	78	5,617	-933	41.00%	57.61%	-16.61%
Bengal Twp	384	264	9	657	120	58.45%	40.18%	18.26%
Bingham Twp	805	654	38	1,497	151	53.77%	43.69%	10.09%
Dallas Twp	870	349	24	1,243	521	69.99%	28.08%	41.91%
City of DeWitt	1,300	1,379	31	2,710	-79	47.97%	50.89%	-2.92%
DeWitt Twp	3,604	4,025	132	7,761	-421	46.44%	51.86%	-5.42%
Duplain Twp	523	643	23	1,189	-120	43.99%	54.08%	-10.09%
Eagle Twp	837	787	25	1,649	50	50.76%	47.73%	3.03%
City of East Lansing	272	626	7	905	-354	30.06%	69.17%	-39.12%
Essex Twp	515	447	23	985	68	52.28%	45.38%	6.90%
Greenbrush Twp	621	601	15	1,237	20	50.20%	48.59%	1.62%
Lebanon Twp	186	111	6	303	75	61.39%	36.63%	24.75%
Olive Twp	792	654	30	1,476	138	53.66%	44.31%	9.35%
Ovid Twp	832	928	29	1,789	-96	46.51%	51.87%	-5.37%
Riley Twp	613	560	30	1,203	53	50.96%	46.55%	4.41%
City of St Johns	1,748	1,963	65	3,776	-215	46.29%	51.99%	-5.69%
Victor Twp	984	1,034	42	2,060	-50	47.77%	50.19%	-2.43%
Watertown Twp	1,554	1,391	40	2,985	163	52.06%	46.60%	5.46%
Westphalia Twp	983	353	16	1,352	630	72.71%	26.11%	46.60%
Ingham County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Alaiedon Twp	991	906	40	1,937	85	51.16%	46.77%	4.39%
Aurelius Twp	1,050	960	28	2,038	90	51.52%	47.11%	4.42%
Bunker Hill Twp	517	479	30	1,026	38	50.39%	46.69%	3.70%
Delhi Twp	5,894	7,856	205	13,955	-1962	42.24%	56.30%	-14.06%
City of East Lansing	5,379	17,179	325	22,883	-11800	23.51%	75.07%	-51.57%
Ingham Twp	690	598	19	1,307	92	52.79%	45.75%	7.04%
City of Lansing	12,180	38,228	843	51,251	-26048	23.77%	74.59%	-50.82%
Lansing Twp	1,336	2,805	77	4,218	-1469	31.67%	66.50%	-34.83%
Leroy Twp	927	830	34	1,791	97	51.76%	46.34%	5.42%
City of Leslie	357	435	20	812	-78	43.97%	53.57%	-9.61%
Leslie Twp	638	641	21	1,300	-3	49.08%	49.31%	-0.23%
Locke Twp	549	471	23	1,043	78	52.64%	45.16%	7.48%
City of Mason	1,805	2,235	63	4,103	-430	43.99%	54.47%	-10.48%
Meridian Twp	8,080	14,288	304	22,672	-6208	35.64%	63.02%	-27.38%
Onondaga Twp	698	711	26	1,435	-13	48.64%	49.55%	-0.91%
Stockbridge Twp	941	928	33	1,902	13	49.47%	48.79%	0.68%
Vevay Twp	1,075	927	35	2,037	148	52.77%	45.51%	7.27%
Wheatfield Twp	525	477	15	1,017	48	51.62%	46.90%	4.72%
White Oak Twp	327	282	12	621	45	52.66%	45.41%	7.25%
City of Williamston	945	1,105	27	2,077	-160	45.50%	53.20%	-7.70%
Williamstown Twp	1,582	1,653	51	3,286	-71	48.14%	50.30%	-2.16%
Livingston County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
City of Brighton	1,984	2,097	62	4,143	-113	47.89%	50.62%	-2.73%
Brighton Twp	6,598	4,188	189	10,975	2410	60.12%	38.16%	21.96%
Cohoctah Twp	1,046	652	42	1,740	394	60.11%	37.47%	22.64%
Conway Twp	956	689	31	1,676	267	57.04%	41.11%	15.93%
Deerfield Twp	1,329	912	77	2,318	417	57.33%	39.34%	17.99%
Genoa Twp	6,592	4,502	154	11,248	2090	58.61%	40.02%	18.58%
Green Oak Twp	5,522	4,395	186	10,103	1127	54.66%	43.50%	11.16%
Hamburg Twp	6,355	5,922	186	12,463	433	50.99%	47.52%	3.47%
Handy Twp	1,922	1,729	72	3,723	193	51.63%	46.44%	5.18%
Hartland Twp	4,869	3,087	128	8,084	1782	60.23%	38.19%	22.04%
City of Howell	2,068	2,160	109	4,337	-92	47.68%	49.80%	-2.12%
Howell Twp	2,022	1,459	64	3,545	563	57.04%	41.16%	15.88%
Iosco Twp	1,090	756	26	1,872	334	58.23%	40.38%	17.84%
Marion Twp	3,302	2,169	92	5,563	1133	59.36%	38.99%	20.37%
Oceola Twp	3,694	2,428	105	6,227	1266	59.32%	38.99%	20.33%
Putnam Twp	2,210	2,157	72	4,439	53	49.79%	48.59%	1.19%
Tyrone Twp	3,362	2,236	88	5,686	1126	59.13%	39.32%	19.80%
Unadilla Twp	860	811	44	1,715	49	50.15%	47.29%	2.86%
Oakland County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Addison Twp	2,248	1,339	85	3,672	909	61.22%	36.47%	24.75%
Brandon Twp	4,394	3,564	153	8,111	830	54.17%	43.94%	10.23%
City of Clarkston	296	252	17	565	44	52.39%	44.60%	7.79%
Groveland Twp	1,769	1,275	65	3,109	494	56.90%	41.01%	15.89%
Holly Twp	2,678	2,969	135	5,782	-291	46.32%	51.35%	-5.03%
Independence Twp	11,000	8,253	334	19,587	2747	56.16%	42.14%	14.02%
Orion Twp	10,042	8,512	368	18,922	1530	53.07%	44.98%	8.09%
Orion 8	-497	-477	-22	(996)	-20	49.90%	47.89%	2.01%
Orion 9	-608	-581	-20	(1,209)	-27	50.29%	48.06%	2.23%
Orion 11	-400	-399	-14	(813)	-1	49.20%	49.08%	0.12%
Orion14	-423	-319	-13	(755)	-104	56.03%	42.25%	13.77%
Oxford Twp	5,836	4,484	162	10,482	1352	55.68%	42.78%	12.90%
Rose Twp	1,936	1,573	76	3,585	363	54.00%	43.88%	10.13%
Springfield Twp	4,654	3,176	133	7,963	1478	58.45%	39.88%	18.56%
Shiawassee County:				-	0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!
Antrim Twp	594	541	18	1,153	53	51.52%	46.92%	4.60%
Bennington Twp	1,021	826	35	1,882	195	54.25%	43.89%	10.36%
Burns Twp	933	793	44	1,770	140	52.71%	44.80%	7.91%
City of Durand	635	961	47	1,643	-326	38.65%	58.49%	-19.84%
City of Laingsburg	285	373	9	667	-88	42.73%	55.92%	-13.19%
City of Perry	471	547	21	1,039	-76	45.33%	52.65%	-7.31%
Perry Twp	1,050	1,088	52	2,190	-38	47.95%	49.68%	-1.74%
Scoita Twp	449	528	26	1,003	-79	44.77%	52.64%	-7.88%
Shiawassee Twp	688	835	39	1,562	-147	44.05%	53.46%	-9.41%
Vernon Twp	1,156	1,436	59	2,651	-280	43.61%	54.17%	-10.56%
Woodhull Twp	1,103	1,047	29	2,179	56	50.62%	48.05%	2.57%
Total	173,303	198,944	6,459	378,706	-25641	45.76%	52.53%	-6.77%

Clinton County
2000 - Bush 56.08%, Gore 41.61%, 32193 votes, 4660 vote spread
2002 - Posthumus 52.61%, Granholm 46.32%, 26060 votes, 1641 vote spread
2004 - Bush 58.16%, Kerry 40.95%, 37807 votes, 6506 vote spread
2006 - Granholm 54.21%, DeVos 44.62%, 31205 votes, -2990 votes
2008 - Obama 49.52%, McCain 48.83%, 40394 votes, -279 votes

Ingham County (all)
2000 - Gore 57.41%, Bush 39.23%, 120595 votes, -21917 vote spread
2002 - Granholm 60.95%, Posthumus 37.74%, 91,177 votes, -21257 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 57.78%, Bush 41.14%, 133052 votes, -22142 vote spread
2006 - Granholm 66.44%, DeVos 32.69%, 105085 votes, -35783 vote spread
2008 - Obama 65.85%, McCain 32.57%, 142731 votes, -47508 vote spread

Ingham County (Lansing Area - Delhi Twp, East Lansing, Lansing, Meridian Twp)
2000 - Gore 60.54%, Bush 35.98%, 96995 votes, -23830 vote spread
2002 - Granholm 64.19%,  Posthumus 34.44%, 71895 votes, -21388 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 61.84%, Bush 37.05%, 106197 votes, -26320 vote spread
2006 - Granholm 69.94%, DeVos 28.91%, 82260 votes, -33748 spread
2008 - Obama 69.88%, McCain 28.59%, 114,999 votes, -47487 spread

Ingham County (Rest of the County)
2000 - Bush 52.63%, Gore 44.65%, 23600 votes, 1913 vote spread
2002 - Posthumus 50.07%, Granholm 48.87%, 19282 votes, 231 vote spread
2004 - Bush 57.30%, Kerry 41.74%, 26855 votes, 4178 vote spread
2006 - Granholm 53.84%, DeVos 44.92%, 22825 votes, -2035 vote spread
2008 - Obama 49.18%, McCain 49.10%, 27732 votes, -21 vote spread


Livingston County
2000 - Bush 59.16%, Gore 38.13%, 75449 votes, 15869 vote spread
2002 - Posthumus 61.85%, Granholm 37.10%, 59321 votes, 14684 vote spread
2004 - Bush 62.76%, Kerry 36.31%, 92194 votes, 24385 vote spread
2006 - DeVos 57.05%, Granholm 41.55%, 77989 votes, 12089 vote spread
2008 - McCain 55.60%, Obama 42.66%, 106165 votes, 13737 vote spread

Oakland County (portion in 8th)
2000 - Bush 58.67%, Gore 38.37%, 63207 votes, 12835 vote spread
2002 - Posthumus 60.93%, Granholm 37.78%, 49003 votes, 11345 vote spread
2004 - Bush 61.95%, Kerry 36.93%, 75669 votes, 18937 vote spread
2006 - DeVos 58.11%, Granholm 40.29%, 61726 votes, 10995 vote spread
2008 - McCain 55.03%, Obama 43.10%, 78005 votes, 9304 vote spread

Shiawassee County (portion in 8th)
2000 - Bush 50.71%, Gore 46.48%, 15243 votes, 645 vote spread.
2002 - Posthumus 52.34, Granholm 46.31%, 11925 votes, 719 vote spread
2004 - Bush 55.18%, Kerry 43.79%, 17683 votes, 2009 vote spread
2006 - Granholm 54.64%, DeVos 43.84%, 14504 votes, -1567 vote spread
2008 - Obama 50.59%, McCain 47.27%, 17739 votes, -590 vote spread

Why do I keep mentioning Clinton County? Because that's the big key if we're going to God-forbid lose this district. Shiawassee County is key as well, but it's smaller. In the first three elections, Livingston and the Oakland county portions carried the day. They almost mirrored one another in their votes, with Livingston 1% or so ahead. Clinton county showed the most competitiveness, for a few reasons. An established party that didn't seem scared (from my perception), until 2006 and moreso in 2008. Somewhat like Livingston County post Joe Ellis/Joe Richards. I'll be shocked if 96/98 didn't scare some people here. I wasn't active during those years, coming on board in late 01 (I was independent before then).

In Clinton, the big change is East Lansing growing northward into Bath Twp. Most of the new democrat spread is in the student apartment building precinct. In fact East Lansing has been annexing land there. DeWitt (city and Twp) has had competitive streaks more in gubernatorial years. The question is whether it is an aberattion or not. DeWitt and St Johns (many commuters to Lansing - reminds me a bit of Williamston) are tough to read. I don't think East Lansing is moving to DeWitt. 2010 and 2012 will be telling there. The good news there is that the party there is getting well organized, and had a couple of comebacks, and should be ready for one in 2012.


Ingham County is a democrat stronghold, 4th biggest in the state. The big keys here is to try and offset the Lansing/East Lansing  firewall by winning the rural areas, Mason, Holt (Delhi Twp), and splitting Meridian Twp if possible. (Haslett area may be winnable, Okemos is much more difficult - East Lansing East). The best that can be done after that is by reducing the margins of loss in Lansing and East Lansing. If the dems are forced to compete in Lansing or East Lansing, it's already over.

In Livingston, I  do remember a scare in 02 that turned out to be unfounded when the results came in. We limped in 06 and got lucky for several reasons that I won't get into. In 08 we were scared, but organized and ran the best local based campaign in quite some time, even picking up a couple of seats, and not losing any of them.(although I believe one republican lost re-election to another republican in the general in a trustee race as the democrat survived). 06 and 08 were rough across the board. I do have some concerns here. The cities of Howell and Brighton have had some blue streaks in the past, and seem to be doing so again. Most of them are in the "apartment" precincts. The question is whether it is 06/08 anger, or not. One precinct in Brighton isn't just 06/08. One Howell precinct is historically been a bit blue. I'd actually overall consider the cities themselves Howell more liberal (socially) than Brighton (more socially libertarian and business oriented where that stuff usually just doesn't come up), although party votes are about the same. I have my theories on that, but don't want to wave the bloody shirt, even inadvertently.

Putnam and Unadilla Twps have actually moved more to the right. They didn't flip in 06 or 08, although it was close. They are the most historically democrat areas in the county and still are very populist. The last democrat county commissioner was from that area. Both current democrat officials (partisan elected, not nonpartisan elected) are there as well. Green Oak and Hamburg always need to be watched. Green Oak has gone democrat in the past, and also has the most democrat precinct in the county (up AND down the ticket). Hamburg may or may not have gone democrat, but even if it hasn't, is in major danger because of local dumbassness (if that isn't a word, it should be). Hamburg and Green Oak are also the closest to Ann Arbor. That alone gets my guard up.I'm not counting sacrificial lamb races like the Levin races in 02/08 (where he lost the county narrowly). Those are aberrations like Mike Rogers in 2002 against McAlpine winning Lansing. 2010/2012 will be key. What does need to happen is to stop the bleeding we do have, and go back to winning with at least 62% - and not just with Mike Rogers.

North Oakland tends to nearly mirror Livingston County. The numbers there are very similar, more than I thought. Usually within 1 percent.

Shiawassee County has always been competitive at the top of the ticket. The local races and state rep races always seem close here. That's not new. It will continue to be important in all elections.

The Farm Club has some strong republicans and strong democrats. The Oakland County portion of the 8th is split within several state senate districts.

State Senate 33rd - Covers Clinton, Ionia, Isabella, and Montcalm Counties. This is a potentially competitive district now that the dems are competitive in Clinton and Montcalm counties. Isabella County has gone more and more blue with Central Michigan (Cropsey won it in 02, lost it in 06), so this can be one to watch. Alan Cropsey is termed out. He's from Clinton County in the 8th District. Isabella and Montcalm Counties are in the 4th.

St Senate 33rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Cropsey/White	49687	40771	1978	92,436	8916	53.75%	44.11%	9.65%
02 - Cropsey/Munsell	45487	26800	2076	74,363	18687	61.17%	36.04%	25.13%

St Senate 26th - Covers Atlas Twp, City of Burton, City of Clio, City of Davison, Davison Twp, Forest Twp, City of Grand Blanc, Grand Blanc Twp, City of Mt. Morris, Mt Morris Twp, Richfield Twp, Thetford Twp, and Vienna Twp in Genesee County. Covers Brandon Twp, Groveland Twp, Springfield Twp, and Waterford Twp in Oakland County. This one caught a lot of people offguard. It was created for Deb Cherry, who ran for the open seat in 2002 to replace her brother John. Everyone assumed it would be an easy race, probably with numbers similar to Emerson. Her opponent was John Muller, who was treated  as a sacrificial lamb. Muller won everywhere in Oakland outside of Waterford which his narrowly lost. He won Atlas Twp and almost took the city of Grand Blanc. In the end, it was a 55-45% race. 06 was well, 06, and this seat really wasn't that strongly contested. 2010 is another story. Deb Cherry is termed out. John Cherry I believe is also termed out. This seat is winnable for the GOP. Kerry won it by less than 1 percent in 2004. Dave Robertson of Grand Blanc is running for the GOP and has my support. Robertson worked hard at three tough races in his old district. Tough races are not new for him.

St Senate 26th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Seiferlein/Cherry	41445	65771		107,216	-24326	38.66%	61.34%	-22.69%
02 - Muller/Cherry	37852	47848		85,700	-9996	44.17%	55.83%	-11.66%

St Senate 23 - Covers Alaiedon Twp, Aurelius Twp, Delhi Twp, City of East Lansing, Ingham Twp, City of Lansing, Lansing Twp, Leroy Twp, Locke Twp, Meridian Twp, Onondaga Twp, Wheatfield Twp, White Oak Twp, City of Williamston, and Williamstown Twp. This is a solidly democrat district that gave us Debbie Stabenow (before she was in Congress), Dianne Byrum, Virg Bernero, and now Gretchen Whitmer. It will be an open seat as Whitmer (D-Blue Cross) is running for Attorney General.

St Senate 23rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Lambert/Whitmer	27931	64404		92,335	-36473	30.25%	69.75%	-39.50%
02 - DeWeese/Bernero	38581	44136		82,717	-5555	46.64%	53.36%	-6.72%

St Senate 22 - Covers Livingston County, Shiawassee County, and Bunker Hill Twp, City of Leslie, Leslie Twp, City of Mason, Stockbridge Twp, and Vevay Twp in Ingham County. This is my current state senate seat. Valde Garcia is termed out after winning three elections, including a 2001 special election to replace now Congressman Mike Rogers. It's an open seat, and Joe Hune is running to replace Garcia. Joe has my support.

St State 22nd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party
06 - Garcia/Anderson	65,790	43,419	2159	111,368	22371	59.07%	38.99%	20.09%
02 - Garcia/Swonk	59,853	27,866		87,719	31987	68.23%	31.77%	36.47%

St Senate 15 - Covers Commerce Twp, Highland Twp, Holly Twp, Lyon Twp, Milford Twp, City of Northville, City of Novi, Novi Twp, Orchard Lake Village, Rose Twp, City of South Lyon, City of Walled Lake, West Bloomfield Twp, White Lake Twp, and City of Wixom. This is an open seat with Nancy Cassis termed out. She defeat Ray Raczkowski (not to be confused with Rocky) in 2006. I don't know if they are related or not. I didn't ask Rocky.Most of this district is in the 11th or 9th district. It's Republican Leaning, although less so than it once was. I can see headaches if the dems are able to win by a decent number in Commerce Twp, Novi, and Walled Lake and increase their West Bloomfield Stronghold. I don't expect that in 2010 outside of West Bloomfield, but WB is now about 60% democrat. I hope they love their taxes there.....

St. Senate 15th	GOP	Dem
06 - Cassis/R.Razckowski	66,524	45,782	3101	115,407	20742	57.64%	39.67%	17.97%
02 - Cassis/Carlson	57,583	35,305	2340	95,228	22278	60.47%	37.07%	23.39%

St Senate 12 - Covers Addison Twp, City of Auburn Hills, City of Clarkston, Independence Twp, City of Keego Harbor, City of Lake Angelus, Oakland Twp, Orion Twp, Oxford Twp, City of Pontiac, City of Rochester, City of Rochester Hills, City of Sylvan Lake, and less than a precinct of West Bloomfield. This district is split between the 8th and 9th. Mike Bishop is termed out and running for Attorney General. Slightly Republican leaning, but anything with Pontiac and Auburn Hills is dangerous, because a turnout war can do what Obama did in the 8th Congressional. Luckily Rochester Hills doesn't go for Pontiac types of democrats (union/populist). It's an open seat in 2010. 

St Senate 12th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
06 - Bishop/Barrera	59,498	43,069	3048	105,615	16429	56.33%	40.78%	15.56%
02 - Bishop/Werth	54,569	32,412		86,981	22157	62.74%	37.26%	25.47%

St Rep 93rd   - Covers most of Clinton County and all of Gratiot County. While Clinton County made a gigantic blue shift in 2008, the biggest shift was in the portion in the 85th district which is a major cause of concern. The rest of the shift is smaller, but still a cause of concern in the 93rd. It shifted for three reasons. 1. MSU. Students are now living in Clinton County and going to MSU. That is due partly to East Lansing annexation, but more due to apartment buildings going up in the southern portion of Bath Twp. Bush won Bath Township in 2000. He lost Bath Twp in 2004, but kept Kerry under 50%. It was a 3 vote margin. In 2008, Obama won Clinton County as a whole by 279 votes. He won Bath Township by 936 votes, and East Lansing (in Clinton County) by 354 votes. That's the difference between the normal 08 blue shift, and the major shift like Isabella County. Reason 2. Government workers. Clinton County is a Lansing/East Lansing commuter county. Reason 3. Clinton GOP took the county for granted. Most of Clinton County is in the 8th district, so I am quite familiar with it. It's been GOP for years, so people assumed it would always be that way. Wrong. Luckily, the results woke them up, and Bath Twp especially. I wish I knew more about Gratiot County, but I suspect Alma College was the reason for the shift there.

Paul Opsommer is the rep for the district. He won relatively easily in 06 and 08 considering the state's recent election patterns in Clinton County. The good news is that Bath is not in this district. Part of the East Lansing precinct is. Opsommer's only 08 loss was in East Lansing. No republicans win there. DuPlain Twp was close however, although it was close in 00 and 04 for Bush too. It's in the Northeast Corner of Clinton County. In 2006, it was closer (Clinton County is more democrat in gubernatorial years due to state workers). DuPlain, East Lansing went Dem in Clinton. In Gratiot, Alma, StLouis, and Sumner went Dem.

St Rep 93rd	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Opsommer/McComb	26,515	17,957	1356	45,828	8558	57.86%	39.18%	18.67%
06 - Opsommer/McComb	20,700	16,049		36,749	4651	56.33%	43.67%	12.66%
04 - Hummel/Birchman	29,138	14,606		43,744	14532	66.61%	33.39%	33.22%
02 - Hummel/Lott	20,278	10,026		30,304	10252	66.92%	33.08%	33.83%

St rep 85th - Covers all of Shiawassee County and Bath, Ovid, and Victor Twps in Clinton County. This is going to be the big barnburner race in 2010, like it is every time it opens up. This district was held by a populist democrat for 20 years before term limits. Larry Julian won a similar district in 1998 for Republicans by 351 votes. It opened up in 2004, a GOP year in Shiawassee County, and Richard Ball won it by 3000 votes. It's open again in 2010, and the bad news is that Clinton County portions (specificaly Bath and part of East Lansing) in this district no longer help the GOP. It's up to the always unpredictable Shiawassee County. In 04, I was starting to think that Shiawassee may be moving in Livingston County's direction since 53% was a big number then. Then came 06 and 08. Shiawassee County is as competitive as it always was. It's not what I'd call a liberal area socially, but it is populist. In 08, Ball won his last term against Judy Ford. He lost East Lansing and Bath in 06 and 08. (Won Bath in 04, lost East Lansing). By percentage, Ball won Shiawassee County more than Clinton County in 2008.

St Rep 85th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Ball/Ford	23,591	19,691	1369	44,651	3900	52.83%	44.10%	8.73%
06 - Ball/Ford	19,731	15,907		35,638	3824	55.37%	44.63%	10.73%
04 - Ball/Powers	23,191	20,011	830	44,032	3180	52.67%	45.45%	7.22%
02 - Julian/Kregger	18,234	11,306	549	30,089	6928	60.60%	37.58%	23.03%

St Rep 69 - Covers the City of East Lansing, Meridian Twp, and Williamstown Twp in Ingham County. This was a seat the Republicans thought they had in 2000, but there's too much blue in East Lansing, and Meridian Twp to make this anything but a long shot race. Who know though, if Massachusetts senate race is competitive, this one can be in the right year with the right candidate. This seat is currently held by Mark Meadows, and before that Gretchen Whitmer, Laura Baird, and Lynn Jondahl (for 20 yrs?). This has been blue a long time.

St Rep 69th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Lambert/Meadows	13,806	30,981		44,787	-17175	30.83%	69.17%	-38.35%
06 - Knowles/Meadows	10,485	21,965		32,450	-11480	32.31%	67.69%	-35.38%
04 - Lindsay/Whitmer	14,037	26,828		40,865	-12791	34.35%	65.65%	-31.30%
02 - Ward/Whitmer	10,783	18,002		28,785	-7219	37.46%	62.54%	-25.08%

St Rep 68 - Covers most of the City of Lansing and Lansing Twp in Ingham County - This has been democrat as long as I've followed this district. Joan Bauer has it now. Before that, Mike Murphy (not Livingston's Murphy), Lynne Martinez, and Dave Hollister (most known as Lansing's former mayor). 

St Rep 68th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Irons/Bauer	8,394	32,282	867	41,543	-23888	20.21%	77.71%	-57.50%
06 - Sorovigas/Bauer	6,075	22,833	1817	30,725	-16758	19.77%	74.31%	-54.54%
04 - Harm/Murphy	11,550	27,455	886	39,891	-15905	28.95%	68.83%	-39.87%
02 - Havis/Murphy	8,167	18,824	575	27,566	-10657	29.63%	68.29%	-38.66%

St Rep 67 - Covers Alaiedon Twp, Aurelius Twp, Bunker Hill Twp, Delhi Twp, Ingham Twp, Part of the City of Lansing (South Lansing), Leroy Twp, City of Leslie, Locke Twp, City of Mason, Onondaga Twp, Stockbridge Twp, Vevay Twp, Wheatfield Twp, White Oak Twp, City of Williamston, and a very small portion of Williamstown Twp. This was intended to be a swing district in 2002, as a combination of the Paul DeWeese and Lingg Brewer/Virg Bernero seats, but it didn't work out as planned. Dianne Byrum was termed out as state senator, and jumped in the state rep district, with her daughter Barb following. This seat has been Byrum held since 2002. 

St Rep 67th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Herter/B. Byrum	16,800	30,717	1347	48,864	-13917	34.38%	62.86%	-28.48%
06 - Vickers/B. Byrum	15,440	22,840		38,280	-7400	40.33%	59.67%	-19.33%
04 - Chandler/D. Byrum	21,205	25,709		46,914	-4504	45.20%	54.80%	-9.60%
02 - Vickers/D. Byrum	13,331	19,138		32,469	-5807	41.06%	58.94%	-17.88%

St Rep 66 - Covers City of Brighton, Brighton Twp, Genoa Twp, Green Oak Twp, Marion Twp, and Oceola Twp in Livingston County, along with Milford Twp in Oakland County. Solidly Republican. Bill Rogers, former county commissioner, is the current representative winning an open seat in 2008 against Donna Anderson. Before Bill had the district, it was held by Chris Ward, Judie Scranton, and Susan Munsell. The election here is usually the primary.

St Rep 66th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - B.Rogers/Anderson	32,138	19,146	2020	53,304	12992	60.29%	35.92%	24.37%
06 - Ward/McGonegal	27,774	14,472		42,246	13302	65.74%	34.26%	31.49%
04 - Ward/Block	35,623	14,432		50,055	21191	71.17%	28.83%	42.34%
02 - Ward/Block	23,599	8,826		32,425	14773	72.78%	27.22%	45.56%

St Rep 47 - Covers Cohoctah Twp, Conway Twp, Deerfield Twp, Hamburg Twp, Handy Twp, Hartland Twp, City of Howell, Howell Twp, Iosco Twp, Putnam Twp, Tyrone Twp, and Unadilla Twp in Livingston County. Cindy Denby is the current Rep for this district, replacing Joe Hune who was term limited in 2008. Cindy was Handy Twp Supervisor beforehand, and also Joe Hune's chief of staff when he was representative. This seat was created from part of the old Paul DeWeese seat as well as part of the old Scranton seat which was shrunk due to population growth in the county. It, much like it's neighbor the 66th, is solidly republican. 

St Rep 47th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Denby/Lucas	27,851	17,059	2276	47,186	10792	59.02%	36.15%	22.87%
06 - Hune/Andersson	23,485	14,663		38,148	8822	61.56%	38.44%	23.13%
04 - Hune/Senkowski	32,160	13,248		45,408	18912	70.82%	29.18%	41.65%
02 - Hune/McGivney	19,990	9,043		29,033	10947	68.85%	31.15%	37.71%

St Rep 46 - Covers Addison Twp, Brandon Twp, Groveland Twp, Holly Twp, Orion Twp, Oxford Twp, and Rose Twp in Oakland County. This is one of the most Republican seats in Oakland County.

St Rep 46th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - Marleau/Houston	29,257	19,042		48,299	10215	60.57%	39.43%	21.15%
06 - Marleau/Pearson	23,744	15,197		38,941	8547	60.97%	39.03%	21.95%
04 - Marleau/Myslakowski	30,064	17,593		47,657	12471	63.08%	36.92%	26.17%
02 - Johnson/Reading	21,582	8,866		30,448	12716	70.88%	29.12%	41.76%

St Rep 44 - City of Clarkston, Highland Twp, Independence Twp, Springfield Twp, and White Lake Twp in Oakland County. This is probably the most republican seat in Oakland County.

St Rep 44th	GOP	Dem	3rd Party	Total	Diff.	GOP%	Dem%	Diff%
08 - E.Kowall/Venie	33,266	16,683		49,949	16583	66.60%	33.40%	33.20%
06 - Stakoe/Venie	27,124	13,264		40,388	13860	67.16%	32.84%	34.32%
04 - Stakoe/Scrase	33,596	14,498	1400	49,494	19098	67.88%	29.29%	38.59%
02 - Stakoe/Bryan	22,788	9,748		32,536	13040	70.04%	29.96%	40.08%

Overall, this is a district of contrasts. What makes it difficult is that there is every type of area in this district. Republican strongholds, Democrat strongholds, populist swing areas, state worker independents, union areas, rich liberal areas, business conservatives, rural conservatives, religious conservatives, NRA voters, Right to life, business conservatives, libertarians. You name it, and it can be found in the 8th district. The best candidates for districts like this is one that can walk the balancing act and unite the base, without alienating the independents. Mike Rogers has done the best of all the candidates in doing so, and that's why he survived 2006 and 2008.