Saturday, January 28, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 69 (HD-69)

State House - District 69
Current Rep - Mark Meadows (D-East Lansing) - Termed out

Candidates:
GOP - Susan McGillicuddy (R-Okemos)
DEM - Sam Singh (D-East Lansing)

Update 5-27-2012 - Meadows is out, but the dems have a strong candidate in Sam Singh. McGillicuddy has won before in Meridian Twp, but the only chance we have against this is the perfect storm of cleaning up the rural areas, winning Meridian by a good number, and East Lansing staying home. The only way Lynn Jondahl's seat flips is in a 1994 type of year, and even Laura Baird took the seat that year.

Update 8-30-2012 - Singh and McGillicuddy are the primary winners.

Old District (69th)
Mark Meadows - 16,782
Susan McGillicuddy - 10452

This district covered East Lansing, Okemos, and Williamstown Twp has been democrat for years. This district picks up Locke Twp but otherwise stays the same. It was Lynn Jondahl's district for about 20 years, then succeeded by Laura Baird, Gretchen Whitmer, and now Mark Meadows. It was supposedly competitive in 1998 and 2000, but I don't think it was that winnable even before East Lansing and next door Meridian Twp (Okemos/Haslett) got even bluer than it was. Meridian Twp is no longer competitive, and Williamstown Twp is now competitive. Government Workers and MSU dominate this district, and it's safe and will continue to be so for the dems barring surprises.



McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
East Lansing 5376 17179 22555 -11803 23.84% 76.16% -52.33%
Locke Twp 549 471 1020 78 53.82% 46.18% 7.65%
Meridian Twp 8080 14288 22368 -6208 36.12% 63.88% -27.75%
Williamstown Twp 1582 1653 3235 -71 48.90% 51.10% -2.19%
Total 15587 33591 49178 -18004 31.70% 68.30% -36.61%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
East Lansing 5119 12647 17766 -7528 28.81% 71.19% -42.37%
Locke Twp 657 361 1018 296 64.54% 35.46% 29.08%
Meridian Twp 9589 12378 21967 -2789 43.65% 56.35% -12.70%
Williamstown Twp 1824 1373 3197 451 57.05% 42.95% 14.11%
Total 17189 26759 43948 -9570 39.11% 60.89% -21.78%








Last St House GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
East Lansing 2475 6566 9041 -4091 27.38% 72.62% -45.25%
Locke Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Meridian Twp 6612 8992 15604 -2380 42.37% 57.63% -15.25%
Williamstown Twp 1365 1224 2589 141 52.72% 47.28% 5.45%
Total 10452 16782 27234 -6330 38.38% 61.62% -23.24%

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