Sunday, October 11, 2009

Washington Establishment gets right hook

Politico has a great article today that leads to this long editorial.

I've said for almost four years that the Republican Party is at a crossroads, mainly due to fiscal issues. It can follow the lead of the Republican Study Committee, Mike Pence, Jim DeMint, and Jeb Hensarling in its opposition to deficit spending, or it can follow the lead of Ted Stevens, George W Bush, and Charlie Crist in their support for big spending policies. The choice made here, will determine whether the GOP can take the house back in 2010, and the senate back in 2012 or 2014. It will also determine if Obama will be a one-termer. The bailout in 2008 turned the election from a close race to an ass kicking. The fiscal policies in 2006 caused an ass kicking. Democrat-lite policies from the GOP do not work. Why vote for democrat-lite when the real thing is always available.

While I understand that what works in one community does not always work in another, basic principles should always apply, and that they should be less government and more freedom.

Many in the GOP are starting to get that message again with Obama's radical leftism, Mike Pence having a more visible role, Ted Stevens being defeated, and George W Bush being gone. Starting being the operative word. There's still a lot of trust that needs to be earned, and nobody trusts the government right now. That's why we have the tea parties. That's why the calls are flooding the offices. That's why people are involved in politics who have not been involved.

Speaking of fiscal conservatism and tea parties, they aren't GOP. They are conservative. There's a difference, and people are getting right hooked by it. Florida Governor and senate candidate Charlie Crist is a big example. He was at the Mackinac Conference and probably wants to run for president someday. I was real tempted to get a big banner up there that said "Marco Rubio for Senate." Marco Rubio is Charlie Crist's opponent in the primary. Rubio has one of my favorite quotes. “If you are unhappy with the Republican establishment, then let’s get a new establishment.” Right now, we're in the process there in Washington. The DC insiders don't support Rubio, but that's changing. Rubio called out Crist and rightly so in the magazine Human Events.

The only enduring legacy of this stimulus will be the deficit it’s left us with,” Rubio said. “I don’t care how much money he raises — he will never convince Florida Republicans that the stimulus package and his embrace of it, and his campaigning in favor of it — hand in hand with the president — was a good thing for Florida, a good thing for their children, or a good thing for our country”

Rubio is frank in his assessment of why Crist went along with the stimulus at the time: Obama was popular.

“I think he supported the stimulus package because Barack Obama was popular at the time, and I think he supported it because he didn’t want to have a budget session in Tallahassee where he had to make difficult decisions — which, quite frankly, is reflective of everything that’s wrong in American politics today,” Rubio said. “We have too many people that just want to be popular.”


Right on the nose. That is also a big reason why I NEVER donate to the NRSC or NRCC. Those two groups pick and choose establishment candidates and fund them, even in primaries.

In 2005, the NRSC ran negative ads against Steve Laffey who ran against RINO Lincoln Chafee. Chafee got the establishment GOP support and won the primary. He still lost in the general in 2006. The NRSC spent money meant to support republicans, not fight them.

In 2009, the NRSC endorsed big spending Arlen Specter for re-election. Specter is now a democrat because the grassroots republicans had enough of him. Pat Toomey for senate. Toomey is an electable (won three times in a district that went for Gore and Kerry) conservative who can win a tough state like Pennsylvania.

Also this year, the NRSC said they would stay out of the Florida open primary, changed their mind, and supported Charlie Crist. My response? Rubio for senate.

The NRCC isn't much better. In Arizona, they flodded a district with money in an open primary for a candidate that lost. Wasted money.

Those are reasons why I don't give money to the establishment committees. If you plan on donating, the best way to go is to individual candidates, like Rubio, Toomey, Pence, DeMint, etc. Cut out the middleman.

That leads to the Politico article today which was very interesting. Tea partiers turn on GOP leadership. I wouldn't say, "turned" on GOP leadership. Most of the tea partiers I know and talked to never liked the GOP leadership anyway. This is grass roots. These aren't followers, but they chose their own paths. If you give them a big spending republican, they will get opposed just like an Obama democrat.

“It’s an outgrowth of the frustration people have had with the Republican Party,” said Andrew Moylan, director of governmental affairs for the National Taxpayers Union, another group that has played a large role in organizing the tea party movement. “I think a lot of people have been angry at Republicans for betraying our trust.”

“I think the GOP establishment has ignored their constituents and the feelings of their constituents for years,” added Meckler.

It’s an unusual predicament for the Republican Party, since the conservative-oriented issues that animate Tea Party activists once seemed destined to make the movement a valuable auxiliary to the Republican Party.

While there’s little evidence of tea party activist support for Democratic candidates, the specific notion of electing a GOP majority hasn’t ranked high on their agenda either.


Trust has to be re-earned. This was the major damage done to the GOP after Gingrich and Armey left, and after the arrival of President Bush.

One of those activists, Canyon Clowdus, an Army veteran who is taking on third term conservative Rep. Michael Conaway (R-Texas), has blasted the incumbent for making “a horrible mistake” in voting for Troubled Asset Relief Program.

“He has put a financial burden on my four children that will amount to hundreds of thousands of dollars each,” Clowdus says of Conaway on his campaign website.

“I think it was a bad, bad political decision,” Armey said of the 34 Senate Republicans and 91 House Republicans who voted for the TARP bailout, “and if you talk to grassroots activists, it has become a political test for them.”

Moylan agreed that TARP is “really kind of the flash point that started all of this.”


The bailout, supported and OWNED by Obama, Bush, and McCain. The stimulus package. Cap and trade. One after another. ALL of it is bad. Pete Hoekstra has mostly a good record, but he voted for the bailout the second time it was in the house. I can't get past that, and it cost him a chance at my primary vote (I'm supporting Mike Cox) for governor. Hoekstra's a good guy, but on fiscal issues that are tough decisions, I now have big doubts about his ability to handle pressure.

More:
For some, supporting insurgent campaigns or waging primary bids just isn’t a strong enough signal to send to a Republican Party that has abandoned core conservative policies.

Erick Erickson, founder and editor of the influential conservative blog RedState, has urged Tea Party activists to “put down the protest signs” and stage takeovers of local Republican parties.

“Grassroots activists need to start infiltrating the party,” said Erickson. “The only way to start getting [the establishment] back is to start pounding them with every fist we have.”


While I'm more judicious with the fists and pound them when I must, I don't believe in fighting blind. Know the rules of the game and use them to your advantage. I agree with the general premise, which goes to Rubio's comment about getting a new establishment.

In Michigan, our GOP committees are elected. It starts with precinct delegates. There are also usually more openings than spots filled for this position. That is an elected position in the August primary election. I've run for the position, and won every single time without even running a campaign. The primary job of the precinct delegates is to seat people at the state convention and elect people to the county executive committee. It's relatively easy, at least here, to seat people at state convention. I've been a state delegate every time I wanted to be. State delegates vote on district committee (where I currently serve), state committee, state chair/vice chairs, RNC committeeman, and candidates for some offices on the November ballot, including Attorney General, Supreme Court, and Secretary of State. It's a big deal. Those are the rules of the game, and also remember this. Washington establishment is the big problem. Many, many, mid and low level establishment figures in the GOP away from Washington are good friends of fiscal conservatism. Not everyone in the party is a RINO.

I don't know how it works in states besides Michigan, but if people really want to make a change on spending issues, it starts with getting involved long term. If you are a conservative and an old style 1994 Republican, get involved. It's your party as much as it is mine. Work hard, but most importantly, work smart. That's how to get a new establishment, and how to LAND a right hook against the Washington establishment instead of a swing and a miss.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Rocky for Congress - 9th District

We have some good news in the 9th District. Rocky Raczkowski is running against Gary Peters. Rocky's a good candidate who has a history of winning tough races. He won three times in Farmington Hills against democrats in a democrat leaning district won by Gore, Kerry, and Obama. He even beat Aldo Vagnozzi, who later won the district three times himself.

I was at the Rocky announcement today in Oakland County. The turnout surprised me. I saw roughly 250 people there, on a Saturday morning, less than an hour before a football game. A lot of the people I talked to there wern't the people I normally see at Oakland County political events. I'm more familiar with NORC, but a lot of people there are just now getting politically active. They are unhappy with the job Washington is doing, including Gary Peters, who supports retroactive tax increases, stimulus packages that only help government, bailouts, cap and trade, and the governmental health care takeover.

Rocky was termed out in 2002 so he wasn't part of the problem in Lansing. The problems came after he left. He ran against Carl Levin in 02 on a shoestring budget and was thrown to the wolves without any party help whatsoever taking one for the team. The most shameful thing about that race was when State Party at the time had the gubenatorial candidate (a good guy) and then the closing remarks, and have Rocky speak after closing. Rocky is a very good speaker, and that should have been used to have Rocky bring up the rest of ticket. Everyone is on the same side, or should be. What happened was unacceptable and I hope to never see that again.

This shouldn't happen here. Rocky's two biggest weaknesses against Levin shouldn't be an issue here. Name recognition and money. Rocky won three times in Farmington Hills, part of the 9th District. His name recognition is little different than Mike Rogers when he ran in 2000 for the open seat. The whole district is in Oakland County. The other weakness is money. Right now with the angry mood of the country and the heavily fiscally left wing approach by both state and federal democrat officials, good candidates, like those who won three times in bluish districts, can raise money. I'm sure Rocky can get some help here against a new incumbent in Peters.

Rocky was going to run in 2006, but dropped out because his country called him to service. Rocky's a Major in the Army Reserves, serving three tours. He just got back home a couple of weeks ago. Welcome Home, Rocky. In addition to his service, he's a business owner as CEO of Star Tickets so he has the business experience as well as his legislative and military experience.

Rocky's website is in the works, and much of it is completed. He's a solid conservative with a good voting record in the state house. He will be a major improvement over the joker in there currently in Peters.

Rocky has my support for Congress.

Friday, October 09, 2009

Bad company, that they can't deny. Bad Bad Company, till the day they die

To paraphrase Paul Rodgers, Bad Company. That's what the Nobel Peace Prize is these days. It is no longer about world peace, but world leftism. It is what it is.

2009 - Mr. Obama. His qualifications. Four Years in the US Senate and one year as the resident of the oval office. It was a grade many say was on "potential." The whole Obama campaign was "Yes we can" but the reality is "done jack squat."

2007 - Al Gore for his crusade in destroying the economy in the name of global warming.

2002 - Jimmy Carter, the worst president in my lifetime, and who is a major CAUSE of the problems in the middle east. (Iran) Ask Israel what they think of Carter.

2001 - The UN and Kofi Annan. The UN increasingly wants to control internal matters within countries, with the Kyoto and Small Arms treaties. What's peaceful about outsiders running our country?

1994 - Yasser Arafat. A Terrorist.

What's next. The ghost of Kurt Waldheim, former secretary of the UN?

On the other side of things, Mohandas K Ghandi is not on the list of winners.

So Congratulations to Mr. Obama. You're in bad company.

Thursday, October 08, 2009

Livingston County Takes on Blue Cross

From the Argus.

Livingston County has hired an attorney firm to take legal action and recoup an estimated $500,000 to $1 million in alleged overcharges from Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan.
Advertisement

County Commissioner Dave Domas said the county board recently voted to take the step after it was unable to resolve the improper fee charges with its health insurance provider.

"The county had some discussions (with Blue Cross), and those discussions were fruitless," he said.

Domas said he's confident the county will prevail in getting a refund for the charges. If the county is successful, he said the insurer will likely provide credit for future services instead of actually paying back the money.

"It belongs to the people of Livingston County, and it's going to come back where it belongs," Domas said.

He said other counties have encountered a similar issue with Blue Cross, taken legal action and been "successful in getting a refund from Blue Cross for these overcharges."

The county has hired the Troy-based law firm of Giarmarco, Mullins and Collins to handle the issue. Under the agreement, the law firm will receive 25 percent of the amount recovered and will be reimbursed up to $60,000 for legal fees.







Why is this posted here? Because we have an attorney general's race in 2010. The democrat running is Gretchen Whitmer, a state senator from East Lansing. She's the daughter of former Blue Cross CEO Dick Whitmer. Whitmer is an heir of Blue Cross and owes much of her financial situation to them. Is she going to be tough on Blue Cross? I doubt it.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Roll Call on Tax votes. Who voted what.

Tim Bledsoe and Dan Scripps voted for some, not all of the taxes. They are still tax raisers and need to be treated as such election time. Don't let them have things both ways.

HB5352 - Income Tax increase

Voting Yes:
Kathy Angerer (D) - Monroe County
Fred Durhal (D) - Detroit
Richard LeBlanc (D) - Westland
Roy Schmidt (D) - Grand Rapids
Vicki Barnett (D) - Farmington Hills
Kate Ebli (D) - Monroe
Gabe Leland (D) - Detroit
Bette Scott (D) - Detroit
Joan Bauer (D) - Lansing
John Espinoza (D) - Croswell
Lamar Lemmons (D) - Detroit
Joel Sheltrown (D) - Ogemaw County?
Doug Bennett (D) - Muskegon
Doug Geiss (D) - Taylor
Steve Lindberg (D) - UP
Mike Simpson (D) - Jackson County
Terry Brown (D) - Thumb
Lee Gonzales (D) - Flint/Suburbs
Ellen Cogan Lipton (D) - Oakland County
Jim Slezak (D) - Genesee County
Pam Byrnes (D) - Chelsea
Vincent Gregory (D) - Southfield
Lesia Liss (D) - Macomb County
Alma Smith (D) - Ypsi
Barb Byrum (D) - Ingham County
Marty Griffin (D) - Candidate for State Senate, Jackson
Jeff Mayes (D) - Bay City
Dudley Spade (D) - Adrian
Ed Clemente (D) - Downriver
Richard Hammel (D) - Genessee County
Gary McDowell (D) - Rudyard
Woodrow Stanley (D) - Flint
Bob Constan (D) - Downriver
Harold Haugh (D) - Macomb County
Mark Meadows (D) - East Lansing
Jon Switalski (D) - Macomb County
Marc Corriveau (D) - Plymouth
Shanelle Jackson (D) - Detroit
Tim Melton (D) - Auburn Hills
Rashida Tlaib (D) - Detroit
Andy Coulouris (D) - Saginaw
Bert Johnson (D) - Detroit
Fred Miller (D) - Macomb County
Mary Valentine (D) - Muskegon County
George Cushingberry (D) - Detroit
Robert Jones (D) - Kalamazoo
David Nathan (D) - Detroit
Rebekah Warren (D) - Ann Arbor
Robert Dean (D) - Grand Rapids
Andrew Kandrevas (D) - Southgate
Andy Neumann (D) - Alpena
Jimmy Womack (D) - Detroit
Andy Dillon (D) - Redford
Deb Kennedy (D) - Downriver
Gino Polidori (D) - Dearborn
Coleman Young Jr (D) - Detroit
Marie Donigan (D) - Royal Oak
Mike Lahti (D) - UP

Voting NO
Dave Agema (R) - Kent County
Kevin Elsenheimer - Bellaire?
Ken Kurtz (R) - Coldwater
Sarah Roberts (D) - St Clair Shores
Justim Amash (R) - Kent County
Bob Genetski (R) - Allegan County
Matt Lori (R) - Constantine
Tory Rocca (R) - Sterling Heights
Richard Ball (R) - Shiawassee County
Kevin Green (R) - Kent County
Pete Lund (R) - Macomb County
Bill Rogers (R) - Brighton
Tim Bledsoe (D) - Grosse Pointe
Jennifer Haase (D) - Macomb County
Jim Marleau (R) - Oakland County
Wayne Schmidt (R) - Traverse City
Jace Bolger (R) - Marshall
Gail Haines (R) - Waterford
Tom McMillan (R) - Oakland County
Tonya Schuitmaker (R) - Paw Paw
Darwin Booher (R) - Evart
Goeff Hansen (R) - Hart
Arken Meekhof (R) - West Olive
Paul Scott (R) - Grand Blanc
Lisa Brown (D) - West Bloomfield
Joseph Haveman (R) - Holland
Kim Meltzer (R) - Macomb County
Dan Scripps (D) - Leelanau
Brian Calley (R) - Barry County
Dave Hildenbrand (R) - Kent County
Tim Moore (R) - Farwell
Kate Segal (D) - Battle Creek
Bill Caul (R) - Mt Pleasant
Ken Horn (R) - Saginaw County
Chuck Moss (R) - Oakland County
Dian Slavens (D) - Canton
Hugh Crawford (R) - Novi
Mike Huckleberry (D) - Greenville
Paul Opsommer (R) - Clinton County
Jim Stamas (R) - Midland
Kevin Daley (R) - Lum
Rick Jones (R) - Eaton County
Phil Pavlov (R) - St Clair County
Sharon Tyler (R) - Niles
Cindy Denby (R) - Fowlerville
Marty Knollenberg (R) - Troy
Tom Pearce (R) - Rockford
John Walsh (R) - Livonia
Larry DeShazor (R) - Kalamazoo County
Eileen Kowall (R) - Oakland County
John Proos (R) - St. Joseph

------------------
HB5384 - Raises Business Taxes (Same roll call as before, outside of Bledsoe who voted yes)

Kathy Angerer (D) - Monroe County
Fred Durhal (D) - Detroit
Richard LeBlanc (D) - Westland
Roy Schmidt (D) - Grand Rapids
Vicki Barnett (D) - Farmington Hills
Kate Ebli (D) - Monroe
Gabe Leland (D) - Detroit
Bette Scott (D) - Detroit
Joan Bauer (D) - Lansing
John Espinoza (D) - Croswell
Lamar Lemmons (D) - Detroit
Joel Sheltrown (D) - Ogemaw County?
Doug Bennett (D) - Muskegon
Doug Geiss (D) - Taylor
Steve Lindberg (D) - UP
Mike Simpson (D) - Jackson County
Terry Brown (D) - Thumb
Lee Gonzales (D) - Flint/Suburbs
Ellen Cogan Lipton (D) - Oakland County
Jim Slezak (D) - Genesee County
Pam Byrnes (D) - Chelsea
Vincent Gregory (D) - Southfield
Lesia Liss (D) - Macomb County
Alma Smith (D) - Ypsi
Barb Byrum (D) - Ingham County
Marty Griffin (D) - Candidate for State Senate, Jackson
Jeff Mayes (D) - Bay City
Dudley Spade (D) - Adrian
Ed Clemente (D) - Downriver
Richard Hammel (D) - Genessee County
Gary McDowell (D) - Rudyard
Woodrow Stanley (D) - Flint
Bob Constan (D) - Downriver
Harold Haugh (D) - Macomb County
Mark Meadows (D) - East Lansing
Jon Switalski (D) - Macomb County
Marc Corriveau (D) - Plymouth
Shanelle Jackson (D) - Detroit
Tim Melton (D) - Auburn Hills
Rashida Tlaib (D) - Detroit
Andy Coulouris (D) - Saginaw
Bert Johnson (D) - Detroit
Fred Miller (D) - Macomb County
Mary Valentine (D) - Muskegon County
George Cushingberry (D) - Detroit
Robert Jones (D) - Kalamazoo
David Nathan (D) - Detroit
Rebekah Warren (D) - Ann Arbor
Robert Dean (D) - Grand Rapids
Andrew Kandrevas (D) - Southgate
Andy Neumann (D) - Alpena
Jimmy Womack (D) - Detroit
Andy Dillon (D) - Redford
Deb Kennedy (D) - Downriver
Gino Polidori (D) - Dearborn
Coleman Young Jr (D) - Detroit
Marie Donigan (D) - Royal Oak
Mike Lahti (D) - UP
Tim Bledsoe (D) - Grosse Pointe

Voting NO
Dave Agema (R) - Kent County
Kevin Elsenheimer - Bellaire?
Ken Kurtz (R) - Coldwater
Sarah Roberts (D) - St Clair Shores
Justim Amash (R) - Kent County
Bob Genetski (R) - Allegan County
Matt Lori (R) - Constantine
Tory Rocca (R) - Sterling Heights
Richard Ball (R) - Shiawassee County
Kevin Green (R) - Kent County
Pete Lund (R) - Macomb County
Bill Rogers (R) - Brighton

Jennifer Haase (D) - Macomb County
Jim Marleau (R) - Oakland County
Wayne Schmidt (R) - Traverse City
Jace Bolger (R) - Marshall
Gail Haines (R) - Waterford
Tom McMillan (R) - Oakland County
Tonya Schuitmaker (R) - Paw Paw
Darwin Booher (R) - Evart
Goeff Hansen (R) - Hart
Arken Meekhof (R) - West Olive
Paul Scott (R) - Grand Blanc
Lisa Brown (D) - West Bloomfield
Joseph Haveman (R) - Holland
Kim Meltzer (R) - Macomb County
Dan Scripps (D) - Leelanau
Brian Calley (R) - Barry County
Dave Hildenbrand (R) - Kent County
Tim Moore (R) - Farwell
Kate Segal (D) - Battle Creek
Bill Caul (R) - Mt Pleasant
Ken Horn (R) - Saginaw County
Chuck Moss (R) - Oakland County
Dian Slavens (D) - Canton
Hugh Crawford (R) - Novi
Mike Huckleberry (D) - Greenville
Paul Opsommer (R) - Clinton County
Jim Stamas (R) - Midland
Kevin Daley (R) - Lum
Rick Jones (R) - Eaton County
Phil Pavlov (R) - St Clair County
Sharon Tyler (R) - Niles
Cindy Denby (R) - Fowlerville
Marty Knollenberg (R) - Troy
Tom Pearce (R) - Rockford
John Walsh (R) - Livonia
Larry DeShazor (R) - Kalamazoo County
Eileen Kowall (R) - Oakland County
John Proos (R) - St. Joseph

------------------------
The Doctor's Tax - 5386

The following legislators supported 2009 House Bill 5386 (Impose new tax on doctors ):
Angerer (D) Barnett (D) Bauer (D) Bennett (D) Brown, T. (D) Byrnes (D)
Byrum (D) Clemente (D) Constan (D) Corriveau (D) Coulouris (D) Cushingberry (D)
Dean (D) Dillon (D) Donigan (D) Durhal (D) Ebli (D) Espinoza (D)
Geiss (D) Gonzales (D) Gregory (D) Hammel (D) Haugh (D) Jackson (D)
Johnson (D) Jones, Robert (D) Kandrevas (D) Kennedy (D) Lahti (D) Leland (D)
Lemmons (D) Lindberg (D) Lipton (D) Mayes (D) McDowell (D) Meadows (D)
Melton (D) Miller (D) Nathan (D) Neumann (D) Polidori (D) Schmidt, R. (D)
Scott, B. (D) Scripps (D) Sheltrown (D) Simpson (D) Slezak (D) Smith (D)
Spade (D) Stanley (D) Switalski (D) Tlaib (D) Valentine (D) Warren (D)
Womack (D) Young (D)

The following legislators opposed 2009 House Bill 5386 (Impose new tax on doctors ):
Agema (R) Amash (R) Ball (R) Bledsoe (D) Bolger (R) Booher (R)
Brown, L. (D) Calley (R) Caul (R) Crawford (R) Daley (R) Denby (R)
DeShazor (R) Elsenheimer (R) Genetski (R) Green (R) Griffin (D) Haase (D)
Hansen (R) Haveman (R) Hildenbrand (R) Horn (R) Huckleberry (D) Jones, Rick (R)
Knollenberg (R) Kowall (R) Kurtz (R) LeBlanc (D) Liss (D) Lori (R)
Lund (R) Marleau (R) McMillin (R) Meekhof (R) Meltzer (R) Moore (R)
Moss (R) Opsommer (R) Pavlov (R) Pearce (R) Proos (R) Roberts (D)
Rocca (R) Rogers (R) Schmidt, W. (R) Schuitmaker (R) Scott, P. (R) Segal (D)
Slavens (D) Stamas (R) Tyler (R) Walsh (R)

The following legislators did not vote on 2009 House Bill 5386 (Impose new tax on doctors ):
Haines (R) Nerat (D)

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

More on the tax votes

While the source is left of center, Ed Brayton and Michigan Messenger has more information than has been reported from the AP wires so far.

On the tax bills:
Among the bills passed were:

HB 5352, which freezes the the yearly inflation adjustment on the personal income tax exemption. This bill passed by a 58-51 margin early in the evening.

HB 5384, a “shell” bill that will likely reduce some exemptions under the Michigan Business Tax. This bill passed 57-52.

HB 5386, which places a 3 percent tax on doctors in order to fund a Quality Assurance Assessment Program for doctors in the state. By establishing those assessments, this bill would also qualify the state for an additional $822 million in federal matching funds for Medicaid reimbursement.


The Doctor's tax was the most controversial.

The voting on this bill began just before 7:15 pm and within a few minutes it became obvious that the bill was going to fail. There were 56 votes against the bill on the board by 7:25. But the voting remained open for nearly another hour, during which time presumably some members were pressed to change their votes.

At 8:21, the chair suddenly ordered the clerk to tally the vote, which was 56-52 in favor of the bill. Four legislators had been convinced to change their votes: Rep. Jimmy Womack (D-Detroit), Lee Gonzales (D-Flint), Dan Scripps (D-Leelanau), and Marc Corriveau (D-Plymouth).


I'd like to see which democrats or republicans defected from the party line. Scripps and Corriveau should be targeted in a big way for their votes.

Bill Rogers on the tax votes

I just got an email from Bill Rogers right after my post on the doctor tax. Here's what Bill sent out to us.

House Democrats Vote To Raise Your Taxes
Tonight, Lawmakers Penalize Taxpayers, Business Owners and Doctors

I am outraged that tonight, the House Democrats pushed through a series of tax increases on Michigan residents and job providers in order to balance the state's budget, while stalling for the last nine months!

In bills ultimately approved by the Democrat-led state House, the proposals raise taxes by almost $400 million, including the elimination of $116 million in Michigan Business Tax credits that Livingston County businesses have been utilizing, a new health care tax, and the elimination of a scheduled $100 increase in per person deduction for state income taxes.

It is unbelievable to me that we even considered tax increases when Michigan families and businesses already took a massive hit in 2007 with an income tax increase and a massive 23% surcharge tax added onto the new Michigan Business Tax (MBT). To bring up tax increases at the 11th hour under the cover of darkness is a stunning breach of the public trust. We had a bi-partisan, signed agreement to balance the state's budget without raising taxes, and now the Democrats have broken that deal!

To end a government shutdown in 2007, Democrats proposed and pushed through a $1.4 billion tax increase, one of the largest ever in Michigan's history. Since that time, Michigan's unemployment rate has more than doubled. The state is facing a $3 billion shortfall for the current fiscal year it is working on and is already facing a projected $1.4 billion shortfall for the following fiscal year!!!

We must balance the state's budget without relying on Michigan residents and business owners to send more of their hard-earned money to Lansing. I am embarrassed that the House Leadership continues to pass the buck on Michigan's future instead of making the tough decisions that need to be made.

We MUST look at making the structural reforms now if we ever want to get our state back on track financially and economically.

All taxes bills passed by the Michigan House must now be approved by the Michigan Senate and signed by the Governor. To see how your Legislator voted on these tax increases, please visit www.michiganvotes.org.

Michigan House Democrats raise taxes on doctors

Way to increase health care costs with taxes, dumbasses. It's time for us to call our state senators tomorrow morning. Valde will be getting a call on this.

Bad news from USA Today

The Democratic-led Michigan House has voted to put a 3 percent tax on doctors' gross receipts to raise more federal matching money for state-run health care programs.

The House voted 56-52 mostly along party lines Tuesday to send the proposal to the Republican-led Senate.

Doctors who see Medicaid patients would benefit from higher reimbursement rates generated by the tax. Doctors who treat few or no Medicaid patients would lose out.


I'm looking for the roll call for this vote. As soon as I find it, it'll be posted here. Same for all the other tax increases.

Tax Votes Today?

I caught this from Michigan Liberal of all places. Eric Baerren posted a snippet from Gongwer that shows possible tax increases being voted on today.
From Gongwer via Michigan Liberal:
he House is expected to vote on five revenue bills during Tuesday's session.

House Democrats are expected to caucus for several hours before the vote. If all five revenue proposals were to become law they would raise an estimated $345.8 million.The revenue proposals are:

* a 15 percent reduction in Michigan Business Tax credits, equal to $116.1 million
* raising the state's other tobacco products tax by $41 million
* an extended hours liquor license fee to raise $13.7 million,
* freezing some personal exemptions to the income tax to save $55 million,
* and raising the earned income tax credit by less than the scheduled level to save $120 million.

A sixth proposal to launch a tax on physicians at 3 percent is not expected to come up for a vote today.


It's time for us to call our representatives. Bill Rogers' office just received a call from me. Cindy Denby will receive one as well. I support the extended hours liquor licenses, but that's about it.

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Hugh Hewitt - talk show host - speaking at AFP

Several things where Hugh Hewitt gave his opinions.

1. "Wait not till November of 2010, but November 2009." That was a point that needed to be made. That is a reference to New Jersey and Virginia elections. On the same note, here in Michigan, we have a big race of our own for the state senate.

2. Health Care. We need to reduce the damages from Obama administration there.

3. Educate people on broken legal system. Hugh is an attorney as well and still spoke out about frivolous lawsuits against businesses and medical providers. We're paying the costs. Plaintiff lawyers bankroll the democrats.

4. Expose and mock the left in the same way it is done to us (Saul Alinsky's rules). When we have the chance to nail ACORN, like Breitbart did. We have to tell everyone about biggovernment.com. Do not be silent with apolitical friends.

5. Credential young people. They need to learn from us and given responsibility they can handle.

6. Israel will have to take action soon. The US must stand with Israel. There will be a course of hate from the legacy media against them when that happens.

Jim DeMint, one of the few good Senators in the US, speaking at AFP

Steve Moore of the Wall Street Journal was one of the introducers of DeMint and gave a speech. He said that Obama said the stimulus package was supposed to keep the unemployment number below 8%. It's 9.8%.

Biden said the bill worked beyond his wildest dreams.

Cap and Trade worse than the health care bill. Regardless of global warming beliefs, this will do nothing to prevent global warming. It's the China and India full employment act. It will send jobs to those countries.

Debt concern - What happens if China and the Arabs stop paying our debts?

Jim DeMint was the Washington award winner.
-------------

DeMint said that it is freedom that works in America and not central control and command. When Washington is afraid of the people more than special interests, freedom will win. What is key is the elections. He also mentioned primaries.

DeMint isn't afraid to buck the establishment. He's backing Marco Rubio and Pat Toomey, as well as incumbent maverick Tom Coburn. He mentioned those three by name. Rubio is the challenger to Obama Stimulus package loving Florida governor Charlie Crist.

Jim DeMint's speech is notable for that reason. Some of the establishment isn't happy about Charlie Crist's challenge. Tough luck to them. Rubio and Toomey need to win their primary and general elections. We do not need more big government "conservatives" like Crist. That killed us in 06 and 08. More Mike Pence, less Ted Stevens.

AFP: Opening Speaker - Newt Gingrich

Our first speaker is Newt Gingrich. Remember when we had a balanced budget? Thanks, Newt.

Gingrich made the point. With Obama's election, this was "their moment." "Their moment" was Henry Waxman (elected in 1972) and Nancy Pelosi. The dems are moving heavily to the left. The Stimulus is the 1st warning. It had to be passed immediately so that we would not read it. Socialism - the left - has been defeated - in Europe. Italy, Germany, and even France. The socialist wing of the party will lead the dems to defeat.

In 1977, real change as happened. Carter was wildly popular, more than Obama. Then inflation, unemployment, gas shortgage created by government, Soviet invasion of Afghanastan.

An example of the poor policy was the gas shortage was the rule on who could fill up the gas tank based on license plate. A father gave his 13 year old son a screwdriver to swap license plates to the car that needs to be filled up. A conservative would repeal the program. The liberal would hire license plate police.

Newt has a few points.

1. Have to have candidates every level to new solutions and apply principles. All elections. From city to president. Recruit someone new. In the end, real power comes from ballot box. Non partisan. Primary and general.

2. Learn to campaign effective. Better than left in organizing. Don't write off neighborhood. Don't write off people. 365 days a year. Not last 60 days.

3. Win the argument. Thatcher - win argument and then vote. 1993 and 1997 - President make argument so starkly that people say that's wrong. Obama needs to be on all talk shows....to help us.

Newt says that good advertising kills bad products faster. Great orator with wrong philosophy teaches faster that the policy is wrong. (Increase energy costs? with 9.8% unemployment) The Feds can't organize flu vaccine but want to take over health care?

Newt on Obama in Copenhagen - Danger of admin. "I remember when Atlanta got olympics. Andy Young worked for months. Atlanta team worked for years. If Obama had steady consistant plan, Chicago might have won. You can't lead by spur of the moment. Smiling and oratory not substitute for work and preperation." Eisenhower first to go to summitt. Firm rule. Months of preperation. Reagan prepped for months. Dangerous to provide leadership out of hip pocket. Serious challenge.

When 9.8% and part timers and lookers. The real number combinging them may be 20% in California. There needs to be economic plan that works and is not a burden like stimulus. Real stimulus - Premise - in world market competing with China and India.

Newt's bold ideas and real solution.

1. 2 year - 50% in FICA including employer match.
2. Compete with China. Match capital gains tax of China. Zero.
3. American companies compete in market. No taking away secret ballot or stregthening trial lawyers. Irish tax rate 12 1/2%
4. Abolish death tax.

In addition to taxes, there needs to be an American energy policy using American energy. Bowing to Saudi King not energy policy. If we had 300 billion in energy in US - revenue and economic results would be a step to most economic and prosperous country.

Newt said that we can balance the budget. As speaker for 4 years, the budget was balanced, with a liberal democrat in WH. During those four years, smallest federal growth since Coolidge.

Overall, these are good ideas, and should all be considered.

Pence Speaks at AFP conference

As I posted in my half asleep post last night, Mike Pence was one of the two keynote speakers at the AFP conference last night. Politico covered the speech.

Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.) exhorted Republicans Friday to rally against fiscal excess, promising a conservative crowd that the country is “on the verge of a great American awakening.”


Pence, the House GOP conference chairman, said the simmering unrest that led to tea parties since the spring and the march in Washington last month reflected a country angry about the expansion of government.


“It’s authentic and it’s real and it’s powerful and it’s American,” Pence told about 2,000 conservatives at the annual conference of Americans for Prosperity, a free-market group.


The five-term Hoosier said of the movement: “The politicians aren’t leading this. They shouldn’t be leading it. They’re the ones that created this mess.”


How did Mike Pence pull off this speech so well? Consistency. Pence can say what many others in DC can not say, because of hypocracy. Pence does not have to worry about it. When President Bush and Congressional leaders spent like druken sailors in 2006, Pence and the Republican Study Committee walked the walk and offered a balanced budget. This was when fiscal conservatism was not cool in either party.

Pence delivered fire at both parties, mostly the democrats, but the Republicans can not be left off the hook for the 2002-2008 years. Pence can. He voted against them all, and most importantly, the bailouts.

Pence's quotes on the bailout and deal when he voted against it.

""Ask yourselves why you came here and vote with courage and integrity to those principles. If, like me, you came here because you believe in limited government and the freedom of the American marketplace, I urge you vote in accordance with your convictions. Stand up for limited government and economic freedom. Stand up for the American taxpayer. Reject this bailout and vote no on the emergency economic stabilization act,"

"“"The last time I heard that, I was on a used car lot. The truth is, every time somebody tells you that you've got to do the deal right now, it usually means they're going to get the better part of the deal."


This wasn't just in 2008 when Pence railed against this. In 2006, the same thing happened.

Mike Pence in 2006, after the dems took over Congress.

After 1994, we were a Majority committed to a balanced federal budget, entitlement reform and the principles of a limited federal government. We delivered on balanced federal budgets, welfare reform and responded to a national emergency with defense spending, homeland security and tax cuts that put our economy back on its feet.

However, in recent years, to the chagrin of millions of Republicans, our Majority also voted to expand the federal government's role in education by nearly 100% and created the largest new entitlement in 40 years. We also pursued domestic spending policies that created record deficits, national debt and earmark spending that has embarrassed us and caused many Americans to question our commitment to fiscal responsibility.


Right now, the people are skeptical of the government, including Mr. Obama. They are downright distrustful of Ms. Pelosi and Mr. Reid. We've had in the first year of Mr. Obama's reign government bailouts, an auto industry takeover, government stimulus that does nothing positive for the economy, jobs killing cap and trade in the name of so called global warming (it's already been cold enough to snow in parts of Michigan before it became October), and now, we have an attempt to take over the health care industry. This is big government on steroids.

The biggest thing the Republicans must do is gain back trust of the people. That starts with a giant rejection of "big government lite" that President Bush gave us. What is needed is a return of limited government, which gave us 1994. Pence gave our party a model to follow. It's time for the GOP to live up to those principles, both at the state and federal level. If that gets done, we'll take back Congress and Michigan in 2010.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Update from Americans for Prosperity Conference

I'll post more on this tomorrow since I got zip, zilch, zero sleep last night.

There is 2000 people attending the conference. That's a good turnout for a DC area conference.

There was a rally at the Capitol earlier. I have some pics there, albeit cell phone pics. The message there was simple. Less government, more freedom. Americans are tired of big government spending too much and dictating over our lives. A big NYET to big government taking over health care and the abysmal Baucus bill which fines people who do not purchase health insurance. He needs to be drilled out of office for that bill.

At the dinner, there were two major speakers. Conservative talk show Laura Ingraham and Congressman Mike Pence. Normally, politicians do not speak as well as a talk show host. Laura Ingraham was an excellent speaker. Pence did even better. Part of that is because Pence is consistent and is not afraid to critique his own party when it is being fiscally irresponsible.

I'll get more into this tomorrow, but I'll just say if the GOP listened to Pence in 2006, we'd still be in control of congress. If they listen to him now, we might take it back in 2010. (House more likely than the senate)

Live from Arlington, it's the Americans for Prosperity Conference

We're here from "Defending the American Dream" in Arlington, VA. This is from the Americans for Prosperity conference. This conference is a group of fiscal conservatives coming together to bring back (or just bring) fiscal conservatism back to Washington.

We'll be posting updates tonight and especially tomorrow when the conference meetings take place.

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Michigan Government Shutdown again

The state legislature and the Matt Millen of Governors failed as of 12 midnight to reach an agreement.

Keep in mind as you read this. The Senate Republicans passed a budget in June. They did their part. If the Democrat controlled House did the same thing and built from that, we would had this done. Granholm and the house screwed up.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Election Day November 3rd

There are some elections on November 3rd this year. The big one is the State Senate, district 19. It's a swing district that covers all of Calhoun County and part of Jackson County. Mark Schauer held that district before going off to screw us in Congress.

The two candidates are Mike Nofs, who was a republican in the most democrat part of the district (Battle Creek and Albion) and Marty Griffin, the former mayor of Jackson who was then a state rep in a swing state rep district. This one can go either way.

Detroit has a mayor election that day.

In Livingston County, we have several elections as well. I'll have more on these closer to election day.
Brighton and Pinckney Schools have elections. So do South Lyon and Webberville, which have portions of their districts in Livingston County.
Howell and Brighton Cities have elections. I saw a couple of signs in Brighton.
Those in a Washtenaw ISD have elections as well. (Whitmore Lake, maybe Dexter) There is a 2 mill tax increase on the ballot.

The big election here though is in Hamburg Township. Matt Skiba's recall election will be on the ballot. That will be a strict yes or no vote with no other opponents. The moment of truth will be decided then.

For those who want to know what's on this November ballot, go to the link from the Secretary of State's site. It will show which communities have an election.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Are you running or managing a campaign, PAC, or ballot committee? Hire the best.

Normally I prefer to talk about topics here instead of myself, but this is a shameless plug. If your committee needs a treasurer, let me know. Here's my business website. Republican Michigander Consulting LLC.

This is a personal blog not tied to the business, so I'll go into a little more detail and bluntness here which I did not post on the business website. There is an excellent FAQ there that can answer many questions.

Campaign finance compliance. It is where I started in politics as a 22 year old "kid" on a PAC and it is what I do best today at nearly 31 years of age. I am quite good at keeping committees out of trouble. I have not been fined for campaign finance violations, neither by the FEC, Secretary of State, or county clerk. Ever. That has been the case for nearly nine years and eight accounts/committees. I've not had an errors/omissions notice (similar to a "fix-it" ticket) since 2002. I get the job done right the first time. I've treasured skeleton crews to major operations of tens which rake in tens of thousands of dollars. The only committee type I have not treasured is a gubernatorial committee. One of my tri-annual reports for a PAC was 79 pages. I know what to do. I know what not to do.

Almost all candidates and campaign managers, even those who are very knowledgeable about this issue, absolutely despise the reports. It's tedious. It's time consuming if you are not experienced. There's a lot of laws and rules that the committee must know in order to be compliant. Candidates or managers often do the treasury job themselves, or often have some volunteer who is inexperienced do it. In some cases it works. It worked for me back in early 2001 because I was ambitious and always had an interest at the information available in campaign finance. I still wasn't perfect then and got error/omissions noticed and had to do extra work to fix it. I could probably do that work in one third of the time today that it took me back in 2001 without a "fix it." That's experience. Even then, there were no failure to file, late filings, or other disasters. Besides the fines, late filings and failure to files are oftentimes news. Edmund Senkowski's campaign finance problems were a big story in the Argus. The MEA's lawbreaking made the Argus. Others make the AP wires.

Several times in the past, I've written about campaign finance things on this blog.

In 2007, I turned the MEA in for not disclaiming who paid for their ad. The Argus picked up on this and ran with the story. I had to make sure my I's were dotted and T's were crossed when filing. It turned out the story was true, but the HEA (Howell) took the blame for it in public. I was hoping Lansing would get nailed. The follow through is posted here, and the third story was here.

For those who want to know who owes the big money there's the story on that from 2006. Mr. Senkowski still owes the fines from his campaign and is racking up more fines as we speak by ignoring it. It's up to over $6000 now.

This was my post in February of 2006. Why a Good treasurer is a must for a campaign. The same holds true nearly four years later.

Monday, February 06, 2006
Why a good treasurer is a must for a campaign
Dan Meisler and the Argus today set its sights on Edmund Senkowski, who was Joe Hune's opponent in 2004.

""Edmund Senkowski, the Democratic candidate who ran unsuccessfully against state Rep. Joe Hune, R-Hamburg Township, in the 2004 election for state House, owes the state more than $4,000 in fines for not filing campaign finance disclosure reports.
The Michigan Department of State has sent Senkowski six notices of past-due fines totaling $4,075 for either filing documents past the deadlines, or not filing them at all.""



I briefly mentioned this in a previous post, but I didn't fire both barrels at Edmund Senkowski on this. I knew about this back in 2004, but decided to hold my fire since Senkowski had no chance to win with the campaign (or lack of) that he was running. I told Joe Hune and a few others I personally knew, but that's about it. Joe had a good record to run on and was going to coast to a 70-30 win, and as far as I knew, Senkowski wasn't being a jerk, so a negative attack wasn't going to help either Joe or myself.

The lesson from this story is that candidates (both republican and democrat) need to know what they are getting into when they are running. The other lesson is that they need to have their most competent and trustworthy individual be their treasurer. From what I could see from a distance, Senkowski had no clue whatsoever on filing matters, and neither did his treasurer, presumably a family member. If anyone here knows Senkowski, they should tell him to call the Sec of State and get this taken care of ASAP. Sometimes they will drop or reduce fines, but ignoring them isn't going to help matters. Mistakes happen and can be corrected with amended reports, but "failure to file" is the worst possible choice to make.

For future candidates, one thing that helps is the waiver box for extremely low budget campaigns (under $1000). Those who check that box and raise less than $1000 do not have to file reports. Those who check the box and raise over $1000 need to file them.

One thing I can say is that I've never been fined on anything I have treasured, and I've done treasury and filing work off and on for five years. Everything's been turned in on time, and anything with mistakes has been corrected with a pain in the neck Amended report. I hate amendment reports and haven't had to do one since I was a rookie. I don't play games with this stuff. They've seen it all, and even Geoff Fieger got caught.


Part of knowing what to find and not find regarding campaign finance is not just related to filling out the reports and knowing the disclaimers are posted. Two committees were tied up with raffles. That's illegal in Michigan. The Livingston Democrats planned a 50/50 back in 2008. In 2006, Citizens for Wildlife Conservation got nailed rightly so (unfortunately) for a raffle.

My last campaign finance related post was commenting on a weasel of a bill that allowed violators to wait a year before paying their fines. That needs to go nowhere.

In campaigns there are two things. There are things you can control, and things you can't control. Campaign finance situations are things that can be controlled. The most important thing a candidate can do is to have a good treasurer.

Michigan has full disclosure. That's something that is very important to know. There are a few people whose money I will stay away from if I am running for political office. I will have a lot of explaining to do if I report donations from people like Mark Foley (obvious reasons), Josh Sugarmann (for anti-2nd Amendment views), or illegal sources. (Corporations, foreigners). Good treasurers can screen this, and that goes double on the illegal sources.

If you run or manage a campaign, know what you are getting into and be prepared. All it takes is one major controllable error to destroy the entire campaign. A good treasurer will make sure it is not on the campaign finance side of the campaign. In nine years, that has not happened with me, and I have every intention of keeping that streak alive to twenty-five or more years.

If you are interested in running for office, managing a campaign, forming a PAC, or forming a ballot question committee, contact me through my business website if you are interested in a good experienced treasurer. I have a no fine guarantee with my work.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Mackinac 2009 and updates

It was interesting up at Mackinac this year.

Unfortunately, I didn't catch the speaking dinners because of price constraints. Contrary to the myth, Republicans aren't all rich. I didn't care about Charlie Crist or Romney, but I did want to hear Tim Pawlenty speak. The best panels there were pundits and pollsters, which is there every conference, and the series on "Fixing Michigan." While I didn't agree with everything, there was a lot of good information there, and it wasn't a bunch of Richard Florida "cool cities" tripe either that I was afraid of hearing.

State party has a recording of the panels and speeches. Best of all is that they did not get me on camera. The two best panelists I heard were Tim Leuiette and Richard McLellan. This was the first time I heard Leuiette speak at a panel and he was one of the favorites who stuck out. Some wanted him to run for governor after the panel. He's the President of Dura Automobile systems. McLellan is a prominent attorney in the Lansing area and also was the head of John Engler's transition team. I've heard McLellan speak on a few occasions and he's one of maybe five or six people that I put in the category of "When he speaks, I shut up and listen." He knows his stuff, and backs up his points very well. He also had the best lines about there being too many laws.

The Straw Poll is one of the bigger topics. Rick Snyder was the Straw Poll winner. How did he win? He brought a lot of people up to the conference, got them registered, and made sure they voted. It was a good show of organization. Whether it continues remains to be seen. Mike Cox finished 2nd and had a lot of support as well.

Speaking for the pollsters and pundits panel, Steve Mitchell released a poll there which was reported in the Detroit News. It's still way early, but Cox is leading in the poll.

In other news, Bill Ford is backing Snyder. I wonder if Matt Millen will be next? Hoekstra was endorsed by former Speaker Craig DeRoche and RNC Committeewoman Holly Hughes. Hughes endorsement was not surprising since Hoekstra is her congressman. DeRoche endorsement is interesting because he's an east-sider and Hoekstra is a west sider. I think the East vs West Michigan divide is a little overblown myself, but it does happen.

Go to the state party links and take a look at the panels. They were a lot better than your run of the mill politicalspeak.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Plaxico Burress - Two years in prison. You have to be kidding me.

Two years in prison. That's what former Spartan and Giants Wide Receiver Plaxico Burress got for the infamous incident where he shot himself in the leg at the bar. He plea bargained to that after facing 31/2 to 4 years if he was convicted in New York City on firearms charges. From the AP

NEW YORK (AP)—Former Super Bowl star Plaxico Burress(notes) was sentenced Tuesday to two years in prison after accidentally shooting himself in the thigh at a nightclub and later reaching a plea deal on weapons charges.

The former New York Giants star tearfully told his family goodbye as he surrendered to begin his prison stint for attempted criminal possession of a weapon.

Burress was indicted on two counts of weapon possession and one count of reckless endangerment and pleaded guilty Aug. 20. He had faced a minimum sentence of 3 1/2 years on those charges if convicted at trial. He pleaded to the lesser charge and agreed to the two-year term.

With time off for good behavior, Burress likely will serve 20 months. He will be monitored an additional two years after he is freed from prison, which could come as early as the spring of 2011.

Former Super Bowl star Plaxico Burress(notes) carries his son, Elijah, as he arrives at Manhattan criminal court for his sentencing ,Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2009, in New York. Burress was sentenced to two years in prison for possessing a gun at a night club.

The Giants released Burress in April, but the 32-year-old told ESPN he hopes to resume his NFL career when he completes his sentence.

Before the hearing began, Burress played with his preschool-age son, Elijah. Then he hugged and kissed his wife, child, father, grandmother and stepmother.

Burress was so soft-spoken during his apologetic courtroom address that onlookers could not understand him.

Defense lawyer Benjamin Brafton said, “This is a very real tragic case in many, many ways.” He called Burress “a fundamentally decent man.”


Did Burress shoot someone else? No.
Did Burress point the firearm at somebody? No.
Did Burress brandish the firearm in a threatening manner? Not that I'm aware of. He wasn't charged with that.

If Burress did those things, I could support prison time. In addition, as far as I know, he didn't in trouble at Michigan State during his time there, or in big trouble outside of back taxes while in the NFL. Is this guy such a threat to society that he needs to spend two years in prison? I don't think he is. I wouldn't go with him to the firing range, but it's not like he's Rae Carruth. Burress is less of a threat than violent offenders like the jerk in Marion Township who pointed his rifle at a girl and then shot her dog. Those people belong in prison. Thiefs and robbers belong in prison. Guys who beat up women belong in prison after receiving a beating of their own from family. Those are the people who are threats to society, not Burress.

I think it is gun grabber Michael Bloomberg and his DA team wanting to make an example out of a famous athlete from Virginia so he can campaign to the white yuppies on the Upper West Side of Manhattan for his re-election campaign.

Burress made three errors, and none of them should be a prison sentence. He violated NYC's gun laws for possession which any judge with a brain should find unconstitutional following the Heller precedent. He carried concealed in an area he's not allowed to do so. He was likely drinking around guns considering he was at a nightclub.

He was already punished severely for the third provision. He shot himself. I don't know from experience, but I'm sure that hurts. He took a ton of bad press for that.
For the others, he was ignorant of NYC's gun laws, or at least the severity of them.

The best thing for Burress would be to get probation, community service, and some gun safety classes. Prison should be reserved for real threats to society.

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Recent 2012 Straw Poll (Family Research Council)

I found this interesting out of Politco


Mike Huckabee cruised to an easy victory in a presidential straw poll taken among attendees at a social conservative conference, beating a group of four other Republican contenders by an over two-to-one margin.

Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor and a 2008 presidential candidate, won with just over 28 percent of the 597 votes cast by attendees at the Family Research Council’s Values Voter Summit. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney was the runner-up, narrowly edging out Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Alaska Gov. and Vice-Presidential nominee Sarah Palin, and House Minority Conference Chairman Mike Pence (R-Ind.). The four all received about 12% of the vote.



There was a fairly large political conference with the Family Research Council which is a social conservative organization. I didn't hear much about it, but they said it drew 1800 registrants. Their event was called the Values Voter Summit in DC. I ally with them heavily on abortion and the courts, but I do clash with them heavily on censorship/FCC issues with my less government views.

I went to their website and found the official straw poll results. They were interesting to say the least.


1. Mike Huckabee 170 28.48%
2. Mitt Romney 74 12.40%
3. Tim Pawlenty 73 12.23%
4. Sarah Palin 72 12.06%
5. Mike Pence 71 11.89%
6. Newt Gingrich 40 6.70%
7. Bobby Jindal 28 4.69%
8. Rick Santorum 15 2.51%
9. Ron Paul 13 2.18%
10. Undecided 31 5.19%
11. Other 10 1.68%


While nobody got a majority, Huckabee ran away with it with twice the votes of the nearest competitor. That's not a surprise. He was the favorite in 08 among a large number of social conservatives who voted mostly on those lines. The gripes on him were on economic issues.

It's not surprising to see Gingrich, Jindal, Santorum, and Paul back in the pack. Newt and Jindal's bread and butter are on fiscal issues. Santorum lost bad in 2006. Ron Paul is a libertarian.

What's interesting is numbers 2, 3, 4, and 5.


2. Mitt Romney 74 12.40%
3. Tim Pawlenty 73 12.23%
4. Sarah Palin 72 12.06%
5. Mike Pence 71 11.89%


I thought Palin would have challenged Huckabee. I wonder if her gubernatorial resignation hurt her. I did not support that decision at all if she's running for president. I'd have no problem if she decided not to run in 2010, but if you are planning a 2012 run, finish your term that ends two years earlier. Palin has her die-hard supporters who defend everything she does and her fanatical obsessed detractors that need to check into a mental hospital, but finishing behind Mitt and Pawlenty showed something.

Mitt likes to flood people in to events to win these straw polls, so he usually does well at them. A second place finish at one of these events helps him, but he already had high name recognition and with his organization, should have been able to close the deal back in 08. The nomination was his for the taking, and frankly for whatever reason. He blew it. He lost to McCain in a republican primary (so did Huckabee). That says something, and it's not positive. It wasn't just "democrat crossovers" like many on the right complain about either.

The big winners here were two Midwesterners. Tim Pawlenty and Mike Pence. I'm glad to see these two do well. I'm strongly looking at new blood for 2012. Nobody from 08. No retreads. Pawlenty is Minnesota's governor. I like seeing that name moving up if for no other reason than this. Governors become presidents. Senators rarely do. The last sitting senator to win before Obama was Kennedy (Nixon/LBJ were senators at one time, but also VP's), and Obama beat another senator. Pawlenty has a good shot to make a move on the 08 retreads.

Mike Pence I've talked about about on this blog before. It was good to see Pence do well here as he's more known for the economic issues than social issues. Whoever is the nominee in 08 will have to unite enough of the budget hawks, anti-tax and spenders, social conservatives, libertarians, anti-federalists (often what is called federalism today is really anti-federalism), second amendment supporters, national security conservatives, law and order types, and the rest of the base, and the independents who support some, but oppose other of the base issues.

My comment when Mark Sanford wrecked his career was this. "Damn. Maybe Mike Pence will run." If Pence runs, he'll have my support. Pence fought the bailouts that killed us. When Bush and the congressional leadership destroyed the GOP credibility on economic issues that is taking so long to gain back (more due to democrats than anything else - and it's still not what it was in the mid 90's), it was Pence fighting in the trenches. In 2006, Mike Pence and the Republican Study Committee proposed get this....a balanced budget. What happened to that? It got voted down by both parties, but the GOP was in control then. How many Republicans were tossed in 06 and 08? A lot. Who's still standing, in a district that Obama might have won and a district centered in a county (Delaware County - home of Ball State) that Obama did win? Mike Pence. With 65%.

It's still three years away from 2012, and a lot can change, especially with 2010 around the corner, but it is good to see new names going near the top of these 2012 lists.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Governor race updates, Mackinac Conference

Mike Bouchard named Terri Land as running mate. WDIV reporting. That's not a real surprise since Land decided last July she was not running and endorsed Bouchard almost immediately. Does it effect the race? Maybe to a small extent. This is from the David Bonior playbook back in 2002. Alma Wheeler Smith was running, dropped out, and ran with Bonior. Bonior finished 2nd to the then so called "rock star" candidate Matt Millen, I mean Jennifer Granholm. Bouchard's biggest weakness is his 2006 performance against Stabenow. He's a good guy and it wasn't all his fault, but numbers don't lie. I'd like to see Bouchard run against Gary Peters. I think he can win that race. I have doubts whether he would win the governor's race. My reponse to the Bouchard for Governor campaign? Bouchard for Congress!

On another note there was a dustup about the invitation (or not) of Tom George to a gubenatorial debate. From Crain's Detroit Business.




Republican gubernatorial hopeful Sen. Tom George, R-Kalamazoo, is back in the debate.

After hearing from the chair of the Michigan Republican Party and some other candidates, the Michigan Taxpayers Alliance has reconsidered its decision to cut George from a Republican gubernatorial candidate debate at the Sept. 26 Republican Leadership Conference on Mackinac Island.
(snip)
Earlier in the week, George said that the MTA rescinded their invitation for him to participate and cited the reason that WJR AM 760 is only able to air the debate for one hour and Drolet and the MTA’s board felt that they should limit who can participate in the debate.

On Wednesday, Drolet said the Republican Party is responsible for negotiating with radio stations for coverage and he would have welcomed more time that would have enabled George’s initial inclusion.

He said that when the alliance learned it only had an hour of air time, the board initially felt it needed to limit the debate to “the perceived top four candidates running statewide campaigns.”


My view. Let him in. Anyone on the ballot or with a committee on the GOP side should be in. I'm not voting for Tom George (I'm not against him like I am against Snyder), but he's as much a candidate as anyone else in the race. It's not like little known state senators have never won the governorship. Ask John Engler in 1990.

The Mackinac Conference is coming up. This is the big GOP event in Michigan every two years. Presidential wannabes usually show up, but the big thing right now are the state level races. Governor. Attorney General (undecided) and Secretary of State (also undecided). There's a lot of inside baseball going on right now. I'll be posting a report after the conference or during if I get access.

Friday, September 11, 2009

Business Leaders for Michigan plan - Some of it good, some of it horrible

The group that used to be Detroit Renaissance is now "Business Leaders for Michigan." Some hype came out about the business plan it endorsed. The Detroit News has its proposal out.

From the Detroit News


A newly formed coalition of Michigan CEOs announced Thursday it would support extending the sales tax to most services if it is lowered. Business Leaders for Michigan, an expansion of Detroit Renaissance that includes 25 corporate captains from across the state, would cut the 6-percent sales tax rate to make the change initially revenue neutral. But the plan would raise additional revenue in the future as the state continues its shift away from a goods economy and toward a service economy. David Brandon, chairman of the group and CEO of Domino's Pizza, said a "sales tax on services has to be part of the equation" as the state modernizes a tax code built for the 1950s.

Gov. Jennifer Granholm proposed a 2 percent tax on services two years ago but the plan died in the Legislature. Lawmakers passed a tax on some services late in 2007 but the levy was scrapped.

"The governor welcomes all ideas," said Liz Boyd, spokeswoman for Granholm. "But it is ironic that the business community is now calling for a sales tax on services when two years ago they're the very ones who killed it when the governor proposed it."

Past studies have indicated the state could reduce its sales tax rate to about 5 percent, if it were extended to services, and generate revenue that the 6 percent sales tax on products raises today.



The Matt Millen of governors Granholm's got a point. That's because this services tax plan is a Matt Millenesque idea from this group. NO NEW TAXES. I don't care which side it is from. This will factor heavily in my voting plan if David Brandon ever does decide to run for office. No vote here.

There are the rest of the idea.

The group also proposes:

• Cutting the state government workforce 5 percent to 10 percent and lowering compensation, including benefits, to reflect the national average. - I agree to a point, but I think we need to take a longer look at government in general, not just salaries and workforce.

• Eliminating the state tax on business equipment once the economy starts growing again.- Agreed.

• Scuttling the 22 percent surcharge on the Michigan Business Tax and reducing the corporate levy by 60 percent overall. - Agreed.

• Enacting prison management and sentencing reforms to save $400 million. - Agreed if the plan is what I think it is. Good luck selling it.

• Eliminating binding arbitration for local police and firefighters. - Undecided. Will the alternative cost more or less?

• Ending optional state services, such as programs for Medicaid recipients not required by the federal government. - Agreed.

• Consolidating administration of the state's 500-plus school districts by cutting per-student funding to districts that don't share services. - Agreed to an extent, but this will be real tough to sell.

• Reducing the number of colleges and universities "to a number the state can afford."- Is this state schools only?

• Adopting a funding formula for roads and bridges and supporting mass transit services in urban areas.- Agreed with the first, the latter only if it pays for itself. No more people movers or Wally trains with government money that does not get used.

Business Leaders for Michigan has its own website. They will likely be, for good, bad, and in between, a significant power in Lansing with the new budget issues.

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

Granholm wants to raise taxes again

I'm shocked that Granholm, the Matt Millen of Governors, wants to raise taxes yet again after promising that it won't happen.

There are three plans out. House Republicans plan (cuts), Senate Republicans (which passed and balanced the budget without raising taxes), and Granholm Democrats. Granholm was the last to announce a plan and it is the typical democrat plan. More taxes. Even tax raising Andy Dillon who saved her in 07 so far publicly opposed the plan. I wonder if Dillon is planning a gubernatorial run or something.....

From the AP

"The governor should know that showboating a proposal that has no chance of passing is not a way to solve the state's fiscal crisis," Dillon said in a statement. "All parties need to put theatrics and demands aside and get back to the hard work of negotiating a budget solution."

A spokesman for Republican Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop of Rochester said the governor making her revenue plan public helps "move the ball forward" on negotiations, but added he doubts some of her proposals will get a warm welcome.

"A half-billion dollars in new revenues is certainly not the course chartered by Senate Republicans," Matt Marsden said.

Personally, I think that's just good cop Dillon and bad cop Granholm. Granholm probably wanted to push the big tax increases hard at first and then cave in on a smaller increase. This is a typical lawyer contract/settlement negotiation ploy. Go for the farm first, bluster, and back off. This is the right place for that technique, since neither side wants to walk away from a budget negotiation.

Granholm's budget does have some cuts, but not enough. The only two good things are that she supports eliminating the MBT surcharge over three years, and wants to allow bars to stay open past 2am for a fee (I won't be there after 2, but I support that option). That positive is negated in spades by this negative.

To balance next year's budget, she'd raise $546 million in tax revenue by slicing 12 percent from some business tax breaks — including a popular film credit — and hike the cigarette tax rate from $2 a pack to $2.25 while doubling taxes on other tobacco products.

She wants to place a 1-cent tax on each bottle of water sold in Michigan, lower a tax credit for the working poor, increase liquor license fees, and expand the 6 percent sales tax to service contracts, vending machine sales and live entertainment, including sporting events.

Note that the Detroit News said it was 1 PERCENT tax on bottled water.

I'll sign on board to some of the credit elimination that picks winners over losers (and make it just a tax cut), but I am damn well against these.

1cent tax on bottled water. There goes some jobs. I drink tap water, but I'm still against this crap on principle. What's next? Pop? Carbs? Booze? Greens? Meat?

Lower tax credit for working poor? How about cutting their taxes so they aren't as poor?

Services tax? Screw you. That affects me directly. Guess what? Costs past down to consumers. I'll just write it up as the Granholm Services tax required by law.

Entertainment and sporting events - There's Michigan's culture taxed. That Bob Seger, Kid Rock, Ted Nugent, or Motown concert is costing a lot more money now. So are the MSU and Lions games. Let's bankrupt this like manufacturing.

Vending machines. Those aren't cheap to begin with. Let's put them out of business. She also wants tax increases for 2010-2011 as well.

Another $0.25 tax increase to a pack of smokes. Double the smokeless tobacco/cigar tax. Where's the money coming from when smokers quit.

Liquor license fees - The restaurant industry is already struggling. That's not what they need.

Freeze in income tax deductions - Basically, an income tax increase. If we pay more, it's an increase.

This Granholm incompetence and multiple tax/fee increases over her time in office has destroyed this state. It will take some good sound leadership to overcome this Matt Millenesque disaster.

Like the sign at the tea party said. "Democrats destroyed Detroit." They are now in the process of destroying Michigan, and want to increase the same policies that are destroying this state and think it will lead to another result. That's insanity.

This Granholm budget must be stopped. NO new taxes.

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

Brighton takes a stand against big government

Holy Smokes. I didn't expect this big of a crowd.

It's the joker.


























The Three Stooges, Larry, Moe and Curly, and the crowd.









I debated whether to go to the tea party or not, but decided to do so. With the punk and Joker Mr. Obama's latest proposal, it was the last straw. He now wants to fine individuals $3800 for forgoing health insurance. Whether or not one wants insurance is none of your damn business. Bastards. In other news, he wants to raise the debt ceiling to 12 trillion. We got to pay that off somehow. China will collect eventually.

It's time to run the big spenders, taxers, and regulators out of DC and Lansing. This tea party needs to be a first step to run the clowns out, whether it be local, state, or federal. Unfortunately, we don't have a big chance federally until 2012 when the Dangerously Incompetent Debbie Stabenow is next up. A major difference can be made at the state level when we have an open seat for the Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, and State Senate positions. John Cherry spent 8 years as Granholm's LT. Nice guy, but wrong for the job. Valde Garcia is term limited out. Joe Hune was solid in his six years against the big spending, tax raising, fee raising, and regulations that were pushed in Lansing. He'll be solid as a senator.

The estimates of the crowd range from 2000 to 4000. I'm not sure of the exact number, but it was wall to wall of people on all sides of the Mill Pond going back from Main Street to St Paul to the Gazebo to the Imagination Station Playground border. I haven't seen this many people in one spot in Brighton since the old football games in the mid 90's against South Lyon. Parking? Forget it. It was a clustermuck.

The speeches were basic less government and more freedom talk. I've heard them before as a political junkie, but it was cool for those who haven't heard them. The crowd numbers sent the biggest message. One other good thing I saw was that there wern't many idiots. Out of the thousands there, only two signs I saw that did not belong there because of Godwin's law. That's not a bad ratio. Less than 1%.

My favorite sign was this:












Democrats destroyed Detroit, now Michigan. That is the absolute truth. The liberal democrats - starting with WHITE democrats in the 1960's destroyed that city (riots were on his watch), moved out, and now want to inflict what they did there here. If you want what happened to Detroit to happen here, vote the same bums in, the Jerry Cavanaugh's of today, and continuing with the Coleman Youngs afterward.

That is what will happen if the same jokers are elected here in Livingston County. That is what will happen to the state if the same jokers are elected in Lansing once again, and what will happen to the entire country if the current fools in DC are brought back again in 2010 and 2012. Send them home. Cherry, Whitmer, Stabenow, Levin, Schauer, Peters, Obama, Reid, Pelosi, Baucus.

Thursday, September 03, 2009

Skiba faces recall election, November 3

The Argus confirms what is expected. Matt Skiba, Hamburg Township Clerk, is facing a recall election.

Hamburg Township voters will decide whether or not Hamburg Township Clerk Matt Skiba retains his position during the Nov. 3 election.
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The Livingston County Clerk’s Office reviewed 10 pages of challenges issued by Skiba to the 3,042 signatures submitted by recall efforts.

In total, the clerk’s office determined the validity of 3009 signatures, well above the minimum 2,455 valid signatures required to officially put recall language on the ballot.
Skiba will be allowed up to a 200 word rebuttal statement on the ballot, which he said he intends to fully take advantage of. He has until Tuesday to present that language to the Livingston County Clerk’s Office.


What will happen? I think Skiba is in a tough go right now, and needs to start defending himself more than he has been. If the election was tomorrow, game over, he's out. This is going to be a real nasty campaign.

So what happens if Skiba is recalled? I have to check to see if things have changed, but I don't believe they have been. The county political parties executive committees choose the nominees for replacement. That means the Livingston GOP and the Dems pick a candidate for Skiba's replacement. I am not on the County Executive Committee, but a different committee, so I have no vote on the replacement. I can give my two cents one way or the other in who to support/oppose, and go with that. I can say that I don't think that works to Hardesty or Hohl's advantage, since they aren't exactly active in the county party. Who's fault is that????? To use one of my favorite sayings, you don't win when you don't show up.

The nominated candidates will then run for the rest of Skiba's term, and face a major battle in August/November 2012.

That is unless Skiba frankly surprises me and wins. He just might, but he better start defending himself to voters and say what he's been doing in office.

Updates (SCOTUS, Snyder, Tort Reform, tea party)

A few things to mention.

The Hill mentions that Justice Stevens may retire next year. That would be bad. We don't need the jerk in chief who despises the constitution to pick any more replacements. I think the 2nd pick will be more radical and maybe even more statist than Sotomoyer.

The Argus reprinted a Free Press Editorial on Rick Snyder. I find it interesting that for all of Snyder's talk about not being a politician, that he gives the most political answers out of anybody. Where's the specifics?

One thing not mentioned in any health care bill out there. Tort Reform. My defense leanings isn't limited to criminal defense, but civil tortuous defense as well. Politico has a good piece here from Newt Gingrich. One of the highest costs is malpractice insurance and the extra tests that are require because of malpractice claims. Not only are judgment costs passed over to patients, but so is the extra tests that are given to avoid those claims.

Defensive medicine is one of the largest contributors to wasteful spending, and it can manifest in many forms: unnecessary CT scans, x-rays, MRIs, cardiac testing and inappropriate hospital admissions. A 2005 survey in the Journal of the American Medical Association found that 93 percent of doctors reported practicing defensive medicine. These unnecessary and expensive tests and procedures are not ordered to advance the care and treatment of a patient or help the physician diagnose a medical problem. These tests and procedures are ordered exclusively to protect a physician from a potential and likely frivolous lawsuit.

In a recent speech before the American Medical Association, even President Obama said that doctors shouldn’t “feel like they are constantly looking over their shoulder for fear of lawsuits.” The president recognized that defensive medicine is “a real issue” but there is nothing in the bill to protect physicians from frivolous lawsuits. And, there is nothing in the bill to help stop defensive medicine.


Lastly, September 8, 3:30 PM is the tea party in Brighton. There are also tea parties earlier in Jackson and later in Troy. I'm not sure if I can make it, but I'm just passing at along. A message needs to be sent that less government is more freedom. Lower taxes AND spending.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Hamburg - Deputy Clerk files compaint over his $0 salary

I think Hamburg Township is going to have to open its pocketbook. From the Argus.

Hamburg Township Deputy Clerk Mike Zeglevski has filed a complaint against Hamburg Township through the Wage and Hour division of the Michigan Department of Energy, Labor and Economic Growth.
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The complaint alleges Zeglevski is owed wages from Dec. 17 through Aug. 2 in the amount of $23,066.58.

Hamburg Township Trustee Phil Semprevivo said the township received notice of the complaint Wednesday, though it was postmarked Aug. 20.

The Hamburg Township Board of Trustees has 10 days from the sending date to respond.

On Dec. 16, the board of trustees voted to make Zeglevski's salary zero, effectively making him a volunteer.

Zeglevski was unavailable for comment Wednesday, but Clerk Matt Skiba — who appointed Zeglevski after taking office on Nov. 20 — said Zeglevski deserved to be paid.

"My opinion is I made an appointment, and my deputy should be paid," Skiba said. "I think anybody would expect to be paid for it."

According to Hamburg Township Supervisor Pat Hohl, the statutes are very clear regarding this matter. The clerk can hire whomever he or she wishes without board approval, but the board will determine that appointment's salary.

"The statute is very clear that the board sets the pay," Hohl said. "We've stated this several times publicly."


Mike's salary was first set at $50K, then $30K, then $0 when the board was all in a snit over a famous video. I'm pretty sure that townships are not exempt from minimum wage laws. I'm sure they can set it at minimum wage, but setting it at $0 encroaches on statutory duties of the clerk to appoint his deputies, and also is less than minimum wage. An attorney I know who understands local government very well also thinks that is illegal, and said that when the decision was made. He's doesn't have a dog in Hamburg's fight either. The statutes I read awhile back also coincide with that attorney's. John Drury, Hamburg's attorney, thinks otherwise.

This is out of county hands now, so this will be interesting to see. If I was a betting man, my money is on Mike and it is rather clear.

If I have to follow campaign finance laws, you should too

The Argus hit the nail on the head with this editorial.

From the Argus

One of life's most difficult challenges is to select the dumbest idea to come out of the Michigan Legislature. There are just so many worthy contenders.
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But it may be hard to top the proposed law that would allow a time payment plan of up to a year for state lawmakers who couldn't be bothered to comply with state campaign-finance laws that were passed by ... well, by state lawmakers.

That's what is in the bill package introduced by state Rep. Fred Durhal Jr., D-Detroit. House Bills 4713 and 4714 were introduced in March. Thankfully, nothing has come of them since then.

Here's the deal. People running for office are supposed to file campaign reports that detail what they spend, where they spend it and who contributed to their campaign. There is a deadline. If the deadline isn't met, the candidate is fined.

Current law also says that you can't be sworn in as a state lawmaker if you have outstanding fines. That apparently is what motivated Durhal. He said a colleague faced a hurdle when asked to pay $4,000 in fines before taking office.

He said that was a "flaw in the law" and now wants the secretary of state to allow payments of late filing and other fees and fines for up to 12 months.

But it's not a flaw in the law. It's a flaw with the state lawmaker who failed to follow the law. If he or she — Durhal won't identify the offender — had filed on time (which is to say, obeyed the law) — then there wouldn't be a problem. There wouldn't have been any fines.


The bills are crap. If I have to follow the law, you should too.

Who's the culprit? Durhal's campaign has a few fines. Durhal's campaign finance sheet is here. He coughed up $200 in fines. Maybe the offender is Durhal, who ironically, I believe is an ex-cop. Durhal was also the treasurer in addition to the candidate. No excuses.

I have over eight and almost nine years of experience as a treasurer, and have dealt with both the FEC and the Secretary of State's office. It's a pain in the arse at times to deal with the requirements and the deadlines. Candidates are overwhelmed by it and hate the campaign finance requirements with a passion. Most I know do not want to deal with the mess. All of them must deal with it and need to make sure they have a competent treasurer. Many do not, and simply pass this along as just another volunteer job. Well, you get what you pay for then, and that can lead to bad press, fines, and trouble. One Livingston County candidate who lost his state rep election in 2004 owes thousands of dollars in fines. He still owes them. Failure to file.

I'm going to brag a bit here. Out of the eight organizations/committees I've treasured, I have never been fined, and have not had a fix-it since 2002. That's not because of luck. That's because I leave things airtight and don't leave openings for fines.

Train to nowhere authority seek $32.4 million

The latest in the WALLY train saga is this. They are seeking $32.4 million from federal tax money. This is now a seeking of federal Jurassic Pork from the stimulus of government package. The other day, I wrote about the lack of fiscal responsibility among the feds and the $11 trillion deficit. This is not a good way to add to it. There isn't a good way to add to it, but this is one of the worse ideas. I have no problem with WALLY if it pays for itself or uses all private money. Supporting fiscal responsibility in government begins at home.

From the Argus

The proposed Washtenaw and Livingston Line, or WALLY, commuter rail line will soon be in the running for $32.4 million in federal dollars that would put the project on track for completion by 2012.
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If granted, the federal stimulus funding would cover all of the project's capital costs, including stations, signals, crossings and track improvements for the line, which would extend train service from Howell to Ann Arbor.

The money would also fund a "layover facility," where the train cars would be maintained and stored when not in use.

Funds to operate the system would still be needed.


This doesn't even account for operations. Now why is WALLY a bad idea? I wrote about this in depth back in 2007 under the titles People mover part II and Jurassic Pork

The 07 proposed budget, which I think was extremely low stated this.

The tentative budget presented to the county board predicted a capital outlay of $2.9 million and an operating budget of $4.9 million in the first year.

The budget also predicts that the rail service will prevent the need for city of Ann Arbor to build 800 parking spaces, at a cost savings of $35,000 for each spot. Commissioner Jack LaBelle asked Cicchella if those figures were correct, and on hearing they were, calculated that the city would save more than $28 million.


Later, they said that 32.4 million was needed in startup. That's what they are seeking there. My reasoning for that was as follows.

What I said on July 10, 2007:

"4.9 million will cover what? You have salaries, security, normal wear and tear, energy costs, and runs. 2.9 for startup? Between the trains, parking lot construction, training, etc? I'm skeptical. Even using that number, will you get a profit on that. 15,000 people (estimated number of commuters from Livingston to Ann Arbor at $225 a month (rumored price) will get you 3.37 Million a month - that's if EVERY commuter in the county uses it and pays that amount. I'm guessing most of the commuters to Ann Arbor are in Brighton, Hartland, and Hamburg. Hamburg has 20,000 people. I'll guess that 4000 of them commute to Ann Arbor, with 1000 in Howell (city has 10000 people) commuting. That'll give 5000 of the areas covered from the train. 5000 * 225 - 1.125 million a month - if all commute on the train. Anyone familiar with Hamburg knows how spread out it is. Part of it is "Brighton", most of it is "Pinckney", part of it is "Lakeland", and part of it is "Whitmore Lake". I'll be shocked if most of the commuters are going to drive a few miles to wait for the train. This area is spread out. Howell is denser, but has much less population - and it too is spread out a bit in its eastern and northern most areas near 59 - and forget about getting much help from Genoa (even with the Chilson stop - that area is flat out country), Marion, Howell Twp, and Oceola.

In order to cover the estimated operation costs from regular commuters - you need 408,334 a month - 1814 commuters a day (including weekends, so weekend warriors are very important). That leaves 2.9 million in debt from startup costs which can be paid for over a few years with good profit.

Can you get 15-20% of county's Ann Arbor commuters to use the train EVERY DAY - despite cutting out Brighton and Hartland from the route? If you can, then I'll cook up some fried crow.""

My opinion from 2007 has not changed one bit. WALLY is banking on a line that does not go to Brighton or Hartland, banking on last I heard a 4 Million operating cost, banking on stops away from downtown Ann Arbor, and banking on people driving their cars to the train. This is feel good impracticability that should not be supported by tax dollars.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Conyers in trouble?

I'll believe it when I see it, but I don't think Monica Conyers has done John Conyers any favors.

From the Hill

House Judiciary Committee Chairman John Conyers (D-Mich.) could face a tough reelection race in 2010, according to a new, independent poll released this weekend.

40 percent of Conyers's constituents said he deserved reelection, according to a poll conducted earlier this month by the Lansing, Mich.-based Deno Noor Polling, in conjunction with the Rossman Group and Perricone Group.

44 percent of Detroiters represented by Conyers said they would prefer to elect someone else. 15 percent were unsure or didn't know.

The 80-year-old Conyers has served in Congress since 1965, making him one of the longest-serving members of Congress still in office. He could face a challenging reelection, though, due to the conviction of his wife, Monica Conyers, for bribery charges incurred while she served as President Pro Tempore of the Detroit City Council.


Let's remember Detroit's record of electing incumbents. 99.9999% it seems. Carolyn Kilpatrick won a three way race last November at the height of Kwame's disasters. Unless there's an insanely lucky turnout like Joseph Cao's election in a New Orelans special election that went 75% for Obama, this will stay democrat. All of Downriver would have to ticket split, and most of Detroit would have to stay home with all the republicans showing up. I don't expect it. If Conyers loses, it will likely be in the primary.

Where's this fiscal responsibility the dems promised us?

Where's this fiscal responsibility Pelosi, Reid, and Obama promised us? It turned out to be absolute f'ing bullshit to be blunt. If you thought the Bush deficits were bad - and they were, they are nothing compared to what Mr. Obama is giving us. It's four times worse. That's not to mention omnibus bills, cap and trade, the stimulus. And let's not forget that the major banks bailout was as much of an Obama bailout as it was the Bush bailout. He VOTED FOR IT as one of the class of screw ups known as the US Senate.


From the AP

WASHINGTON – The federal government faces exploding deficits and mounting debt over the next decade, White House and congressional budget officials projected Tuesday in competing but similar economic forecasts.

Both the White House Office of Management and Budget and the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office predicted the budget deficit this year would swell to nearly $1.6 trillion, a record, and far above the then-record 2008 budget deficit of $455 billion.

But while figures released by the White House foresee a cumulative $9 trillion deficit from 2010-2019, $2 trillion more than the administration estimated in May, congressional budget analysts put the 10-year figure at a lower $7.14 trillion.

One reason for the difference: The CBO projection is based on an assumption that all the tax cuts put into place in the administration of former President George W. Bush will expire on schedule by 2011 as dictated by current law. President Barack Obama's budget baseline, however, hews to his proposal to keep the tax cuts in place for families earning less than $250,000 a year.

Beyond the 10-year forecast, the nation will face further challenges posed by rising health care costs and the aging of the population, the CBO said. "The budget remains on an unsustainable path" over the long-term and will require some combination of lower spending and higher tax revenues, it said.

Both forecasts see unemployment rising to 10 percent before falling and both suggest growth will return to the economy later this year but that recovery will be slow after the longest and deepest recession since the 1930s


Oh, and the national debt will double too. This doesn't even account for any government health care takeovers, new "stimulus" packages, new bailouts, or other pork and future budget bills that Mr. Obama wants to shove down our throats.

The 2010 Republicans need to run on a balanced budget without taxes promise. If they get the majority, they need to promise a balanced budget bill, and pass it, and put the ball into the court of the idiot senators and the wee-wee head Obama.

Oh yeah, wee-wee. I don't think I've heard that term since pre-school, and it was in reference to a dick. I never expected a 48 year old to use that term. What a childish....well dickhead.

"“There is something about August going into September where everybody in Washington gets all wee weed up!”"


I suppose that means pissed-off, which is what Obama is causing most of the country to be.

Ben Bernanke gets four more years

I'm not a fan of this decision. I think in hindsight that Bush made a big mistake four years ago with Bernanke and Paulson. Obama repeated the mistake with Bernanke and Geithner.

Desmond Lachman of Forbes magazine said it best:

Despite Bernanke's many egregious errors of judgment during his first term, which have cost the nation so dearly, President Obama is choosing to give him a second chance. And the president is doing so at the very time that the Federal Reserve will be facing extraordinarily difficult challenges of meeting its twin goals of maintaining price stability and promoting economic growth, which will require the exercise of the soundest degree of judgment.

In deciding to stick with Ben Bernanke, President Obama is exercising the most selective of memories. Indeed, the president is choosing to remember only Bernanke's valiant role over the past nine months in pulling the economy from the brink and from preventing the country's worst economic and financial crisis from morphing into a second Great Depression. What the president is blithely choosing to forget, however, is the role that Bernanke might have played during his first two years as chairman in creating the very economic and financial conditions that got us into the mess in the first place. He is also choosing to forget Bernanke's role in the Lehman Brothers ( LEHMQ - news - people ) debacle that was the trigger for the Great Panic of 2008.
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Being charitable, President Obama's decision to reappoint Bernanke is perhaps understandable given how Bernanke's aggressive and innovative policy response helped prevent our financial system from literally imploding following the Lehman bankruptcy debacle last fall. It is also perhaps understandable given how relatively well Bernanke has performed during President Obama's short term in office this year in calming financial markets and in helping to lay the basis for a sustainable economic recovery.

However, in a more sober state of mind, what is difficult to understand is why at the very time that the Federal Reserve is going to need the most judicious of leaderships, President Obama is choosing to turn a blind eye to Bernanke's all too many errors of judgment in 2006 and 2007. The president is choosing to forget that it was on Bernanke's watch as Fed chairman that the worst of the subprime mortgage lending was made and that the worst excesses of the housing market and credit market bubbles occurred without as much as an expression of concern from the Fed. The president is also choosing to forget how slow Bernanke was to comprehend the seriousness of the bursting of the housing market bubble and how slow he was to start cutting interest rates to provide much-needed support to the economy.


I hope I'm wrong about this.